Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 1 Rankings
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1.
Bijan Robinson
RB - ATL (vs . PIT)
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2.
Breece Hall
RB - NYJ (at SF)
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3.
Tyreek Hill
WR - MIA (vs . JAC)
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4.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND (vs . HOU)
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5.
Saquon Barkley
RB - PHI (vs . GB)
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6.
Derrick Henry
RB - BAL (at KC)
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7.
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB - JAC (at MIA)
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8.
Kenneth Walker III
RB - SEA (vs . DEN)
Walker soldered on through a bunch of injuries last year to still finish as a rock-solid RB2 (RB20). He dealt with a bruised shoulder, a strained oblique, a chest issue, and a tender calf last season. In the 14 games he played at least 41% of the snaps, he averaged 17.3 touches and 82 total yards. Among 49 qualifying backs last year, Walker was 21st in explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt and fourth in missed tackles forced per attempt. He should have no issues carving up the Broncos run defense that allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the fourth-highest explosive run rate, and the second-most missed tackles per attempt last season.
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9.
Kyren Williams
RB - LAR (at DET)
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10.
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB - DET (vs . LAR)
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11.
De'Von Achane
RB - MIA (vs . JAC)
Achane was lightning in a bottle last year. He was the RB5 in fantasy points per game. In the eight games he played at least 41% of the snaps, Achane averaged 14.2 touches and 113.8 total yards. Every time he touched the ball, he had the chance to take it to the house, ranking first in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt. Achane should lead the way for Miami's rushing attack with his zone and gap run game usage. Jacksonville wasn't a strong run defense overall, as they allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate and the ninth-most rushing touchdowns while sitting with the 14th-highest missed tackle rate. They did, however, defend zone runs well, holding them to the fourth-lowest success rate and yards per carry. Achane's runs were almost even between zone and gap (47.6% vs. 42.7%), whereas Mostert's usage was zone-heavy. Achane had the ninth-highest yards per carry and the fourth-highest success rate with gap runs. Jacksonville allowed the 12th-most rushing yards and the sixth-highest yards per carry to gap runs last season. Achane should rip off some big gains in Week 1 on the way to a superb day.
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12.
Josh Jacobs
RB - GB (at PHI)
Last year was tough for Jacobs as he tried to follow up on his amazing 2022 season. He was limited to 13 games played and appeared to be running in slow motion when he was on the field. Last season, Jacobs had the 12th-highest stuff rate while also crawling in at 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 44th in yards after contact per attempt. With A.J. Dillon out and MarShawn Lloyd banged up, Jacobs could see an 80% snapshare (or higher) in Week 1 with only Emanuel Wilson fully healthy. The Eagles were a tough matchup for backs last year, but they allowed big plays on the ground. Philly allowed the fifth-highest adjusted yards before contact per attempt and the ninth-highest explosive run rate, but that's where the good times end. This run defense also held rushers in check with the eighth-lowest missed tackles, the sixth-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game. Jacobs is a volume play for Week 1.
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13.
Isiah Pacheco
RB - KC (vs . BAL)
The Chiefs saw all they needed to last year with Pacheco as their workhorse back, so they let Jerick McKinnon walk in the offseason, which should fuel Pacheco as a weekly 65-70% snap player. In the four games he played without McKinnon active, Pachecho averaged 20.2 touches and 100.7 total yards. He was Kansas City's workhorse, as he played at least 70% of the snaps in three of those four games. Overall, last year, he ranked 12th in explosive run rate and 26th in yards after contact per attempt. Among 48 qualifying backs, he also ranked 28th in yards per route run. At first glance, Baltimore looks like a defense to avoid for fantasy rushers, but there's a lot to like here for Pacheco. While the Ravens held backs to the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game that was mostly fueled by allowing the fewest rushing touchdowns in the NFL. Deeper metrics scream they are a more advantageous matchup, as they allowed the 13th-highest explosive run rate and the eighth-highest missed tackles per attempt. Start Pacheco as an RB1/2.
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14.
James Cook
RB - BUF (vs . ARI)
Last season, in Weeks 11-18, with Joe Brady as the offensive coordinator, Cook was the RB11, averaging 19.6 touches and 104.3 total yards per game. Yes, he only played more than 60% of the snaps twice during that stretch, but it didn't matter. After Week 10, he was 16th in target share (11.4%) among 34 qualifying backs while also ranking 10th in TPRR, fourth in receiving yards per game, and second in YPRR. In those final seven games, among 44 qualifying backs, Cook wasn't spectacular in tackle-breaking metrics, ranking 24th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 43rd in yards after contact per attempt. He was quite good on gap runs (59.8% of his carries), ranking 12th in gap yards per carry and gap success rate. Cook should have a successful Week 1 against an Arizona run defense that allowed the most rushing yards per game and the eighth-highest explosive run rate while logging the third-lowest stuff rate. They also struggled to defend gap runs, giving up the eighth-highest gap yards per carry and the ninth-highest gap success rate. Cook is an RB2 that could produce like an RB1.
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15.
Rachaad White
RB - TB (vs . WAS)
White was a volume king last year, which helped propel him to RB10 in fantasy. He ranked fourth in snap share, seventh in opportunity share, and fourth in weighted opportunities. He also ranked top-ten in carries (second), targets (ninth), and red zone touches (ninth). The problem when we look at his 2023 season is that his efficiency was objectively bad. Among 49 qualifying backs, White ranked 42nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, 40th in explosive run rate, and 45th in yards after contact per attempt. White could get similar volume in 2024, and if so, that starts in Week 1. Washington's defense is an enigma for 2024 with new personnel and a new scheme with Dan Quinn's arrival. Even with all of that, I don't think the Commanders' run defense will be a top-shelf unit, as they were a bottom-five collection last season. In 2023, Washington allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game and the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt with the eighth-lowest stuff rate. White could volume his way to an RB1 week to begin the 2024 season.
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16.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
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17.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (at CLE)
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18.
Joe Mixon
RB - HOU (at IND)
Last year, Mixon was the RB11 in fantasy, ranking eighth in snap share, third in opportunity share, and seventh in weighted opportunities. Among 49 qualifying backs, he ranked 23rd in missed tackles forced per attempt, 37th in yards after contact per attempt, and 10th in zone run success rate. Mixon was also 20th in target share and 26th in YPRR among 48 qualifying backs last season. Mixon should see a bump to his zone rushing rate this season. Last year, Cincy utilized zone for 39.2% of their rushing plays versus Houston's 45.9% rate. The bump in zone rushing won't help him this week against Indy. Last year, Indy allowed the ninth-most rushing yards per game with the ninth-lowest stuff rate, but gap runs gashed them. They held fast against zone with the seventh-lowest success rate and yards per carry allowed. Mixon, with his every-down workload, should be able to take advantage of their weakness against receiving backs, though. Indy allowed the eighth-most receptions and fourth-most receiving yards to backs last year. Anyway, you slice it, Mixon is a strong volume play in Week 1.
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19.
A.J. Brown
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
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20.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (at NYG)
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21.
James Conner
RB - ARI (at BUF)
The falloff for aging running backs comes quickly. Based on last year, Conner looks like he can keep it at bay for at least one more season. Last year, he was seventh in explosive run rate, eighth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and fifth in yards after contact per attempt. Conner was the RB13 in fantasy points per game, as he ranked sixth in rushing yards last season. Conner could run wild in Week 1 against a Bills run defense that allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the fourth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 12th-highest yards per carry to gap runs in 2023. Last year, Conner saw 53.8% of his rushing volume on gap runs while ranking third in gap yards per carry and second in gap rushing yards. Conner is an RB2 who could return RB1 production in Week 1.
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22.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO (vs . CAR)
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23.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
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24.
David Montgomery
RB - DET (vs . LAR)
Montgomery's first year as a Lion was a successful one. He was the RB15 in fantasy points per game and averaged 15 touches and 75.7 total yards after returning from injury in Week 10. Among 49 qualifying backs last year, Montgomery was 14th in missed tackles forced per attempt and eighth in yards after contact per attempt. He'll be the thunder to Jahmyr Gibbs' lightning. Montgomery should find running room this week against an average Rams' run defense. Last year, Los Angeles ranked 15th in stuff rate, 16th in missed tackles allowed per attempt, and 17th in yards per carry allowed to zone runs (Montgomery 55.7% zone). Montgomery is an RB2/3.
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25.
Garrett Wilson
WR - NYJ (at SF)
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26.
Puka Nacua
WR - LAR (at DET)
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27.
Raheem Mostert
RB - FA (BYE)
Mostert defied the laws of aging running backs last year as the RB4 in fantasy with 21 total touchdowns. He was still a wizard on a per-touch basis, ranking sixth in explosive run rate and 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt. On paper, this looks like a game where Achane could take the lead for the backfield, though. Jacksonville was an exploitable run defense last year, allowing the sixth-highest explosive run rate and the ninth-most rushing touchdowns while sitting with the 14th-highest missed tackle rate. The problem for Mostert is that they were strong against zone rushing, which accounted for 64.6% of his rushing attempts. Against zone Jacksonville, they allowed the fourth-lowest success rate and yards per carry. Mostert could break a big play at any time, but the odds are lower in Week 1.
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28.
Aaron Jones Sr.
RB - MIN (at NYG)
When Jones was FINALLY healthy last year, we saw the same back that we have come to love for fantasy over the years. In Weeks 15-20, Jones averaged 21.6 touches and 120.3 total yards as he was a weekly stud. During that same stretch, among 47 qualifying backs, he was eighth in explosive run rate and 10th in yards after contact per attempt. IF he can stay healthy (I KNOW it's a big if), he will be awesome in fantasy. The Vikings need another pass catcher to step up opposite Justin Jefferson. No, I don't think it will be Jordan Addison unless his target earning ability has jumped to another level this year. Jones could soak up routes and check-downs this season. Last year, he was still amazing in the passing game. Among 48 qualifying backs, he was sixth in TPRR, eighth in YPRR, and fourth in FD/RR. Jones should have a day on the ground against a run defense that allowed the second-highest explosive run rate, the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the fourth-most rushing yards per game. The Giants also surrendered the seventh-highest yards per reception to backs last season. Jones could flirt with RB1 numbers this week, but he's best viewed as a strong RB2.
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29.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR - SF (vs . NYJ)
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30.
Nico Collins
WR - HOU (at IND)
Collins was nothing short of amazing last season as the WR7 in fantasy. He was basically Brandon Aiyuk of the AFC South, as he operated with an insane per-route efficiency. He was 12th in TPRR, second in YPRR, seventh in receiving yards per game, and fifth in FD/RR. When the offense was battered, and other skill players were out with injuries, he was able to command alpha-level volume. Collins could have a boom game out the gate for Houston, considering Indy's love for single-high last year. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Among Houston's starting trio of wide receivers, against single-high, Collins led the group in TPRR (31%), YPRR (3.83), and FD/RR (0.175). It wasn't particularly close in YPRR and FD/RR either. Collins will run about 79% of his routes against JuJu Brents (66.7% catch rate and 109.1 passer rating) and Jaylon Jones (54.4% catch rate and 106.6 passer rating).
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31.
Ja'Marr Chase
WR - CIN (vs . NE)
Chase's availability and snapshare are up in the air for Week 1. I do think it's pretty easy regarding Chase, though. If he is active he is in your lineup. Chase has the talent to blow up even with limited snaps. Cincinnati could also easily limit his snaps by cutting back his snaps on run plays, and it wouldn't hurt his pass game availability, which is all we care about for fantasy purposes. Last year, when Joe Burrow was healthy (Weeks 5-10), Chase was awesome. He had a 28.4% target share, a 43.1% air-yard share, and a 34.5% first-read share. During that small sample, he produced a mouthwatering 2.69 YPRR and 0.145 FD/RR. Last year, New England was seventh in single high rate (59.7%). The last time we got a full season of Chase and Burrow ripping the league up (2022), Chase was a monster against single-high. Among 88 qualifying wide receivers, he ranked fourth in target share (32.3%), fifth in air-yard share (442.%), seventh in YPRR (3.12), and third in FD/RR (0.159). Chase will match up with Christian Gonzalez (66.7% catch rate and 67.5 passer rating) and Jonathan Jones (57.4% catch rate and 86.0 passer rating) all day. With Higgins being listed as doubtful, Chase could be leaned on heavily when he's on the field, even if his snaps are limited.
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32.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR (at DET)
Which version of Kupp do we get this year? That has been a heated offseason debate. Did he clearly take a step back, or did injuries nag at him all year, affecting his performance? Last year, he dealt with an ankle sprain and hamstring issues. In 12 games with him and Puka Nacua active, Kupp still commanded a 23.4% target share, produced 2.08 yards per route run, and was the WR23 in fantasy points per game. Last year, Detroit utilized single-high on 54.3% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, Kupp led the team with a 27.4% target share and a 33.3% first-read share. He was second to only Puka Nacua in YPRR (2.47) and FD/RR (0.107). Kupp will run about 61% of his routes against Amik Robertson (62.5% catch rate and 85.7 passer rating). Kupp could lead the way for the passing attack in Week 1.
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33.
Najee Harris
RB - PIT (at ATL)
Harris was his usual consistent self last season. He finished with his third consecutive season with at least 1,000 rushing yards, eight total touchdowns, and 1,200 total yards. That didn't equate to a smash season, though, as he was the RB30 in fantasy points per game as he split work with Jaylen Warren. Warren will still be a thorn in his side for 2024. What gets lost in the Harris discussion, though, is that he arguably had one of his best seasons on a per-touch basis of his career. Among 49 qualifying backs, he was 10th in explosive run rate, 19th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. Harris could have a tough time in Week 1 against a stout Falcons' run defense. While Atlanta allowed the 14th-highest explosive run rate and 13th-most rushing yards per game, they were a tough team overall to run on. They faced the sixth-most rushing attempts last year and held opposing rushers at bay with the sixth-highest stuff rate, the tenth-lowest missed tackles forced, and the ninth-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Harris will have to rely on volume this week.
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34.
Jaylen Waddle
WR - MIA (vs . JAC)
Waddle had the worst season of his short career last year, finishing as the WR21 in fantasy. Waddle ranked fifth in yards per route run and sixth in first downs per route run last season, with a 22% target share and a 29.7% air-yard share. With Jacksonville's new defensive coordinator, Ryan Nielsen, I expect this secondary to lean into two-high coverage. Last year, he led a Falcon's defense that was ninth in two high usage (53.2%). Last season, in the 12 games Waddle played at least 54% of the snaps, he saw a 23.6% target share, a 31.5% air-yard share, and a 25% first-read share, producing 2.90 YPRR against two high. Waddle will run about 74% of his routes against Ronald Darby (51.7% catch rate and 75.2 passer rating) and Tyson Campbell (70% catch rate and 127.4 passer rating).
