Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 3 Rankings
1.
Bijan Robinson
RB - ATL (vs . KC)
Fantasy managers who invested a top pick on Bijan Robinson should be encouraged by the running back's early usage. Robinson has averaged 20.5 touches per game this year after averaging 16.9 last year (excluding a game in which he left early). That increased usage has resulted in two top-20 weekly finishes for Robinson despite him not yet scoring a touchdown. Robinson has a tough matchup against a Kansas City defense allowing just 3.8 yards per rush to opposing running backs. But the volume should be there in a game where Atlanta may try to lean on the running game to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field.
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2.
Jordan Mason
RB - SF (at LAR)
Jordan Mason continues to reward fantasy managers who grabbed him in the wake of Christian McCaffrey's injury. While the San Francisco 49ers placed McCaffrey on Injured Reserve, Mason posted a second straight top-eight weekly fantasy finish. Through two weeks, he is tied for the NFL lead with 13 missed tackles forced. Mason now faces a Los Angeles Rams team that has already allowed three different running to score at least 15.4 fantasy points against them. For those keeping score, the Rams have only played two games. Mason has as good a chance as any running back in the NFL to be this week's top scorer at the position.
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3.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO (vs . PHI)
Alvin Kamara nearly broke the slate with a 43-point Week 2 performance in Dallas. It was the highest-scoring performance from a running back since Christian McCaffrey's effort in Week 4 of last season. While 43 points is an obvious outlier, Kamara could be in for another big day on Sunday. The Philadelphia Eagles are allowing 6.51 yards per carry to opposing running backs. That is the highest mark in the NFL through two weeks. New offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak is working wonders for the Saints' offense, and Kamara has been one of the biggest beneficiaries. Keep Kamara locked in as a highly efficient RB1 who can amass fantasy points in a hurry.
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4.
Breece Hall
RB - NYJ (vs . NE)
Breece Hall finished up last week as the overall RB4 despite backup Braelon Allen scoring two touchdowns. This week Hall gets the New England Patriots on a short week. New England has allowed the third-fewest rushing yards to opposing backs so far, but they have given up 10 receptions to opposing backs. Hall's usage in the passing game (12 receptions on 14 targets through two games) will always keep him in the mix for overall RB1 honors. This week should be no different.
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5.
Saquon Barkley
RB - PHI (at NO)
Saquon Barkley followed up a dominant Week 1 performance by posting a solid RB11 finish last week. He could have had an even bigger day were it not for a pair of fourth-quarter passing plays. Barkley caught what was initially called a touchdown reception, only for replay to show that Barkley was touched before crossing the goal line. Then he dropped a pass that would have sealed an Eagles victory. While I do not expect either play to cost Barkley any passing-game work, his Week 3 matchup suddenly seems much more imposing than we may have thought earlier. The New Orleans Saints have allowed the fourth-fewest yards from scrimmage to opposing running backs and are one of just five teams who have yet to allow an opposing back into the end zone. Barkley's elite workload should keep him squarely in RB1 territory despite the difficult matchup.
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6.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND (vs . CHI)
Jonathan Taylor is tied for the NFL lead with four breakaway runs despite breaking just three tackles on 28 carries. The Indianapolis Colts have one of the best offensive lines in the league, which has helped Taylor to a 5.39 yards per carry average so far. With quarterback Anthony Richardson completing just 49.1-percent of his passes through two weeks and the Chicago Bears allowing just 5.69 yards per pass attempt, we may see the Colts lean more on Taylor this week. Chicago ranks in the middle of the pack defensively against running backs to this point in the young season. Jonathan Taylor profiles as a volume-based RB1 in this game.
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7.
De'Von Achane
RB - MIA (at SEA)
With the Miami Dolphins missing Raheem Mostert due to a chest injury, De'Von Achane handled a career-high 29 touches last week. His previous high was 22 in a game last September. Achane amassed 165 scrimmage yards and a touchdown in a game Miami lost by 21 points. Mostert was at Dolphins practice on Wednesday, but I would expect Achane to remain the lead back in this backfield. Miami will be without quarterback Tua Tagovailoa for the foreseeable future. That could focus more defensive eyes on Achane. But Achane is so talented that if he is given anything close to a full workload, fantasy managers have to trust that the production will follow.
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8.
Derrick Henry
RB - BAL (at DAL)
Henry rebounded with a better stat line in Week 1, with 46% of the snaps played, 19 touches, and 96 total yards. Henry is the RB21 in fantasy points per game. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 15th in explosive run rate and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. His offensive line has the sixth-best yards before contact per attempt. This week's matchup with Dallas should keep Henry rolling along the tracks. Dallas has the lowest stuff rate in the NFL while allowing the seventh-highest yards before contact per attempt, the fifth-highest gap yards per carry (5.9), and the highest success rate to gap runs (Henry 55% gap).
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9.
James Cook
RB - BUF (vs . JAC)
James Cook flashed his versatility last week with a pair of rushing touchdowns and a third score through the air. That versatility should be on display in Week 3 when Cook and the Buffalo Bills host the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville allowed an overall RB6 to De'Von Achane in Week 1 by virtue of seven receptions for 76 yards as well as a goal-line touchdown run. The Jaguars are allowing 1.51 yards before contact per rush. That is the second-highest rate in the NFL. They also generate pressure on the quarterback at the third-highest rate. This could lead to some more work for Cook as a receiver out of the backfield. James Cook should be able to provide RB1 production in this matchup.
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10.
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB - DET (at ARI)
Through two weeks: Jahmyr Gibbs - RB16, RB16; David Montgomery - RB14, RB13. Yet here we are once again with Gibbs inside the top 10 and Montgomery outside the top 20. While I do not know if the gap between the two Lions running backs should be as wide as it is, I do prefer Gibbs in this matchup. Arizona has been stout against the run, holding Buffalo and Los Angeles Rams running backs to a combined 3.27 yards per rush. Detroit has also been more successful in blocking zone runs than gap runs so far this year. 64 percent of Gibbs' runs have been zone runs, compared to just 42 percent for Montgomery.
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11.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (vs . BAL)
CeeDee Lamb scored his first touchdown of 2024 last week. It was a catch-and-run that saw him evade a pair of would-be tacklers and score from 65 yards out. Lamb will look to break out against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3. This matchup has all the makings of a game Lamb will be heavily involved in. The Ravens have been a bit vulnerable to top receivers so far this year. Rashee Rice and Davante Adams have each posted top-16 weekly finishes against the Ravens. Like Rice, Lamb lines up in the slot on a majority of snaps. Ravens slot corner Kyle Hamilton has allowed receptions on all nine targets in his direction. Baltimore has also allowed the fewest rushing yards in the NFL thus far. With Dallas struggling to generate much on the ground, expect them to feed Lamb early and often. Lamb could easily have double-digit receptions this week, making him an elite WR1 option.
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12.
Josh Jacobs
RB - GB (at TEN)
Jacobs has been a workhorse through two games averaging 70% of the snaps with 25 touches and 127.5 total yards. Among 40 qualifying backs, Jacobs ranks ninth in explosive run rate, 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 16th in yards after contact per attempt. Jacobs has been running behind a top five run blocking offensive line (third in yards before contact per attempt). Jacobs should have another banner day on the ground in Week 3 against a run defense that has the 12th-lowest stuff rate while allowing the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt and the seventh-highest rushing success rate.
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13.
Kyren Williams
RB - LAR (vs . SF)
The Los Angeles Rams trailed by 21 or more points for all but 10 offensive snaps in last week's loss to Arizona. Despite the blowout defeat, Kyren Williams still finished the week as a top-24 fantasy running back while playing on 79 percent of the snaps. Williams' involvement does not figure to decrease anytime soon with the Rams having lost their top two wide receivers to the IR. The issue is that the San Francisco 49ers know this, and would be smart to sell out to stop the run. Williams has not gotten much help from his offensive line in the early going. He has just seven yards before contact on 30 carries. That will have to change for Williams to enjoy the heights he did in his breakout 2023. In the meantime, he is a touchdown-dependent RB1 based on a heavy workload.
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14.
James Conner
RB - ARI (vs . DET)
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15.
Ja'Marr Chase
WR - CIN (vs . WAS)
The Washington Commanders have struggled on the back end as they adjust to new coach Dan Quinn and his defensive scheme. Through two games, they have already allowed three different wideouts to post top-12 weekly finishes, with two others finishing inside the top 30. Of 145 cornerbacks graded in coverage by Pro Football Focus, Washington has three of the 12 worst grades. This is a get-right matchup for the Cincinnati Bengals passing game. Tee Higgins should be back, but this should be a game that Ja'Marr Chase uses to build his case for a new contract.
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16.
Tony Pollard
RB - TEN (vs . GB)
Pollard has looked like a different player this season as Tennessee's workhorse back. He has averaged 65% of the snaps, 20.5 touches, and 98 total yards as the RB13 in fantasy. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 20th in explosive run rate and 11th in yards after contact per attempt. Assuming Green Bay doesn't stack the box to force Levis to beat them, Pollard should post another juicy stat line in Week 3. The Packers have given up the second-highest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt with the 12th-most rushing yards per game.
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17.
Zach Charbonnet
RB - SEA (vs . MIA)
Last week, Charbonnet got the start and finished the week as the RB8. He played 96% of the snaps and finished with 19 touches and 69 total yards. His passing game usage really is what put him over the top (five receptions, 31 receiving yards). His tackle-breaking was horrendous, with a 5% missed tackle rate and only 2.05 yards after contact per attempt. If he gets a bell-cow role again this week if Walker is out, it might not matter, though. Miami has a middling run defense overall. They are 15th in explosive run rate and 14th in missed tackle rate while giving up the sixth-highest yards before contact per attempt. I'm not sure if Seattle can take advantage of that, though, as the offensive line has struggled to get push up front. Seattle has the fourth-lowest yards before contact per attempt. I'll update Charbonnet's outlook on Friday when we have more info about Walker.
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18.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (vs . HOU)
Justin Jefferson caught a 97-yard touchdown pass from Sam Darnold, which facilitated a WR7 overall finish for the week. Jefferson's health is unclear heading into his Week 3 matchup with the Houston Texans. He is currently questionable due to a calf injury, though he did take part in a walkthrough practice on Wednesday. Assuming no setbacks, fantasy managers should slot Jefferson into his normal WR1 slot in this game. Houston allowed three receptions of 50 yards or longer in Week 1 against the Indianapolis Colts. They did a much better job keeping things in front of them last week. However, it was also the second career start for Caleb Williams. Jefferson may be a bit more volatile this week than usual, but should still be started in all formats.
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19.
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB - NE (at NYJ)
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20.
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB - JAC (at BUF)
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21.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR - DET (at ARI)
Amon-Ra St. Brown shook off a quiet Week 1 with 11 catches for 119 yards on 19 targets. A lack of a score kept St. Brown out of the top 12, but fantasy managers will take that volume every week. As we look forward to Week 3, St. Brown should once again be a focal point of Detroit's passing game. Arizona slot corner Garrett Williams has not been tested much through two weeks. He has played 55 coverage snaps but has only been targeted four times. Expect that to change on Sunday. This should be a close, high-scoring affair in the desert. Fantasy managers will want players from both sides of this game, and none should be more coveted than the Sun God.
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22.
Rashee Rice
WR - KC (at ATL)
Fantasy managers who bought the dip on Rashee Rice over the summer have been handsomely rewarded through two weeks. And that is likely to continue for the foreseeable future. Rice enters Week 3 as the overall WR12 on the strength of two top-18 finishes. He has an excellent chance to extend that streak on Sunday night in Atlanta. The Falcons have allowed top wideouts George Pickens and DeVonta Smith to catch 13 of 17 targets for 161 yards and a touchdown. Rice has been the top target for Patrick Mahomes in each of Kansas City's first two games. Slot corner Dee Alford has struggled in the early going, and I expect Mahomes and Rice to exploit this matchup.
