Fantasy Football Player Notes

Dobbins ranks 11th in snap share, 16th in weighted opportunities, and 15th in carries as the RB14 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 3, his tackle-breaking metrics have been struggling, as he has ranked 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 30th in yards after contact per attempt (among 44 qualifying backs). Dobbins has averaged 17.7 touches and 84.1 total yards. Dobbins will likely need to score a touchdown this week to pay off for fantasy. Since Week 6, Baltimore has remained an elite run defense, allowing the fifth-lowest explosive run rate, the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game, and the fourth-lowest missed tackle rate.

McConkey is the WR32 in fantasy points per game, with WR3 or higher weekly finishes in five of his last seven games. He has a 22.2% target share, 2.44 YPRR, and a 26.6% first-read share. Since Week 4, he has four red zone targets. Since Week 9, Baltimore has moved to heavy two-high usage with the seventh-highest rate (58%) in the NFL. Against two high, McConkey leads the team with a 21.3% target share with 1.72 YPRR and a stellar 25% first-read share. He should roast a Baltimore secondary that has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game and the tenth-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers. McConkey didn't practice on Thursday (shoulder), but he did manage limited practice sessions on Friday and Saturday. This hopefully puts him on track to play this week. He has been listed as questionable.

Last week, Johnston saw a season-high eight targets while producing a familiar two receptions, 48 receiving yards, and a score stat line. Last week, Johnston tied McConkey for the team lead in first-read share (31.8%). Overall, as the WR36 in fantasy points per game, Johnson has a 17.3% target share with 2.01 YPRR and a 24.1% first-read share. Johnston has only two red zone targets across his last six games. Since Week 9, Baltimore has moved to heavy two-high usage with the seventh-highest rate (58%) in the NFL. Against two high, ranks third on the team in target share (12.1%) and first-read share (19.6%) while leading the way with 2.18 YPRR. Johnston is a high-upside flex this week against a Ravens secondary that has allowed the most fantasy points per game and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Since Week 6, Dissly has been the TE15 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 weeks. He has had a 20.4% target share, 2.02 YPRR, and a 21.2% first-read share while seeing five red zone targets. Since Week 9, Baltimore has moved to heavy two-high usage with the seventh-highest rate (58%) in the NFL. Since Week 6, against two high, Dissly has led the team with a 22.5% target share and 25.9% first-read share while ranking second in YPRR (2.07). Dissly should cook again this week against a defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.

While a Gus Edwards revenge game narrative is quite fun, it isn't likely to lead to droves of fantasy points this week. Over the last two games, Edwards has played 16-25% of the snaps while averaging only eight carries and 41 rushing yards. This isn't the matchup to consider flexing a back in a part-time early-down only role. Since Week 6, Baltimore has remained an elite run defense, allowing the fifth-lowest explosive run rate, the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game, and the fourth-lowest missed tackle rate.