Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 7 Rankings
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1.
Kyren Williams
RB - LAR (vs . LV)
Kyren Williams enters Week 7 as the overall RB4 in fantasy scoring and ranks sixth in points per game. Williams is fresh off a bye week and gets a tasty matchup this week. The Rams will host the Las Vegas Raiders, who seem to be punting on the season with this week's trade of Davante Adams. It does not get much better on the field for Las Vegas. The Raiders rank 28th in defensive DVOA versus the run, allowing opposing running backs to average 5.2 yards per carry. This matchup should also feature some positive gamescript for Williams and the Rams' run game. Keep Kyren Williams locked into lineups as a high-end RB1 this week.
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2.
Saquon Barkley
RB - PHI (at NYG)
Saquon Barkley fell short of expectations last week, finishing with just 54 scoreless yards in a narrow Eagles victory. But the 20 touches were a good sign considering that wideouts A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith were back in the mix for Philadelphia. Barkley faces his old team, the New York Giants, in Week 7. New York has been above average against the run. But Barkley's volume makes him a weekly RB1 in all formats.
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3.
Derrick Henry
RB - BAL (at TB)
Another week, another touchdown for Derrick Henry. Henry scored twice last week and has now logged at least 96 total yards in five straight games, scoring at least once on each occasion. Henry will draw the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 7. Teams tend to attack Tampa Bay more through the air than on the ground. The Buccaneers have faced the most passing attempts in the NFL while running backs only account for 17.2 carries per game against them. That is the fifth-lowest mark in the league. But Baltimore will not need to be reminded to utilize Henry, who leads the NFL in rushing. Expect another trip to the end zone and a productive outing from Henry on Monday night.
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4.
Kenneth Walker III
RB - SEA (at ATL)
Kenneth Walker III is generally not thought of as much of a receiving threat. He totaled just 56 receptions over 30 games in his first two NFL seasons. But with Seattle's offensive philosophy changing this year, so too has the running back's usage out of the backfield. Walker III already has 21 receptions this season despite playing just four games. Some of that may be the result of the Seahawks playing from behind in recent weeks. But it should ease fantasy managers' concerns that Walker III is subject to getting scripted out of a full workload depending on game flow. This week Walker III will face the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons have allowed just one touchdown to a running back this year but profile as a below-average run defense in most advanced metrics. Atlanta has also allowed 31 receptions to the position this year. Walker III's role as a dual-threat back should entrench him as an RB1 once again this week.
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5.
Bijan Robinson
RB - ATL (vs . SEA)
For the first time in his NFL career, Bijan Robinson ran for two touchdowns last week. The result was an overall RB4 weekly finish, easily Robinson's best of the year. The Falcons will host the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday as Robinson looks to build off last week's performance. Seattle has been gashed for over 400 rushing yards over their last two games. They are now allowing 5.22 yards per carry to opposing running backs so far this season. Robinson should benefit from this plus-matchup and reward fantasy managers with another top-12 outing in Week 7.
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6.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (vs . DET)
Justin Jefferson's touchdown streak may have come to an end in his last game, but the star wideout still managed 92 yards on six receptions against a stingy New York Jets pass defense. Jefferson should be heavily involved once again when the Vikings face the Detroit Lions. Detroit allows the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers, and their scheme should lend itself to Jefferson having a big day. The Lions play man coverage at a top-five rate. Jefferson is averaging a ridiculous 6.05 yards per route run versus man coverage this year. Even if you remove his 97-yard touchdown in Week 2, his YPRR versus man would be 2.95. That would rank sixth among all wide receivers with at least 20 targets. Jefferson has eclipsed 100 yards in six of his last seven meetings against Detroit and is likely to do so again in Week 7.
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7.
Joe Mixon
RB - HOU (at GB)
Joe Mixon has now posted two top-three weekly finishes in his three games as a member of the Houston Texans. Houston eased Mixon back into action after the running back missed the last three games. Mixon had 15 touches compared to nine for backup running back Dameon Pierce. Mixon seemed to escape last week's game unscathed, as he got in a limited practice on Wednesday. Perhaps he will be in line for a bigger workload on Sunday. Mixon will surely face some regression in the coming weeks, but fantasy managers should continue to start him in all formats.
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8.
Chuba Hubbard
RB - CAR (at WAS)
With rookie Jonathon Brooks continuing to be sidelined as a result of a knee injury, Chuba Hubbard continues to be a bright spot for the woeful Carolina Panthers. Hubbard has finished inside the top 20 in four consecutive weeks. That is no small feat given that Carolina has lost by double digits in three straight. Hubbard has a favorable Week 7 matchup versus a Washington defense that is below average in most run defense metrics. If Carolina can keep this game close, Hubbard has top-10 weekly potential. But even if they do not, he has proven to be a worthy fantasy starter.
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9.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - LAC (at ARI)
Since being drafted by Baltimore in 2020, J.K. Dobbins never had more than 17 opportunities (carries plus targets) in any regular season game before this season. He has now surpassed that mark four times in five games as a Charger. Dobbins carried the ball a career-high 25 times last week as Los Angeles came off their bye week. Volume is king in fantasy football, and that helped carry Dobbins to a top-12 finish in Week 6. As long as there is no major wear and tear, expect more of the same this week against the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona is better against the run than the pass, but Dobbins should still be considered a low-end RB1 in this matchup.
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10.
Breece Hall
RB - NYJ (at PIT)
Breece Hall failed to score in his third consecutive game this past Monday night. But there is not much else for fantasy managers to complain about regarding Hall's performance. Hall set season-highs in rushing yards and receiving yards last week and finished as a top-eight fantasy back. He may face tougher sledding this week against Pittsburgh's top-five run defense. A potential silver lining is that Pittsburgh ranks 30th in DVOA in the passing game to opposing backs. Breece Hall figures to have a wide range of outcomes this week, but he should still be started in all leagues.
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11.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO (vs . DEN)
Saints running back Alvin Kamara has seen decreased productivity as a rusher in recent weeks. Kamara has totaled just 66 rushing yards across his last two games, after running for at least 77 yards in each of his first four games. But the dip in rushing production has been accompanied by an uptick in usage as a receiver. Kamara has 18 receptions over his last three outings. New Orleans could have issues putting up points on Thursday against the Denver Broncos. Denver ranks third in defensive EPA and seventh in DVOA on the season. And the Saints will be without quarterback Derek Carr and wide receivers Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed. Kamara profiles as a volume-based RB1 in Week 7, but his efficiency is likely to take another hit.
