Jayden Reed Week 1 Outlook - Packers at Eagles

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 5th 2024, 8:05pm EDT

Reed had a wonderful rookie campaign, finishing with ten total touchdowns (fifth-most) and being the WR26 in fantasy points per game. He saw a 17.6% target share with only a 69.6% route participation as the Packers utilize a healthy dose of 12 and 21 personnel, thus limiting his weekly snap rate as the team's starting slot receiver. He did rank 21st in deep targets and 14th in red zone targets while also receiving a smattering of rushing work. The Eagles defense will likely deploy heavy Cover 3 and Cover 6 usage this year after Vic Fangio dialed it up on 59.7% of the Dolphins' defensive snaps last year. Last season, in Weeks 5-13, against Cover 3 and Cover 6, Reed only saw a 9.3% target share and 11% first-read share and produced 1.55 yards per route run. While all of those numbers are concerning, it does help Reed's case that the Eagles were ripped to shreds by slot receivers last season, allowing the most receptions, the 13th-highest PPR points per target, and the sixth-most receiving touchdowns to the position. I'm skeptical of those numbers repeating in 2024 with the team shoring up nickel this offseason, with the team drafting Cooper DeJean while also bringing back C.J. Gardner-Johnson.