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23.
Nico Collins
WR - HOU (at MIN)
Nico Collins is the overall WR2 through two weeks. In addition to consecutive 100-plus yard games, Collins has earned 18 total targets. His hot start has helped alleviate concerns that the offseason acquisition of Stefon Diggs would cut into Collins' workload. Playing 85 percent of snaps on the outside means that Collins will most often have to contend with Minnesota's duo of Stephon Gilmore and Shaquill Griffin. The Vikings have yet to allow a wide receiver to score a touchdown. But Collins is always a threat to take it to the house. Nico Collins should remain a fixture in fantasy lineups in all formats.
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24.
David Montgomery
RB - DET (at ARI)
Montgomery is the RB14 in fantasy, averaging 42% of the snaps with 16.5 touches and 81.5 total yards per game. Among 40 qualifying backs, he is ninth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. He faces what appears to be a tough run defense for Arizona through two games. The Cardinals have allowed the 10th-lowest missed tackle rate and the fifth-lowest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt. Montgomery likely needs a touchdown to pay off in fantasy this week.
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25.
Zack Moss
RB - CIN (vs . WAS)
Moss has been the team's clear workhorse this season, which is totally different from the vibes that came out of training camp. Moss has averaged a 73% snap rate with 12 touches and 54 total yards per game. I know those aren't amazing numbers. They aren't, but Moss is still the clear "guy" in this backfield. His tackle-breaking metrics are also lackluster. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 23rd in explosive run rate, 21st in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Moss has a chance to improve all of his numbers this week with a solid matchup against the Commanders' run defense. Washington has permitted the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the fourth-highest missed tackle rate, and the eighth-highest yards before contact per attempt.
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26.
Brian Robinson Jr.
RB - WAS (at CIN)
Robinson Jr. is the RB15 in fantasy points per game, ranking fifth in explosive run rate, 10th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and fourth in yards after contact per attempt. He has averaged a 58% snap rate with 16.5 touches and 112.5 total yards per game. The Bengals remain a wonderful run funnel with the ninth-lowest stuff rate while giving up the third-highest missed tackle rate and the sixth-highest yards after contact per attempt.
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27.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF (at LAR)
This could be a monster George Kittle game, but this could also be the eruption game for Aiyuk. He has only drawn a 13.8% target share, a 17.4% air-yard share, and a 16.7% first-read share with 1.09 YPRR. That doesn't mean that he has been bad on a per-route basis. This season, Aiyuk ranks 13th in separation and fifth in route win rate among 92 qualifying wide receivers. Aiyuk hasn't been drawing massive target shares, but the previous coverage matchups have leaned in the direction of Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. Not this week. Aiyuk should go off this week. The Rams have the ninth-highest single-high rate (59.6%). Last year against single-high, Aiyuk dominated with a 26.2% target share, a 42.2% air-yard share, 3.71 YPRR, and a 29% first-read share. Aiyuk will run about 82% of his routes against Quentin Lake (60% catch rate and 99.6 passer rating) and Tre'Davious White (71.4% catch rate and 153.3 passer rating).
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28.
Aaron Jones
RB - MIN (vs . HOU)
Through two games, Jones is the RB20 in fantasy, averaging 15 touches and 88.5 total yards. Last week, Ty Chandler worked in on early downs while Jones still led the way with 55% of the rushing play snaps. The Vikings are managing Jones' reps to keep him healthy all season. Jones still owned the high-leverage work and the passing downs. He played 66% of the passing down snaps, 60% of the red zone snaps, and 67% of the snaps once the team was inside the 10-yard line. Among 40 qualifying backs, Jones ranks seventh in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt. Jones will need all the passing game usage he can get this week, as his rushing matchup is brutal. Houston has been a brick wall for backs, allowing the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game, the eighth-lowest missed tackle rate, the third-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game.
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29.
DeVonta Smith
WR - PHI (at NO)
DeVonta Smith stepped up in the absence of A.J. Brown to post an overall WR14 finish in Week 2. The Eagles and Jalen Hurts will count on Smith once again with Brown sidelined when they travel to the Bayou to take on the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. It remains to be seen if the Saints will get Marshon Lattimore back after the cornerback missed last week's game due to injury. If Lattimore remains out, it greatly improves Smith's chances for a big game. Even with Lattimore on the field, Smith should see a fair amount of slot corner Alontae Taylor. Opposing quarterbacks have a 99.3 quarterback rating when targeting Taylor since the beginning of last season.
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30.
Rachaad White
RB - TB (vs . DEN)
White was limited on Wednesday in practice with a groin issue he picked up in Week 2. Assuming he's good to go, White is in a decent spot in Week 3. White has played at least 70% of the snaps in each game this season while averaging 16 touches and 64.5 total yards. White is the RB30 in fantasy. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 26th in explosive run rate and missed tackles forced per attempt. Denver has given up the 14th-highest explosive run rate while ranking 18th in yards after contact per attempt allowed. The Broncos have also allowed the tenth-fewest rushing yards per game with the 12th-lowest missed tackle rate.
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31.
Zamir White
RB - LV (vs . CAR)
The Raiders pumped up White's snap rate last week, as he played 63% of the snaps and finished with 12 touches and 38 total yards. Antonio Pierce has stated that the team wants to get White to 20 carries weekly. We'll see if he makes good on that promise this week. White has been running behind a bottom-five offensive line, as Las Vegas has the third-lowest yards before contact per attempt. White hasn't been great either, ranking 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt and 30th in yards after contact per attempt. We'll see if White can get going this week against a run defense that has surrendered the fourth-highest rushing success rate, the 13th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the second-most rushing yards per game.
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32.
D'Andre Swift
RB - CHI (at IND)
Out of the gate, the Bears' offense has been an incredible disappointment, and Swift is part of that equation. He's the RB39 in fantasy points per game, averaging 68% of the snaps, 14 touches, and 36 total yards per game. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 23rd in explosive run rate, 35th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 36th in yards after contact per attempt. Swift is staring down a plus matchup, but we need to give some context about Indy's run defense first. The biggest issue for the Colts' run defense is that they have been blown off the ball. They have allowed the third-highest yards before contact per attempt, which can be traced to facing Green Bay and Houston's offensive lines, which are both top-five in yards before contact per attempt. Chicago won't be able to open up running lanes like that for Swift, as they have the fifth-lowest yards before contact per attempt. This can still be considered an average matchup for Swift as Indy is 15th in missed tackles per attempt, but they have given up the 13th-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Expect Swift to get a much-needed spike in efficiency on the ground this week, but don't get out over your skies with hopes of a monster stat line.
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33.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - LAC (at PIT)
Dobbins has been one helluva comeback story after two weeks. He is the RB4 in fantasy, averaging 52% of snaps, 15.5 touches, and 135 total yards. He has crushed per-touch metrics, ranking first in explosive run rate and missed tackles forced per attempt while sitting at 12th in yards after contact per attempt. The Chargers' remade offensive line has been punishing run defenses, ranking first in yards before contact per attempt. Dobbins should have another solid day against a Pittsburgh run defense that has allowed the 10th-highest missed tackle rate, the 14th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 13th-highest success rate to zone runs (Dobbins 63% zone).
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34.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (vs . DEN)
Mike Evans has an interesting Week 3 matchup against Patrick Surtain and the Denver Broncos. Surtain has been credited for quiet outings from DK Metcalf and George Pickens, each of whom posted weekly WR63 finishes against the Broncos. However, Surtain has graded out quite poorly in Pro Football Focus' coverage metric. His 37.0 coverage grade is second-lowest among 77 cornerbacks who have played at least 50 percent of coverage snaps. Evans has 15 touchdown receptions over his last 19 regular season games. The likelihood of Evans scoring keeps him in the WR1 conversation.
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35.
Cam Akers
RB - HOU (at MIN)
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36.
Garrett Wilson
WR - NYJ (vs . NE)
Garrett Wilson has fallen short of expectations in the early going. He has yet to score, while Allen Lazard and Braelon Allen each have two touchdowns for the New York Jets. Wilson should be Aaron Rodgers' go-to target in Week 3 against a New England Patriots secondary that has allowed the most receptions to opposing wideouts through two games. Two Seattle Seahawks wideouts recorded top-12 finishes last week against the Patriots. Garrett Wilson should have secure volume in Week 3, but he will need to score to crack the top 10 for the week.
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37.
Tyreek Hill
WR - MIA (at SEA)
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38.
DK Metcalf
WR - SEA (vs . MIA)
Metcalf blew up last week, raising himself to WR15 in fantasy. He has commanded a 26.1% target share, a 40.9% air-yard share, and a 34.8% first-read share with 2.32 YPRR. Miami has utilized single-high on 57.8% of their defensive snaps. Metcalf has led the way again this year against single-high with a 29.7% target share, a 48.7% air-yard share, and a 37% first-read share. Metcalf should have no issues this week while running 90% of his routes against Kendall Fuller (25% catch rate and 45.8 passer rating) and Jalen Ramsey (100% catch rate and 118.8 passer rating).
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39.
Davante Adams
WR - LV (vs . CAR)
Adams continues to roll along as the WR11 with a 25.4% target share, a 54.5% air-yard share, 2.35 YPRR, and a 37.8% first-read share. Carolina has utilized single-high at the second-highest rate in the NFL (72.9%). Against single-high, Adams' numbers have jumped to insane levels with a 48% target share, a 64.8% air-yard share, 4.09 YPRR, and a 55% first-read share. Jaycee Horn hasn't been shadowing. Adams will run about 72% of his routes against Horn (66.7% catch rate and 104.9 passer rating) and Mike Jackson (66.7% catch rate and 84.5 passer rating).
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40.
Najee Harris
RB - PIT (vs . LAC)
It took one week for the rug to get pulled out from under Harris. In Week 1, he looked like the clear backfield leader for Pittsburgh, but that all changed in Week 2. His overall snap rate dropped from 56% to 45%. His rushing play snap declined from 69% to 56%, and the red zone usage flipped in favor of Jaylen Warren. Warren saw 66% of the red zone snaps in Week 2. Last week, Harris had 18 touches and 74 yards. Among 40 qualifying backs, Harris ranks 17th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 26th in yards after contact per attempt. Harris has a nightmare matchup in Week 3 against the Bolts. The Chargers have given up the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, the fourth-lowest missed tackle rate, and the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game.
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41.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR - ARI (vs . DET)
I know I cast some doubt on Harrison Jr. in last week's Primer. I wasn't willing to overreact to a one-game sample, but I had to be honest with the data that we had, which wasn't kind. Hey, what do you know? Harrison Jr. is good at football, though. Who knew? He destroyed every corner in his path last week. Among 87 qualifying receivers last week, he ranked 12th in separation and 19th in route win rate. Harrison had a 38.1% target share, a 69.2% air-yard share, 5.65 YPRR, and a 40% first-read share. Harrison Jr. will run about 78% of his routes this week against Carlton Davis (72.2% catch rate and 120.4 passer rating) and Terrion Arnold (84.6% catch rate and 133.7 passer rating). Harrison Jr. should be fed again this week.
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42.
Jerome Ford
RB - CLE (vs . NYG)
After operating as Cleveland's workhorse in Week 1, Ford saw his workload cut in Week 2. He played 44% of the snaps with eight touches and 64 total yards. He lost the red zone role to Foreman while retaining the passing down gig. Ford played 44% of the passing downs while he didn't log a snap in the red zone. Among 40 qualifying backs, Ford has disappointed in tackle-breaking metrics so far, ranking 21st in explosive run rate, 28th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 24th in yards after contact per attempt. Despite all of this bad news for Ford, he is still a strong flex play this week because the Giants have a bottom-five run defense. New York has allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-most rushing yards per game, and the second-highest yards after contact per attempt and missed tackle rate.
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43.