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12.
Tony Pollard
RB - TEN (at BUF)
Pollard is the RB18 in fantasy points per game, ranking 15th in opportunity share, 13th in weighted opportunities, and the RB14 in expected fantasy points per game. Pollard has averaged 18.8 touches and 84.2 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 29th in explosive run rate and sixth in yards after contact per attempt. If Will Levis can limit the mistakes and turnovers, Pollard can walk away from Week 7 with another strong game. The Bills have been bleeding out production to backs. Buffalo has allowed the fourth-highest explosive run rate, the tenth-most rushing yards per game, the 13th-highest gap success rate, and the second-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Pollard 71% gap).
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13.
Josh Jacobs
RB - GB (vs . HOU)
Jacobs has been underwhelming this season. He is the RB19 in expected fantasy points per game but the RB24 in actual fantasy points per game. This is despite ranking 18th in opportunity share, ninth in weighted opportunities, and tenth in red zone touches. Jacobs has had a number of smash matchups this season, and he has turned in good but not amazing numbers. He has averaged 19.8 touches and 94.1 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 37th in explosive run rate, 22nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 29th in yards after contact per attempt. Jacobs should have another solid week against a run defense that has allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the fourth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 12th-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Since Week 4, Jacobs 58.7% zone).
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14.
Jordan Mason
RB - SF (vs . KC)
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15.
David Montgomery
RB - DET (at MIN)
Montgomery is the RB8 in fantasy points per game, ranking 16th in carries, 13th in red zone touches, and fourth in total touchdowns. He has averaged 17 touches and 89 total yards per game. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 26th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 28th in yards after contact per attempt. Montgomery faces an uphill battle this week against a Minnesota run defense that has allowed the lowest explosive run rate, the second-lowest rushing yards per game, and the third-lowest rushing success rate.
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16.
Brian Robinson Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . CAR)
Robinson Jr. was limited all week in practice (knee). He is expected to play this week. The last time we saw him, he played only 34% of the snaps. After missing Week 6, hopefully, Robinson Jr. will see closer to his normal workload in Week 7. In Weeks 1-4, he averaged 18.5 touches and 93.8 total yards as the RB16 in fantasy points per game. Among 61 qualifying backs, he is 14th in explosive run rate, 24th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. If his snaps jump back into the 56-63% range, he should smash this week. Carolina has allowed the third-highest rushing yards per game, the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest rushing success rate.
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17.
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB - DET (at MIN)
Gibbs has been awesome this season as the RB10 in fantasy. He ranks 22nd in weighted opportunities, third in red zone touches, and ninth in total touchdowns. Gibbs has averaged 16 touches and 90.4 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks sixth in explosive run rate and 20th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Gibbs has a tough matchup this week on the ground. Minnesota has kept backs in check with the lowest explosive run rate, the second-fewest rushing yards per game, and the seventh-lowest missed tackle rate, but there's a ray of hope. They have also allowed the tenth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Gibbs 55.3% zone). Gibbs has had 4.82 yards per carry on zone runs, which is 19th-best in the NFL.
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18.
A.J. Brown
WR - PHI (at NYG)
A.J. Brown looked like he didn't miss a beat upon his return to action following a month-long absence. Brown caught six passes for 116 yards and a touchdown in Philadelphia's victory over Cleveland last week. The Eagles will face the New York Giants in Week 7, and Brown should continue to eat. While New York has been a top-10 run defense, they have been a bit susceptible to the pass. The Giants rank 22nd in DVOA versus the pass and 27th against number-one wide receivers. New York also is more effective in zone coverage, so Brown should be able to take advantage when the Giants shift to man coverage. A.J. Brown is an elite WR1 this week.
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19.
Ja'Marr Chase
WR - CIN (at CLE)
Ja'Marr Chase was held to 72 scoreless yards last week, but it was a quiet day all around for the Cincinnati Bengals. The team ran just 51 offensive plays excluding kneeldowns in a 17-7 victory. We could see a similar scenario this week when the Bengals face the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland would be wise to take the air out of the ball this week, especially with running back Nick Chubb likely to return this week. Still, Chase has proven he can score from anywhere on the field, so fantasy managers will have to hope he can bust at least one big play on Sunday.
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20.
Kareem Hunt
RB - KC (at SF)
Before their Week 6 bye, Hunt operated as the clear leadback for the Chiefs. He played 63% of the snaps with 28 touches and 117 total yards as the RB5 for the week. He had a 50% snap rate on passing downs and a 58% snap share in the red zone. He hasn't broken an explosive run yet, and while his 2.12 yards after contact per attempt isn't anything to write home about, his 22% missed tackle rate is solid. Hunt could post another solid stat line this week. San Francisco has allowed the 14th-highest yards after contact per attempt, the sixth-highest missed tackle rate, the 11th-highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the 14th-highest zone run success rate (Hunt 61% zone).
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21.
Malik Nabers
WR - NYG (vs . PHI)
A concussion has caused rookie sensation Malik Nabers to miss the last two games. Nabers has advanced to the next step in the league's protocol but is still no sure thing to play in Week 7. Fantasy managers will have to monitor this situation in the coming days. If he can clear protocol, Nabers should have a favorable matchup versus an Eagles defense that has given up the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.
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22.
James Cook
RB - BUF (vs . TEN)
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23.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR - DET (at MIN)
Amon-Ra St. Brown scored for the third consecutive game, but the volume was simply not there in a game Detroit dominated against the Dallas Cowboys. St. Brown was targeted just four times. It was the first time he has been targeted less than six times since the 2022 season. Expect a more typical workload for St. Brown when the Lions travel to Minnesota. The Vikings are a top-three defense by almost any measure, but they have allowed a lot of production in zone coverage. Some of that may be attributed to soft zone coverage when playing with the lead, but St. Brown has always excelled versus zone. He finished as a top-eight fantasy wideout in both meetings with Minnesota last year and should approach that level of production again this week.
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24.
De'Von Achane
RB - MIA (at IND)
Achane is practicing in full as he returns from a concussion. We only have one game this season as a sample, with Achane and Mostert both active and playing a full game. In Week 1, Achane played 52% of the snaps with 17 touches and 100 total yards. In that game, Achance and Mostert split the red zone snaps 50/50. Achane's fall from grace as one of the most efficient rushers in the NFL last year to one of the most inefficient this season has been tough to watch. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 51st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 56th in yards after contact per attempt. Indy could help cure what ails this ground game, though. Indy has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 11th-highest yards before contact per attempt.
