Stefon Diggs Week 1 Outlook - Texans at Colts

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Wed, Sep 4th 2024, 8:38pm EDT

How good will Diggs be in Houston? Another year older. Now, he is competing with two amazing young wide receivers for volume. Can he keep up? We're about to get these questions answered. His falloff in the second half of the last two seasons can't be ignored at this point. In Weeks 10-18 last year, Diggs finished as the WR45 or higher in weekly scoring only twice. During that stretch, he only had one game with more than 80 receiving yards while finishing as the WR52 in fantasy points per game. Ok, let's get to this Week 1 matchup with the Colts. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Last year, against single-high, Diggs had a 30% TPRR, 2.16 YPRR, and 0.103 FD/RR. In those three categories versus Collins and Dell, Diggs ranks second, third, and third. While he might post a solid stat line in Week 1 because all of those marks are still quite strong, it could be Collins and Dell leading the way. Diggs will see JuJu Brents (66.7% catch rate and 109.1 passer rating) and Jaylon Jones (54.4% catch rate and 106.6 passer rating) in coverage most of the game.