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35.
Davante Adams
WR - NYJ (at SF)
Adams remains one of the best wide receivers in the NFL, but pitiful quarterback play hurt him last year, and it's not looking any prettier for 2024. Last year was the first season since 2015 that Davante Adams didn't finish as a WR1 in fantasy. Adams checked in as the WR15 in fantasy. Adams had no issue soaking up elite-level volume, ranking second in raw target volume (175) and target share (33.1%). He did the best he could, considering the situation surrounding him, ranking 26th in yards per route run and 17th in first downs per route run. Adams will run most of his routes against Asante Samuel Jr. (64.7% catch rate and 98.0 passer rating) and Kristian Fulton (72.5% catch rate and 129.3 passer rating).
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36.
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB - NE (at CIN)
Stevenson's 2023 season was a terrible disappointment, but there's hope that his 2024 campaign will be a wonderful bounce-back story. Last year, after Week 8, we saw glimpses of the Stevenson we thought we were drafting from the outset. In Weeks 9-13 (Stevenson missed the remainder of the season due to a high ankle sprain), among 48 qualifying backs, he ranked 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and third in yards after contact per attempt. In his three full games in that span, he averaged 20.7 touches and 112.7 total yards as the RB4 in fantasy. The Patriots should look to lean on him in this opening game. Cincy's run defense was atrocious last year, allowing the seventh-highest rushing yards per game and the fifth-highest explosive run rate and missed tackles allowed per attempt. Mondre SZN begins in Week 1.
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37.
Chris Olave
WR - NO (vs . CAR)
Olave might not have matched the hype last year with his production, but that doesn't mean that he had a bad season. Olave was the WR19 with new career highs in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and fantasy points per game. Last year, among 81 qualifying receivers, Olave ranked 24th in YPRR and 16th in FD/RR. The change in the offensive system will help Olave and Carr this season. Carr last year was tied to two outcomes. It was either wind up and chuck it deep or check it down, as Carr ranked eighth in deep attempts while also having the sixth-highest check-down rate. In Weeks 1-12, New Orleans had the fifth-highest aDOT while ranking 14th in catchable target rate with the 16th-highest off-target rate. In Weeks 13-18, the Saints changed it up as their aDOT was the 11th-lowest, and the offense ranked first in catchable target rate with the lowest off-target rate. Motion, play-action, and more intermediate passing will help Olave this season with Klint Kubiak. Last year Carolina utilized single-high at the third-highest rate (63.3%). Among 85 qualifying wide receivers last year against single high, Olave ranked 10th in YPRR, 12th in fantasy points per route run, and seventh in FD/RR. Olave with line up against Jaycee Horn (60.7% catch rate and 88.2 passer rating) and Mike Jackson (68.8% catch rate and 93.5 passer rating) for most of the game.
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38.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR - ARI (at BUF)
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39.
DK Metcalf
WR - SEA (vs . DEN)
Metcalf has proven at this point that his floor is as a safe WR2. Last year, he finished another successful campaign as the WR22 in fantasy. He was 22nd in YPRR, 23rd in first read share, and 20th in FD/RR last season. Last year, Denver ranked 11th in single-high usage (55.8%). Metcalf ate last year against single-high with a 26.1% target share, a 46.1% air-yard share, 2.71 YPRR, and 12 end zone targets. We don't know if Ryan Grubb will deploy Seattle's wide receivers in a similar fashion, but Metcalf has a compelling case to keep his number-one role against single-high. Metcalf could be shadowed by Patrick Surtain (62.9% catch rate and 93.9 passer rating) in this game. Surtain followed eight receivers last year on at least 63% of their routes, with only Tyreek Hill and D.J. Moore surpassing 70 receiving yards in his primary coverage. If Metcalf isn't shadowed, he'll see Surtain and Riley Moss (only one target defended last year) for most of the game.
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40.
D'Andre Swift
RB - CHI (vs . TEN)
Swift enters the 2024 season at the top of this running back depth chart for Chicago. That top spot could be more assumption and less reality though. Last year, Chicago utilized a full-blown committee, with Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson, and D'Onta Foreman all having moments in the sun. Swift was "good" last season, but he wasn't nearly as good as you might think at first glance. After monster games in Weeks 2 & 3, he proceeded to average only 16.8 touches and 72.4 total yards the rest of the season as the RB25 in fantasy points per game. He also ranked only 40th in yards after contact per attempt and 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Swift could have a hard time finding running room in Week 1 against a Titans' defense that allowed the fifth-lowest explosive run rate, the fourth-fewest rushing touchdowns, and the 13th-lowest missed tackles last season. They were also a shutdown defense against backs through the air with the fourth-fewest receptions while also sitting at 16th in yards per reception.
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41.
Drake London
WR - ATL (vs . PIT)
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42.
Zamir White
RB - LV (at LAC)
White enters this year as the Raiders' workhorse back after proving he can carry the mail down the stretch last year. In Weeks 15-18, he averaged 23.3 touches and 114.3 total yards as the RB12 in fantasy points per game. During this cup of coffee as the team's starter, among 41 qualifying backs, he ranked 13th in explosive run rate, sixth in yards after contact per attempt and 17th in success rate. Last year, the Bolts, overall, had a strong run defense, holding backs to the ninth-lowest explosive run rate with the seventh-lowest missed tackles allowed per attempt. Los Angeles was susceptible to zone runs, though, allowing the ninth-highest yards per carry and the 13th-highest success rate. 53.6% of White's runs as the starter last year were on zone plays. White is a volume-based RB2.
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43.
Javonte Williams
RB - DEN (at SEA)
The offseason reports for Williams have been encouraging. I'm hoping for a bounceback season for Wiliams this year. Last year, he rolled up the volume (264 touches), but his efficiency was severely lacking. Among 49 qualifying backs last season, he ranked 41st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt. Williams also was 55th in fantasy points per opportunity and 53rd in yards per touch. Seattle offers a chance for Williams to get off to a wonderful start. The Seahawks were among the worst run defenses in the NFL last year, allowing the second-highest rushing yards per game, the third-highest explosive run rate, and the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt. Williams is an RB2/3 who could outperform his ranking in Week 1.
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44.
DJ Moore
WR - CHI (vs . TEN)
New year. New quarterback. New wide receivers are flanking Moore. Tons of change for the Chicago passing attack this offseason, but Moore should still be considered the favorite to lead the way for Windy City's aerial attack. Last season, he was the WR9 in fantasy points per game while setting new career highs in receptions, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, and fantasy points per game. He also shined on a per-route basis, ranking 13th in yards per route run and 12th in first downs per route run. Moore faces a pass defense with new coordinator Dennard Wilson calling the shots. Last year, Wilson was with Baltimore as their defensive backs' coach. Baltimore utilized two-high coverage on 53.3% of their snaps (eighth-highest rate), which lines up well with Tennessee (53.6% last year, seventh-highest rate). Last year against two high, Moore had a 24.6% target share, a 46% air-yard share, 1.90 YPRR, and a 38% first-read share. With the additions of Rome Odunze and Keenan Allen, those market share numbers will undoubtedly come back down to earth some. His YPRR mark against two-high was ranked 34th out of 97 qualifying wide receivers last year, so he was good but not elite. Moore will run about 78% of his routes against Chidobe Awuzie (67.9% catch rate and 112.8 passer rating) and L'Jarius Snead (52.5% catch rate and 66.6 passer rating).
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45.
Jerome Ford
RB - CLE (vs . DAL)
Ford should be the every-down do-it-all back for Cleveland to open the season. Last season, in Weeks 3-17, when Ford was the starter, he averaged 14.9 touches and 66.6 total yards as the RB20 in fantasy. Ford played well, ranking 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 16th in yards after contact per attempt. He faces a confounding Dallas Cowboys run defense, depending on what metric you look at from last year. On one hand, they allowed the second-lowest missed tackles per attempt and the 10th-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Those are frightening stats, but this run defense also had the 12th-lowest stuff rate while allowing the fourth-highest success rate to gap runs and ranking 17th in yards per carry permitted to gap runs (Ford 56.9% gap). Ford is best viewed as a volume-based RB2/3.
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46.
Devin Singletary
RB - NYG (vs . MIN)
Singletary should operate as the Giants' new workhorse back. Last year, he proved yet again that he can carry the mail. In Weeks 9-18, he averaged 19 touches and 86.6 total yards as the RB21 in fantasy points per game. Last year, he was 19th in explosive run rate and 22nd in missed tackles forced per attempt. Week 1 looks like it could be a slow start to the season for Singletary if Minnesota is as good at defending the run as they were last season. Minnesota held rushers to the lowest explosive run rate with the eighth-lowest yards after contact per attempt and the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game allowed. Singletary is a volume-based RB2/3.
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47.
Amari Cooper
WR - BUF (vs . ARI)
Cooper didn't show any signs of slowing down last year. Last year, he finished as the WR17 in fantasy points per game while ranking 23rd in target share (22.1%), 13th in air-yard share (39%), and 12th in YPRR. Watson, looking like a hollowed-out version of his former self, didn't stop Cooper either, as he averaged 96 receiving yards per game with 2.96 YPRR and 0.123 FD/RR. Cooper faces a secondary that allowed the 11th-fewest receiving yards and the ninth-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers last year. Those numbers don't instill a lot of confidence, but with DaRon Bland out for a while, Cooper will face Trevon Diggs (recovering from a torn ACL) and rookie Caelen Carson for most of the game. The corner matchup isn't the limiting factor here. It's the quarterback play of Watson. The hope is that Cooper remains quarterback-proof in 2024.
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48.
Malik Nabers
WR - NYG (vs . MIN)
We can all debate the target quality that Nabers will receive this season, but we can all agree that he is about TO GET FED on a weekly basis. We got a small snippet of it this preseason, as he had a 24% TPRR and 2.16 YPRR. I'm worried about Daniel Jones just as much as anyone else, but let's be kind and rewind and remind ourselves of the type of talent that Nabers has. During his final year at LSU, Nabers ranked third in YPRR, first in PFF receiving grade, and fourth in missed tackles forced. Nabers will have his hands full with Minnesota's upgraded outside corner tandem, though. He'll see Stephon Gilmore (56.8% catch rate and 90.4 passer rating) and Shaquill Griffin (63.8% catch rate and 82.5 passer rating) for most of the game.
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49.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF (vs . NYJ)
The ink barely dried on Aiyuk's contract as he made it back just in time for Week 1. Aiyuk was amazing last year as the WR16 in fantasy, ranking third in YPRR and second in FD/RR. His talent and efficiency allowed him to outkick his volume constraints. Aiyuk ranked 30th in raw target volume with an astounding 105 targets. He was also only 44th in red zone targets and was the WR31 in expected fantasy points per game. It didn't matter though. As good as he is, this doesn't set up as an Aiyuk smash week. The Jets ranked 11th in two high usage last year (51.7%). Two high defenses usually mean a heaping dose of Deebo Samuel. Last year against two-high, Aiyuk had an 18% target share, a 35.3% air-yard share, 2.58 YPRR, and a 25% first-read share. Aiyuk will still be involved, but this isn't a game where he'll be leading the way. Aiyuk will run about 75% of his routes against Sauce Gardner (56.9% catch rate and 76.5 passer rating) and D.J. Reed (61.4% catch rate and 85.1 passer rating).
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50.
Rashee Rice
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
Rice looks to pick up where he left off last season. In Weeks 12-17, after assuming a full-time role, he gobbled up a 25.2% target share with a 30.3% first-read share, producing 2.77 yards per route run and 18.6 fantasy points per game. This preseason, his rapport with Patrick Mahomes remained strong, with a 35.2% target per route run rate and 2.06 yards per route run. Rice should be featured heavily in this opening game against the Ravens' two-high defense. In 2023, Baltimore deployed two-high on 53.3% (eighth-highest) of their defensive snaps. Yes, they switched from Mike Macdonald to Zach Orr as defensive coordinator, but Orr has been a long-time Baltimore defensive coach (linebackers). I expect him to integrate his wrinkles into the scheme, but I'm projecting them to still use two-high coverage with more than 50% of their defensive snaps. After Week 11 last season, Rice led the team with a 21.4% target share, 2.78 yards per route run, and a 28.6% first-read share (tied with Travis Kelce) against two-high. If Mahomes isn't looking for Kelce when he drops back, it'll be Rice.
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51.
DeVonta Smith
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
Smith finished last year as the WR20 in fantasy points per game while commanding a 20.9% target share, a 31.8% air-yard share, and a 25.6% first-read share. He posted a strong 1.96 yards per route run while ranking 21st in receiving yards per game. Smith will be Brown's running mate again this year as the Eagles' WR2. He faces a Green Bay pass defense that could look different this year, with new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley taking over. Last year the Packers had the fifth-most single-high coverage in the NFL. Hafley could change that in 2024. During his last stint in the NFL, Hafley was with Robert Saleh in San Francisco for two years. Saleh led a Jets' pass defense last year that had the 11th-highest two-high rate in the league (51.6%). Last season, Smith led the team with a 23% target share, a 40.6% air-yard share, and 2.45 yards per route run against two-high. Don't be surprised if Smith out-targets Brown in Week 1.
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52.
Tony Pollard
RB - TEN (at CHI)
I know what you're thinking..." Hey, this guy told me Pollard was his RB1 overall last year." Yep, I did. I'll own the L here. Tony Pollard was a massive disappointment. I didn't think it was possible for his tackle-breaking ability to go from stellar to putrid, but it happened. The reality is that he had the role that we coveted, though, and he should be considered the lead back for Tennessee entering this season. Last season, he was a volume-eating machine, ranking seventh in carries and 11th in targets among backs. The bright side is that in 2024, he could rebound and look much closer to the player we thought we were getting last year. Last season in Weeks 11-18, among 44 qualifying backs, Pollard ranked 15th in yards after contact per attempt, 21st in explosive run rate, and had the 11th-lowest stuff rate. Unfortunately, if the Bears continue to field a similarly dominant run defense this year as they did in 2023, Pollard could start slow in Week 1. Last year, Chicago had the fifth-highest stuff rate while holding backs to the 11th-lowest yards after contact per attempt and third-lowest explosive run rate.
