Brian Thomas Jr. Week 3 Outlook - Jaguars at Bills

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 19th 2024, 1:05pm EDT

Thomas Jr. has been a big play specialist so far this season with his 16.3 aDOT. He has a 15.7% target share, a 23.6% air-yard share, 3.07 YPRR, and a 20.5% first-read share. He is tied for second on the team with one end-zone target. Buffalo has the third-highest rate of two high coverage (69.5%). This year against two-high, Thomas Jr. has a 19% target share, 3.47 YPRR, and a 25% first-read share. Buffalo has been tough on perimeter wide receivers, allowing the second-lowest PPR points per target. If you're flexing Thomas Jr., it's a bet on talent and just maybe one splash play making his fantasy day. He'll run about 73% of his routes against Christian Benford (40% catch rate and 8.3 passer rating) and Rasul Douglas (71.4% catch rate and 90.8 passer rating).