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25.
James Conner
RB - ARI (vs . LAC)
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26.
Drake London
WR - ATL (vs . SEA)
Falcons wideout Drake London has now scored in four of his last five games. He has also been targeted 51 times across those outings. If we are picking nits, he only has one top-12 weekly finish on his ledger. But London has finished as a top-20 fantasy wideout on three other occasions. The volume he has been seeing will keep him in the WR1 discussion this week when Atlanta hosts the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle has been exploited in pass coverage in recent games against Detroit and San Francisco. They also have several injury concerns in their secondary leading up to this game. Even if London fails to finish the week as a WR1, fantasy managers should trust him in all formats.
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27.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB (vs . BAL)
Chris Godwin led all wide receivers in fantasy points by a significant margin last week. He enters Week 7 fifth among wideouts in fantasy points per game and second in total points. More elite production could be in store for Godwin in Week 7 when Tampa Bay hosts the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore is a bit of a pass funnel, ranking fourth in EPA versus the run but just 26th against the pass. As a result, the Ravens have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this year. Fantasy managers should continue to ride Godwin in a Monday night matchup that has shootout appeal.
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28.
Tank Bigsby
RB - JAC (vs . NE)
Last week, Bigsby only played 27% of the snaps with seven carries and 24 rushing yards. This was despite Travis Etienne getting injured. The team instead rode D'Ernest Johnson in negative game script. In the second half of his Week 6 game against the Bears, Bigsby only played 28.6% of rushing play snaps and 17.9% of passing down snaps. Bigsby should see more work this week if Jacksonville can get a lead or at least keep the game in a neutral environment. Bigsby should be the early down hammer in Week 7. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks first in explosive run rate, seventh in missed tackles forced per attempt, and first in yards after contact per attempt. New England's defense offers a plus matchup this week. The Patriots have allowed the tenth-highest rushing touchdown rate, the second-highest yards after contact per attempt, the second-highest yards per carry to gap runs, and the ninth-highest success rate to gap runs (Bigsby 65.9% gap).
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29.
DK Metcalf
WR - SEA (at ATL)
It was all downhill for DK Metcalf after a 30-yard catch on Seattle's opening series last week. Over the final 58 minutes of game action, Metcalf secured just two of 10 targets for 18 scoreless yards. Adding insult to injury was a 52-yard would-be touchdown that was called back due to a penalty. He also stepped out of bounds on another potential scoring play. Better days should be ahead for Metcalf, and fantasy managers will have to hope that begins on Sunday. Metcalf's matchup with the Atlanta Falcons should be a good one. The Falcons have allowed eight receiving touchdowns to opposing wideouts and rank 26th in DVOA against number-one receivers.
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30.
Najee Harris
RB - PIT (vs . NYJ)
Harris opened the week by missing Wednesday's practice (ribs). He practiced in full the rest of the week and hasn't been listed with any injury designation for Week 7. Last week, he played 46% of the snaps with 16 touches and 122 total yards. He retained his leadback role, playing 54.5% of the snaps inside the red zone. Among 61 qualifying backs, Harris ranks 25th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Harris could surprise this week with another strong game. The Jets' secondary remains nasty, but their run defense is beatable. They have allowed the seventh-highest missed tackle rate, the ninth-highest rushing success rate, and the ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt.
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31.
Jayden Reed
WR - GB (vs . HOU)
A short touchdown catch salvaged the day for Jayden Reed from a fantasy perspective. The Packers wideout caught all six of his targets but mustered just 28 receiving yards for his efforts against Arizona. Reed has scored in three of four games with Jordan Love under center and has the potential to add to that tally in Week 7. The Houston Texans have given up nine receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers on the year. Only Washington and Baltimore have allowed more. What Reed lacks in volume, he makes up for with elite efficiency. That keeps him as a borderline WR1 in all formats.
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32.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR - SF (vs . KC)
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33.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (vs . BAL)
Mike Evans once again played second fiddle to teammate Chris Godwin last week. Whereas Godwin has been one of the more consistent fantasy wide receivers this season, the same cannot be said for Evans. Through six weeks, Evans has three top-10 weeks and has finished outside the top 45 in his other three games. The veteran should again be a boom-or-bust WR1 candidate on Monday night versus the Baltimore Ravens. With Godwin most likely to draw top cover corner Marlon Humphrey when Baltimore plays man defense, perhaps this could be a boom week for Evans.
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34.
Chase Brown
RB - CIN (at CLE)
Last week, Brown took the lead in the Cincy backfield. He finished as the RB18 for the week with 12 touches and 64 total yards (one score). He played 62% of the snaps, 72% of the rushing play snaps, 56% of the passing down snaps, and he had 100% of the red zone backfield snaps. Among 61 qualifying backs, Brown has crushed every efficiency stat I can find, ranking tenth in explosive run rate, second in missed tackles forced per attempt, and tenth in yards after contact per attempt. Brown could build upon last week's stats against the Browns. Cleveland has allowed the fifth-highest explosive run rate, the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the 13th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 14th-highest rushing success rate.
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35.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (at CLE)
Since his return to the lineup, Higgins has been the WR15 in fantasy, drawing a massive 25.7% target share, 38.1% air-yard share, and a 36.6% first-read share with 1.98 YPRR. Higgins leads the team in red zone targets (six). This week, he faces a Cleveland secondary that leads the NFL in single-high rate (73.2%). Against single-high, Higgins is second on the team with a 24.6% target share, a 32.6% air-yard share, and 2.13 YPRR. He leads the team against single-high with a 38.2% first-read share. Cleveland ranks 17th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers. Higgins will run about 79% of his routes against Martin Emerson Jr. (63% catch rate and 127.3 passer rating) and Denzel Ward (45.5% catch rate and 71.5 passer rating).
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36.
Zay Flowers
WR - BAL (at TB)
Flowers is in the midst of a second-year breakout as the WR27 in fantasy points per game. His full-season pace right now is 136 targets, 94 receptions, and 1,136 receiving yards. Flowers is the WR17 in expected fantasy points per game. Among 77 qualifying receivers, Flowers is seventh in separation and 13th in route win rate. Flowers has a 26.6% target share, a 27.1% air-yard share, 2.22 YPRR, and a 32.2% first-read share. The Bucs have utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 with 61.1% of their defensive snaps. Against these coverage types, Flowers has seen his target share balloon to 30% with 2.70 YPRR and a 38.3% first-read share. These are monster market share metrics. Flowers will run about 65% of his routes against Zyon McCollum (47.1% catch rate and 75.2 passer rating) and Jamel Dean (66.7% catch rate and 92.7 passer rating). The Bucs have allowed the tenth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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37.