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53.
George Pickens
WR - PIT (at ATL)
Pickens should lead the way for Pittsburgh's aerial attack this season. We got a small snippet of what that might look like last year when Dionate Johnson missed time with an injury. In Weeks 2-5 without Johnson, his target share climbed to 27.1%, his air-yard share stood at a whopping 50.1%, he produced 3.0 yards per route run, and he was the WR16 in fantasy points per game. In those four games, he saw three end zone targets and had a ridiculous 38.4% first-read share. Those market share numbers could all be repeated in 2024. We'll see about the efficiency numbers that Pittsburgh's quarterback play could vastly impact. With Raheem Morris at the controls for the Falcons' defense, we should expect a heavy dose of Cover 3 and Cover 4. Over the last two years, Morris has utilized these two coverages on 57.9-59.5% of defensive snaps. Last year against Cover 3 and Cover 4, Pickens had a 21.5% target share, 2.87 yards per route run, and 0.105 first downs per route run. All of these are stellar marks. Pickens will run about 83% of his routes against A.J. Terrell (57.9% catch rate and 95.7 passer rating) and Mike Hughes (61.9% catch rate and 94.3 passer rating).
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54.
Gus Edwards
RB - LAC (vs . LV)
Edwards enters the 2024 season as the favorite for work in this Bolts' backfield, but he isn't a tough player to hop in the pecking order if J.K. Dobbins can prove he is back or Kimani Vidal outplays both of them. Last season, Edwards was the RB32 in fantasy, with the strength of 13 total touchdowns (fourth-most). Edwards is an early down grinder who only managed a 2.8% target share last season, so all of his value will have to come via rushing. Among 49 qualifying backs, Edwards ranked 25th in explosive run rate, 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 32nd in yards after contact per attempt. The Raiders tightened up as a run defense after Antonio Pierce became the head coach last year, allowing the eighth-fewest rushing yards per game and the third-lowest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt. Edwards is a touchdown-dependent flex.
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55.
Sam LaPorta
TE - DET (vs . LAR)
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56.
Chuba Hubbard
RB - CAR (at NO)
With Jonathon Brooks still recovering from his torn ACL, Hubbard should carry the mail for Carolina until he's ready. Last year, as the Panthers starting tailback, he was the RB24 in fantasy points per game, he averaged 19.2 touches and 77.7 total yards. Hubbard wasn't an efficiency maven, though, ranking 30th in explosive run rate, 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 31st in yards after contact per attempt. Last year, with Dave Cannales, the Bucs utilized zone on 46.7% of their snaps. The Panthers should be a zone-heavy team this year after utilizing it on 53% of their rushing plays last year (Hubbard 57.1% zone). The Saints allowed the 10th-highest yards per carry to zone runs last year. Overall, they allowed the 13th-highest missed tackles per attempt and the 10th-highest yards after contact per attempt. Hubbard is flex-worthy in Week 1 and could easily be a strong RB2 when it's all said and done against the Saints.
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57.
Brian Robinson Jr.
RB - WAS (at TB)
Robinson Jr. will be quite good this year, but he opens with a brutal matchup to begin the 2024 season. Last year, he didn't get enough credit for his performance. Robinson Jr. was the RB22 in fantasy points per game, ranking 22nd in explosive run rate, 13th in yards after contact per attempt, and fifth in yards per route run. In the 12 games in which he played at least 40% of the snaps, Robinson averaged 15.5 touches and 77.9 total yards per game. Robinson Jr. will probably sniff at least 15 touches in Week 1, but he probably needs a touchdown to pay off. Last year, Tampa Bay allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game while giving up the fifth-lowest missed tackles per attempt and the seventh-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Robinson is an RB2/3.
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58.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (vs . BAL)
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59.
Zack Moss
RB - CIN (vs . NE)
If the camp reports are right, Moss should open the season immediately, splitting work with Chase Brown. That's not the hope for anyone who drafted him this summer, but it's likely the reality. Last year, in the seven games he played at least 50% of the snaps, he finished with 21.1 touches and 98.5 total yards per game. Overall, he ranked 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt last year. Cincy could lean into their passing game this week with what projects to be a tough matchup on the ground. Last season, New England allowed the second-lowest explosive run rate and the LOWEST missed tackles per attempt and yards after contact per attempt. I wouldn't trust Moss as an RB2 in my lineups but rather as a middling flex play.
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60.
Tank Dell
WR - HOU (at IND)
Dell was amazing last year and impactful once inserted into the starting lineup full-time. Last year, in the seven full games that Dell and Nico Collins played together, Dell bested him in every meaningful category. Dell led the duo in target share (22.5 vs. 22.1%), air-yard share (35.9 vs. 25.3%), weighted opportunity (59.0 vs. 50.9), and fantasy points per game (18.7 vs. 18.1). Overall last year Dell posted monster numbers in YPRR (2.40) and FD/RR (0.115) ranking 16th and 14th in these statistics. He should push Collins for the team lead in targets in Week 1 against Indy. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Last year, against single-high, Dell had a 29% TPRR, 2.70 YPRR, and 0.122 FD/RR. Among Houston's starting wide receivers, he ranks third, second, and second in those categories. The biggest worry for Dell in this matchup is his matchup with Kenny Moore (79.3% catch rate and 98.3 passer rating) inside, as Dell projects as the team's starting slot receiver now with Diggs in town. Last year, Indy allowed the fourth-fewest receptions and the ninth-lowest PPR points per target to slot receivers. It's a tough matchup, but it also has to be stated that Dell has the talent to overcome it.
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61.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . HOU)
Pittman has been the model of consistency as a WR2 over the last three seasons (WR14, WR21, WR22). Despite catching passes from Gardner Minshew for most of the year, Pittman finished with his usual efficiency ranking 23rd in YPRR and 24th in FD/RR while gobbling up the volume (ninth in targets, fourth in target share). Despite ranking ninth in red zone targets, he only had four receiving touchdowns last year. Pittman faces a Houston secondary that should again feature heavy two-high coverage in 2024. Last year, the Texans ranked fourth in two-high usage (56.6%). Against two-high last year, Pittman had a 26.2% target share, a 32.1% air-yard share, 2.23 YPRR, and 0.114 FD/RR. Pittman will run about 72% of his routes against Derek Stingley Jr. (54.2% catch rate and 76.6 passer rating) and rookie Kamari Lassiter.
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62.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (at TB)
McLaurin is set to bounce back this year if Daniels is the passer that I think he is. Last year, he finished as the WR34 in fantasy points per game, but his WR21 rank in expected fantasy points per game is closer to what I hope we get in 2024. Last season, he still led the team with a 20.4% target share, a 34.7% air-yard share, 1.64 YPRR, and a 25.4% first-read share. Sam Howell was a crushing blow of inefficiency, though ranking 21st in CPOE and 25th in clean pocket passer rating. If Daniels has time in the pocket in Week 1, McLaurin should have a boom game. Last year, Tampa Bay utilized single-high on 53.4% of their defensive snaps. Last year, against single-high, McLaurin had 1.96 YPRR and a 25.8% first-read share. McLaurin will line up against Jamel Dean (67.5% catch rate and 116.0 passer rating) and Zyon McCollum (60.2% catch rate and 91.5 passer rating) for most of the day. Last season, the Bucs allowed the eighth-most receiving yards and the ninth-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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63.
Stefon Diggs
WR - HOU (at IND)
How good will Diggs be in Houston? Another year older. Now, he is competing with two amazing young wide receivers for volume. Can he keep up? We're about to get these questions answered. His falloff in the second half of the last two seasons can't be ignored at this point. In Weeks 10-18 last year, Diggs finished as the WR45 or higher in weekly scoring only twice. During that stretch, he only had one game with more than 80 receiving yards while finishing as the WR52 in fantasy points per game. Ok, let's get to this Week 1 matchup with the Colts. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Last year, against single-high, Diggs had a 30% TPRR, 2.16 YPRR, and 0.103 FD/RR. In those three categories versus Collins and Dell, Diggs ranks second, third, and third. While he might post a solid stat line in Week 1 because all of those marks are still quite strong, it could be Collins and Dell leading the way. Diggs will see JuJu Brents (66.7% catch rate and 109.1 passer rating) and Jaylon Jones (54.4% catch rate and 106.6 passer rating) in coverage most of the game.
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64.
Zay Flowers
WR - BAL (at KC)
There will be plenty of matchups to be bullish regarding Flowers' outlook, but this isn't one of them. Last year, the Chiefs utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (67.8%). Flowers scorched single-high last season, but his numbers against two-high were pedestrian. Against this coverage type, he only garnered a 19.6% target share and a 20.2% air-yard share while producing 1.12 yards per route run with Mark Andrews in the lineup. Look for Andrews to lead the way this week as he dominates two-high matchups for Baltimore. Flowers will run about 69% of his routes against Trent McDuffie (63.3% catch rate and 95.5 passer rating) and Joshua Williams (41.1% catch rate and 74.4 passer rating). It's also possible Flowers draws shadow coverage from McDuffie.
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65.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
Godwin stumbled out of the gate last year, which led to his WR34 finish in fantasy points per game, but I think we need to focus more on how he ended the season. After Week 13, he turned up the heat, closing the season as the WR16 in fantasy points per game with a 28.7% target share, 83.6 receiving yards per game, 2.79 yards per route run, and 0.133 first downs per route run. That scorching hot conclusion to last year also coincided with his move back to the slot more (36.1% vs. 44%). Godwin should be the team's starting slot this year, which will benefit him. Dan Quinn likely utilizes single-high at a high rate this year after encompassing 64.9% and 57.1% of his defensive snaps over the last two years with Dallas. Last year in Weeks 14-18, against single high, Godwin led the team with 2.45 YPRR and 0.125 FD/RR and was second behind only Mike Evans in target share (19.1%) and first-read share (21.1%). Godwin will match up with rookie Mike Sainristill for most of Week 1. The floor and ceiling are high for Godwin to open this season.
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66.
Calvin Ridley
WR - TEN (at CHI)
We can't dance around this fact. Ridley was a disappointment last year in Fantasy Football, but hey, it's a new season and a chance for Ridley to reenter Fantasy GMs' good graces. He was the WR27 in fantasy points per game while also ranking as the WR14 in expected fantasy points per game. His market share numbers were passable (21.6% target share, 38% air-yard share), but his per-route efficiency was horrendous. Among 81 qualifying wide receivers, he was 44th in yards per route run and 42nd in first downs per route run. Last season, Chicago, in Weeks 11-18, was playing lights-out defense, and a large part of this was their move towards heavy Cover 3 and Cover 4 usage (56.7%). While they changed defensive coordinators this offseason, it's tough to see them change the model much this season. Last year, against Cover 3 and Cover 4, Ridley had a 25% target per route run rate (TPRR), 2.20 yards per route run (YPRR), and 0.100 first downs per route run (FD/RR). Ridley will see Tyrique Stevenson (65.5% catch rate and 100.4 passer rating) and Jaylon Johnson (50% catch rate and 33.3 passer rating) in coverage for most of the day.
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67.
Christian Kirk
WR - JAC (at MIA)
Kirk was on his way to a wonderful season last year before injury crushed it. In Weeks 2-12, Krik was the WR19 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 22.6% target share and 30.5% air-yard share, producing 2.31 YPRR and 0.101 FD/RR. He has a chance to pick up right where he left off in Week 1. If Lawrence rips the Fins secondary to shreds, Kirk should be a big part of the plan. Last year, in Weeks 1-12, on play-action passes, Kirk tied for the team lead with a 19.6% target share and was second in first-read share (21.8%). Miami was also torn to pieces by slot receivers, giving up the seventh-most receptions and the seventh-highest PPR points per target. Kirk should run circles around Kader Kohou (83.5% catch rate and 132.9 passer rating).
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68.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (at KC)
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69.
Diontae Johnson
WR - BAL (at KC)
Johnson should be the Panthers' clear WR1 this season. Last year, once he returned from injury in Week 7, he continued to gobble up targets like usual, ranking 14th in target share (23.7%), sixth in air-yard share (41.6%), and 20th in FD/RR (0.109). In that span, he was the WR33 in fantasy points per game. Last year, New Orleans utilized single-high on 53.9% of their defensive snaps. Among 85 qualifying receivers last season, Johnson ranked 19th in TPRR and 21st in YPRR against single-high. Johnson should line up across from Marshon Lattimore (58.7% catch rate and 77.9 passer rating) and Paulson Adebo (56.8% catch rate and 69.9 passer rating) for most of the game. Johnson is a volume-based WR3.
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70.
Jayden Reed
WR - GB (at PHI)
Reed had a wonderful rookie campaign, finishing with ten total touchdowns (fifth-most) and being the WR26 in fantasy points per game. He saw a 17.6% target share with only a 69.6% route participation as the Packers utilize a healthy dose of 12 and 21 personnel, thus limiting his weekly snap rate as the team's starting slot receiver. He did rank 21st in deep targets and 14th in red zone targets while also receiving a smattering of rushing work. The Eagles defense will likely deploy heavy Cover 3 and Cover 6 usage this year after Vic Fangio dialed it up on 59.7% of the Dolphins' defensive snaps last year. Last season, in Weeks 5-13, against Cover 3 and Cover 6, Reed only saw a 9.3% target share and 11% first-read share and produced 1.55 yards per route run. While all of those numbers are concerning, it does help Reed's case that the Eagles were ripped to shreds by slot receivers last season, allowing the most receptions, the 13th-highest PPR points per target, and the sixth-most receiving touchdowns to the position. I'm skeptical of those numbers repeating in 2024 with the team shoring up nickel this offseason, with the team drafting Cooper DeJean while also bringing back C.J. Gardner-Johnson.
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71.
Chase Brown
RB - CIN (vs . NE)
Brown should be heavily involved this season after working as a breather back last year. Last season, Brown was impressive on a per-touch basis, although the sample size is pretty limited (44 carries). Among 77 backs with at least 40 carries, Brown ranked 12th in yards after contact per attempt and 16th in missed tackles forced per attempt. The rushing matchup is tough for Brown, but he could exploit the Pats through the air. Last season, New England allowed the second-lowest explosive run rate and the LOWEST missed tackles per attempt and yards after contact per attempt. The Pats did give up the ninth-most receptions and the 13th-most receiving yards to backs last season. Among 67 qualifying backs last year, Brown ranked first in YPRR and FD/RR. Brown is flex-worthy in Week 1.