Devin Singletary
RB - NYG (at CLE)
Singletary might not be the sexiest fantasy play weekly, but he is a strong volume flex that can be an RB2. He has been the Giants workhorse, playing at least 70% of the snaps in each game while averaging 15.5 touches and 73.5 total yards. Among 40 qualifying backs, Singletary ranks 11th in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and sixth in yards after contact per attempt. The Giants should look to feed Singletary this week. The Browns' run defense is middle-of-the-road at best. This season, they are 19th in explosive run rate and 15th in missed tackle rate while also having the seventh-lowest stuff rate and the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt allowed. Last year, they allowed the fourth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Singletary 77% gap). He should find running room this week behind a line that has surprised with run blocking with the 14th-best yards before contact per attempt.
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44.
Chris Olave
WR - NO (vs . PHI)
Last week is how I expect the Saints' passing offense to function weekly, with Olave leading the way. In Week 1, Olave had to deal with Jaycee Horn on over half of his routes, which pushed volume in Rashid Shaheed's direction. Last week, Olave led the team with a 37.5% target share and 57% air-yard share while tying Shaheed with a 33% first read share and crush with 6.23 YPRR. The Eagles have the sixth-highest rate of single high this season (63.2%). Among 77 qualifying wide receivers against single high, Olave is 11th in separation and ninth in route win rate. Olave will run about 83% of his routes against Darius Slay (100% catch rate and 146.5 passer rating) and Quinyon Mitchell (58.3% catch rate and 91.3 passer rating).
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45.
DJ Moore
WR - CHI (at IND)
Moore has been earning volume at his usual clips, but it hasn't translated to wondrous fantasy production. Moore is the WR37, commanding a 27.3% target share, a 36.3% air-yard share, and a 31% first-read share, but hit has only amounted to 1.17 YPRR and 0.28 fantasy points per route run. If Williams can deliver catchable targets this week, Moore should crush. Indy has the fifth-highest single-high rate (65.5%). Last year, among 57 qualifying receivers, Moore ranked sixth in YPRR and 10th in fantasy points per route run against single high. Moore will run about 75% of his routes against Jaylon Jones (70% catch rate and 112.1 passer rating), Dallis Flowers (career: 59.3% catch rate and 107.0 passer rating), and Samuel Womack lll (career: 77.8% catch rate and 115.0 passer rating). Indy has allowed the fifth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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46.
Chuba Hubbard
RB - CAR (at LV)
Hubbard is another disappointing rusher this season through two weeks. He has averaged 56% of the snaps, ten touches, and 45 total yards per game. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 18th in explosive run rates and 25th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Carolina's offensive line hasn't helped him much, as they have generated the 12th-lowest yards before contact per attempt. We'll see if he can post usable flex numbers this week against a Raiders' run defense that has allowed the fifth-highest explosive run rate while ranking 14th in missed tackles allowed and 15th in yards after contact per attempt.
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47.
Malik Nabers
WR - NYG (at CLE)
After his monster Week 2 performance, Nabers is the WR4 in fantasy with a 35.7% target share, a 56.2% air-yard share, 2.61 YPRR, and a 50% first-read share. Yep, Daniel Jones knows where his bread must be buttered. He should be looking for Nabers at all times because he is awesome. Among 69 qualifying wide receivers, Nabers ranks 17th in separation and 28th in route win rate. Nabers will still be fed volume this week, but expect his Week 3 results to resemble his Week 1 stat line more closely. The Browns' secondary is nasty. Nabers will run about 86% of his routes against Martin Emerson Jr. (58.3% catch rate and 104.5 passer rating) and Cam Mitchell (40% catch rate and 47.9 passer rating). The Browns have allowed the 13th-lowest PPR points per target to opposing perimeter wide receivers.
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48.
Jameson Williams
WR - DET (at ARI)
Good lawd, it's so fun to watch Williams tear it up so far in 2024 as the WR8 in fantasy. This is the player that I loved as a prospect. Watching him harness his talent and rip secondaries apart has been a blessing. Williams has a 23.8% target share, a 47.2% air-yard share, 2.63 YPRR, and a 34.5% first-read share. Among 92 qualifying wide receivers, Williams is sixth in separation and ninth in route win rate. Oh, baby, those numbers all jump off the page. Williams will run about 71% of his routes against Sean Murphy-Bunting (71.4% catch rate and 89.6 passer rating) and Starling Thomas (42.9% catch rate and 69.9 passer rating).
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49.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB (vs . DEN)
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50.
Zay Flowers
WR - BAL (at DAL)
Flowers is the WR16 in fantasy points per game, leading Baltimore with a 26.7% target share, a 29.8% air-yard share, and a 33.3% first-read share. He has produced 1.56 YPRR while ranking 77th in separation and 78th in route win rate (among 92 qualifying receivers). Flowers saw his aDOT increase from Week 1 to last week, jumping from 6.1 to 10.7. Flowers is tied for the team lead with two end-zone targets. His startling inefficiency per route is worrisome, but it's only been two games, so I'm preaching patience. Dallas has utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 on 52.7% of their defensive snaps this season. Last year, Flowers led the team with a 22.9% target share against these coverages while posting 2.08 YPRR. Flowers will run about 68% of his routes against Trevon Diggs (70% catch rate and 46.7 passer rating) and Caelen Carson (63.6% catch rate and 115.7 passer rating).
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51.
Tank Dell
WR - HOU (at MIN)
Dell has had a quiet start to the season as the WR73 with a 16.2% target share, a 30.6% air-yard share, 0.60 YPRR, and a 15.4% first-read share. Among 84 qualifying receivers, he ranks 45th in separation and 52nd in route win rate. Dell was too good last year not to find his stride as the season progresses, so stay the course with this talent. He will tangle with a Minny secondary that has utilized two high at the highest rate in the NFL (78.5%). Against two high, Dell has a 15.6% target share, a 31.9% air-yard share, and a 22.2% first read share. He should be number two in line for targets this week after Collins. Dell will run about 72% of his routes against Stephon Gilmore (76.9% catch rate and 98.2 passer rating) and Shaquill Griffin (66.7% catch rate and 77.1 passer rating).
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52.
Rashid Shaheed
WR - NO (vs . PHI)
Shaheed is the WR10 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 22.5% target share, a 43.9% air-yard share, and a 26.7% first-read share with 5.28 YPRR (wow, just wow). Last week, he did step back and assume the role of the 1B behind Olave with a 25% target share, a 45.9% air-yard share, and a 33.3% first-read share (tied with Olave). Overall, among 92 qualifying receivers, Shaheed ranks seventh in separation and 28th in route win rate. The Eagles have the sixth-highest rate of single high this season (63.2%). Among 77 qualifying wide receivers against single high, Shaheed is fourth in separation and 37th in route win rate. Shaheed and Olave should cook this week. Shaheed will run about 70% of his routes against Darius Slay (100% catch rate and 146.5 passer rating) and Quinyon Mitchell (58.3% catch rate and 91.3 passer rating).
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53.
Drake London
WR - ATL (vs . KC)
Last week, London bounced back with a WR19 finish, a 24.1% target share, 1.86 YPRR, and a 46.7% first-read share. While Darnell Mooney finished with a strout stat line, London is the undisputed WR1 of this offense. Last week, among 69 qualifying wide receivers, London ranked third in separation and fifth in route win rate. We'll see if London can build upon his bounce-back game in Week 3. Kansas City has allowed the 10th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. London will run about 72% of his routes against Trent McDuffie (42.9% catch rate and 53.3 passer rating) and Jaylen Watson (63.6% catch rate and 135.4 passer rating).
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54.
Amari Cooper
WR - CLE (vs . NYG)
Cooper has had a rough opening two games to the season. His volume market share has been solid but the results haven't been there. Cooper has a 21.5% target share, a 43.2% air-yard share, and a 25.9% first-read share. That all sounds great, right? Well, only 58.8% of that volume has been catchable, and Cooper has turned his catchable volume into 0.31 YPRR and 0.09 fantasy points per route run. The secondary matchup is juicy for Cooper, but the coverage scheme for the Giants could lead to another down week. The Giants have utilized two-high at the fifth-highest rate (53.1%) this season. Against two high, Cooper has only managed an 8.6% target share and an 8.3% first-read share. Unless we see Cleveland change their approach here, Cooper is destined for a third quiet game. Cooper will run about 75% of his routes against Andru Phillips (77.8% catch rate and 79.6 passer rating) and Deonte Banks (63.6% catch rate and 127.1 passer rating).
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55.
George Pickens
WR - PIT (vs . LAC)
Pickens will cook in Week 3. There, I said it. He is WR43 but a target hog. Pickens has a 25.6% target share, a 53.4% air-yard share, 2.78 YPRR, and a 32.3% first-read share. Among 92 qualifying wide receivers, he ranks second in separation and third in route win rate. The Bolts have the fourth-highest rate of two high this season (65.2%). Pickens ranks second in separation and eighth in route win rate against two high. Pickens will run about 67% of his routes against Asante Samuel Jr. (75% catch rate and 93.1 passer rating) and Kristian Fulton (40% catch rate and 47.9 passer rating).
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56.
Xavier Worthy
WR - KC (at ATL)
Worthy has a 68% route share with a 13.2% target share, a 27.1% air-yard share, 1.52 YPRR, and a 17.5% first-read share. Last week, his route share dropped to 61% while he was still second on the team with a 16% target share and a 21.1% first-read share. Atlanta has the 12th-highest single-high rate this season (58.5%). Against single-high this season, it has been all Rashee Rice, as Worthy has only a 10.7% target share and a 14.3% first-read share. We'll see if that changes this week. Worthy could also get shadow coverage from A.J. Terrell, but that might not be a bad thing. Terrell followed George Pickens and DeVonta Smith on 58-80% of their routes this season, allowing them to secure nine of their 11 targets with 141 receiving yards. Worthy carries a wide range of outcomes this week.
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57.
Javonte Williams
RB - DEN (at TB)
Last week, Payton leaned on Williams as a workhorse back as he played 66% of the snaps with 16 touches and 65 total yards (48 of which came in the passing game). Williams' tackle-breaking hasn't improved this year after further ACL recovery. Among 40 qualifying backs, he hasn't registered an explosive run while ranking 31st in yards after contact per attempt. It hasn't been easy for Williams operating in an offense without the threat of a passing game and behind an offensive line that has the sixth-lowest yards before contact per attempt. Tampa Bay's run defense will be tested this week just to see how truly bad they are. The Bucs' run defense hasn't been great in the early going, which gives Williams some faint hope for Week 3. The Buccaneers have allowed the third-highest explosive run rate and the eighth-highest missed tackle rate while having the third-lowest stuff rate.
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58.
Stefon Diggs
WR - HOU (at MIN)
Diggs is the WR23 in fantasy, with his two touchdowns in Week 1 doing the heavy lifting there. He has secured a 17.6% target share, a 12.3% air-yard share (5.2 aDOT), and a 20.5% first-read share as the team's starting slot. Diggs will face a Minnesota secondary that has deployed two high at the highest rate in the NFL (78.5%). Against two-high, Diggs has been third in the target pecking order with a 12.5% target share and a 16.7% first-read share, each of which fall behind Nico Collins and Tank Dell. Diggs does draw a favorable corner matchup, though, as he will match up with Byron Murphy (78.6% catch rate and 105.4 passer rating) all day.
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59.
Carson Steele
RB - KC (at ATL)
Last week, Steele played 22% of the snaps, with his seven carries producing 24 rushing yards. He should take over the early down role for Kansas City this week. Last week, he handled 38% of the goal-line snaps and 60% of the short-yardage snaps. With his limited work this season, he has produced a 22% missed tackle rate and 2.0 yards after contact per attempt. The Falcons' run defense is a mixed bag so far. They have given up the 12th-lowest explosive run rate and the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt while also having the fifth-lowest stuff rate, the 12th-highest gap yards per carry, and the fifth-highest gap run success rate allowed (Steele 56% gap). Steele could get there this week with volume and a short porch touchdown.
