Nico Collins Week 1 Outlook - Texans at Colts

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Wed, Sep 4th 2024, 8:38pm EDT

Collins was nothing short of amazing last season as the WR7 in fantasy. He was basically Brandon Aiyuk of the AFC South, as he operated with an insane per-route efficiency. He was 12th in TPRR, second in YPRR, seventh in receiving yards per game, and fifth in FD/RR. When the offense was battered, and other skill players were out with injuries, he was able to command alpha-level volume. Collins could have a boom game out the gate for Houston, considering Indy's love for single-high last year. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Among Houston's starting trio of wide receivers, against single-high, Collins led the group in TPRR (31%), YPRR (3.83), and FD/RR (0.175). It wasn't particularly close in YPRR and FD/RR either. Collins will run about 79% of his routes against JuJu Brents (66.7% catch rate and 109.1 passer rating) and Jaylon Jones (54.4% catch rate and 106.6 passer rating).