Aaron Jones
RB - MIN (vs . DET)
Jones' injury has been clarified as a hamstring issue and not a hip problem, as it was previously reported. Jones sounds likely to play this week after limited practices on Thursday and Friday. Jones is the RB13 in fantasy points per game, averaging 20 touches and 116.1 total yards in his full games played. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 12th in explosive run rate and third in yards after contact per attempt. Jones has an uphill climb this week against one of the NFL's best-run defenses. Detroit has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, the third-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the third-fewest rushing yards per game. If Jones plays close to his normal role, he's a volume-based RB2.
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38.
Stefon Diggs
WR - HOU (at GB)
Diggs is humming along as the WR8 in fantasy points per game. He has seen three deep targets and three red zone targets. Last week, without Nico Collins, he absorbed a 21.9% target share, a 43.6% air-yard share, and a 33.3% first-read share while playing more on the perimeter (70.4%). Green Bay has utilized single-high on 55.7% of their defensive snaps. Against single high, Digg is tied for the team lead with a 26% TPRR while leading the way with a 30.2% first read share and producing 2.33 YPRR (second on the team). Green Bay has allowed the 12th-highest PPR points per target. Diggs could be shadowed by Jaire Alexander (60% catch rate and 90.4 passer rating). Alexander has shadowed twice this season, following A.J. Brown and Calvin Ridley on 69.4-74.1% of their routes. Shadow coverage for Diggs here doesn't frighten me. This doesn't hurt his Week 7 outlook.
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39.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (vs . CAR)
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40.
Diontae Johnson
WR - CAR (at WAS)
Since the Carolina Panthers made the switch at quarterback to veteran Andy Dalton, Diontae Johnson has three top-12 finishes in four weeks. Johnson could be in for another big day in Week 7, but keep an eye on his health status. Johnson missed practice on Wednesday due to an ankle injury. If he can play, fire him up as a WR1 versus a bottom-six Washington pass defense. Considering this game will be played in the late window, fantasy managers will want to have a backup plan in case Johnson cannot go.
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41.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF (vs . KC)
Aiyuk has had one blow-up game this season. Overall, he has been disappointing as the WR51 in fantasy points per game. Aiyuk has only three deep targets, but he is 11th in red zone targets among wideouts. Aiyuk has a 20.5% target share, a 27.2% air-yard share, 1.85 YPRR, and a 21.5% first-read share. Kansas City has the second-highest two high rate in the NFL (67%). Aiyuk has blended into the background against two high with a 15.8% target share, 1.19 YPRR, and a 16.4% first-read share (fourth on the team). Sit Aiyuk this week. The Chiefs have allowed the third-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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42.
Javonte Williams
RB - DEN (at NO)
The New Orleans Saints' run defense has begun to crumble, which could allow Williams to post his best-rushing line of the season. Williams is the RB37 this season in fantasy, and sadly, he hasn't looked much better this season than he did last year. He has averaged 13.1 touches and 59.3 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, Williams ranks 39th in explosive run rate and 42nd in yards after contact per attempt. New Orleans has been allowing backs to run all over them, giving up the 13th-highest explosive run rate and rushing yards per game, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, and the third-highest missed tackle rate.
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43.
DeVonta Smith
WR - PHI (at NYG)
Smith has been amazing this season as the WR11 in fantasy points per game. Slim Reaper has commanded a 25.2% target share, a 38.2% air-yard share, and a 32.9% first-read share, producing 2.44 YPRR and 75.8 receiving yards per game. Smith is tied for the team lead in red zone targets (four). New York has the tenth-highest single-high rate (57.6%). Against single-high, Smith has seen his numbers explode with a 30.9% target share, 3.29 YPRR, and a 35.6% first-read share. Deonte Banks will likely shadow A.J. Brown this week, which leaves Andru Phillips (71.4% catch rate and 75.9 passer rating) and Cor'Dale Flott (77.3% catch rate and 122.0 passer rating) guarding Smith all day. New York has allowed the eighth-highest PPR points per target and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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44.
Tank Dell
WR - HOU (at GB)
Last week, Dell saw an elevated role with Collins out (WR16 for the week). Dell had a 28.1% target share, a 31.6% air-yard share, 1.78 YPRR, and a team-leading 42.9% first-read share. Dell is third on the team with three red zone targets. Green Bay has utilized single-high on 55.7% of their defensive snaps. Against single high, Dell has ranked third on the team in TPRR (21%), YPRR (1.60), and first-read share (20.7%). Green Bay has allowed the 12th-highest PPR points per target. If Jaire Alexander follows Diggs all day, Dell will matchup with Keisean Nixon (63.3% catch rates and 103.2 passer rating) for most of the game. If not, Dell will run about 73% of his routes against Nixon and Alexander (60% catch rate and 90.4 passer rating).
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45.
Tyreek Hill
WR - MIA (at IND)
With Huntley under center, Hill has finished as the WR51 and WR31 in weekly fantasy scoring. Hill has commanded a 28.3% target share, a 46.7% air-yard share, and a 35.7% first-read share while churning out 2.04 YPRR and 46 receiving yards per game. Since Week 4, Hill has seen three of the team's four end zone targets. Indy has the fifth-highest single-high rate in the NFL (60.4%). Against single high with Huntley, Hill has seen his numbers climb with a 37.5% target share, a 57.4% air-yard share, 2.72 YPRR, and a 42.9% first-read share. Hill could post the type of numbers this week that remind people that he remains one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. Indy has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Hill will run about 61% of his routes against Jaylon Jones (62.9% catch rate and 71.2 passer rating) and Samuel Womack lll (44.4% catch rate and 88.7 passer rating).
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46.
Garrett Wilson
WR - NYJ (at PIT)
Wilson's stock takes a hit with the arrival of Davante Adams. The question is, how much? Wilson is the WR11 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 29.3% target share, a 35.8% air-yard share, a 35.7% first-read share, and producing 1.77 YPRR. Well, we know those market share metrics will be impacted. We'll have to see how much, though. Wilson leads the NFL in red zone targets. He faces a Pittsburgh pass defense that has the second-highest rate of single-high (68.2%). Against single-high, Wilson's market share and efficiency numbers look nearly identical to his overall stats. Wilson is a WR2 this week, as we see how the work will be split up between him and Adams. Pittsburgh has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target and the 15th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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47.