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72.
Christian Watson
WR - GB (at PHI)
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73.
Xavier Worthy
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
With Hollywood Brown sidelined Worthy should be a full-time player immediately in Week 1. When he was on the field in the preseason, the Chiefs looked to get him involved immediately as he logged a 31.5% target per route run rate while producing 3.26 yards per route run. Worthy could immediately explode in his first NFL game, but he has a tough task in front of him. Last year, Baltimore allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers. They were also particularly stingy to deep passing. Worthy had a 17.0 aDOT in the preseason, but it was such a small sample that we can't rush to pigeonhole him into just a field stretching role in this offense. If that is his role to start the season, though, he could find tough sledding this week against a defense that allowed the second-lowest adjusted completion rate and passer rating to deep passing. Worthy lined up in the slot on 52.6% of his preseason routes. If that holds, he will see Kyle Hamilton for most of the day (last year, he allowed only a 55.7% catch rate and 59.5 passer rating in slot coverage).
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74.
Tyjae Spears
RB - TEN (at CHI)
Spears lines up as a decent flex/RB3 for Week 1. He'll have to rely on his big play ability (which Spears can do), as the matchup is brutal. Last year, he was fifth in explosive run rate and 14th in yards after contact per attempt. He proved that he can be a matchup nightmare in the passing game as well, ranking seventh in target share, 10th in TPRR, and 17th in YPRR. With the rushing matchup looking like nightmare fuel for the Titans' backs, Spears could outscore Pollard in Week 1 if the team leans into his receiving chops. Last year, Chicago had the fifth-highest stuff rate while holding backs to the 11th-lowest yards after contact per attempt and third-lowest explosive run rate. The Bears were abysmal at stopping backs through the air, giving up the highest yards per reception, the second-most receptions, and the most receiving yards.
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75.
Trey McBride
TE - ARI (at BUF)
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76.
Keenan Allen
WR - CHI (vs . TEN)
Allen enters a new offensive system while attempting to build rapport with his rookie quarterback. He could become a trusted weapon for Caleb Williams immediately. Last year, he was WR3 in fantasy points per game, second in target share (30.7%), and 11th in yards per route run and first downs per route run. The target share will come down. The question is how much in 2024. Allen could lead the way against Tennessee in Week 1, as his numbers last year remained stellar against two-high. New defensive coordinator Dennard Wilson was the defensive backs coach for Baltimore last year. Last season, Baltimore utilized two-high coverage on 53.3% of their snaps (eighth-highest rate), which lines up well with Tennessee (53.6% last year, seventh-highest rate). Allen, against two high last season, had a 28% target per route run rate, 2.48 YPRR (10th-best), and 0.109 FD/RR (17th-best). Allen could out-target Moore in Week 1. Allen is dealing with a heel issue. He practiced in full on Friday, but he has been listed as questionable.
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77.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (at SEA)
Sutton will be the clear WR1 for the Broncos passing offense this year. Last year, he was the WR38 in fantasy points per game, which was largely fueled by touchdowns. Sutton had the 12th-most red zone targets, which he turned into the 10th-most total touchdowns among receivers. Outside of touchdowns, though, Sutton was very pedestrian. He was 39th in target share, 37th in yards per route run, 44th in receiving yards per game, and 38th in first downs per route run. With Mike Macdonald calling the defensive shots this season, I expect Seattle to move towards more two-high this season. Seattle, over the last two seasons, has featured this coverage with 44.4-44.7% of their defensive snaps. Baltimore utilized two high on 53.4% of their snaps last year (eighth-highest). The year prior, that mark was 50.2% for Baltimore. Last year, Sutton's numbers weren't great against two high with a 19% TPRR, 1.57 YPRR, and only 0.072 FD/RR. Sit Sutton if you can in Week 1. He'll see Tre Brown (63.8% catch rate and 94.1 passer rating) and Riq Woolen (62.1% catch rate and 81.1 passer rating) for most of the day.
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78.
Dalton Kincaid
TE - BUF (vs . ARI)
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79.
Austin Ekeler
RB - WAS (at TB)
This isn't a matchup to consider sneaking Ekeler into your flex. Even if we want to excuse Ekeler's 2023 performance, this is a brutal matchup on the ground and through the air for backs. Last year among 49 qualifying backs, Ekeler ranked 38th in yards after contact per attempt and 46th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Last year, Tampa Bay allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game while giving up the fifth-lowest missed tackles per attempt and the seventh-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Daniels isn't likely to check down much, as he will more likely take off running when his options downfield are covered. We should look to Ekeler's pass game involvement if on limited target volume when the matchup dictates that his efficiency with that work could see a matchup bump. That isn't the case here. Last year, Tampa Bay allowed the fourth-lowest yards per reception and the eighth-fewest receiving touchdowns to backs. Sit Ekeler.
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80.
George Kittle
TE - SF (vs . NYJ)
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81.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR - SEA (vs . DEN)
My disdain for Shane Waldron's usage of Smith-Njigba last year has been well-documented. No big deal. All he did was take a baller, a first-round pick, and turn him into Malachi Corley. He neutered him into a low aDOT screen merchant. Smith-Njigba was seventh in screen targets last season, with 52.3% of his target volume coming via screens. This is not the way. Ryan Grubb will change this. In the small sample, we got with Smith-Njigba as a perimeter wide receiver, he was very good. Among 81 qualifying wide receivers last season, when he was running routes on the perimeter, Smith-Njigba ranked 15th in YPRR and fourth in TPRR. Among 61 qualifying receivers with at least 40 perimeter targets, he also ranked 14th in FD/RR. Smith-Njigba did run 89.5% of his routes in the preseason from the slot, so I do still project him to be the team's slot with more perimeter time this season possible. Smith-Njigba could be leaned on this week if Metcalf draws shadow coverage from Surtain. Last year, Denver ranked 11th in single-high usage (55.8%). Last year against single-high, when Smith-Njigba was aligned outside against single-high, he posted a 28% TPRR and 1.97 YPRR, so there is some proof in the pudding that he can excel against single-high. Smith-Njigba should run circles around Ja'Quan McMillian (61.2% catch rate and 109.4 passer rating) from the slot in Week 1.
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82.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
Hopkins is dealing with a knee injury, but he's expected to play in Week 1, according to the latest reports I've read. He practiced on a limited basis all week and has been listed as questionable. Last year, he was the WR29 in fantasy points per game. With Will Levis under center last year (Weeks 8-15), he saw a 26.9% target share, a 46.1% air-yard share, and produced 2.40 yards per route run as the WR18 in fantasy points per game. Those market share numbers will drop some with Calvin Ridley in town. Hopkins was the only main show in town last season. Last season, Chicago, in Weeks 11-18, was playing lights-out defense, and a large part of this was their move towards heavy Cover 3 and Cover 4 usage (56.7%). While they changed defensive coordinators this offseason, it's tough to see them change the model much this season. Last year, against Cover 3 and Cover 4 with Levis under center, Hopkins had a 29.8% target share, 3.0 YPRR, a 37.6% first-read share, and 0.102 FD/RR. Hopkins will run about 79% of his routes against Tyrique Stevenson (65.5% catch rate and 100.4 passer rating) and Jaylon Johnson (50% catch rate and 33.3 passer rating)
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83.
Kyle Pitts
TE - ATL (vs . PIT)
I know you've heard this before, but the pain train stops here for Pitts. Disappointment szn is a thing of the past with Arthur Smith gone. We know Pitts wasn't fully healthy last year, but his usage with Smith was confounding. Pitts finished as the TE16 in fantasy points per game and the TE15 in expected fantasy points per game. Much of this can be attributed to his minuscule touchdown production (only three, 18th among TEs) and a non-existent red zone role (34th in red zone targets). Pitts still earned volume at a solid clip, ranking 13th in target share and 11th in first-read share, although his efficiency dipped (18th in yards per route run and first downs per route run). Pitts should produce a tasty stat line in Week 1 against a defense that allowed the second-highest PPR points per target and fifth-most receiving touchdowns to slot receivers last year (2023 Pitts' slot rate: 58.5%).
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84.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - FA (BYE)
Who will be the leading ball carrier for Dallas in 2024? Elliott? Rico Dowdle? Dalvin Cook? We shall see. Unless Jerry Jones is down on the field calling plays for Dallas, I will make my bets on the other backs in this backfield. Elliott looked like a back on his last legs last year. Last season, among 49 qualifying backs, he ranked 45th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 43rd in yards after contact per attempt. No bueno. The on-paper matchup for Dallas's backs is mouth-watering, but it's fair to question whether they have the juice to take advantage of it. Last year, Cleveland allowed the highest explosive run rate and missed tackles allowed per attempt while also giving up the second-highest yards after contact per attempt. Elliott is a touchdown-dependent flex dart throw.
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85.
Rome Odunze
WR - CHI (vs . TEN)
There should be no worries AT ALL about Odunze's talent, but he could get squeezed for targets this season surrounded by Moore and Allen. In his final season in college, Odunze ranked 18th in YPRR and 8th in PFF receiving grade. We still have no idea how much 11 personnel Chicago will run and who will be the starter opposite Moore when the team rolls into two wide sets. Odunze is a decent flex based on talent, but if at all possible I'm sitting him this week. We need to see what his role and snap share look like before tossing him into starting lineups. Odunze likely runs most of his routes on the perimeter against Chidobe Awuzie (67.9% catch rate and 112.8 passer rating) and L'Jarius Snead (52.5% catch rate and 66.6 passer rating).
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86.
Jaylen Warren
RB - PIT (at ATL)
Warren sounds like he is trending toward playing Week 1, but I'd monitor injury reports for the rest of the week. I'll update his status as we get more information. The Steelers could definitely use his explosive skill set against the Falcons. Last year, Warren ranked third in explosive run rate, first in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt. He was also 12th in yards per route run and fifth in targets per route run. While he was the RB29 in fantasy points per game last season, he also finished as an RB2 or better in weekly fantasy scoring in 50% of his games. Atlanta was a tough run defense to face last year with the sixth-highest stuff rate, the tenth-lowest missed tackles forced, and the ninth-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Warren is an RB3/flex.
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87.
Jameson Williams
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
We'll see if Jameson Williams can evolve into a high-end target earner, but last year's metrics don't point to that happening. Among 93 qualifying receivers last season, Williams was 62nd in target per route run rate, 55th in yards per route run, and 70th in first downs per route run. Last year, he only managed to surpass 60% of the snaps in four games, with only three games of at least six or more targets. He operated as a field stretcher, which could come in handy against the Rams. Last year, he was ninth in aDOT and now faces a Rams pass defense that allowed the third-most deep passing touchdowns and the fifth-most deep passing yards last year. Williams will see Cobie Durant (65.2% catch rate and 101.1 passer rating) and Tre'Davious White (60% catch rate and 80.6 passer rating) in coverage for most of the game.
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88.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR - JAC (at MIA)
At least for Week 1, we should follow the Gabriel Davis rule for Thomas Jr. With his 20.5 aDOT in limited preseason action, Thomas Jr. could easily just be a field-stretching option for the Jaguars this season. His downfield exploits in college at LSU were impressive, as he ranked 32nd in YPRR in his final season. His 14.2% TPRR in the preseason isn't great, but again, it is a 28-route sample that we have to work with. With these small tea leaves to piece together, it's wise to sit him in Week 1 against a pass defense that allowed the 11th-fewest passing touchdowns and the 12th-lowest passer rating to downfield passing last year.
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89.
Joshua Palmer
WR - LAC (vs . LV)
Palmer took his game to another level last year with Mike Williams out. In those contests, he garnered an 18.9% target share with a 31.4% air-yard share, producing 2.19 yards per route run and 71.1 receiving yards per game. It's not inconceivable that he is the Chargers WR1 this season with his rapport with Herbert. Last year, after Antonio Pierce took over as the Raiders head coach, they deployed single high coverage on 55.4% of their snaps. Against single-high last year, Palmer had a 21% TPRR, 2.22 YPRR, and 0.083 FD/RR. He should lead the way through the air against Las Vegas. Palmer will tangle with Jack Jones (60.6% catch rate and 68.1 passer rating) and Jakorian Bennett (65.6% catch rate and 102.3 passer rating) all day. Palmer is a strong flex play for Week 1.
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90.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - LAC (vs . LV)
The offseason talk around Dobbins has been positive. Unfortunately, he didn't play in the preseason, so it's all speculation right now regarding what he can bring to the table and his role this season. I would be shocked if he was given 15 or more carries out the gate. Last year, in Week 1, Dobbins tore his Achilles. I expect the Chargers to ease him in. Considering that and a tough rushing matchup, Dobbins is better off staying on your bench this week. The Raiders tightened up as a run defense after Antonio Pierce became the head coach last year, allowing the eighth-fewest rushing yards per game and the third-lowest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt.
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91.
Khalil Shakir
WR - BUF (vs . ARI)
After Week 7 last year, Shakir logged nine games in which he played at least 50% of the snaps. In those contests, he posted a strong 2.18 yards per route run with 0.085 first downs per route run, but he only managed to cultivate an 11% target share and 12% air-yard share. In that stretch among 84 qualifying receivers, he was 42nd in fantasy points per game. Last year, Arizona utilized two high at the second-highest rate (64.9%). In Weeks 8-18 last year, against two-high, Shakir saw similar production, with his target share only bumping to 11.8% and his YPRR sitting at 2.11. The matchup is in his favor against a pass defense that allowed the ninth-highest PPR points per target to slot wide receivers. Shakir will match up with Garrett Williams (72.4% catch rate and 85.7 passer rating) for most of the day. The floor isn't great for Shakir in Week 1, but he has some upside to consider as a flex play.
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92.
Jordan Addison
WR - MIN (at NYG)
Addison rode high last year because of touchdown luck. Yep, I said it. The rest of his target earning metrics were not close to the consensus perception because of his WR30 finish last year. Addison had the fourth-most receiving touchdowns last year behind only Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, and CeeDee Lamb. That's not recurring this year. Here's the gallon of cold water for the Addison hive. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked 46th in target share, 59th in targets per route run, 51st in yards per route run, and 58th in first downs per route run. What stat there gives hope that he will be more than a WR4 this season if touchdown regression hits? None. New Giants' defensive coordinator Shane Bowen, utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate last year (53.6%) with Tennessee. Against two-high last year, Addison's numbers are surprisingly strong with a 22% TPRR and 2.06 YPRR. Addison will run most of his routes against Nick McCloud (68.2% catch rate and 83.9 passer rating) and Deonte Banks (57.6% catch rate and 84.7 passer rating). Addison is a decent flex this week.