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60.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (vs . WAS)
Higgins looks to be back this week. Last year, he dealt with hamstring issues, missing Weeks 10-12. When he returned in Week 13, he had a 64% route share, a 7.7% target share, a 24.8% air-yard share, 1.33 YPRR, and an 11.1% first-read share. Hopefully, Higgins will be healthier this time around because the matchup is glorious this week. Assuming Higgins is good to go, he should be in your lineups as a WR3. Washington's weak secondary has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to perimeter wide receivers. Higgins will run about 82% of his routes against Benjamin St. Juste (61.1% catch rate and 118.8 passer rating), Noah Igbinoghene (33.3% catch rate and 42.4 passer rating), and Michael Davis (60% catch rate and 103.7 passer rating).
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61.
Calvin Ridley
WR - TEN (vs . GB)
After two games, Ridley is the WR16 with a rushing touchdown in Week 2, helping to pad his fantasy production. He has earned a 21.7% target share, a 60% air-yard share, and a 28.3% first-read share with 2.12 YPRR. Ridley hasn't seen a red zone or end zone target yet. Green Bay has utilized single high on 56.6% of their defensive snaps this year. Among 77 qualifying wide receivers, Ridley ranks 73rd in separation and 51st in route win rate against single high. Ridley could see shadow coverage from Jaire Alexander this week after he followed A.J. Brown on 69% of his routes in Week 1. Brown roasted Alexander with 108 receiving yards and a score. Green Bay didn't have him shadow Michael Pittman in Week 2, so it's up in the air if he does so this week. If Alexander doesn't follow Ridley, he'll run about 83% of his routes against Alexander (55.6% catch rate and 97.9 passer rating) and Eric Stokes (66.7% catch rate and 86.8 passer rating). Green Bay has allowed the sixth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season.
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62.
Trey McBride
TE - ARI (vs . DET)
Trey McBride earned an overall TE2 finish in Week 2. Sort of. The Cardinals tight end scored his first touchdown of the year when he recovered James Conner's fumble in the end zone for a score. Hey, fantasy points are fantasy points. While fantasy managers cannot count on McBride to recover end-zone fumbles, they can rely on his efficient play. McBride secured all six targets in Arizona's blowout win and still would have finished as last week's TE5 without the fluky touchdown. McBride faces the Detroit Lions in Week 3. Detroit's numbers look good against tight ends through two games. But they have yet to be tested by a tight end of McBride's caliber. This game should have plenty of scoring on both sides, and McBride is as good a bet as any to score on Sunday.
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63.
Brock Bowers
TE - LV (vs . CAR)
Through his first two NFL games, rookie Brock Bowers has shown why many considered him to be a generational tight end prospect. The 21-year-old leads all tight ends with 156 receiving yards while catching 15 of 17 targets. Bowers has yet to score, but that may not be the case for long. Bowers will face the Carolina Panthers in Week 3. The Panthers are the only NFL team to allow multiple tight end touchdowns so far in 2024. Bowers and Davante Adams appear to be 1 and 1A in the Raiders' passing game under quarterback Gardner Minshew. Bowers has the potential to be a weekly top-five option at the tight end position if he continues to be so heavily involved.
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64.
D'Onta Foreman
RB - CLE (vs . NYG)
Foreman took the lead in the backfield in Week 2. He played 38% of the snaps, logging 15 touches for 51 total yards. Foreman had a 59% snap rate on rushing plays while playing 60% of the snaps in the red zone. Among 42 qualifying backs, his tackle-breaking ability was suspect at best, ranking 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt and 25th in yards after contact per attempt. That might not matter if he retains this type of workload for Week 3 against a run defense as bad as the Giants. New York has allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-most rushing yards per game, and the second-highest yards after contact per attempt and missed tackle rate. Foreman could be a plug-and-play RB2/3 off the waiver wire this week.
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65.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (at ATL)
I am usually not one for sounding alarm bells in September, but fantasy managers have to be at least a little concerned with the lack of involvement in the passing game from Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce. The Chiefs have not needed to throw the ball a ton thus far, but Patrick Mahomes has only targeted Kelce on seven of 53 pass attempts. Kansas City should have to rely more on Mahomes in the coming weeks, with Isiah Pacheco on Injured Reserve. That should trickle down to Kelce, perhaps as soon as Week 3. Tight ends have caught 11-of-13 targets against the Falcons so far this year. An uptick in volume in a favorable matchup could be just what the fantasy doctor ordered for Kelce.
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66.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR - SEA (vs . MIA)
Well, we finally got to see it. Smith-Njigba was utilized, and he looked like an absolute stud. He had a 36.4% target share, a 47.1% air-yard share, 3.08 YPRR, and a 39.3% first-read share. He was the WR8 for the week in fantasy. Moving forward, Smith-Njigba and Metcalf should lead this passing attack. Miami has utilized single-high on 57.8% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, Smith-Njigba has a 27% target share, 2.14 YPRR, and a 29.6% first-read share. Smith-Njigba should pick on Kader Kohou (75% catch rate and 109.9 passer rating) all game in Week 3. Miami has allowed the eighth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers this season.
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67.
Sam LaPorta
TE - DET (at ARI)
It has been a slow start to the sophomore season for Sam LaPorta. The Lions' tight end has just 58 scoreless yards on eight targets. Week 3 presents a bounce-back spot for last year's top-scoring tight end. LaPorta and the Lions face the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday afternoon. This game should be a back-and-forth affair with plenty of scoring on both sides. LaPorta should be locked into lineups as a TE1 with elite upside.
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68.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR - JAC (at BUF)
Thomas Jr. has been a big play specialist so far this season with his 16.3 aDOT. He has a 15.7% target share, a 23.6% air-yard share, 3.07 YPRR, and a 20.5% first-read share. He is tied for second on the team with one end-zone target. Buffalo has the third-highest rate of two high coverage (69.5%). This year against two-high, Thomas Jr. has a 19% target share, 3.47 YPRR, and a 25% first-read share. Buffalo has been tough on perimeter wide receivers, allowing the second-lowest PPR points per target. If you're flexing Thomas Jr., it's a bet on talent and just maybe one splash play making his fantasy day. He'll run about 73% of his routes against Christian Benford (40% catch rate and 8.3 passer rating) and Rasul Douglas (71.4% catch rate and 90.8 passer rating).
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69.
Jaylen Waddle
WR - MIA (at SEA)
Waddle is the WR29 in fantasy points per game, drawing an 11.8% target share, a 19.3% air-yard share, and a 15.3% first-read share. These are all-around disappointing numbers, but his 2.78 YPRR loudly states that Waddle remains a talented receiver. Thompson starting for the foreseeable future really caps Waddle's upside unless he earns a higher market share in this offense. Waddle is a volatile WR3/flex moving forward until Tua Tagovailoa is possibly back under center. Waddle will run about 82% of his routes against Tariq Woolen (44.4% catch rate and 13.9 passer rating) and Tre Brown (50% catch rate and 68.1 passer rating). Seattle has allowed the lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season.
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70.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (at DAL)
Andrews has disappointed so far this season as the TE15. Last week he did see an uptick in usage with a 14.7% target share, a 21.9% air-yard share, 1.96 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. Andrews route share was a less-than-ideal 68.4%. That's not amazing, but it's workable with his 19% TPRR. It feels like just a matter of time before Andrews breaks out. The talent is still there. Among 38 qualifying tight ends, he ranks second in separation and fourth in route win rate. Dallas has utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 on 52.7% of their defensive snaps this season. Last year, against Cover 3 and Cover 4, Andrews had a 21.4% target share, 2.35 YPRR (team-leading), and a 25.2% first-read share. In Week 1, Dallas allowed David Njoku and Jordan Akins to secure seven of their nine targets for 71 receiving yards.
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71.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (at CIN)
McLaurin is the only receiver that's currently fantasy viable in the Commanders passing attack. He is the only wide receiver that logged at least a 60% route share last week (McLaurin 79%). Last week, his usage bumped up with a 27.6% target share, a 22.9% air-yard share, and a 31.8% first-read share. The problem for McLaurin and this offense is that it is in dink and dunk mode. McLaurin's 0.73 YPRR can be traced to his 3.8 aDOT. It's tough for any wide receiver to produce with basically elongated handoffs every play. I'm not trying to wedge McLaurin into fantasy lineups this week against a secondary that has allowed the 11th-fewest receiving yards to perimeter wide receivers. McLaurin will run about 81% of his routes against Cam Taylor-Britt (50% catch rate and 80.6 passer rating) and Dax Hill (62.5% catch rate and 75 passer rating).
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72.
Diontae Johnson
WR - CAR (at LV)
Johnson has a 21.1% target share, a 21.6% air-yard share, 0.68 YPRR, and a 26.8% first-read share. I expect Dalton to hone in on Johnson this week and feed him. The rest of his numbers outside of his first-read share I'll take with a grain of salt because the level of quarterback play in Carolina through the first two weeks was dreadful. Johnson is back on the WR3/flex radar for this week. Johnson will run about 67% of his routes against Jack Jones (55.6% catch rate and 64.6 passer rating) and Jakorian Bennett (37.5% catch rate and 54.2 passer rating).
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73.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . CHI)
Pittman has had a quiet start to the season as the WR66 in fantasy, while Alec Pierce has been filling up box scores. Pittman is still the clear leader of this receiver room. He has a 28.3% target share and a 31.4% first-read share that he has sadly only turned into 1.0 YPRR and 6.1 fantasy points per game. This week is not cakewalk either. The Bears have allowed the 12th-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season. That won't stop Indy from feeding Pittman more volume this week. Chicago has utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 on 61.1% of their defensive snaps this season. Last year, against Cover 3 & Cover 4, Pittman had a 28.4% target share, 1.96 YPRR, and a 37.5% first-read share. Richardson should be looking for him early and often. Pittman will run about 80% of his routes against Jaylon Johnson (37.5% catch rate and 9.4 passer rating) and Tyrique Stevenson (52.6% catch rate and 71.8 passer rating). Pittman is dealing with back and calf issues, but he is expected to play his usual role for Week 3.
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74.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - LAR (vs . SF)
Robinson has a 14.5% target share, a 31.1% air-yard share, 1.33 YPRR, and a 14.6% first-read share. With Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp sidelined, those numbers should increase dramatically. Robinson has the talent to earn targets at a higher clip. Among 92 qualifying receivers, he is 36th in separation and 16th in route win rate. Robinson is tied for the team lead in end zone targets (two), so Stafford should be looking in his direction in high-leverage situations. The 49ers have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Robinson will run about 61% of his routes against Charvarius Ward (42.9% catch rate and 91.7 passer rating) and Isaac Yiadom (62.5% catch rate and 130.7 passer rating).
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75.
Kyle Pitts
TE - ATL (vs . KC)
Pitts is the TE8 in fantasy points per game with a 12.7% target share, 1.05 YPRR, and a 6.3% first-read share. So far this season, sadly, he has been a distant fourth in the target pecking order. This hopefully corrects itself over time because Pitts route metrics remain solid. Among 38 qualifying tight ends, he is 15th in separation and third in route win rate. Falcons' new offensive coordinator seems like he is still figuring out how he wants to deploy Pitts. In Week 1, he had a 63% slot rate, but in Week 2, he was 55% inline. Kansas City has the second-highest two-high rate in the NFL (71%). Pitts is tied for the team lead with a 22.5% target share against two high. Pitts is another player with a wide range of possible outcomes this week. Last year, Kansas City was tough on tight ends, allowing the ninth-fewest receiving yard and the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game.
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76.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - DAL (vs . BAL)
Elliott lost some early down work last week while retaining his lead on passing down snaps (46% vs. 44%) and in the red zone (67% vs. 22%). Elliott finished with an overall 40% snap rate, eight touches, and 32 total yards. Elliott has yet to bust an explosive run or force a missed tackle, which is gross, especially when paired with his 1.69 yards after contact per attempt. Elliott simply doesn't have anything left in the tank, but Dallas keeps trotting him out there. If Dowdle shows anything in the coming weeks, he can and should take over the majority of the backfield work for Dallas. Elliott remains a touchdown-dependent flex this week with a brutal matchup. Baltimore has allowed the ninth-lowest explosive run rate and the second-best yards after contact per attempt and stuff rate.