George Kittle
TE - SF (vs . KC)
George Kittle scored two touchdowns in last week's win in Seattle. Kittle has now scored in four straight games and has finished as a top-five fantasy tight end in each instance. The 49ers tight end now draws a Kansas City Chiefs defense that has served up the most fantasy points to the tight end position this season. There is no reason to get cute and fade Kittle this week. Continue to treat George Kittle as an elite TE1 who has week winning upside.
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48.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (at SF)
Travis Kelce is coming off consecutive top-seven weekly finishes in Kansas City's last two games before last week's bye. With Rashee Rice, Kelce has resumed his perch as Patrick Mahomes' top target. Kelce has earned 19 targets over his last two games after just 12 in his first three contests. That volume keeps Kelce among the elite fantasy tight ends, regardless of matchup. This week Kansas City faces the San Francisco 49ers, who have been an average defense against the tight end position.
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49.
Jameson Williams
WR - DET (at MIN)
Williams is the WR18 in fantasy points per game and is in the midst of a breakout season. It has been wonderful to watch. This is the version of Jameson Williams that I loved as a prospect entering the NFL. Among 77 qualifying wide receivers, Williams is first in separation and fifth in route win rate. He has earned a 19% target share, a 39.2% air-yard share, and a 27.1% first-read share while producing 2.59 YPRR. Goff will lean on Williams this week if Brian Flores blitzes like he has so far this season. Minnesota is second in the NFL in blitz rate (41.1%). Against the blitz, Williams has had a 25% target share, a 41.2% air-yard share, 4.77 YPRR (holy crap!), and a 35.3.% first-read share. Each of those metrics ranks first on Detroit against the blitz. Williams will run about 68% of his routes against Stephon Gilmore (66.7% catch rate and 69.7 passer rating) and Shaquill Griffin (42.9% catch rate and 49.1 passer rating).
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50.
Alexander Mattison
RB - LV (at LAR)
Mattison is likely the Raiders' starter again this week. As the team's starter, he has averaged 18 touches and 63 total yards with RB29 and RB16 weekly finishes. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 57th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 46th in yards after contact per attempt. This is a great matchup for Mattison. The Rams have allowed the most rushing yards per game, the 12th-highest missed tackle rate, the seventh-highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the 11th-highest success rate to zone runs (Mattison 63% zone).
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51.
Brock Bowers
TE - LV (at LAR)
Rookie tight end Brock Bowers has caught 17 passes on 22 targets over his last two games. And that volume is not likely to decrease anytime soon. The Las Vegas Raiders traded top wide receiver Davante Adams this week. That leaves Bowers as the team's top receiving threat, regardless of who the team installs as its quarterback. Bowers should be heavily featured again this week in a matchup with the Los Angeles Rams. Los Angeles ranks dead last in DVOA versus tight ends and has allowed the second-most fantasy points to the positions. Brock Bowers is one of a chosen few tight ends who can lay claim to overall TE1 status in Week 7.
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52.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR - JAC (vs . NE)
Thomas Jr. is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 20% target share with a 28.3% air-yard share, 2.48 YPRR, and a 24.5% first-read share. He is tied for second on the team in end-zone targets and red-zone targets. Thomas Jr. could see shadow coverage from Christian Gonzalez this week. Last week, Gonzalez followed Stefon Diggs on only 51.9% of his routes despite Diggs playing 65% of his snaps on the boundary in Week 6. He allowed Diggs to secure four of his five targets with 39 receiving yards and a score. Previously, Gonzalez had followed Ja'Marr Chase, Garrett Wilson, D.K. Metcalf, Tyreek Hill, and Brandon Aiyuk on 53.8-90% of their routes. Only Metcalf finished with more than 60 receiving yards in his coverage in that span. Gonzalez is a worry, but if he is only following Thomas Jr. on half of his routes this week, it isn't a major concern. New England has the ninth-highest two high rate (49.6%). Against two high, Thomas Jr. has been marginalized, ranking fifth on the team in TPRR (17%) with only 1.37 YPRR and an 18.6% first-read share. Thomas Jr. could have a quiet Week 7.
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53.
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB - NE (at JAC)
Stevenson didn't practice this week until Friday, when he logged a full session. He has been listed as questionable. He has stated that he should be able to play. This is something to monitor on Saturday, and everyone should have a backup plan in place. Steveson is the RB22 in fantasy points per game, averaging 18 touches and 78.6 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 17th in explosive run rate, tenth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and eighth in yards after contact per attempt. Stevenson faces a Jacksonville run defense that has allowed the sixth-lowest missed tackle rate, the second-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest rushing yards per game.
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54.
Darnell Mooney
WR - ATL (vs . SEA)
Mooney continues to be one of the best values from draft season as the WR26 in fantasy points per game. Among wideouts, he is seventh in deep targets (nine), and he also has drawn two red zone targets. Mooney has drawn a 20.7% target share, a 34% air-yard share, and a 26.8% first-read share with 1.86 YPRR. Since Week 4, Seattle has utilized single-high on 57.6% of their defensive snaps. Against single-high, Mooney has seen his numbers drop to an 18.3% target share, a 0.94 YPRR, and a 23.3% first-read share. The saving grace for Mooney this week could be his role as the field stretcher. Seattle has allowed the 13th-highest passer rating and the tenth-highest CPOE to deep passing. Mooney faces a secondary that, since Week 4, has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game and the highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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55.
Bucky Irving
RB - TB (vs . BAL)
Irving was the team's leadback last week. Last week, he played 65% of the snaps overall, 73% of the passing down snaps, and had an 84% snap rate in the red zone. Irving finished last week with 16 touches and 105 total yards as the RB12 for the week. He has been impressive this season on a per-touch basis. Among 61 qualifying backs, Irving ranks second in explosive run rate, fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and fourth in yards after contact per attempt. He has a brutal matchup this week against a Baltimore run defense that has allowed the fourth-lowest explosive run rate, the fewest rushing yards per game, and the lowest yards after contact per attempt. The coaching staff has stated this is a running back committee, and the back with the "hot hand" will get the ball. That is nightmare fuel. Sit Irving this week with a horrible matchup. We need to see how this plays out before having any confidence in starting any of these Bucs' backs.
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56.
