Jaylen Waddle Week 1 Outlook - Jaguars at Dolphins

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Wed, Sep 4th 2024, 8:38pm EDT

Waddle had the worst season of his short career last year, finishing as the WR21 in fantasy. Waddle ranked fifth in yards per route run and sixth in first downs per route run last season, with a 22% target share and a 29.7% air-yard share. With Jacksonville's new defensive coordinator, Ryan Nielsen, I expect this secondary to lean into two-high coverage. Last year, he led a Falcon's defense that was ninth in two high usage (53.2%). Last season, in the 12 games Waddle played at least 54% of the snaps, he saw a 23.6% target share, a 31.5% air-yard share, and a 25% first-read share, producing 2.90 YPRR against two high. Waddle will run about 74% of his routes against Ronald Darby (51.7% catch rate and 75.2 passer rating) and Tyson Campbell (70% catch rate and 127.4 passer rating).