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77.
Christian Kirk
WR - JAC (at BUF)
Kirk has been simply dreadful this season. There's no way anyone can feel good about putting him into a lineup right now. He has only a 13.7% target share, a 22.2% air-yard share, 0.59 YPRR, and a 17.9% first-read share as the WR98 in fantasy. It has been wild how far he's fallen from last year's stats. If you are desperate for a flex play this week, the coverage matchup dictates that he should be utilized this week. Buffalo has the third-highest rate of two high coverage (69.5%). This year against two-high, Kirk has a 19% target share, a 40.9% air-yard share, and a 25% first-read share.
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78.
Austin Ekeler
RB - WAS (at CIN)
Ekeler has been a viable, if not strong, flex play after two weeks. He has averaged a 48% snap rate with 8.5 touches and 73.5 total yards per game. His snap rates haven't changed much overall to when the Commanders have been trailing, so even if we project Washington to trail for much of this game, it won't bump up Ekeler. Ekeler has logged a 20% missed tackle forced rate and 2.3 yards after contact per attempt, which aren't bad metrics at all, even with the small early down sample size. The Bengals were tough against receiving backs last year, allowing the seventh-fewest receiving yards and the 10th-fewest receptions. This is a week to sit Ekeler.
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79.
Khalil Shakir
WR - BUF (vs . JAC)
This is a good matchup for Shakir in the slot. He has a 19% target share, 2.74 YPRR, and a 16.7% first-read share this season. His per-route efficiency has never been in question, just his target drawing ability, but we are seeing that expand some this season. Although the Bills have been so run-centric, it has limited all of their passing weapons. If Allen throws more this week, Shakir should have a solid day. Shakir will run about 77% of his routes against Jarrian Jones (75% catch rate and 108.9 passer rating). The Jaguars are 15th in receiving yards allowed to the slot.
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80.
Jaylen Warren
RB - PIT (vs . LAC)
Oh, what a difference a week can make. In Week 1, this Pittsburgh backfield looked like it belonged to Harris. Warren had something to say about that in Week 2. His snap rate increased from 31% to 48% as he had 11 touches and 61 total yards. He led the way on passing downs with a 54% snap rate, and he dominated the red zone work with a 66% snap rate. The reality is this will be a fluid headache all year, as Arthur Smith loves to torture fantasy managers with his hijinx. Warren's tackle-breaking metrics state that he still isn't 100%, as he has yet to bust an explosive run or force a missed tackle despite ranking 18th in yards after contact per attempt. This is a tough matchup for Warren to improve his rushing efficiency. The Chargers have given up the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, the fourth-lowest missed tackle rate, and the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game.
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81.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (at TB)
Sutton has been a volume magnet, but the quality of that volume has rendered him useless in fantasy. He is the WR71 in fantasy points per game despite a 20.8% target share, a 41.7% air-yard share, and a 24.1% first-read share. Only 37.5% of his targets have been deemed catchable. That is an insane statistic. Sadly, Sutton also hasn't done a good job of getting open. Among 92 qualifying receivers, Sutton ranks 90th in separation and 77th in route win rate. Sutton is borderline droppable at this point, but I understand holding him on a roster because of the volume. He's definitely not startable, though.
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82.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - CLE (vs . NYG)
Jeudy should lead the way for the Browns aerial attack this week. Jeudy has a 17.7% target share, a 32.1% air-yard share, 1.29 YPRR, and a 19% first-read share as the WR30 in fantasy. On paper, this looks like a "Jerry Jeudy week." The Giants have utilized two-high at the fifth-highest rate (53.1%) this season. Against two-high, Jeudy has been the go-to receiver through two games with a 20% target share, a 52.3% air-yard share, and a 25% first-read share. Among 54 qualifying receivers against two high, Jeudy ranks 23rd in route win rate and 24th in separation. Jeudy will run about 60% of his routes against Andru Phillips (77.8% catch rate and 79.6 passer rating) and Deonte Banks (63.6% catch rate and 127.1 passer rating). New York has allowed the sixth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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83.
Gabe Davis
WR - JAC (at BUF)
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84.
Rico Dowdle
RB - DAL (vs . BAL)
Last week, Dowdle led the backfield with a 43% snap rate, 11 touches, and 59 total yards as the RB28 in fantasy. He led the way with 45% of the rushing down snaps while losing the battle to Elliott on passing downs (44% vs. 46%) and in the red zone (22% vs. 67%). Dowdle still hasn't broken an explosive run or forced a missed tackle while recording 2.0 yards after contact per attempt. Those numbers aren't great by any stretch, but they are still better than Elliott's 2024 resume. We could continue to see Dowdle eat into Elliott's work as we move through the season. Dowdle and Elliott are nothing more than touchdown-dependent flex plays this week. Baltimore has allowed the ninth-lowest explosive run rate and the second-best yards after contact per attempt and stuff rate.
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85.
Ty Chandler
RB - MIN (vs . HOU)
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86.
Samaje Perine
RB - KC (at ATL)
If you picked up Perine off of waivers, hold him on your roster, but don't start him this week. Perine has played 14-15% of snaps this season, with his only contributions coming from the passing game (1.5 targets per game and 6.5 receiving yards per game). He didn't play any early down snaps last week. He did have 80% of the third down snaps and 33% of the two-minute drill work. His role has to expand before he's a possibility for fantasy lineups. The Falcons have allowed the fifth-fewest receptions and the ninth-fewest receiving yards to backs this season.
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87.
Brandin Cooks
WR - DAL (vs . BAL)
Cooks is the WR44 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 12.2% target share, a 15.4% air-yard share, and a 13.7% first-read share with 0.98 YPRR. This season, Baltimore has utilized two high at the eighth-highest rate (51.4%). This season, against two high, Cooks only has a 4.5% target share and zero first-read looks. If Cooks hits this week, it will be because of his role in the deep passing game. He is second on the team in deep passing targets (two). This season, Baltimore has seen the 11th-most deep attempts while surrendering the sixth-most deep passing yards and the second-highest adjusted completion rate for deep targets. Among 92 qualifying receivers, Cooks is 27th in separation and 38th in route win rate. He will run about 76% of his routes against Brandon Stephens (77.8% catch rate and 118.8 passer rating) and Marlon Humphrey (61.5% catch rate and 64.6 passer rating).
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88.
Gus Edwards
RB - LAC (at PIT)
Edwards is a middling flex play weekly. He has averaged 45% of the snaps with 15 touches and 43 total yards per game. Among 40 qualifying backs, he has yet to break an explosive run or forced a missed tackle, while he ranks 33rd in yards after contact per attempt. He plays on only 30% of passing downs, while he does have a 47% snap rate in the red zone. Expect a similar stat line in Week 3 to the ones he has posted thus far this season. Pittsburgh's run defense has allowed the 10th-highest missed tackle rate and the 14th-highest yards after contact per attempt.
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89.
Bucky Irving
RB - TB (vs . DEN)
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90.
Rome Odunze
WR - CHI (at IND)
Odunze is playing through a sprained MCL. Last week, he had an 83% route share while drawing a 13.5% target share, a 28% air-yard share, and an 18.2% first-read share with 0.83 YPRR and one end zone target. If Odunze is a full go again this week, he could have a strong outing, assuming his knee allows him to play in the same area code as his usual effectiveness. He's been solid on a per-route basis. Among 86 qualifying wide receivers, Odunze is 30th in separation and 31st in route win rate. Odunze will run about 66% of his routes against Jaylon Jones (70% catch rate and 112.1 passer rating), Dallis Flowers (career: 59.3% catch rate and 107.0 passer rating), and Samuel Womack lll (career: 77.8% catch rate and 115.0 passer rating). Indy has allowed the fifth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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91.
Jayden Reed
WR - GB (at TEN)
Reed is the only Packers receiver who can be considered flex-worthy with Willis under center. That's not because of his pass-game usage but his rushing utility. "Dairy belt Deebo Samuel" has averaged 35 rushing yards through two games this season. Last week, Reed had a 14.3% target share (two targets) and a 77% route share. Only he and Doubs had route shares of at least 70%. Reed will see Roger McCreary (66.7% catch rate and 70.1 passer rating) in coverage all day. The Titans have allowed the third-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
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92.
Ladd McConkey
WR - LAC (at PIT)
McConkey is the WR42 in fantasy, drawing a 23.9% target share, a 29% air-yard share, and a 19.2% first-read share with 1.86 YPRR. He's tied for second on the team with one end-zone target. Among 92 qualifying receivers, he ranks 62nd in separation and 47th in route win rate. McConkey does have a good corner matchup this week, as he'll run about 65% of his routes against Beanie Bishop Jr. (87.5% catch rate and 143.2 passer rating). Joshua Palmer or Quentin Johnston will draw shadow coverage from Joey Porter Jr., which should push more target volume to McConkey this week.
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93.
Dalton Kincaid
TE - BUF (vs . JAC)
Kincaid saw more action last week with a 70% route share, but the game got out of hand quickly, and the Bills didn't have to throw after that point. Last week, he had a 21.1% target share with 2.36 YPRR and a 50% first-read share. The Bills were trying to get him going. The problem is this offense is so run-heavy now, and the defense is amazing, so it has been limiting Kincaid and others' passing volume. If the Bills are forced to pass, Kincaid should have a juicy stat line this week. Last year, Jacksonville allowed the ninth-most receiving yards and the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends.
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94.
Alexander Mattison
RB - LV (vs . CAR)
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95.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (vs . MIA)
Lockett took a backseat last week to Metcalf and Smith-Njigba, and that's likely the rotation for the rest of the season for this passing attack. Lockett had a 75% route share, but he only saw a 4.5% target share. Hold Lockett on the back-end of benches for now, but he could easily be droppable after Week 3.
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96.
Jauan Jennings
WR - SF (at LAR)
Last week, Jennings had a 66% route share, an 8.3% target share, and an 11.5% first-read share. With Deebo Samuel out and George Kittle likely out (doubtful), Jennings gets elevated this week. He should be leaned on alongside Aiyuk this week. The Rams have the ninth-highest rate of single-high (59.6%). This year against single-high, Jennings has an 18% TPRR and 2.59 YPRR. Jennings is a solid flex this week against a secondary that has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers.
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97.
Darnell Mooney
WR - ATL (vs . KC)
Last week, Mooney popped off with a WR18 finish with a 24.1% target share, a 45.3% air-yard share, 2.93 YPRR, and a 26.7% first-read share. He was seventh in separation and third in route win rate against 69 qualifying receivers. His downfield skill set (15.1 aDOT last week) doesn't lend itself to this week's matchup. Last year Kansas City allowed the 11th-lowest passer rating and the seventh-lowest CPOE to deep passing. This fits with their two high coverage approach (second-highest two high usage, 71% of snaps). Mooney will run about 56% of his routes against Trent McDuffie (42.9% catch rate and 53.3 passer rating) and Jaylen Watson (63.6% catch rate and 135.4 passer rating). Sit Mooney this week.
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98.
Keon Coleman
WR - BUF (vs . JAC)
Which version of Coleman's usage do we get in Week 3? He has eclipsed 80% route shares in each game, but he only drew one target in Week 2 as the game script went sideways quickly. In Week 1, Coleman led the team with a 21.7% target share, a 28.1% air-yard share, 1.96 YPRR, and a 31.3% first-read share. This is a good matchup for get Coleman, Shakir, Kincaid, or all of them going. The question every week now is how much passing volume we get from Buffalo and what matchup Joe Brady wants to lean on. It has become an unsettling dice roll with an offense that we previously never had to question passing volume with. Coleman will match up against Ronald Darby (70% catch rate and 145.8 passer rating) and Montaric Brown (71.4% catch rate and 82.1 passer rating) all day.