Jordan Addison
WR - MIN (vs . DET)
Addison is the WR33 in fantasy points per game, but that's being powered by his Week 4 outing against the Packers (WR7). In his two other games this season, he has finished as the WR61 and WR55 in weekly scoring. Yes, in one of those games, he only played 54% of the snaps as he left due to injury. Addison has a 19% target share, a 33% air-yard share, 2.01 YPRR, and a 26.4% first-read share. Since Week 4, Detroit has leaned more heavily on two-high with the eighth-highest rate (54.1%). Against two-high, Addison has seen his target share dip to 16.7%, his YPRR fall to 1.44, and his first-read share dip to 22.2%. Detroit has given up the eighth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Sit Addison this week.
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57.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB - NYG (vs . PHI)
With Singletary back this week, Tracy Jr. is shoved back into a supporting role. The coaching staff has stated that he will get more work, but we'll have to wait and see how that actually plays out. With his workload uncertain, Tracy Jr. should be a sit this week. Prior to his run as the team's starter, Tracy was playing 21-31% of the snaps weekly, averaging four touches and 17.6 total yards.
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58.
George Pickens
WR - PIT (vs . NYJ)
Pickens is the WR47 in fantasy points per game with two WR2 outings this season (WR23, WR24). He ranks fifth in deep targets and tenth in red zone looks among wide receivers. Pickens has a 26.7% target share, a 47% air-yard share, 2.40 YPRR, and a 34.3% first-read share. He is a volume play this week in a tough matchup. New York has allowed the second-fewest PPR points per target and the fourth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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59.
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
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60.
Tyler Allgeier
RB - ATL (vs . SEA)
Last week, Allgeier got a bump in work against the Panthers as the team was salting away the clock. Allgeier played 41% of the snaps with 19 touches and 108 total yards. Prior to that game, he played 18-36% of the snaps weekly, averaging 7.8 touches and 44.6 total yards. Allgeier has run well this season when he's had opportunities. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks ninth in explosive run rate and 14th in yards after contact per attempt. If Seattle can't keep pace with Atlanta this week, Allgeier could have an expanded role again this week. The Seahawks' run defense has melted down. They have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game, the fifth-highest missed tackle rate, and the sixth-highest yards after contact per attempt.
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61.
Zack Moss
RB - CIN (at CLE)
Moss entered last week's game at less than 100% health. He ended up playing a season-low 45% of the snaps with seven touches and 15 total yards. Moss could be losing his footing in this backfield. Chase Brown entered the game also not fully healthy, so we can't just chalk it up to health for the snap split. Moss hasn't been great this season on a per-touch basis. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 42nd in explosive run rate, 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 44th in yards after contact per attempt. Moss's matchup this week is a good one on paper, but we'll see if he still only gets a handful of touches this week. If so, he's only a middling flex play at best. Cleveland has allowed the fifth-highest explosive run rate, the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the 13th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 14th-highest rushing success rate.
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62.
Ladd McConkey
WR - LAC (at ARI)
McConkey is the only Chargers wide receiver in consideration for fantasy. He is the only Chargers' wide receiver who had more than a 53% route share and 12% target share last week. The Bolts utilized wide receiver by committee, with McConkey being the only exception. McConkey is the clear WR1 for the Bolts, seeing a 24.4% target share, a 32.2% air-yard share, and a 30.5% first-read share with 1.99 YPRR. He leads the team with three end-zone targets. He is the WR44 in fantasy points per game with two WR19 weekly finishes this season. He could add a third WR2 finish to the 2024 resume this week. Arizona has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to slot receivers. McConkey will run about 70% of his routes against Garrett Williams (61.1% catch rate and 69.4 passer rating).
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63.
Davante Adams
WR - NYJ (at PIT)
Adams will be active this week. The question is, what are we going to get out of him in his first game back with Rodgers? That's up for debate. How much of the playbook is familiar from his time in Green Bay? How high is his snap share coming off a hamstring injury? It's all up in the air. Adams opened this week with a full practice, so it's fair to consider his hamstring close to 100%. The last time we saw Adams catching passes from Rodgers regularly (2021), he had a 31.6% target share, a 37.4% air-yard share, 23 deep targets (15th), and the third-most red zone targets among wide receivers. Adams was the WR2 in fantasy points per game that season. Yes, it has been a few years, but Adams should still be force-fed volume this week. Adams faces a secondary that has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target and the 15th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. He's best viewed as a volatile WR2 this week.
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64.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR - SEA (at ATL)
Smith-Njigba is the WR34 in fantasy points per game with four red zone targets and four deep targets this season. He has drawn a 19.1% target share, a 22.8% air-yard share, and a 20.5% first-read share with 1.32 YPRR. Since Week 4, Atlanta has leaned more two-high heavy (fifth-most 58.3%). Against two high, Smith-Njigba has seen a bump with a 20% target share, 1.59 YPRR, and a team-leading (tied) four end-zone targets. Smith-Njigba will run about 89% of his routes against Dee Alford (82.4% catch rate and 115.4 passer rating). Atlanta has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game and the ninth-highest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.
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65.
Amari Cooper
WR - BUF (vs . TEN)
It looks like Cooper will be active this week after the Bills previously stated he likely would be out. Cooper has had roughly four days to acclimate to his new surroundings. That simply isn't enough time to learn the playbook and build rapport with his new quarterback. I'd expect Cooper to be a part-time player on obvious passing downs and possibly in the red zone. This all equals a player who is tough to plug into any fantasy lineup with any sense of confidence. I understand if your fantasy team is decimated by injuries or bye weeks (or both), but in most situations, I'm sitting Cooper this week. Tennessee has allowed the fifth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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66.
Xavier Worthy
WR - KC (at SF)
In his first full game without Rashee Rice, Worthy had a 15.4% target share, a 24.7% air-yard share, 0.81 YPRR, and a 27.3% first-read share. Worthy has five deep targets and three red zone looks this season. Worthy is a sit this week. Mahomes will continue to lean on him and Travis Kelce weekly, but this doesn't project as a huge Worthy game. The 49ers have allowed the fewest PPR points per target and the sixth-lowest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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67.
Austin Ekeler
RB - WAS (vs . CAR)
Last week, as Washington's workhorse running back, Ekeler played 75% of the snaps with 13 touches and 68 total yards. He handled 67% of the snaps inside the ten-yard line. Among 61 qualifying backs, Ekeler hasn't impressed with his elusiveness, ranking 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 51st in yards after contact per attempt. While that has been disappointing, his receiving abilities haven't been. Ekeler remains one of the best pass-catching backs in the league. Among 40 qualifying backs, he ranks 12th in target share, first in YPRR, and second in receiving yards per game. With Brian Robinson Jr. back, Ekeler probably rolls back into the role that he had in the first two games of the season. In those weeks, he played 43-53% of the snaps averaging 8.5 touches and 73.5 total yards. He's still a strong RB3/flex this week in a wonderful matchup. Carolina has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest rushing success rate. Carolina is also 17th in receiving yards per game allowed to backs.
