Ja'Marr Chase Week 1 Outlook - Patriots at Bengals
By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Sat, Sep 7th 2024, 1:05am EDT
Chaseâs availability and snapshare are up in the air for Week 1. I do think itâs pretty easy regarding Chase, though. If he is active he is in your lineup. Chase has the talent to blow up even with limited snaps. Cincinnati could also easily limit his snaps by cutting back his snaps on run plays, and it wouldnât hurt his pass game availability, which is all we care about for fantasy purposes. Last year, when Joe Burrow was healthy (Weeks 5-10), Chase was awesome. He had a 28.4% target share, a 43.1% air-yard share, and a 34.5% first-read share. During that small sample, he produced a mouthwatering 2.69 YPRR and 0.145 FD/RR. Last year, New England was seventh in single high rate (59.7%). The last time we got a full season of Chase and Burrow ripping the league up (2022), Chase was a monster against single-high. Among 88 qualifying wide receivers, he ranked fourth in target share (32.3%), fifth in air-yard share (442.%), seventh in YPRR (3.12), and third in FD/RR (0.159). Chase will match up with Christian Gonzalez (66.7% catch rate and 67.5 passer rating) and Jonathan Jones (57.4% catch rate and 86.0 passer rating) all day. With Higgins being listed as doubtful, Chase could be leaned on heavily when heâs on the field, even if his snaps are limited.