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93.
Rico Dowdle
RB - DAL (at CLE)
Dowdle is a McCarthy favorite who will compete with Ezekiel Elliott and Dalvin Cook to be the lead back for this offense. It's easily possible he is the best back on this roster, considering his current competition. Last year, among 53 qualifying backs, he ranked 16th in yards after contact per attempt while also having the 23rd lowest stuff rate. Dowdle is nothing more than a middle-of-the-road flex for Week 1 because we have no clue what the division of labor will be. The matchup is nice, though, so if you need a flex with some upside, I don't hate wedging Dowdle into lineups in a pinch. Last year, Cleveland allowed the highest explosive run rate and missed tackles allowed per attempt while also giving up the second-highest yards after contact per attempt.
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94.
Evan Engram
TE - JAC (at MIA)
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95.
Ladd McConkey
WR - LAC (vs . LV)
McConkey is slated to be the team's starting slot receiver. He has the talent to be the team's WR1 this season, but it's still questionable if he will play in two wide receiver sets and how much the Chargers will utilize 11 personnel. I could easily see McConkey being this year's Jayden Reed. A player that has his playing time capped because of the offense that he is in has to rely on touchdown run out and efficiency to hit in his rookie season. McConkey has the raw talent to do it. Last year at Georgia, McConkey was in the 98th percentile in receiving grade and receiving grade versus single coverage. He was also in the 91st percentile or higher in separation percentage and YPRR. He's a dicey flex for Week 1. McConkey will line up against Nate Hobbs (76.8% catch rate and 103.1 passer rating) for most of the game. After Antonio Pierce took over as the head coach, the Raiders allowed the 11th-fewest receiving touchdowns and the 14th-fewest receiving yards to slot receivers.
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96.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (vs . DEN)
Lockett continued his downward trend last year. His YPRR has dropped in each of the last three seasons, with last year's mark being his lowest since 2017. Last year, he managed a WR37 finish in fantasy points per game while ranking 40th in receiving yards per game and 36th in first downs per route run. Last year, Denver ranked 11th in single-high usage (55.8%). Last year, against single-high, Lockett had a 20.7% target share, 1.67 YPRR, a 25% first-read share, and 0.086 FD/RR. Lockett could remain the second option against single high this year behind Metcalf, but my money is on Smith-Njigba taking over that role. He practiced on a limited basis all week before getting upgraded to full on walkthrough Friday.
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97.
Gabe Davis
WR - JAC (at MIA)
The hard-fast rule with Gabriel Davis probably still applies for 2024 unless we see another evolution in his game. If the defense is pitiful at defending deep passing, then fire up Davis. Last year, he ranked 15th in deep targets and eighth in aDOT among wide receivers. Well, if Miami's defense continues last year's trend, this isn't a week to look to Davis for flex help. Last year, the Dolphins allowed the 11th-fewest passing touchdowns and the 12th-lowest passer rating to downfield passing. Sit Davis for Week 1.
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98.
Rashid Shaheed
WR - NO (vs . CAR)
Shaheed flashed a big-time upside last year. While he was the WR45 in fantasy points per game last season, he had five weeks of WR2 of better finishes in weekly scoring. Last year, he drew a 13.6% target share and 23.5% air-yard share while ranking 43rd in yards per route run and 45th in receiving yards per game out of 81 qualifying receivers. Shaheed operated as the field stretcher, ranking 10th in aDOT and 15th in deep targets. This isn't the matchup to likely roll Shaheed out there as a flex option. If he's the deep shot specialist again, Carolina will make it a point to shut those down with their two high coverage. Last year, the Panthers held passers to the third-fewest deep passing touchdowns and seventh-lowest deep completion rate.
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99.
Romeo Doubs
WR - GB (at PHI)
Doubs was the WR46 in fantasy points per game last year, which was influenced greatly by touchdowns. Last season, Doubs was fourth among wideouts in end zone target while also ranking seventh in receiving touchdowns (eight). His per-route efficiency metrics were not great by any stretch of the imagination. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he was 50th in target share, 57th in receiving yards per game, and 56th in yards per route run. Doubs, however, was one of Green Bay's go-to guys against Cover 3 and Cover 6, so there's some flex appeal hope for Week 1. The Eagles defense will likely deploy heavy Cover 3 and Cover 6 usage this year after Vic Fangio dialed it up on 59.7% of the Dolphins' defensive snaps last year. Last season, in Weeks 5-13, against Cover 3 and Cover 6, Doubs led the team with a 16.3% target share and a 19.5% first-read share while also sitting at second with a 32.9% air-yard share. He only produced 1.18 yards per route run, but if the volume is there this week, it might not matter much. Doubs will run about 84% of his routes against Darius Slay (64.3% catch rate and 84.3 passer rating) and rookie Quinyon Mitchell.
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100.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (vs . DAL)
Njoku took flight with Joe Flacco last year as the TE7 in fantasy. The worry is what he did with Cleveland's current starting quarterback. In the five games Watson played a full-time role, Njoku had a 15% target share with 1.23 yards per route run, 35.2 receiving yards per game, only one end zone target, and 0.035 first downs per route run. His 8.5 PPR points per game would have landed him as the TE17 last year. No matter how you slice it, that's nightmare fuel for Njoku. Sadly, it could be a quiet opener for Njoku against a defense that allowed the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game and the third-fewest receiving yards to tight ends last year.
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101.
Keon Coleman
WR - BUF (vs . ARI)
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102.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - LV (at LAC)
No, that's not a typo. Meyers was the WR24 in fantasy points per game last year. Yes, much of that was fueled by the fifth-most touchdowns among wide receivers, but it's not like Meyers is a slouch. He commanded a 19.9% target share with a 25.9% air-yard share while ranking 29th in FD/RR. Meyers is a low-end flex who will run about 71% of his routes against Asante Samuel Jr. (64.7% catch rate and 98.0 passer rating) and Kristian Fulton (72.5% catch rate and 129.3 passer rating).
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103.
Blake Corum
RB - LAR (at DET)
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104.
Jake Ferguson
TE - DAL (at CLE)
Ferguson finished last season as the TE10 in fantasy points per game. He was 17th in yards per route run and 15th in first downs per route run despite ranking tenth in receiving yards per game. Ferguson should swallow up target volume this season and finish again as a low-end TE1. This is a game where you should consider streaming options over him, though. Cleveland was a shutdown defense to tight ends last year. They allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game, the second-lowest yards per reception, and the fewest receiving yards to the position. Ferguson likely needs a touchdown this week to make you feel good about starting him.
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105.
Brandin Cooks
WR - DAL (at CLE)
Cooks was the WR43 in fantasy last year. In Weeks 6-18 last year, among 83 qualifying receivers, Cooks ranked 45th in receiving yards per game, 61st in target share, 57th in yards per route run, and 44th in first downs per route run. In Week 1, he faces a Browns' secondary that led the NFL in single-high usage last year (65.4%). Against single-high last year, Cooks had a 16.3% target share, 1.79 YPRR, and 0.087 FD/RR. None of these metrics are awe-inspiring. Cooks is a sit for Week 1 that will run about 64% of his routes against Denzel Ward (51.5% catch rate and 77.3 passer rating) and Martin Emerson Jr. (49.3% catch rate and 53.3 passer rating).
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106.
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB - DEN (at SEA)
King Jaleel is READY TO BE UNLEASHED! I've been talking about the Broncos passing down back since January. I can't wait to see him crush in this role in Sean Payton's offense. Last year, he was a magician on a per-touch basis, ranking 14th in explosive run rate, fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt, fourth in yards after contact per attempt, and fourth in yards per route run. Payton has been as consistent as they come with featuring his back in the passing game. This will continue in 2024. Over the last nine seasons, Payton has coordinated an NFL offense; he has never finished lower than fourth in targets to the running back position. The Seahawks were among the worst run defenses in the NFL last year, allowing the second-highest rushing yards per game, the third-highest explosive run rate, and the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt. They also allowed the 10th-highest yards per reception and the ninth-most receiving yards to backs. McLaughlin is flex-worthy in Week 1 (especially in PPR leagues).
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107.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - CLE (vs . DAL)
Jeudy has been all hope and hype to this point in his career and has little on-field production to justify it. Yes, he had a 2022 campaign, but the other three years of his career have been lackluster. Last season, he was the WR55 in fantasy points per game. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he was 40th in target share, 42nd in YPRR, 46th in receiving yards per game, and 64th in FD/RR. He draws a tough matchup in Week 1 against a Dallas secondary that allowed the fourth-fewest receiving yards and PPR points per target to slot receivers last year. Jeudy will have to contend with Jourdan Lewis (67.6% catch rate and 105.1 passer rating) all day.
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108.
Curtis Samuel
WR - BUF (vs . ARI)
Samuel has been practicing on a limited basis. Currently, he is likely to suit up for Week 1. The last time he was in a Joe Brady offense, he finished as the WR27 in fantasy points per game. Last year, sadly, he was the WR48 in fantasy points per game with a 14.7% target share and 1.60 YPRR. I wouldn't be shocked if Samuel was utilized more on the perimeter this season, considering his performance out wide over the last two seasons. Last year, from the perimeter, among 109 qualifying receivers, he ranked 30th in yards per route run (2.12). The year prior, he posted a 1.84 yards per route run mark from the outside. Last year, Arizona utilized two high at the second-highest rate (64.9%). Against two high last year, Samuel had a 22% TPRR, 1.62 YPRR, and 0.062 FD/RR. These numbers are not amazing, but his overall profile last year was depressed by the struggling quarterback play of Sam Howell. Samuel is a solid flex for Week 1.
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109.
Taysom Hill
QB,TE - NO (vs . CAR)
Hill is the ultimate wildcard at tight end. He finished last year as the TE15, but that doesn't really convey how valuable he was in fantasy. Hill managed seven outings where he was a top-10 fantasy tight end (TE6, TE6, TE3, TE6, TE6, TE10, TE8). He contributed in the passing game and on the ground with 692 total yards from scrimmage with six touchdowns. Hill will play a Swiss army knife role again for New Orleans in 2024. If you need a dice roll any week that could finish with TE1 numbers, Hill is your guy.
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110.
Ty Chandler
RB - MIN (at NYG)
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111.
Tyler Allgeier
RB - ATL (vs . PIT)
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112.
Darnell Mooney
WR - ATL (vs . PIT)
Mooney is coming off a horrific season where he was the WR86 in fantasy. In 15 games played last year, he only managed two weekly finishes inside the top 36 wide receivers. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked 70th in target share and 74th in yards per route run and first downs per route run. Last season, the Steelers had the fourth-highest single-high rate in the NFL (62.8%). Mooney was passable but not electric against single high in 2023 with a 15% target share, 1.21 yards per route run, and a 20.4% first-read share. Mooney will see Donte Jackson (66.2% catch rate and 111.1 passer rating) and Joey Porter Jr. (47.4% catch rate and 69.6 passer rating) in coverage for most of the day.
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113.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI (vs . GB)
Goedert missed time again last year after suffering a broken arm in Week 10. Overall, he was the TE12 in fantasy points per game, ranking 11th in target share, 13th in receiving yards per game, and 15th in first downs per route run. If the new Packer's defensive coordinator flips the scheme to more two-high, Goedert could have a busy week. Last year, in his 14 games played against two-high, Goedert had an 18.2% target share, 1.49 yards per route run, and a 22.8% first-read share. Last year, Green Bay was 15th in receiving yards allowed to tight ends while surrendering the fifth-most receiving touchdowns.
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114.
Mike Williams
WR - PIT (at ATL)
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115.
Zach Charbonnet
RB - SEA (vs . DEN)
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116.
Brock Bowers
TE - LV (at LAC)
Brock Bowers enters the NFL as one of the best tight-end prospects of recent memory. Across his three collegiate seasons, he never finished lower than sixth in receiving grade or yards per route run (per PFF). We'll see what his route share is out the gate with Michael Mayer still here. Bowers should compete with Jakobi Meyers for the second spot in the target pecking order this season. Bowers could return TE1 numbers immediately, but I'm a little more skeptical than many others. The matchup is okay but not amazing. Last year, the Bolts ranked 19th in fantasy points per game and 14th in yards per reception allowed to tight ends.
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117.
Khalil Herbert
RB - CIN (vs . NE)
As good as Herbert was last year on a per-touch basis, Chicago was reluctant to commit to him as the clear lead guy all year. Last season, he ranked 12th in explosive run rate and ninth in missed tackles forced per attempt. In the eight games he played at least 43% of the snaps last season, he averaged 14 touches and 77.8 total yards.With Swift on the roster, Herbert should be best viewed as his direct backup with some stand alone value. This isn't the week to attempt to get cute and play him as a flex though against a Titans' defense that allowed the fifth-lowest explosive run rate, the fourth-fewest rushing touchdowns, and the 13th-lowest missed tackles last season.
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118.
Dalton Schultz
TE - HOU (at IND)
There are only so many targets to go around weekly. If anyone is likely to get squeezed throughout the season in Houston's passing attack, it's Schultz. Schultz was the TE11 in fantasy last year. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, he ranked 15th in target share, 11th in receiving yards per game, 14th in yards per route run, and 11th in first downs per route run. This matchup with Indy doesn't bode well for him, either. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Last year, against single-high, Schultz had a 19% TPRR, 1.53 YPRR, and 0.089 FD/RR. None of these metrics are terrible, but they are all significantly behind the top three wideouts on this team. Also, add in that Mixon has a good matchup through the air, and Schultz could be the distant fifth option in the passing game in Week 1. Last year, Indy allowed the tenth-lowest yards per reception and the second-fewest receiving touchdowns to tight ends.
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119.
DeMario Douglas
WR - NE (at CIN)
Douglas is the only Patriots' wide receiver I feel good about possibly plugging into a lineup in Week 1. We still don't know the rotation of the receivers on the outside, but Douglas should have no concerns as the team's starting slot. Last year, in the eight games Douglas played at least 50% of the snaps, he commanded a team-leading 20.8% target share and 24.4% first read share. He was a WR3 or better in weekly fantasy scoring in five of those eight games. Last year Cincy had the sixth-highest single-high rate (59.8%). In that eight-game sample, against single-high, Douglas managed a 22.5% target share with 1.98 YPRR and a 23.2% first-read share. Encouraging numbers, no doubt. The good vibes continue when we look at the matchup for Douglas. Last year, the Bengals gave up the third-highest receiving touchdowns and the fifth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers. Douglas will run about 67% of his routes against Mike Hilton (72.7% catch rate and 78.5 passer rating).