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68.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR (vs . LV)
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69.
Raheem Mostert
RB - MIA (at IND)
Mostert should work in as Achane's running mate this week. We only have a one-game sample of these two backs on the field together. In Week 1, Mostert played 44% of the snaps with eighth touches and 19 total yards. He split the red zone snaps 50/50 with Achane. The Dolphin's training room apparently was invaded this offseason by the aliens of Moron Mountain because all of the special tackle-breaking ability of this backfield has disappeared. Mostert hasn't forced a missed tackle this season while ranking 36th in explosive run rate and 37th in yards after contact per attempt. Hopefully, Indy can restore their big play juice for at least one week. Indy has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 11th-highest yards before contact per attempt.
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70.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (at NO)
Sutton is the WR45 in fantasy points per game, soaking up a 23.2% target share, a 43.2% air-yard share, and a 32.8% first-read share. He has churned out 1.53 YPRR while ranking third in the NFL in red zone targets. This week's matchup is an upgrade for Sutton. New Orleans has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Sutton will run about 85% of his routes against Marshon Lattimore (54.5% catch rate and 71.8 passer rating) and Paulson Adebo (60% catch rate and 67.7 passer rating).
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71.
Romeo Doubs
WR - GB (vs . HOU)
Last week, Doubs returned and posted a strong stat line as the WR11 for the week. Doubs had a 12.5% target share, a 26.4% air-yard share, 49 receiving yards (1.88 YPRR), a 15% first-read share, and two scores. Houston is 16th in receiving yards per game allowed to perimeter wide receivers. The Texans have the eighth-highest single-high rate in the NFL (58.3%). Against single-high, Doubs is fourth on the team in TPRR (17%) and YPRR (1.87) while running first in first-read share (24%). Doubs could be leaned on this week as Jayden Reed's running mate for the team lead in targets.
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72.
Josh Downs
WR - IND (vs . MIA)
Since his return to the lineup, Downs has been the WR16 in fantasy points per game with a whopping 26.3% target share, 59.8 receiving yards per game, 2.34 YPRR, and a wonderful 34% first-read share. He has three end zone targets and ranks second on the team with five red zone targets. Miami is tied for 12th in two-high rate (47.2%). Since Week 3, against two-high, Downs has seen his YPRR jump to 2.57 and his first-read share trickle up to 34.7%. Downs should continue steamrolling slot corners this week. Miami has been league average against the slot, ranking 16th in rating when targeted and 19th in PPR points per target allowed. Downs will run about 86% of his routes against Kader Kohou (66.7% catch rate and 63.2 passer rating).
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73.
Christian Kirk
WR - JAC (vs . NE)
Overall, Kirk has had a letdown season to this point as the WR49 in fantasy points per game. Jacksonville's offense and Trevor Lawrence have been dysfunctional. Kirk has had a 19.5% target share, a 27.6% air-yard share, 1.71 YPRR, and a 24.5% first-read share. Kirk is tied for second on the team in red zone targets. Lawrence should lean on Kirk this week. New England has the ninth-highest two high rate (49.6%). Against two high, Kirk ranks second on the team with a 28% TPRR, first in YPRR (2.38), and first in first-read share (30.5%). Kirk will run about 80% of his routes against Marcus Jones (66.7% catch rates and 83.3 passer rating). New England has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game and the tenth-highest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.
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74.
DeMario Douglas
WR - NE (at JAC)
Douglas has established himself as New England's WR1. Since Week 3, he has been the WR30 in fantasy points per game with a 22.4% target share, a 26.7% air-yard share, 2.18 YPRR, and a 28.4% first-read share. During this span, he has averaged 58.3 receiving yards per game while seeing an end-zone target. Jacksonville has the tenth-highest rate of two-high (49.2%). Since Week 3 against two-high, Douglas has had a 19.5% target share with 2.02 YPRR and a 22.6% first-read share. Jacksonville has been scorched by slot receivers, giving up the 12th-most receiving yards per game and the fourth-highest PPR points per target to the position.
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75.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR - ARI (vs . LAC)
Harrison Jr. has cleared the concussion protocol and will play Monday night. Harrison Jr. is the WR36 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 21.2% target share, a 37.9% air-yard share, and a 25.4% first-read share. He has churned out 1.90 YPRR and 46.5 receiving yards per game. Harrison Jr. has four red zone targets while ranking ninth in deep targets among wideouts. The Chargers are third in two high rate this season (59.2%), which will make for a long day for Harrison Jr. Against two high, his target share has fallen to 16.7%, his YPRR dropped to 0.98, and his first-read share dips to 21.3%. Los Angeles has allowed the eighth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers this season.
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76.
Devin Singletary
RB - NYG (vs . PHI)
Singletary will be back in the huddle this week. He is off the injury report and ready to go for Week 7. He has averaged 16.5 touches and 73.3 total yards as the RB27 in fantasy points per game. Singletary has played 68-79% of the snaps weekly, but he could see a reduction in that workload. The coaching staff has stated that Tyrone Tracy Jr. has earned more work, but we'll have to see how many snaps that equals moving forward. Prior to his run as the team's starter, Tracy was playing 21-31% of the snaps weekly. We could see his share sneak up to the 35-40% range (if not more). It's not like Singletary was playing badly before he was sidelined. Among 61 qualifying backs, Singletary ranks 14th in missed tackles forced per attempt and ninth in yards after contact per attempt. Philly has had an up-and-down run defense. They have allowed the second-highest explosive run rate and the fourth-highest yards before contact per attempt while also ranking 18th in rushing success rate. Singletary is a decent RB2.
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77.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - KC (at SF)
Smith-Schuster popped off with a big game in Week 5 with a 20.5% target share, a 31.6% air-yard share, 5.0 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. He finished with seven grabs and 130 receiving yards. Smith-Schuster could be a trusted weapon for Mahomes weekly, but this doesn't look like the Rashee Rice role. Only 12.5% of his targets were designed, and his first-read share was tied for third on the team behind Worthy and Travis Kelce. Maybe I'm wrong here, but I don't want to chase Smith-Schuster's Week 5 performance. He's a sit this week. The 49ers have allowed the fewest PPR points per target and the sixth-lowest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. If Smith-Schuster proves me wrong, so be it.