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99.
Braelon Allen
RB - NYJ (vs . NE)
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100.
Chase Brown
RB - CIN (vs . WAS)
Brown is a hold on rosters as a solid handcuff, but he's not playable in fantasy right now. Brown has only averaged a 27% snap rate with five touches and 27 total yards per game. He has only a 20.8% red zone snap rate, so we can't even hold out hope for a random touchdown. His usage has to increase for him to be viable for fantasy lineups.
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101.
Isaiah Likely
TE - BAL (at DAL)
Likely returns to bench status. Yes, I remember his wonderful Week 1 outing, but last week, he only had a 44.7% route share and 8.9% target share. Those aren't numbers we can trust in fantasy weekly. Could he bounce back in Week 3? It's possible, but I worry he continues to see a part-time route share, and Week 1 could be an anomaly this year. Dallas has utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 on 52.7% of their defensive snaps this season. Last year, against Cover 3 and Cover 4, Likely had a 15% TPRR and only 1.48 YPRR. Sit Likely this week.
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102.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI (at NO)
Goedert is the TE13, drawing a 13.1% target share and 15.8% first-read share with only 1.21 YPRR. Goedert has drawn one red zone target through two games (fourth on the team). Among 30 qualifying tight ends, he ranks 16th in separation and sixth in route win rate. He faces a Saints defense that was 17th in receiving yards allowed to tight ends while also giving up the second-most receiving touchdowns (tied). They also held tight ends to the 11th-fewest receptions. It's best viewed as an average to slightly below-average matchup.
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103.
Tyjae Spears
RB - TEN (vs . GB)
Spears didnât practice on Wednesday (ankle) and was limited the rest of the week. Spears has averaged 39% of the snaps with eight touches and 31.5 total yards. He has only had one red zone touch this season. The matchup is good, but with his limited volume and balky ankle, Iâm sitting Spears for Week 3. I get it if youâre in desperation mode in a deep league and have to flex him, but youâre praying that he gets into the end zone to pay off. The Packers have given up the second-highest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt with the 12th-most rushing yards per game.
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104.
Quentin Johnston
WR - LAC (at PIT)
Johnston is the WR24 in fantasy, riding high on his two-touchdown performance last week. He has earned a 23.9% target share, a 39.3% air-yard share, and a 38.5% first-read share as the clear number one for the Bolts. He has produced 2.17 YPRR, while his per-route metrics remain nasty. Among 92 qualifying receivers, he is 78th in separation and 81st in route win rate. Johnston will likely come back to earth this week as he will likely draw shadow coverage from Joey Porter Jr. (60% catch rate and 79.6 passer rating). Porter Jr. followed Drake London and Courtland Sutton so far this season on 65-69% of their routes, holding them to a combined 33 yards receiving. Sit Johnston this week.
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105.
Jake Ferguson
TE - DAL (vs . BAL)
Ferguson managed limited sessions in practice all week before getting upgraded to a full walkthrough practice on Friday. He doesn't have an injury designation for Week 3, but that doesn't mean that he'll be a full-time player this week. Last week, Luke Schoonmaker and Brevyn Spann-Ford split up the full-time tight-end duties. Schoonmaker had a 30.4% route share with a 14.3% target share. We could see Ferguson split the work with Spann-Ford and Schoonmaker as he's eased back in. Last year, Baltimore allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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106.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - LV (vs . CAR)
This passing offense has been all Adams and Bowers so far. Meyers has been an afterthought with an 11.3% target share, a 20.3% air-yard share, 1.36 YPRR, and an 11.1% first-read share. The matchup isn't good enough to worry about Meyers as a flex this week. Carolina has utilized single-high at the second-highest rate in the NFL (72.9%). Against single-high, Meyers numbers still aren't great, with 1.32 YPRR and a 15% first-read share. There are better flex plays to target this week for your lineups.
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107.
Tyler Johnson
WR - LAR (vs . SF)
Johnson is tough to play this week. Despite being a full-time player in Week 1 after the Rams were struck by injury, his routes were cut in Week 2. After Cooper Kupp left the game in the first half, in the third quarter when the Rams' still had their starters in a blowout game, Johnson only had a 50% route share as he was splitting snaps with Tutu Atwell while Demarcus Robinson and Jordan Whittington were full-time players. Hold Johnson on the end of your bench this week but he's impossible to start in Week 3.
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108.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (at DAL)
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109.
Alec Pierce
WR - IND (vs . CHI)
Pierce has been excellent so far this season. He has seen an 80% route share with a 20.8% target share, a 39.4% air-yard share, 3.62 YPRR, and a 20% first-read share. He should retain his full-time perimeter receiver role this week as Downs and Mitchell squabble over slot snaps. Chicago has utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 on 61.1% of their defensive snaps this season. Against these coverages, Pierce has a 15% target share, 5.17 YPRR, and a 13.3% first-read share. Pierce remains a solid flex play this week with a high ceiling despite the tough matchup. The Bears have allowed the 12th-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season. Pierce will run about 70% of his routes against Jaylon Johnson (37.5% catch rate and 9.4 passer rating) and Tyrique Stevenson (52.6% catch rate and 71.8 passer rating).
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110.
Jalen Nailor
WR - MIN (vs . HOU)
Nailor has been a pleasant surprise so far this season as the WR33 in fantasy. Last week he was a full-time player with an 81% route share, a 15.4% target share, a 33.2% air-yard share, and a 16.7% first-read share. Among 84 qualifying wide receivers, he ranks 30th in YPRR (2.03), fourth in separation, and seventh in route win rate. Those are impressive stats for a player who had consistent positive buzz coming out of training camp. Nailor has a tough task for Week 2 as he'll run about 73% of his routes against Kamari Lassiter (30% catch rate and 0.0 passer rating) and Derek Stingley Jr. (61.5% catch rate and 45.7 passer rating). Houston has allowed the 14th-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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111.
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB - DEN (at TB)
Payton is floundering, looking for answers to his putrid offense. One of the moves he made last week was to lean on Williams more and malign McLaughlin. McLaughlin saw his snap rate drop to 28%, and he only had three touches, which he produced six yards with. McLaughlin is a hold if possible, but if you need the bench space, he is droppable. It's tough for a player that, on a per-touch basis, has been better than Williams, but the offense is on life support, and the offensive-minded head coach doesn't seem to have any answers to reverse the course.
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112.
Adam Thielen
WR - CAR (at LV)
We have to see how many weapons Dalton can support before chasing tertiary weapons in the Carolina passing attack in any week. Thielen has only a 12.3% target share, a 20.3% air-yard share, 1.30 YPRR, and a 14.6% first-read share. Among 92 qualifying wide receivers, he ranks 47th in separation and 90th in route win rate. If his per-route metrics offered a little more hope, I could make at least some conceivable case for Thielen, but it's not there for Week 3.
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113.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - TEN (vs . GB)
Hopkins still isn't 100%, and with Levis playing like one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL, it's impossible to trust him in a fantasy lineup. Last week, Hopkins only had a 45% route share while drafting only two targets (7.1% target share). That's not enough playing time to consider him for a flex or WR3 spot. Hopefully, his playing time will increase in Week 3, but I need to see it first before trusting him in this offense.
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114.
Antonio Gibson
RB - NE (at NYJ)
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115.
Tyler Allgeier
RB - ATL (vs . KC)
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116.
Jordan Whittington
WR - LAR (vs . SF)
I'm not starting Whittington in fantasy this week, but he's worth a pickup for your bench. In the third quarter of last week's game, he had a 100% route share and a 14.3% target share. With the Rams roster quickly being decimated by injuries, Whittington could emerge as a weekly flex play.
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117.
Andrei Iosivas
WR - CIN (vs . WAS)
Iosivas hasn't seen the production so far that many had hoped to this point. Despite having a 90% route share, he has only managed a 15.4% target share, 0.49 YPRR, and a 16.7% first-read share. This can be traced to his lack of efficiency on a per-route basis. Among 92 qualifying wide receivers, he ranks 56th in separation and 76th in route win rate. That could change this week against Washington's weak secondary that has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to perimeter wide receivers. Iosivas will run about 68% of his routes against Benjamin St. Juste (61.1% catch rate and 118.8 passer rating), Noah Igbinoghene (33.3% catch rate and 42.4 passer rating), and Michael Davis (60% catch rate and 103.7 passer rating).
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118.
Hunter Henry
TE - NE (at NYJ)
After Henry's monster Week 2 game, overall this season, he has a 27.5% target share, a 31.6% air-yard share, 2.40 YPRR, and a 25% first-read share. Henry has one of only two end zone targets for the team this season. Henry should follow up that insane game with another solid showing in Week 3. The New York Jets have the seventh-highest rate of two high (51.7%). Last year against two high, among 38 qualifying tight ends, Henry ranked fourth in separation and second in route win rate. Last season, New York allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving touchdowns (tied) to tight ends.
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119.
Miles Sanders
RB - CAR (at LV)
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120.
Greg Dortch
WR - ARI (vs . DET)
Dortch saw his route share drop to 42% in Week 2 as he saw only a 9.5% target share and a 13.3% first-read share. With his playing time fluctuating wildly week to week, he's tough to trust in a fantasy lineup. He's droppable if you have a strong name available on the waiver wire.
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121.
Christian Watson
WR - GB (at TEN)
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122.
Allen Lazard
WR - NYJ (vs . NE)
After a banner Week 1 performance, Lazard predictably came crashing back to earth. He had a 67% route share in Week 2 with a 13.3% target share, a 31.5% air-yard share, 0.50 YPRR, and a 15.8% first-read share (third on the team). Lazard ran about 55% of his routes from the slot in Week 2. Through two weeks of action, New England is ninth in two-high rate (50.6%). Against two-high, Lazard has been heavily involved with a 22.6% target share, a 43.7% air-yard share, 1.84 YPRR, and a 26.1% first-read share (second on the team). With Christian Gonzalez likely glued to Garrett Wilson all game, Lazard will see Marcus Jones (69.2% catch rate and 84.5 passer rating) and Jonathan Jones (60% catch rate and 74.6 passer rating) all day. Don't be surprised if Lazard bounces back with another solid (flex-worthy) outing for Week 3.
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123.
Romeo Doubs
WR - GB (at TEN)
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124.
Khalil Herbert
RB - CHI (at IND)
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125.
Josh Reynolds
WR - DEN (at TB)
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126.
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR - NYG (at CLE)
Robinson's wondrous Week 1 volume dried up instantly. In Week 2, he had a 14.3% target share, 0.86 YPRR, and only a 13.6% first-read share. This passing offense is pretty much Nabers and everyone else left fighting for scraps weekly. Sit Robinson against a Browns' secondary that has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
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127.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
WR - ATL (vs . KC)
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128.
Michael Wilson
WR - ARI (vs . DET)
Wilson has been an afterthought in this passing attack as Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride, and sometimes Greg Dortch have been the target earners. Wilson has only a 7.7% target share and an 8.3% first-read share. He's droppable at this point.
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129.
Rashod Bateman
WR - BAL (at DAL)
Bateman remains only a dart throw flex for fantasy. He has a 12% target share, a 28.2% air-yard share, 1.26 YPRR, and a 11.1% first-read share. He leads the team in deep targets (three) with his 17.7 aDOT. Dallas has allowed the ninth highest passer rating and the ninth-most deep passing yards so far this season. Lamar Jackson and Bateman have to connect on a deep toss this week for him to pay off. Bateman will run about 93% of his routes against Trevon Diggs (70% catch rate and 46.7 passer rating) and Caelen Carson (63.6% catch rate and 115.7 passer rating).
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130.