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120.
Adam Thielen
WR - CAR (at NO)
Thielen has to prove in 2024 that he still has something left in the tank before I'm willing to slide him into a fantasy lineup. Last year, after Week 8, he faded badly. In Weeks 9-18, Thielen surpassed 80 receiving yards only once, as he averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game with 1.29 YPRR. Thielen is a sit and not worthy of a roster spot right now in most conventional fantasy leagues.
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121.
Pat Freiermuth
TE - PIT (at ATL)
Last year wasn't exactly the type of season anyone hoped for, Freiermuth. He finished as the TE27 in fantasy points per game before a hamstring issue derailed his season. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, Freiermuth ranked 23rd in target share, 34th in yards per route run, and 28th in first downs per route run. The hope candle has been lit again for the 2024 season, but I have my worries. We have all seen what Arthur Smith does with player usage. I won't rule out Darnell Washington cutting into Freiermuth's snaps and routes more than anyone wants to see. If Freiermuth retains an every-down role, the matchup is nice for Week 1. With Raheem Morris at the controls for the Falcons' defense, we should expect a heavy dose of Cover 3 and Cover 4. Over the last two years, Morris has utilized these two coverages on 57.9-59.5% of defensive snaps. Last year against Cover 3 and Cover 4, when Freiermuth was healthy, he saw a 12% target share and 14.2% first read share producing 1.25 yards per route run. None of these numbers are amazing, but Morris's defense could be vulnerable to tight ends in 2024. The Falcons have upgraded their defense this offseason, but they still surrendered the fourth-most receptions and receiving yards to tight ends last year.
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122.
Dontayvion Wicks
WR - GB (at PHI)
Wicks has gained hype and a hive following this offseason. I won't say it isn't deserved because he was ridiculous on a per-route basis last season. Last year, among 81 qualifying receivers, he was 37th in target per route run rate, 17th in yards per route run, and 13th in first downs per route run. The problem for Wicks is that he still projects as a part-time player only and the WR4 on this depth chart. In Weeks 5-13 last season, with Watson healthy, Wicks was fourth on the team with only a 30.3% route per dropback rate. For what it's worth, Wicks was strong (in a VERY limited sample) against Cover 3 and Cover 6 (only 35 routes) with a 29% target per route run rate and 4.51 yards per route run. I wouldn't be trotting Wicks out in lineups in Week 1, as he might only run a handful of routes, but if you're in a DEEP league and need the flex upside, I get it. Wicks is still best viewed as a stash and not a flex play at this point.
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123.
Antonio Gibson
RB - NE (at CIN)
Gibson is a stash/handcuff. It's too dicey to plug him into a starting lineup in Week 1 until we see how New England divides up the workload. I will say, though, that Gibson was impressive on a per-touch basis last season, ranking first in missed tackles forced per attempt and eighth in yards after contact per attempt. While consensus is down on the Patriots' offense this year, Gibson is a strong end-of-the-bench bet.
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124.
Andrei Iosivas
WR - CIN (vs . NE)
Iosivas will open this year as the Bengals' starting slot and WR3. Iosivas flashed late last year when called upon to step into a starting role. In Weeks 16 and 18, Iosivas played at least 70% of snaps while drawing a 21.4% target share, a 35.5% air-yard share, and a 19.2% first-read share. He produced an eye-popping 0.121 FD/RR. It's a very small sample, but it had to be mentioned. Last year, New England was seventh in single high rate (59.7%). Last season against single-high, Iosivas had a 22% TPRR and only 1.09 YPRR. Iosivas could be moved from the slot to the perimeter if Higgins is out or limited which at this point looks likely. If that comes to fruition, he'll line up against Christian Gonzalez (66.7% catch rate and 67.5 passer rating) and Jonathan Jones (57.4% catch rate and 86.0 passer rating) for most of the game. Iosivas is a decent flex play in Week 1.
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125.
Adonai Mitchell
WR - IND (vs . HOU)
With Downs out, Mitchell will be starting in three wide receiver sets and running from the slot. In the preseason, while logging a 26% TPRR and 1.26 YPRR, Mitchell lined up in the slot on 69.6% of his routes. I wasn't high on Mitchell as a prospect after he ranked outside the top 96 FBS wide receivers in YPRR, PFF receiving grade, and yards after the catch per reception (minimum 50 targets) in his final collegiate season. Mitchell will face Jimmie Ward (81.2% catch rate and 69.3 passer rating) for most of the game.
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126.
Michael Wilson
WR - ARI (at BUF)
Last year, in the 12 games Wilson played at least 69% of the snaps, he commanded a 13.5% target share and 25.5% air-yard share, producing 1.37 YPRR and 8.8 fantasy points per game. Overall, he was the WR57 in fantasy points per game with three games inside the top-24 wideouts in weekly scoring. Last year, Buffalo utilized two high at the third-highest rate (58.6%). In the games where he saw a full-time snap share against two high, Wilson saw his YPRR climb to 1.66, and his fantasy points per route run sit at 0.40. Among 75 qualifying wide receivers last year, against two-high, those marks ranked 35th and 34th. Wilson is a viable flex in Week 1 who will run about 74% of his routes against Rasul Douglas (66.3% catch rate and 73.1 passer rating) and Christian Benford (68.9% catch rate and 87.1 passer rating).
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127.
Rashod Bateman
WR - BAL (at KC)
Bateman is the sneaky flex play in this game. Last year, his overall numbers weren't great, but he was extremely effective against two-high coverage. Last year, the Chiefs utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (67.8%). Against two-high, Bateman had an 18% target per route run rate, which was only a small tick behind Flowers (19%), but Bateman produced 1.82 yards per route run while also ranking second on the team against two-high with 0.34 fantasy points per route run. With a strong total and a close (ish) spread, there will be scoring in this game, and if Baltimore can keep up their end of that bargain, Bateman should be part of the scoring onslaught. He will run most of his routes on the boundary against Trent McDuffie (63.3% catch rate and 95.5 passer rating) and Joshua Williams (41.1% catch rate and 74.4 passer rating).
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128.
Ja'Lynn Polk
WR - NE (at CIN)
Polk is currently listed as a backup on various depth charts, so it's tough to consider starting him in Week 1. We have no clue what his route and snap shares will look like. New England looks to be pushing the crusty veterans on their depth chart to the front of the line and making the rookies earn it. It's not an approach I would take, but hey, what do I know? I would sit Polk in all formats for Week 1. Last year, Cincy allowed the eighth-fewest receiving touchdowns to perimeter wide receivers while ranking 17th in PPR points per target.
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129.
Ray Davis
RB - BUF (vs . ARI)
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130.
Trey Benson
RB - ARI (at BUF)
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131.
Hunter Henry
TE - NE (at CIN)
Henry is banged up, but he may play in Week 1. He dealt with ankle and knee issues last year as well. Henry had ten games last year where he was able to play at least 70% of the snaps. In that sample, he finished as a TE1 in 50% of his games while drawing a 15.2% target share with 1.35 yards per route run and 35.7 receiving yards per game. He averaged 10.8 fantasy points per game. The interesting takeaway in that sample was that among 41 qualifying tight ends, he ranked seventh in first downs per route run and that fantasy points per game mark would have made him TE8 in fantasy if he had kept up the pace all year. Henry has a wonderful matchup for Week 1 if you're in need of a streamer in deep leagues. Last year, the Bengals allowed the most receptions, the third-most receiving yards, and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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132.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - LAR (at DET)
Robinson was on fire to close last season. In Weeks 13-18, he went on a tear ranking (among 109 qualifying receivers), 36th in YPRR, 28th in FD/RR, and 26th in fantasy points per route run. In those six weeks, Robinson was the WR31 in fantasy points per game. This isn't the game to look to flex him, though. Last year, Detroit utilized single-high on 54.3% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, over the final six games of last year, Robinson had a 16.1% target share, 1.58 YPRR, a 16.1% first-read share, and 0.089 FD/RR. Robinson was the distant third option against single-high. Kupp and Nacua will lead the way and soak up a ton of volume. Robinson will run about 76% of his routes against Carlton Davis (63.3% catch rate and 102.5 passer rating) and rookie Terrion Arnold.
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133.
Tyler Conklin
TE - NYJ (at SF)
Conklin was the TE21 in fantasy points per game last year. He lived in the TE2 efficiency market, too, ranking 18th in target share, 16th in receiving yards per game, and 21st in YPRR. There will be weeks to consider streaming Conklin with Rodgers under center, but this isn't one of them. Last year, the 49ers allowed the seventh-lowest yards per reception, the 12th-lowest catch rate, and the second-fewest receiving touchdowns to tight ends.
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134.
Cade Otton
TE - TB (vs . WAS)
Otton was a weekly streaming possibility last year as the TE23 in fantasy points per game. He managed four TE1 performances last year. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, he ranked 27th in target share, 26th in receiving yards per game, and 46th in YPRR. Sadly, this isn't a week to consider Otton for your starting lineups. Last year, Washington was tough against tight ends, allowing the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game and the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game.
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135.
Jamaal Williams
RB - NO (vs . CAR)
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136.
Luke Musgrave
TE - GB (at PHI)
The Packers' room is a mess until we see their in-season usage in 2024. Will they split routes and snaps this year? Will Musgrave reassume his clear starting role, or did Tucker Kraft do enough last year to eat into his playing or supplant him? With Kraft dealing with a torn pectoral this offseason, I doubt he will supplant him immediately, but I won't rule it out during the season. Musgrave gets a small boost this week as Tucker Kraft is dealing with a back issue (listed as questionable for the game). Last year, in Weeks 1-10, he was the TE22 in fantasy points per game. During that stretch, among 31 qualifying tight ends, he was 21st in target share (13.0%), 15th in yards per route run (1.48), 19th in receiving yards per game (34.8), and 21st in first downs per route run (0.057). The matchup against Philly isn't great. Last year, they were 17th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends. While they did give up the tenth-most receptions to the position, they also permitted the 12th-lowest yards per reception.
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137.
Bucky Irving
RB - TB (vs . WAS)
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138.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (vs . TEN)
It might be time to panic if you drafted Kmet or have plans that he will be a top 12-15 fantasy tight end this season. Yes, last year, he was the TE9 in fantasy points per game. Last season, among 51 qualifying tight ends, Kmet ranked 12th in target share, seventh in yards per route run, and 10th in first downs per route run. He was the clear second option in the passing game. That WILL NOT happen in 2024 if everyone stays healthy. In the preseason, he only ran a route on 35% of Caleb Williams' pass attempts as Gerald Everett got involved. Even if you want to ignore that, his matchup is brutal for Week 1. Last year, Tennessee allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the second-fewest receiving touchdowns to tight ends. Sit Kmet.
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139.
Noah Fant
TE - SEA (vs . DEN)
Last year, Fant was locked into a tight-end committee situation, but he should be the primary tight end this season. Last year, Fant was the TE36 in fantasy points per game with a 14% TPRR, 1.38 YPRR, and 0.054 FD/RR. None of those metrics scream STREAM ME IN WEEK 1, but the matchup is pretty good as Denver bled out production to tight ends last year, allowing the seventh-highest yards per reception and the most receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. Fant is a low-end streaming option in deep leagues this week.
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140.
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR - NYG (vs . MIN)
Once Robinson was a full-time player again in the Giants' offense, he was the WR55 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 17% target share with 1.37 YPRR and a 21.2% first-read share. He managed five weeks as a WR3 or better in weekly scoring. Minnesota had the sixth-highest rate of two-high last year (55.5%). In those 14 games, Robinson was integrated back into the offense against two high; he had a 16.1% target share, 1.12 YPRR, and a 22.4% first-read share (led the team). The Giants looked to him first against this coverage type. He won't be the first-line weapon this year with Nabers in town, but I do expect him to be involved heavily. The matchup in the slot against Byron Murphy (in slot coverage last year: 68.9% catch rate and 124.1 passer rating) is also a nice one. If you are struggling in a DEEP league, Robinson is a flex worthy. Last year, Minny allowed the 11th-most receiving yards and the 11th-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
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141.
Tyler Boyd
WR - TEN (at CHI)
Last year, Boyd limped to a WR59 finish in fantasy points per game. He managed to draw only a 15.1% target share with 39.2 receiving yards per game, 1.28 yards per route run, and a 17.6% first-read share. He's a deep league flex only for Week 1. Last season, Chicago, in Weeks 11-18, was playing lights-out defense, and a large part of this was their move towards heavy Cover 3 and Cover 4 usage (56.7%). Last year, against Cover 3 and Cover 4, Boyd had an 18% TPRR, 1.51 YPRR, and 0.053 FD/RR. None of these metrics inspire confidence against the Bears. Sit Boyd Week 1.
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142.
Alexander Mattison
RB - LV (at LAC)
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143.
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR - DEN (at SEA)
Mims was a rookie season flop. He finished as the WR91 in fantasy points per game, eclipsing a 50% snap rate only twice. His per-route numbers weren't great either, as he had a 14% TPRR, 1.50 YPRR, and 0.038 FD/RR. Baltimore utilized two high on 53.4% of their snaps last year (eighth-highest). With Mike MacDonald in Seattle now, I expect similar coverage usage this season. Against two high, Mims per route numbers were even worse with a 12% TPRR, 1,50 YPRR, and 0.034 FD/RR. Add on that Seattle allowed the third-fewest receiving touchdowns to slots last year while ranking 18th in PPR points per target, and Mims is a must-sit.
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144.
Jonnu Smith
TE - MIA (vs . JAC)
Smith could walk out of Week 1 with a TE1-worthy stat line. He was a target of mine in the later rounds of plenty of best-ball drafts this offseason. Last year, among 43 qualifying tight ends, he was 17th in receiving yards per game, 11th in yards per route run, and fifth in missed tackles forced per reception. He could be the WR3 for Tua Tagovailoa this year. He faces a Jacksonville defense that gave up the fifth-most fantasy points per game, the highest yards per reception, and the ninth-most receiving yards to tight ends last year. If you need a tight-end streamer for Week 1, Smith makes a ton of sense.
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145.
