Fantasy Football Player Notes

Since Week 6, Hunt has been the RB16 in fantasy points per game, averaging 22.8 touches and 90 total yards per game. Isaiah Pacheco's return could easily hurt him the rest of the season, but I don't think it has a huge impact on his Week 12 outlook. Pacheco will likely only play a handful of snaps, if active, to ease him back into things. Among 53 qualifying backs, Hunt ranks 49th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 46th in yards after contact per attempt. With his efficiency lacking, when Pacheco does factor into this backfield heavily, it will definitely hurt Hunt's fantasy value. Since Week 6, Carolina has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the 14th-highest missed tackle rate, and the tenth-highest yards after contact per attempt.

The Buffalo Bills put the clamps on Travis Kelce last week, holding the Chiefs star to just eight scoreless yards. It was quite the departure from Kelce's recent form. In the three games before last week, Kelce had a total of 32 receptions for 254 yards. Expect Kelce's Week 12 numbers to more closely resemble those previous stat lines when Kansas City faces Carolina. In addition to their other deficiencies on defense, the Panthers have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. Keep Kelce as an elite TE1 this week.

Hopkins route share has now trended downward for three straight games, from 62% to 51.4% last week. His first-read share has also taken a nosedive from 28% in Week 9 to only 11.1% last week. These trends are nightmare fuel for a player who looked like he was trending toward a high-volume role in the Chiefs offense weekly. Last week, Hopkins had a 12.1% target share, 1.61 YPRR, and 29 receiving yards. He has become a volatile flex quickly. Since Week 6, Carolina has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers while sitting at 18th in fantasy points per game given up to the position.

Last week, Worthy saw his role change again with a 15.2% target share, a 32.4% air-yard share, 2.44 YPRR, and a 22.2% first read share. His aDOT, which had rested between 17-23 yards in the previous two weeks, fell to 14.2. His role more closely resembled the one he was playing in Week 8 and the few games after Rashee Rice's injury. The Kansas City passing attack seems in flux as Andy Reid is moving players around to different roles to see how all the pieces fit. It wouldn't shock me if Worthy moved back into the MVS role in Week 12 and was back to running clearouts for most of the game. Like Hopkins, Worthy is a volatile flex this week. Since Week 6, Carolina has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers while sitting at 18th in fantasy points per game given up to the position.