Tank Dell Week 1 Outlook - Texans at Colts

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Wed, Sep 4th 2024, 8:38pm EDT

Dell was amazing last year and impactful once inserted into the starting lineup full-time. Last year, in the seven full games that Dell and Nico Collins played together, Dell bested him in every meaningful category. Dell led the duo in target share (22.5 vs. 22.1%), air-yard share (35.9 vs. 25.3%), weighted opportunity (59.0 vs. 50.9), and fantasy points per game (18.7 vs. 18.1). Overall last year Dell posted monster numbers in YPRR (2.40) and FD/RR (0.115) ranking 16th and 14th in these statistics. He should push Collins for the team lead in targets in Week 1 against Indy. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Last year, against single-high, Dell had a 29% TPRR, 2.70 YPRR, and 0.122 FD/RR. Among Houston's starting wide receivers, he ranks third, second, and second in those categories. The biggest worry for Dell in this matchup is his matchup with Kenny Moore (79.3% catch rate and 98.3 passer rating) inside, as Dell projects as the team's starting slot receiver now with Diggs in town. Last year, Indy allowed the fourth-fewest receptions and the ninth-lowest PPR points per target to slot receivers. It's a tough matchup, but it also has to be stated that Dell has the talent to overcome it.