Jalen McMillan
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
I wasn't high on McMillan as a prospect, but he played well in the preseason. He has a glorious matchup in Week 1. This preseason, he had a 37.5% TPRR while ranking 13th in receiving grade and 11th in YPRR. The entire Washington secondary was in shambles last year, and it doesn't look much better entering Week 1. McMillan will see Benjamin St. Juste (68% catch rate and 102.9 passer rating) and Michael Davis (65.5% catch rate and 119.8 passer rating) in coverage for most of the day. Washington allowed the most receiving yards and fantasy points per game to wide receivers last year.
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146.
Colby Parkinson
TE - LAR (at DET)
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147.
Juwan Johnson
TE - NO (vs . CAR)
Last year, Johnson was the TE18 in fantasy points per game. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, he was 19th in target share (13.6%), 30th in YPRR, and 17th in FD/RR. He'll have plenty of streamable matchups this season, but this isn't one of them. Overall, Carolina allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game and the fourth-lowest receiving yards to tight ends. The Panthers also held slot tight ends (Johnson, 57.2% slot) to the second-fewest fantasy points. Sit Johnson.
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148.
Greg Dortch
WR - ARI (at BUF)
Last year, in Weeks 11-18, Dortch assumed a starting role-playing at least 65% of the snaps weekly, seeing a 15.7% target share and 15.1% first-read share with 1.42 YPRR as the WR49 in fantasy. Last year, Buffalo utilized two high at the third-highest rate (58.6%). In the games where he saw a full-time snap share against two high, Dortch saw his target share dip to 11.8% and his YPRR fall to 1.08. This interesting wrinkle is that during his starting stretch, he played 76.5% of his snaps on the perimeter. Dortch should be the team's starting slot this year so that the outside usage could have contributed to the dip in his production. Dortch is a decent (but not standout) deep league flex who will see Taron Johnson (76.5% catch rate and 104.9 passer rating) in coverage most of the day. Last year, Buffalo allowed the fifth-most receptions to slot receivers while also ranking 17th in PPR points per target and 18th in receiving yards allowed to the position.
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149.
Samaje Perine
RB - KC (vs . BAL)
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150.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (at KC)
Hill is an interesting deep league/desperation flex play for Week 1. While Derrick Henry will shoulder much of the backfield load for 2024, we are still unsure how much Hill will play. Hill could be passing down back or seeing the field more when the team is trailing. We just don't know. While the spread is tight and doesn't foreshadow Baltimore getting buried in this game, the matchup is too juicy to disregard Hill this week totally. Hill proved capable of ripping off chunk plays last year, ranking 23rd in missed tackles forced per attempt and 20th in explosive run rate. 52.4% of his runs were on zone plays, where he had the third-highest yards per carry on zone runs (5.8). The Chiefs allowed the tenth-highest explosive run rate and the 13th-highest yards after contact per attempt last year. Even if Hill only gets a handful of touches in this game, it only takes one big play for him to pay off.
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151.
Zach Ertz
TE - WAS (at TB)
Yes, I know you were looking for Ben Sinnott, aka the Lawmaker here. I'd love to write up Sinnott as a Week 1 play, but I have no clue what his snap share and routes per dropback rate will be. Just because I'm avoiding him here means he's likely to score a touchdown this week. Now that I got that out of the way, I'm going to puke after saying this, but Ertz is a good streaming option for Week 1. Last year, he looked every bit like the player you'd think is on the back nine of his career. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, he did rank tenth in target share but was also 39th in YPRR and 40th in FD/RR. Ertz is a volume and matchup play. Last year, Tampa Bay was ripped apart by tight ends giving up the second-most receiving yards, the 11th-highest yards per reception, and the third-most fantasy points per game.
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152.
Miles Sanders
RB - CAR (at NO)
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153.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (vs . MIN)
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154.
Isaiah Likely
TE - BAL (at KC)
In Weeks 12-18, Likely was third on the team in target share (14%) and yards per route run (1.52) against two-high. With Andrews back in the fold, Likely will still be involved, but he probably won't be a top-three option in the passing attack in Week 1. Park Likely on the bench this week against a defense that allowed the ninth-fewest receiving yards and the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends last year.
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155.
Jordan Mason
RB - SF (vs . NYJ)
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156.
Chig Okonkwo
TE - TEN (at CHI)
Okonkwo was the offseason tight end late-round darling last year. He failed to live up to the hype and hope last year. Despite that fact, he should be viewed as the Titans' clear starter at the position for this year. In Week 3 of the preseason with Will Levis under center, he logged a 72% snap rate and an 87.5% route per dropback rate. Last season, Okonkwo was the TE26 in fantasy points per game with a 15% target share, 1.47 YPRR, 0.069 FD/RR, and a 15.5% first-read share. He wasn't a huge part of their red zone offense, with only six looks all year (27th). That could change this season. Oknokwo could get off to a solid start in Week 1 against a Bears' defense that allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to slot tight ends last year (Okonkwo 57.5% slot in 2023) and the fourth-most receptions and sixth-most receiving touchdowns to tight ends overall. If you're looking for a tight end to stream in Week 1, Okonkwo makes a ton of sense.
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157.
Tank Bigsby
RB - JAC (at MIA)
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158.
D'Onta Foreman
RB - CLE (vs . DAL)
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159.
Josh Reynolds
WR - JAC (at MIA)
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160.
Xavier Legette
WR - CAR (at NO)
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161.
Quentin Johnston
WR - LAC (vs . LV)
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162.
Greg Dulcich
TE - NYG (vs . MIN)
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163.
Mike Gesicki
TE - CIN (vs . NE)
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164.
Jahan Dotson
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
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165.
Tucker Kraft
TE - GB (at PHI)
Last year, Kraft assumed the starting tight end role in Week 12 and was the TE12 in fantasy points per game for the final seven games of the season. During his tenure as the starter, among 37 qualifying tight ends, he was 21st in target share (14.2%), 19th in yards per route run (1.59), and 12th in receiving yards per game and first downs per route run. Last year, the Eagles were 17th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends. While they did give up the tenth-most receptions to the position, they also permitted the 12th-lowest yards per reception. Kraft is a fine, deep league stash, but it's impossible to plug him into a lineup in Week 1. Kraft is dealing with a back issue after only getting in a limited practice session on Wednesday. He has been listed as questionable. This gives a boost to Luke Musgrave.
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166.
Jalen Tolbert
WR - DAL (at CLE)
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167.
Jalin Hyatt
WR - NYG (vs . MIN)
Hyatt's not on the deep league flex radar this week. Minnesota had the sixth-highest rate of two-high last year (55.5%). Last season against two-high, Hyatt had an 8% TPRR and a woeful 0.81 YPRR. That's not good, Bob. Even if we take that out of the equation, I don't know if Jones will have time in the pocket to fire it deep to Hyatt. Hyatt led all receivers with a 21.0 aDOT last season.
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168.
Braelon Allen
RB - NYJ (at SF)
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169.
Van Jefferson
WR - PIT (at ATL)
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170.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB - NYG (vs . MIN)
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171.
Kenneth Gainwell
RB - PHI (vs . GB)
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172.
Michael Mayer
TE - LV (at LAC)
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173.
Alec Pierce
WR - IND (vs . HOU)
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174.
Elijah Moore
WR - CLE (vs . DAL)
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175.
Dameon Pierce
RB - HOU (at IND)
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176.
Luke McCaffrey
WR - WAS (at TB)
Well, well, well. Look at that. McCaffrey is now projected to be a starter in two wide receiver sets for Washington. McCaffrey has been a crush of mine since I watched him at the Senior Bowl in Mobile (shout out to Jim Nagy). McCaffrey could hit the ground running in Week 1 against a team that utilized zone coverage on 73.9% of their defensive snaps last year. Last year against zone among 111 qualifying FBS wide receivers, he ranked sixth in receiving grade and 28th in YPRR against zone. If McCaffrey is lining up on the perimeter for most of the game, he'll see Jamel Dean (67.5% catch rate and 116.0 passer rating) and Zyon McCollum (60.2% catch rate and 91.5 passer rating) in coverage. McCaffrey is a fine deep-league flex.
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177.
Ben Sinnott
TE - WAS (at TB)
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178.
Ja'Tavion Sanders
TE - CAR (at NO)
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179.
Jermaine Burton
WR - CIN (vs . NE)
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180.
K.J. Osborn
WR - WAS (at TB)
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181.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . ARI)
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182.
Gerald Everett
TE - CHI (vs . TEN)
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183.
Emanuel Wilson
RB - GB (at PHI)
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184.
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB - PIT (at ATL)
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185.
Audric Estime
RB - DEN (at SEA)
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186.
Nelson Agholor
WR - BAL (at KC)
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187.
Tre Tucker
WR - LV (at LAC)
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188.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB - CLE (vs . DAL)
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189.
Allen Lazard
WR - NYJ (at SF)
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190.
Trey Sermon
RB - IND (vs . HOU)
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191.
Will Shipley
RB - PHI (vs . GB)
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192.
Jonathan Mingo
WR - DAL (at CLE)
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193.
Jauan Jennings
WR - SF (vs . NYJ)
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194.
Malachi Corley
WR - NYJ (at SF)
|
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195.
Eric Gray
RB - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
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196.
Dyami Brown
WR - WAS (at TB)
|
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197.
Noah Brown
WR - WAS (at TB)
|
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198.
Cedric Tillman
WR - CLE (vs . DAL)
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199.
Trey Palmer
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
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200.
D'Ernest Johnson
RB - JAC (at MIA)
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201.
Deuce Vaughn
RB - DAL (at CLE)
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202.
Carson Steele
RB - KC (vs . BAL)
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203.
Ty Johnson
RB - BUF (vs . ARI)
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204.
Treylon Burks
WR - TEN (at CHI)
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205.
Emari Demercado
RB - ARI (at BUF)
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206.
Isaac Guerendo
RB - SF (vs . NYJ)
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207.
Jacob Cowing
WR - SF (vs . NYJ)
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208.
Kalif Raymond
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
|
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209.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB - MIA (vs . JAC)
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210.
Ronnie Rivers
RB - LAR (at DET)
|
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211.
Isaiah Davis
RB - NYJ (at SF)
|
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212.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
WR - ATL (vs . PIT)
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213.
Kylen Granson
TE - IND (vs . HOU)
|
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214.
Hayden Hurst
TE - LAC (vs . LV)
|
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215.
Dalvin Cook
RB - FA (BYE)
|
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216.
Evan Hull
RB - PIT (at ATL)
|
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217.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB - WAS (at TB)
|
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218.
Johnny Mundt
TE - MIN (at NYG)
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219.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - LV (at LAC)
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220.
Theo Johnson
TE - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
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221.
Michael Carter
RB - ARI (at BUF)
|
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222.
Xavier Gipson
WR - NYJ (at SF)
|
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223.
Craig Reynolds
RB - DET (vs . LAR)
|
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224.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - ARI (at BUF)
|
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225.
Daniel Bellinger
TE - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
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226.
Will Dissly
TE - LAC (vs . LV)
|
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227.
Trenton Irwin
WR - FA (BYE)
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228.
Roschon Johnson
RB - CHI (vs . TEN)
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229.
Justin Watson
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
|
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230.
Calvin Austin III
WR - PIT (at ATL)
|
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231.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
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232.
Cody Schrader
RB - LAR (at DET)
|
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233.
Jalen Nailor
WR - MIN (at NYG)
|
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234.
Kendall Milton
RB - CIN (vs . NE)
|
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235.
Josh Oliver
TE - MIN (at NYG)
|
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236.
Tyler Goodson
RB - IND (vs . HOU)
|
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237.
Tyquan Thornton
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
|
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238.
Mack Hollins
WR - BUF (vs . ARI)
|
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239.
Raheem Blackshear
RB - CAR (at NO)
|
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240.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WR - WAS (at TB)
|
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241.
Braxton Berrios
WR - MIA (vs . JAC)
|
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242.
Noah Gray
TE - KC (vs . BAL)
|
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243.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
WR - NO (vs . CAR)
|
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244.
Tanner Hudson
TE - CIN (vs . NE)
|
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245.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . HOU)
|
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246.
Tutu Atwell
WR - LAR (at DET)
|
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247.
Austin Hooper
TE - NE (at CIN)
|
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248.
Adam Trautman
TE - DEN (at SEA)
|
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249.
Josh Whyle
TE - TEN (at CHI)
|
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250.
Foster Moreau
TE - NO (vs . CAR)
|
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251.
Brevin Jordan
TE - HOU (at IND)
|
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252.
Robert Woods
WR - HOU (at IND)
|
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253.
Sean Tucker
RB - TB (vs . WAS)
|
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254.
Jordan Whittington
WR - LAR (at DET)
|
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255.
Darnell Washington
TE - PIT (at ATL)
|
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256.
Jeremy Ruckert
TE - NYJ (at SF)
|
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257.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - NO (vs . CAR)
|
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258.
Royce Freeman
RB - FA (BYE)
|
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259.
Davis Allen
TE - LAR (at DET)
|
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260.
Jake Bobo
WR - SEA (vs . DEN)
|
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261.
KaVontae Turpin
WR - DAL (at CLE)
|
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262.
Durham Smythe
TE - FA (BYE)
|
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263.
Parker Washington
WR - JAC (at MIA)
|
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264.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (vs . NE)
|
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265.
Charlie Jones
WR - CIN (vs . NE)
|
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266.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
|
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267.
Devaughn Vele
WR - DEN (at SEA)
|
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268.
KhaDarel Hodge
WR - ATL (vs . PIT)
|
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269.
Derius Davis
WR - LAC (vs . LV)
|
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270.
Brandon Powell
WR - MIN (at NYG)
|
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271.
Brock Wright
TE - DET (vs . LAR)
|
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272.
Luke Schoonmaker
TE - DAL (at CLE)
|
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273.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
|
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274.
Bo Melton
WR - GB (at PHI)
|
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275.
Elijah Higgins
TE - ARI (at BUF)
|
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276.
Skyy Moore
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
|
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277.
Drew Ogletree
TE - IND (vs . HOU)
|
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278.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR - TEN (at CHI)
|
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279.
Jordan Akins
TE - CLE (vs . DAL)
|
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280.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - NE (at CIN)
|
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281.
Cade Stover
TE - HOU (at IND)
|
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282.
Johnny Wilson
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
|
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283.
Jalen Brooks
WR - DAL (at CLE)
|
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284.
Scotty Miller
WR - FA (BYE)
|
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285.
Bub Means
WR - NO (vs . CAR)
|
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286.
