Jordan Addison Week 1 Outlook - Vikings at Giants

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Wed, Sep 4th 2024, 8:38pm EDT

Addison rode high last year because of touchdown luck. Yep, I said it. The rest of his target earning metrics were not close to the consensus perception because of his WR30 finish last year. Addison had the fourth-most receiving touchdowns last year behind only Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, and CeeDee Lamb. That's not recurring this year. Here's the gallon of cold water for the Addison hive. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked 46th in target share, 59th in targets per route run, 51st in yards per route run, and 58th in first downs per route run. What stat there gives hope that he will be more than a WR4 this season if touchdown regression hits? None. New Giants' defensive coordinator Shane Bowen, utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate last year (53.6%) with Tennessee. Against two-high last year, Addison's numbers are surprisingly strong with a 22% TPRR and 2.06 YPRR. Addison will run most of his routes against Nick McCloud (68.2% catch rate and 83.9 passer rating) and Deonte Banks (57.6% catch rate and 84.7 passer rating). Addison is a decent flex this week.