Zach Ertz
TE - WAS (at CIN)
Ertz is the TE9 in fantasy points per game with a 15.1% target share, a 30.1% air-yard share, 1.76 YPRR, and a 20% first-read share. Among 38 qualifying tight ends, he ranks 18th in separation and fifth in route win rate. Ertz is a wonderful streamer this week and should be ranked as a low-end TE1. Last year, Cincy allowed the second-most receiving yards and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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131.
Dalton Schultz
TE - HOU (at MIN)
Schultz has seen his volume dry up this season with the arrival of Stefon Diggs. Through two games, Schultz has only had an 8.8% target share, a 7.7% first-read share, and 0.66 YPRR. Those are tough numbers to depend on for your fantasy lineups. I'm not saying to drop him yet, but it's getting close to that time. Schultz is a must-sit this week against a pass defense that allowed the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game (tied) and the 10th-fewest receiving yards to tight ends.
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132.
Jalen Tolbert
WR - DAL (vs . BAL)
Tolbert took a step last week toward cementing himself as the WR2 in this passing attack. Against a talented Saints secondary, he led the team with a 19% target share, a 31.8% air-yard share, and a 26.9% first-read share while producing 2.16 YPRR. Last week, among 69 qualifying receivers, he ranked 26th in separation and 23rd in route win rate. This season, Baltimore has utilized two high at the eighth-highest rate (51.4%). This season, against two high, Tolbert has a 21% TPRR and a 40% first-read share (second on the team). He also has had a role in the deep passing attack with one deep target. This season, Baltimore has seen the 11th-most deep attempts while surrendering the sixth-most deep passing yards and the second-highest adjusted completion rate for deep targets. Tolbert is a stronger flex play that people realize as they will shy away from the Baltimore secondary on principle. He will run about 65% of his routes against Brandon Stephens (77.8% catch rate and 118.8 passer rating) and Marlon Humphrey (61.5% catch rate and 64.6 passer rating).
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133.
Mike Gesicki
TE - CIN (vs . WAS)
Last week, Gesicki led the three-way Bengals tight end committee with a 53% route share with a 25% target share, a 22.6% air-yard share, 4.14 YPRR, and a 32% first-read share. Those per-route numbers are nearly impossible for Gesicki to replicate weekly, but it's a good sign that he will be involved in the passing attack when on the field. Last year, Washington allowed the ninth-fewest receptions and the fifth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends.
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134.
Elijah Moore
WR - CLE (vs . NYG)
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135.
Pat Freiermuth
TE - PIT (vs . LAC)
Freiermuth is the TE10 in fantasy, drawing an 18.6% target share and 19.4% first-read share with 1.74 YPRR. Among 38 qualifying tight ends, Freiermuth ranks 12th in YPRR and leads the group in separation and route win rate. He has a plus matchup this week against the Bolts, who allowed the 12th-most receiving yards to tight ends and so far have given up the fourth-most receptions to the position in 2024.
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136.
Mike Williams
WR - NYJ (vs . NE)
Williams saw his snap rate jump from 18% in Week 1 to 65% against the Titans. It only amounted to one target in the passing attack, but the bigger takeaway is that he could be a full-time player by Week 4 or Week 5. He remains unstartable in fantasy for Week 3, but he should be stashed on rosters where you can. This passing attack is extremely consolidated, and Williams could see a consistent 20% target share once he is fully up to speed.
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137.
Jalen McMillan
WR - TB (vs . DEN)
With Patrick Surtain likely to shadow Mike Evans this week, McMillan could see some extra volume. McMillan has a 10.2% target share, a 29.7% air-yard share, 1.26 YPRR, and a 10.5% first-read share. Among 92 qualifying receivers, McMillan ranks 54th in separation and 23rd in route win rate. If Surtain is on Evans the entire day, McMillan will see Riley Moss (72.7% catch rate and 92.2 passer rating) on the perimeter all day.
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138.
Colby Parkinson
TE - LAR (vs . SF)
Parkinson has had an 80% route share, but he hasn't been drawing volume. He only has a 9.2% target share, 0.88 YPRR, and an 8.3% first-read share. Parkinson could get more target volume with all of the injuries hitting this receiving depth chart, but he is more likely Cade Otton 2.0. Otton was a player that we streamed when the matchup was right last year. Parkinson could be that type of tight end this year, but sadly, the matchup isn't good this week. Last year, the 49ers were 18th in receiving yards allowed to tight ends while giving up the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to the position.
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139.
Tank Bigsby
RB - JAC (at BUF)
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140.
Jamaal Williams
RB - NO (vs . PHI)
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141.
Ja'Lynn Polk
WR - NE (at NYJ)
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142.
Josh Downs
WR - IND (vs . CHI)
Downs is practicing in full this week and is set to make his 2024 debut. I worry that Indy won't rush him back to a full complement of snaps with Adonai Mitchell as their starting slot receiver in his absence. We could see Downs, and Mitchell split the role in his first week back. Sit Downs this week.
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143.
Tutu Atwell
WR - LAR (vs . SF)
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144.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (at IND)
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145.
Noah Fant
TE - SEA (vs . MIA)
Fant is only a touchdown-dependent streaming tight end this season. He has only a 10.1% target share, a 10.9% first-read share, 0.50 YPRR, and has averaged 12.5 receiving yards per game. He has one end-zone target this year. Miami is a good matchup to consider him if you're desperate. Last year, Miami allowed the 11th-most receiving yards and the sixth-most receiving touchdowns to tight ends.
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146.
Adonai Mitchell
WR - IND (vs . CHI)
My slot snap concerns this week for Indy start with Josh Downs and continue with Mitchell. Last week, Mitchell had only a 65% route share as he split the role with Ashton Dulin. That could easily happen again this week, except with Downs eating into his snapshare even more. Last week, Mitchell only saw an 11.8% target share and a 17.6% first-read share while working from the slot with Dulin breathing down his neck. That's not enough usage, especially if Mitchell's route share drops to 40-50% this week. Sit Mitchell until we have further clarity with this receiver rotation.
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147.
Juwan Johnson
TE - NO (vs . PHI)
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148.
Greg Dulcich
TE - DEN (at TB)
|
149.
Trey Benson
RB - ARI (vs . DET)
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150.
Jahan Dotson
WR - PHI (at NO)
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151.
Jonnu Smith
TE - MIA (at SEA)
Smith is a shaky matchup-based tight-end streamer this week. It's asking a lot of Skylar Thompson to support multiple weapons, but the matchup is right to consider him. Last week, Smith's usage ticked up with a 61% route share, a 17.9% target share, 1.96 YPRR, and a 19.4% first-read share. Seattle has been giving to tight ends in each of the last two seasons. Last year, they allowed the seventh-most receiving yards and the 13th-most receptions to the position. So far this season, they have given up the fifth-most receiving yards and the sixth-most receptions. Hunter Henry destroyed them last week.
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152.
Xavier Legette
WR - CAR (at LV)
|
153.
Emanuel Wilson
RB - GB (at TEN)
|
154.
Ray Davis
RB - BUF (vs . JAC)
|
155.
DeMario Douglas
WR - NE (at NYJ)
|
156.
Tyler Conklin
TE - NYJ (vs . NE)
Conklin has been an afterthought in the Jets offense. This season, he has a pitiful 5.1% target share with a grand total of 3.6 PPR points scored. He's droppable at this point and not close to being on the fantasy radar. Last year, the Patriots allowed the fewest fantasy points per game and the second-fewest receiving yards to tight ends.
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157.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (at CLE)
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158.
Curtis Samuel
WR - BUF (vs . JAC)
Samuel remains unplayable in fantasy. Last week, he still wasn't a full-time player, with only a 40% route share. Maybe that increases in Week 3, but we have to see it first before we consider dropping him into our fantasy lineups.
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159.
Cade Otton
TE - TB (vs . DEN)
Otton is droppable these days. He has only an 8.2% target share, 0.11 YPRR, and a 10.5% first-read share. He has averaged 0.6 PPR points per game. Denver has the 11th-highest single-high rate (59.3%). Otton has 0.06 fantasy points per route run against single-high this season.
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160.
Tyler Boyd
WR - TEN (vs . GB)
Boyd is a must-sit until Levis displays the ability to sustain more than Ridley in this passing attack. Boyd has seen a 16.7% target share and a 21.7% first-read share, producing only 0.75 YPRR, 22 receiving yards per game, and 0.16 fantasy points per route run. Boyd is the WR77 in fantasy points per game. Green Bay has allowed the fourth-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
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161.
Dontayvion Wicks
WR - GB (at TEN)
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162.
Chig Okonkwo
TE - TEN (vs . GB)
Okonkwo is droppable. In a struggling passing attack, he has only a 47% route share and 8.3% target share. He also has an anemic 0.91 YPRR and 15.5 receiving yards per game.
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163.
Tucker Kraft
TE - GB (at TEN)
Kraft again led the tight end room with a 53% route share in Week 2 and a 14.3% target share. Sadly, though, that target share only amounted to two targets. Kraft is only a stash at this point. We have seen his upside in this offense as the starter, which is a weekly TE1. Until Love is back or the offense sees some more passing volume, there's just no way to trust him in a fantasy lineup. Volume is king, and there's none to be had through the air in Green Bay right now. Last year, Tennessee allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends.
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164.
Brenton Strange
TE - JAC (at BUF)
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165.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - HOU (at MIN)
|
166.
Jaylen Wright
RB - MIA (at SEA)
|
167.
Jordan Akins
TE - CLE (vs . NYG)
|
168.
Noah Brown
WR - WAS (at CIN)
|
169.
Blake Corum
RB - LAR (vs . SF)
|
170.
Hayden Hurst
TE - LAC (at PIT)
|
171.
K.J. Osborn
WR - NE (at NYJ)
|
172.
Luke McCaffrey
WR - WAS (at CIN)
|
173.
Gerald Everett
TE - CHI (at IND)
|
174.
Jonathan Mingo
WR - CAR (at LV)
|
175.
Mack Hollins
WR - BUF (vs . JAC)
|
176.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB - NYG (at CLE)
|
177.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . JAC)
|
178.
Brandon Powell
WR - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
179.
Ja'Tavion Sanders
TE - CAR (at LV)
|
180.
DeAndre Carter
WR - CHI (at IND)
|
181.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB - MIA (at SEA)
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182.
Foster Moreau
TE - NO (vs . PHI)
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183.
Isaac Guerendo
RB - SF (at LAR)
|
184.
Tre Tucker
WR - LV (vs . CAR)
|
185.
Kenneth Gainwell
RB - PHI (at NO)
|
186.
Trey Sermon
RB - IND (vs . CHI)
|
187.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (at LAR)
|
188.
Emari Demercado
RB - ARI (vs . DET)
|
189.
Johnny Mundt
TE - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
190.
Britain Covey
WR - PHI (at NO)
|
191.
Van Jefferson
WR - PIT (vs . LAC)
|
192.
Eric Saubert
TE - SF (at LAR)
|
193.
Luke Musgrave
TE - GB (at TEN)
|
194.
Dyami Brown
WR - WAS (at CIN)
|
195.
Kalif Raymond
WR - DET (at ARI)
|
196.
Nelson Agholor
WR - BAL (at DAL)
|
197.
Ty Johnson
RB - BUF (vs . JAC)
|
198.
Justin Watson
WR - KC (at ATL)
|
199.
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR - DEN (at TB)
|
200.
Jermaine Burton
WR - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
201.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR - DEN (at TB)
|
202.
Jacob Cowing
WR - SF (at LAR)
|
203.
Ronnie Rivers
RB - LAR (vs . SF)
|
204.
Kenny McIntosh
RB - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
205.
Kylen Granson
TE - IND (vs . CHI)
|
206.
Luke Schoonmaker
TE - DAL (vs . BAL)
|
207.
Calvin Austin III
WR - PIT (vs . LAC)
|
208.
Trenton Irwin
WR - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
209.
Treylon Burks
WR - TEN (vs . GB)
|
210.
Cedric Tillman
WR - CLE (vs . NYG)
|
211.
Keaontay Ingram
RB - KC (at ATL)
|
212.