Jordan Mims
RB - NO (vs . CAR)
|
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287.
Erick All Jr.
TE - CIN (vs . NE)
|
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288.
Zach Pascal
WR - ARI (at BUF)
|
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289.
Kenny McIntosh
RB - SEA (vs . DEN)
|
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290.
John Bates
TE - WAS (at TB)
|
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291.
Anthony Gould
WR - IND (vs . HOU)
|
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292.
Tip Reiman
TE - ARI (at BUF)
|
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293.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - HOU (at IND)
|
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294.
Stone Smartt
TE - LAC (vs . LV)
|
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295.
Ashton Dulin
WR - IND (vs . HOU)
|
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296.
Jaheim Bell
TE - NE (at CIN)
|
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297.
Alec Ingold
RB - MIA (vs . JAC)
|
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298.
Connor Heyward
TE - PIT (at ATL)
|
![]() |
299.
Devin Duvernay
WR - JAC (at MIA)
|
![]() |
300.
Luke Farrell
TE - JAC (at MIA)
|
![]() |
301.
Isaiah Williams
WR - CIN (vs . NE)
|
![]() |
302.
Velus Jones Jr.
RB,WR - CAR (at NO)
|
![]() |
303.
C.J. Ham
RB - MIN (at NYG)
|
![]() |
304.
Payne Durham
TE - TB (vs . WAS)
|
![]() |
305.
Travis Homer
RB - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
306.
AJ Barner
TE - SEA (vs . DEN)
|
![]() |
307.
Xavier Hutchinson
WR - HOU (at IND)
|
![]() |
308.
Tim Patrick
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
|
![]() |
309.
Deonte Harty
WR - BAL (at KC)
|
![]() |
310.
Charlie Woerner
TE - ATL (vs . PIT)
|
![]() |
311.
Brenton Strange
TE - JAC (at MIA)
|
![]() |
312.
Sione Vaki
RB - DET (vs . LAR)
|
![]() |
313.
Chris Moore
WR - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
314.
Jamison Crowder
WR - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
315.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (vs . NE)
|
![]() |
316.
Ronnie Bell
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
|
![]() |
317.
Grant Calcaterra
TE - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
318.
MyCole Pruitt
TE - PIT (at ATL)
|
![]() |
319.
Kayshon Boutte
WR - NE (at CIN)
|
![]() |
320.
Grant DuBose
WR - MIA (vs . JAC)
|
![]() |
321.
Jamari Thrash
WR - CLE (vs . DAL)
|
![]() |
322.
Harrison Bryant
TE - LV (at LAC)
|
![]() |
323.
Robbie Chosen
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
324.
Jared Wiley
TE - KC (vs . BAL)
|
![]() |
325.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
326.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
WR - MIN (at NYG)
|
![]() |
327.
Tylan Wallace
WR - BAL (at KC)
|
![]() |
328.
David Moore
WR - CAR (at NO)
|
![]() |
329.
Ross Dwelley
TE - ATL (vs . PIT)
|
![]() |
330.
Brady Russell
TE - SEA (vs . DEN)
|
![]() |
331.
Julian Hill
TE - MIA (vs . JAC)
|
![]() |
332.
DJ Turner
WR - LV (at LAC)
|
![]() |
333.
Hunter Luepke
RB - DAL (at CLE)
|
![]() |
334.
Hunter Long
TE - LAR (at DET)
|
![]() |
335.
Avery Williams
RB - ATL (vs . PIT)
|
![]() |
336.
Jeremy McNichols
RB - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
337.
Chris Manhertz
TE - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
![]() |
338.
Ko Kieft
TE - TB (vs . WAS)
|
![]() |
339.
Patrick Ricard
RB - BAL (at KC)
|
![]() |
340.
Nate Adkins
TE - DEN (at SEA)
|
![]() |
341.
Charlie Kolar
TE - BAL (at KC)
|
![]() |
342.
Jake Tonges
TE - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
![]() |
343.
Ben Sims
TE - GB (at PHI)
|
![]() |
344.
Jordan Matthews
TE,WR - CAR (at NO)
|
![]() |
345.
Quintin Morris
TE - BUF (vs . ARI)
|
![]() |
346.
Chris Conley
WR - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
![]() |
347.
Adam Prentice
RB - NO (vs . CAR)
|
![]() |
348.
Marcedes Lewis
TE - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
349.
Eric Saubert
TE - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
![]() |
350.
Simi Fehoko
WR - LAC (vs . LV)
|
![]() |
351.
Kadarius Toney
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
352.
Nick Muse
TE - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
353.
Zay Jones
WR - ARI (at BUF)
|
![]() |
354.
Tyler Scott
WR - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
355.
DeAndre Carter
WR - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
356.
Kameron Johnson
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
|
![]() |
357.
Nick Vannett
TE - TEN (at CHI)
|
![]() |
358.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR - DEN (at SEA)
|
![]() |
359.
Ben Skowronek
WR - PIT (at ATL)
|
![]() |
360.
Robert Tonyan
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
361.
Julius Chestnut
RB - TEN (at CHI)
|
![]() |
362.
Tom Kennedy
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
|
![]() |
363.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
364.
Parker Hesse
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
365.
Khari Blasingame
RB - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
366.
Tim Jones
WR - JAC (at MIA)
|
![]() |
367.
Ellis Merriweather
RB - GB (at PHI)
|
![]() |
368.
Reggie Gilliam
RB - BUF (vs . ARI)
|
![]() |
369.
Steven Sims Jr.
WR - BAL (at KC)
|
![]() |
370.
Dareke Young
WR - SEA (vs . DEN)
|
![]() |
371.
Bryce Ford-Wheaton
WR - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
![]() |
372.
Tyler Johnson
WR - LAR (at DET)
|
![]() |
373.
Jha'Quan Jackson
WR - TEN (at CHI)
|
![]() |
374.
Irvin Charles
WR - NYJ (at SF)
|
![]() |
375.
Hassan Haskins
RB - LAC (vs . LV)
|
![]() |
376.
Mason Tipton
WR - NO (vs . CAR)
|
![]() |
377.
Mike Boone
RB - CAR (at NO)
|
![]() |
378.
Gunner Olszewski
WR - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
![]() |
379.
Jordan Franks
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
380.
Britain Covey
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
381.
Devin Culp
TE - TB (vs . WAS)
|
![]() |
382.
David Bell
WR - CLE (vs . DAL)
|
![]() |
383.
Myles Gaskin
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
384.
Chris Blair
WR - ATL (vs . PIT)
|
![]() |
385.
Donald Parham Jr.
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
386.
Jawhar Jordan
RB - HOU (at IND)
|
![]() |
387.
Parris Campbell
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
388.
Keaton Mitchell
RB - BAL (at KC)
|
![]() |
389.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE - DAL (at CLE)
|
![]() |
390.
Isaiah Spiller
RB - LV (at LAC)
|
![]() |
391.
Jaelon Darden
WR - SEA (vs . DEN)
|
![]() |
392.
Justyn Ross
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
|
![]() |
393.
Kareem Hunt
RB - KC (vs . BAL)
|
![]() |
394.
British Brooks
RB - HOU (at IND)
|
![]() |
395.
Jerick McKinnon
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
396.
Deneric Prince
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
397.
Jaret Patterson
RB - LAC (vs . LV)
|
![]() |
398.
Patrick Taylor Jr.
RB - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
![]() |
399.
Salvon Ahmed
RB - IND (vs . HOU)
|
![]() |
400.
Keaontay Ingram
RB - KC (vs . BAL)
|
![]() |
401.
Brandon Johnson
WR - PIT (at ATL)
|
![]() |
402.
John Kelly Jr.
RB - CLE (vs . DAL)
|
![]() |
403.
Byron Pringle
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
404.
Boston Scott
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
405.
Michael Burton
RB - DEN (at SEA)
|
![]() |
406.
Jalen Guyton
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
407.
Eric Tomlinson
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
408.
Colson Yankoff
RB,TE - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
409.
Malik Davis
RB - DAL (at CLE)
|
![]() |
410.
Carlos Washington Jr.
RB - ATL (vs . PIT)
|
![]() |
411.
Allen Robinson II
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
|
![]() |
412.
Tanner Conner
TE - MIA (vs . JAC)
|
![]() |
413.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - HOU (at IND)
|
![]() |
414.
Michael Thomas
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
415.
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
416.
Jermar Jefferson
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
417.
Isaiah Hodgins
WR - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
![]() |
418.
Jalen Reagor
WR - LAC (vs . LV)
|
![]() |
419.
Dee Eskridge
WR - MIA (vs . JAC)
|
![]() |
420.
Joe Parker
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
421.
Joshua Kelley
RB - TEN (at CHI)
|
![]() |
422.
Matt Breida
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
423.
Dante Miller
RB - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
![]() |
424.
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
425.
Jason Brownlee
WR - KC (vs . BAL)
|
![]() |
426.
Trent Taylor
WR - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
![]() |
427.
Samori Toure
WR - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
428.
Cameron Latu
TE - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
429.
D.J. Montgomery
WR - IND (vs . HOU)
|
![]() |
430.
Sterling Shepard
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
|
![]() |
431.
George Holani
RB - SEA (vs . DEN)
|
![]() |
432.
Collin Johnson
WR - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
433.
Tyler Badie
RB - DEN (at SEA)
|
![]() |
434.
KJ Hamler
WR - BUF (vs . ARI)
|
![]() |
435.
Elijah Cooks
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
436.
James Mitchell
TE - CAR (at NO)
|
![]() |
437.
E.J. Jenkins
TE - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
438.
Cole Turner
TE - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
439.
Tyrion Davis-Price
RB - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
440.
Tyreik McAllister
RB,WR - LV (at LAC)
|
![]() |
441.
Rysen John
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
442.
Gary Brightwell
RB - CIN (vs . NE)
|
![]() |
443.
Danny Gray
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
444.
Anthony Firkser
TE - KC (vs . BAL)
|
![]() |
445.
Kevin Harris
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
446.
Rodney Williams
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
447.
Ty Montgomery II
WR,RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
448.
Michael Wiley
RB - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
449.
Zach Evans
RB - NYJ (at SF)
|
![]() |
450.
Nick Bawden
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
451.
Jashaun Corbin
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
452.
Jonathan Williams
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
453.
Snoop Conner
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
454.
Dontrell Hilliard
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
455.
Emani Bailey
RB - CAR (at NO)
|
![]() |
456.
Daurice Fountain
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
457.
Frank Gore Jr.
RB - BUF (vs . ARI)
|
![]() |
458.
Moral Stephens
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
459.
Quintez Cephus
WR - LAR (at DET)
|
![]() |
460.
Antoine Green
WR - DET (vs . LAR)
|
![]() |
461.
Austin Trammell
WR - JAC (at MIA)
|
![]() |
462.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
WR - NYG (vs . MIN)
|
![]() |
463.
Dillon Johnson
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
464.
James Proche II
WR - CLE (vs . DAL)
|
![]() |
465.
Jamal Agnew
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
466.
Cornelius Johnson
WR - GB (at PHI)
|
![]() |
467.
Keith Kirkwood
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
468.
Tony Jones Jr.
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
469.
Patrick Laird
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
470.
Brandon Bolden
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
471.
Latavius Murray
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
472.
Pooka Williams Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
473.
Chris Brooks
RB - GB (at PHI)
|
![]() |
474.
Quez Watkins
WR - ARI (at BUF)
|
![]() |
475.
Cody Thompson
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
|
![]() |
476.
Bisi Johnson
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
477.
Alex Erickson
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
478.
Marquise Goodwin
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
479.
Daniel Arias
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
480.
N'Keal Harry
TE,WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
481.
Denzel Mims
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
482.
Tejhaun Palmer
WR - ARI (at BUF)
|
![]() |
483.
Wendell Smallwood
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
484.
Willie Snead IV
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
485.
Josh Ali
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
486.
Marquez Callaway
WR - TB (vs . WAS)
|
![]() |
487.
Deven Thompkins
WR - CAR (at NO)
|
![]() |
488.
Kaylon Geiger Sr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
489.
Isaiah McKenzie
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
490.
Tulu Griffin
WR - GB (at PHI)
|
![]() |
491.
Kyle Philips
WR - PHI (vs . GB)
|
![]() |
492.
Anthony McFarland Jr.
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
493.
Demetric Felton Jr.
RB - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
494.
Jonathan Ward
RB - PIT (at ATL)
|
![]() |
495.
Lew Nichols III
RB - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
496.
Jeff Cotton Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
497.
Ty James
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
498.
Stanley Morgan Jr.
WR - TEN (at CHI)
|
![]() |
499.
Justin Shorter
TE,WR - LV (at LAC)
|
![]() |
500.
Marcus Kemp
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
501.
Randall Cobb
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
502.
Michael Strachan
WR - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
503.
Lawrence Cager
TE - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
504.
Penny Hart
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
505.
Austin Mack
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
506.
Miles Boykin
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
507.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
508.
Devron Harper
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
509.
Hakeem Butler
WR,TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
510.
Lance McCutcheon
WR - PIT (at ATL)
|
![]() |
511.
John Ross
WR - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
512.
Laquon Treadwell
WR - IND (vs . HOU)
|
![]() |
513.
Jack Stoll
TE - MIA (vs . JAC)
|
![]() |
514.
Tucker Fisk
TE - LAC (vs . LV)
|
![]() |
515.
Nick Guggemos
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
516.
Tommy Sweeney
TE - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
517.
Stephen Carlson
TE - CHI (vs . TEN)
|
![]() |
518.
Zack Kuntz
TE - NYJ (at SF)
|
![]() |
519.
Brycen Hopkins
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
520.
Zach Gentry
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
521.
Zach Davidson
TE - BUF (vs . ARI)
|
![]() |
522.
Nick Boyle
TE - FA (BYE)
|
![]() |
523.
Shane Zylstra
TE - DET (vs . LAR)
|
![]() |
524.
Josiah Deguara
TE - JAC (at MIA)
|
![]() |
525.
Teagan Quitoriano
TE - HOU (at IND)
|
![]() |
526.
Tyree Jackson
TE - WAS (at TB)
|
![]() |
527.
Brayden Willis
TE - SF (vs . NYJ)
|
![]() |
528.
Michael Jacobson
TE - NO (vs . CAR)
|
![]() |
529.
Geoff Swaim
TE - CLE (vs . DAL)
|
![]() |
530.
Mitchell Wilcox
TE - FA (BYE)
|