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Fantasy Football Player Notes

Week 1 Rankings

Kenneth Walker III Note
Kenneth Walker III photo 8. Kenneth Walker III RB - (vs . DEN)
Walker soldered on through a bunch of injuries last year to still finish as a rock-solid RB2 (RB20). He dealt with a bruised shoulder, a strained oblique, a chest issue, and a tender calf last season. In the 14 games he played at least 41% of the snaps, he averaged 17.3 touches and 82 total yards. Among 49 qualifying backs last year, Walker was 21st in explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt and fourth in missed tackles forced per attempt. He should have no issues carving up the Broncos run defense that allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the fourth-highest explosive run rate, and the second-most missed tackles per attempt last season.
34 weeks ago
Cooper Kupp Note
Cooper Kupp photo 32. Cooper Kupp WR - (vs . DEN)
Which version of Kupp do we get this year? That has been a heated offseason debate. Did he clearly take a step back, or did injuries nag at him all year, affecting his performance? Last year, he dealt with an ankle sprain and hamstring issues. In 12 games with him and Puka Nacua active, Kupp still commanded a 23.4% target share, produced 2.08 yards per route run, and was the WR23 in fantasy points per game. Last year, Detroit utilized single-high on 54.3% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, Kupp led the team with a 27.4% target share and a 33.3% first-read share. He was second to only Puka Nacua in YPRR (2.47) and FD/RR (0.107). Kupp will run about 61% of his routes against Amik Robertson (62.5% catch rate and 85.7 passer rating). Kupp could lead the way for the passing attack in Week 1.
34 weeks ago
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Note
Jaxon Smith-Njigba photo 81. Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR - (vs . DEN)
My disdain for Shane Waldron's usage of Smith-Njigba last year has been well-documented. No big deal. All he did was take a baller, a first-round pick, and turn him into Malachi Corley. He neutered him into a low aDOT screen merchant. Smith-Njigba was seventh in screen targets last season, with 52.3% of his target volume coming via screens. This is not the way. Ryan Grubb will change this. In the small sample, we got with Smith-Njigba as a perimeter wide receiver, he was very good. Among 81 qualifying wide receivers last season, when he was running routes on the perimeter, Smith-Njigba ranked 15th in YPRR and fourth in TPRR. Among 61 qualifying receivers with at least 40 perimeter targets, he also ranked 14th in FD/RR. Smith-Njigba did run 89.5% of his routes in the preseason from the slot, so I do still project him to be the team's slot with more perimeter time this season possible. Smith-Njigba could be leaned on this week if Metcalf draws shadow coverage from Surtain. Last year, Denver ranked 11th in single-high usage (55.8%). Last year against single-high, when Smith-Njigba was aligned outside against single-high, he posted a 28% TPRR and 1.97 YPRR, so there is some proof in the pudding that he can excel against single-high. Smith-Njigba should run circles around Ja'Quan McMillian (61.2% catch rate and 109.4 passer rating) from the slot in Week 1.
34 weeks ago
Zach Charbonnet Note
Zach Charbonnet photo 115. Zach Charbonnet RB - (vs . DEN)
Noah Fant Note
Noah Fant photo 140. Noah Fant TE - (vs . DEN)
Last year, Fant was locked into a tight-end committee situation, but he should be the primary tight end this season. Last year, Fant was the TE36 in fantasy points per game with a 14% TPRR, 1.38 YPRR, and 0.054 FD/RR. None of those metrics scream STREAM ME IN WEEK 1, but the matchup is pretty good as Denver bled out production to tight ends last year, allowing the seventh-highest yards per reception and the most receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. Fant is a low-end streaming option in deep leagues this week.
34 weeks ago
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Note
Marquez Valdes-Scantling photo 257. Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR - (vs . DEN)
Jake Bobo Note
Jake Bobo photo 259. Jake Bobo WR - (vs . DEN)
Kenny McIntosh Note
Kenny McIntosh photo 289. Kenny McIntosh RB - (vs . DEN)
AJ Barner Note
AJ Barner photo 305. AJ Barner TE - (vs . DEN)
Brady Russell Note
Brady Russell photo 336. Brady Russell RB,TE - (vs . DEN)
Eric Saubert Note
Eric Saubert photo 350. Eric Saubert TE - (vs . DEN)
Steven Sims Jr. Note
Steven Sims Jr. photo 370. Steven Sims Jr. WR - (vs . DEN)
Dareke Young Note
Dareke Young photo 371. Dareke Young WR - (vs . DEN)
George Holani Note
George Holani photo 431. George Holani RB - (vs . DEN)

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