D'Andre Swift Week 3 Outlook - Bears at Colts

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 19th 2024, 1:05pm EDT

Out of the gate, the Bears' offense has been an incredible disappointment, and Swift is part of that equation. He's the RB39 in fantasy points per game, averaging 68% of the snaps, 14 touches, and 36 total yards per game. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 23rd in explosive run rate, 35th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 36th in yards after contact per attempt. Swift is staring down a plus matchup, but we need to give some context about Indy's run defense first. The biggest issue for the Colts' run defense is that they have been blown off the ball. They have allowed the third-highest yards before contact per attempt, which can be traced to facing Green Bay and Houston's offensive lines, which are both top-five in yards before contact per attempt. Chicago won't be able to open up running lanes like that for Swift, as they have the fifth-lowest yards before contact per attempt. This can still be considered an average matchup for Swift as Indy is 15th in missed tackles per attempt, but they have given up the 13th-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Expect Swift to get a much-needed spike in efficiency on the ground this week, but don't get out over your skies with hopes of a monster stat line.