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB - PIT (vs . LAC)
|
213.
Deuce Vaughn
RB - DAL (vs . BAL)
|
214.
Theo Johnson
TE - NYG (at CLE)
|
215.
Chris Conley
WR - SF (at LAR)
|
216.
Tyquan Thornton
WR - NE (at NYJ)
|
217.
D'Ernest Johnson
RB - JAC (at BUF)
|
218.
Noah Gray
TE - KC (at ATL)
|
219.
Roschon Johnson
RB - CHI (at IND)
|
220.
Jalin Hyatt
WR - NYG (at CLE)
|
221.
Erick All Jr.
TE - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
222.
Michael Mayer
TE - LV (vs . CAR)
|
223.
Tim Patrick
WR - DET (at ARI)
|
224.
Tommy Tremble
TE - CAR (at LV)
|
225.
Will Dissly
TE - LAC (at PIT)
|
226.
Will Shipley
RB - PHI (at NO)
|
227.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - LV (vs . CAR)
|
228.
Eric Gray
RB - NYG (at CLE)
|
229.
Tyler Goodson
RB - IND (vs . CHI)
|
230.
Ronnie Bell
WR - SF (at LAR)
|
231.
KaVontae Turpin
WR - DAL (vs . BAL)
|
232.
Derius Davis
WR - LAC (at PIT)
|
233.
Braxton Berrios
WR - MIA (at SEA)
|
234.
Elijah Higgins
TE - ARI (vs . DET)
|
235.
Josh Oliver
TE - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
236.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WR - WAS (at CIN)
|
237.
Jalen Brooks
WR - DAL (vs . BAL)
|
238.
Alec Ingold
RB - MIA (at SEA)
|
239.
Josh Whyle
TE - TEN (vs . GB)
|
240.
Tyler Badie
RB - DEN (at TB)
|
241.
Cade Stover
TE - HOU (at MIN)
|
242.
Johnny Wilson
WR - PHI (at NO)
|
243.
Trey Palmer
WR - TB (vs . DEN)
|
244.
Jordan Mims
RB - NO (vs . PHI)
|
245.
Austin Hooper
TE - NE (at NYJ)
|
246.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
247.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . CHI)
|
248.
Simi Fehoko
WR - LAC (at PIT)
|
249.
Luke Farrell
TE - JAC (at BUF)
|
250.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
WR - NO (vs . PHI)
|
251.
Darnell Washington
TE - PIT (vs . LAC)
|
252.
Parker Washington
WR - JAC (at BUF)
|
253.
Grant Calcaterra
TE - PHI (at NO)
|
254.
Michael Burton
RB - DEN (at TB)
|
255.
Patrick Ricard
RB - BAL (at DAL)
|
256.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - KC (at ATL)
|
257.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
WR - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
258.
Raheem Blackshear
RB - CAR (at LV)
|
259.
C.J. Ham
RB - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
260.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - ARI (vs . DET)
|
261.
Jake Tonges
TE - SF (at LAR)
|
262.
Sean Tucker
RB - TB (vs . DEN)
|
263.
Parris Campbell
WR - PHI (at NO)
|
264.
Durham Smythe
TE - MIA (at SEA)
|
265.
Hassan Haskins
RB - LAC (at PIT)
|
266.
Jake Bobo
WR - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
267.
Adam Trautman
TE - DEN (at TB)
|
268.
Hunter Luepke
RB - DAL (vs . BAL)
|
269.
John Bates
TE - WAS (at CIN)
|
270.
Drew Ogletree
TE - IND (vs . CHI)
|
271.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
272.
Troy Franklin
WR - DEN (at TB)
|
273.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - NE (at NYJ)
|
274.
Mason Tipton
WR - NO (vs . PHI)
|
275.
Sione Vaki
RB - DET (at ARI)
|
276.
Isaiah Davis
RB - NYJ (vs . NE)
|
277.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - BUF (vs . JAC)
|
278.
Jeremy Ruckert
TE - NYJ (vs . NE)
|
279.
Xavier Gipson
WR - NYJ (vs . NE)
|
280.
Jared Wiley
TE - KC (at ATL)
|
281.
Charlie Woerner
TE - ATL (vs . KC)
|
282.
David Moore
WR - CAR (at LV)
|
283.
DJ Turner
WR - LV (vs . CAR)
|
284.
Daniel Bellinger
TE - NYG (at CLE)
|
285.
Hunter Long
TE - LAR (vs . SF)
|
286.
Xavier Hutchinson
WR - HOU (at MIN)
|
287.
Robert Woods
WR - HOU (at MIN)
|
288.
Ben Sinnott
TE - WAS (at CIN)
|
289.
Julian Hill
TE - MIA (at SEA)
|
290.
Brock Wright
TE - DET (at ARI)
|
291.
Ashton Dulin
WR - IND (vs . CHI)
|
292.
Scotty Miller
WR - PIT (vs . LAC)
|
293.
Malachi Corley
WR - NYJ (vs . NE)
|
294.
AJ Barner
TE - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
295.
Payne Durham
TE - TB (vs . DEN)
|
296.
Skyy Moore
WR - KC (at ATL)
|
297.
Tyler Scott
WR - CHI (at IND)
|
298.
KhaDarel Hodge
WR - ATL (vs . KC)
|
299.
Zach Pascal
WR - ARI (vs . DET)
|
300.
Blake Whiteheart
TE - CLE (vs . NYG)
|
301.
J.J. Taylor
RB - HOU (at MIN)
|
302.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR - TEN (vs . GB)
|
303.
Tip Reiman
TE - ARI (vs . DET)
|
304.
Bo Melton
WR - GB (at TEN)
|
305.
Erik Ezukanma
WR - MIA (at SEA)
|
306.
Harrison Bryant
TE - LV (vs . CAR)
|
307.
Nick Vannett
TE - TEN (vs . GB)
|
308.
Stone Smartt
TE - LAC (at PIT)
|
309.
Cody Schrader
RB - LAR (vs . SF)
|
310.
Devin Duvernay
WR - JAC (at BUF)
|
311.
Allen Robinson II
WR - DET (at ARI)
|
312.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
WR - KC (at ATL)
|
313.
Dalvin Cook
RB - DAL (vs . BAL)
|
314.
Adam Prentice
RB - NO (vs . PHI)
|
315.
Julius Chestnut
RB - TEN (vs . GB)
|
316.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE - DAL (vs . BAL)
|
317.
Charlie Kolar
TE - BAL (at DAL)
|
318.
British Brooks
RB - HOU (at MIN)
|
319.
Tylan Wallace
WR - BAL (at DAL)
|
320.
Dallin Holker
TE - NO (vs . PHI)
|
321.
Ross Dwelley
TE - ATL (vs . KC)
|
322.
Charlie Jones
WR - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
323.
Gary Brightwell
RB - CLE (vs . NYG)
|
324.
Nate Adkins
TE - DEN (at TB)
|
325.
Connor Heyward
TE - PIT (vs . LAC)
|
326.
Craig Reynolds
RB - DET (at ARI)
|
327.
Chris Moore
WR - ARI (vs . DET)
|
328.
Tom Kennedy
WR - DET (at ARI)
|
329.
Dee Eskridge
WR - MIA (at SEA)
|
330.
Brenden Rice
WR - LAC (at PIT)
|
331.
Eric Tomlinson
TE - LAC (at PIT)
|
332.
Evan Hull
RB - IND (vs . CHI)
|
333.
Ko Kieft
TE - TB (vs . DEN)
|
334.
George Holani
RB - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
335.
James Proche II
WR - CLE (vs . NYG)
|
336.
Trishton Jackson
WR - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
337.
Patrick Taylor Jr.
RB - SF (at LAR)
|
338.
Quintin Morris
TE - BUF (vs . JAC)
|
339.
Casey Washington
WR - ATL (vs . KC)
|
340.
Dareke Young
WR - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
341.
Deonte Harty
WR - BAL (at DAL)
|
342.
Javon Baker
WR - NE (at NYJ)
|
343.
Pharaoh Brown
TE - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
344.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
345.
Marcedes Lewis
TE - CHI (at IND)
|
346.
Brady Russell
TE - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
347.
Avery Williams
RB - ATL (vs . KC)
|
348.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB - WAS (at CIN)
|
349.
Sterling Shepard
WR - TB (vs . DEN)
|
350.
Michael Carter
RB - ARI (vs . DET)
|
351.
Robbie Chosen
WR - FA (BYE)
|
352.
Collin Johnson
WR - CHI (at IND)
|
353.
Chris Manhertz
TE - NYG (at CLE)
|
354.
Anthony Gould
WR - IND (vs . CHI)
|
355.
Jordan Matthews
TE,WR - CAR (at LV)
|
356.
Myles Gaskin
RB - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
357.
Ellis Merriweather
RB - GB (at TEN)
|
358.
Chris Brooks
RB - GB (at TEN)
|
359.
C.J. Uzomah
TE - FA (BYE)
|
360.
Jha'Quan Jackson
WR - TEN (vs . GB)
|
361.
Xavier Smith
WR - LAR (vs . SF)
|
362.
Tim Jones
WR - JAC (at BUF)
|
363.
Reggie Gilliam
RB - BUF (vs . JAC)
|
364.
Robert Tonyan
TE - MIN (vs . HOU)
|
365.
Kendall Milton
RB - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
366.
Jaheim Bell
TE - NE (at NYJ)
|
367.
Tanner Conner
TE - MIA (at SEA)
|
368.
Parker Hesse
TE - DET (at ARI)
|
369.
Evan Engram
TE - JAC (at BUF)
Engram hurt his hamstring in warm ups for last week's game. I highly doubt he plays this week. I would already have a plan in place to stream a tight end for Week 3. Engram didn't practice on Thursday or Friday.
|
370.
Kayshon Boutte
WR - NE (at NYJ)
|
371.
Jeremy McNichols
RB - WAS (at CIN)
|
372.
Brayden Willis
TE - SF (at LAR)
|
373.
Isaiah Williams
WR - DET (at ARI)
|
374.
Steven Sims Jr.
WR - HOU (at MIN)
|
375.
Jack Stoll
TE - PHI (at NO)
|
376.
Bryce Ford-Wheaton
WR - NYG (at CLE)
|
377.
Chris Myarick
TE - HOU (at MIN)
|
378.
Jaelon Darden
WR - CLE (vs . NYG)
|
379.
Tanner McLachlan
TE - CIN (vs . WAS)
|
380.
Brenden Bates
TE - NYJ (vs . NE)
|
381.
Rodney Williams
TE - PIT (vs . LAC)
|
382.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - HOU (at MIN)
|
383.
Kareem Hunt
RB - KC (at ATL)
|
384.
Nikola Kalinic
TE - LAR (vs . SF)
|
385.
E.J. Jenkins
TE - PHI (at NO)
|
386.
Jakob Johnson
RB - NYG (at CLE)
|
387.
Chris Collier
RB - BAL (at DAL)
|
388.
Ben Sims
TE - GB (at TEN)
|
389.
Xavier Weaver
WR - ARI (vs . DET)
|
390.
Geoff Swaim
TE - CLE (vs . NYG)
|
391.
Isaiah Williams
WR - FA (BYE)
|
392.
Irvin Charles
WR - NYJ (vs . NE)
|
393.
Malik Heath
WR - GB (at TEN)
|
394.
Mike Boone
RB - CAR (at LV)
|
395.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
WR - NYG (at CLE)
|
396.
Dee Williams
CB,WR - SEA (vs . MIA)
|
397.
Colson Yankoff
RB,TE - WAS (at CIN)
|
398.
Jase McClellan
RB - ATL (vs . KC)
|
399.
Dylan Laube
RB - LV (vs . CAR)
|
400.
Tyreik McAllister
RB,WR - LV (vs . CAR)
|
401.
Ramel Keyton
WR - LV (vs . CAR)
|
402.
Jamison Crowder
WR - WAS (at CIN)
|