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78.
Christian Watson
WR - GB (vs . HOU)
Last week, Watson finished as the WR20 in fantasy, garnering a 62.9% route share (second among wide receivers) with a 12.5% target share, a 36% air-yard share, 3.09 YPRR, and a 15% first-read share (tied for second on the team). Watson is second on the team in end-zone targets. Watson faces a Houston secondary that is 16th in receiving yards per game allowed to perimeter wide receivers. The Texans have the eighth-highest single-high rate in the NFL (58.3%). Against single-high, Watson ranks fifth on the team in TPRR (13%), YPRR (1.22), and first-read share (10%). Sit Watson this week.
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79.
Ty Chandler
RB - MIN (vs . DET)
Chandler would draw the start this week if Aaron Jones is unable to go. In Week 5, Chandler played 63% of the snaps with 16 touches and 39 total yards in relief of Jones. We have already seen this scenario play out, though. Last year, Chandler started a game against the Lions where he played 65% of the snaps with eight touches and 17 total yards. His touchdown in that game saved his week from utter disaster. We could see a repeat of that stat line in Week 7. Chandler remains one of the worst tackle breakers in the NFL. Among 61 qualifying backs, Chandler ranks 47th in explosive run rate, 55th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 60th in yards after contact per attempt. Detroit remains a top-shelf run defense, allowing the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, the third-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the third-fewest rushing yards per game.
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80.
Trey McBride
TE - ARI (vs . LAC)
Trey McBride caught all eight of his targets for a season-high 96 yards in last week's losing effort. McBride seems to have shaken off a rib injury which limited his production earlier in the season. With rookie phenom Marvin Harrison Jr. dealing with a concussion, McBride figures to be featured this week in a meeting with the Los Angeles Chargers. Los Angeles ranks in the middle of the pack versus tight ends, but McBride has bankable volume that fantasy managers can rely on. That keeps him as a top-five fantasy tight end this week.
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81.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
Jeudy's production has sagged as the WR59 in fantasy points per game. Watson's pitiful play can be traced to the issues, as Jeudy is the WR38 in expected fantasy points per game. Among 77 qualifying receivers, he ranks 33rd in separation and 36th in route win rate. Jeudy has a 17.5% target share, a 33.2% air-yard share, 1.19 YPRR, and a 19.4% first-read share. Jeudy leads the team in red zone and end-zone targets. Without Amari Cooper, I expect Jeudy's market share to grow. Cincy has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Jeudy will run about 62% of his routes against D.J. Turner (52.6% catch rate and 69.6 passer rating) and Cam Taylor-Britt (65.5% catch rate and 123.6 passer rating).
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82.
Kyle Pitts
TE - ATL (vs . SEA)
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83.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (at ATL)
Lockett is the WR39 in fantasy points per game with two top 24 wide receiver weeks this season (WR22, WR18). Lockett has a 14.3% target share, 1.65 YPRR, and an 18% first-read share. He is tied for the team lead in end-zone targets (five). Since Week 4, Atlanta has leaned more two-high heavy (fifth-most 58.3%). Against two high, Lockett has seen his target share drop to 13.6%, his YPRR decline to 1.33, and his first-read share sit at 16.9%. This is a good week to keep Lockett on the bench.
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84.
Xavier Legette
WR - CAR (at WAS)
In his last two full games played, Legette has finished as the WR13 and WR33 in weekly scoring. In that small sample, he has drawn a 17.7% target share, a 30.4% air-yard share, two end zone targets, and a 25% first-read share. Legette has produced 1.35 YPRR and 44.5 receiving yards per game. This week, he faces a Commanders' secondary that has the sixth-highest two-high rate (53.7%). Against two high, Legette's numbers haven't impressed with a 19% TPRR (fifth best for CAR), 0.81 YPRR, and a 15.4% first-read share. Legette will run about 67% of his routes against Mike Sainristil (78.3% catch rate and 122.4 passer rating) and Benjamin St. Juste (62.8% catch rate and 111.4 passer rating). Despite the rough numbers against two-high, Legette remains a solid flex play because the matchup is great. Washington has allowed the tenth-highest PPR points per target and the 13th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
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85.
Jaylen Waddle
WR - MIA (at IND)
With Huntley chucking the rock, Waddle has finished as the WR57 and the WR47 in weekly fantasy scoring. He has seen a 26.4% target share, a 25.2% air-yard share, and a 28.6% first-read share with 1.67 YPRR and 41 receiving yards per game. He hasn't drawn an end zone target in that two-game span. Indy has the fifth-highest single-high rate in the NFL (60.4%). Against single high with Huntley, Waddle has seen his numbers dip with a 25% target share, a 27.3% air-yard share, and 1.09 YPRR. The matchup is great this week on paper for Waddle as wide receivers have feasted on Indy, but with the coverage shell, this could just been a huge Hill game. Indy has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Waddle will run about 76% of his routes against Jaylon Jones (62.9% catch rate and 71.2 passer rating) and Samuel Womack lll (44.4% catch rate and 88.7 passer rating).
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86.
Trey Sermon
RB - IND (vs . MIA)
Sermon will draw another start this week for the injured Jonathan Taylor. Over the last two weeks, Sermon has played 59-60% of the snaps with RB6 and RB47 weekly finishes. He has averaged 17 touches and only 46 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 34th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 61st in yards after contact per attempt. Sermon faces a tough matchup this week. Miami has held backs to the fifth-lowest rushing success rate, the third-lowest yards per carry to zone runs, and the eighth-lowest success rate to zone runs (Sermon 56.8% zone).
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87.
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR - NYG (vs . PHI)
Robinson is the WR29 in fantasy points per game this season, ranking tenth in the NFL in red zone targets. He has a 24.5% target share, 1.50 YPRR, and a 27.3% first-read share. Robinson is a strong WR3/flex this week against a Philly secondary that has allowed the fifth-highest PPR points per target and the eighth-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers. Robinson will run about 90% of his routes against Cooper DeJean (50% catch rate and 57.3 passer rating).
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88.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - TEN (at BUF)
Last week was the first time Hopkins has played close to a full-time role with a 63% route share, a 22.2% target share, a 36.7% air-yard share, 2.84 YPRR, and a 24% first-read share. Playing Hopkins implies at least some inkling of faith in Levis's ability to provide catchable targets to Hopkins. I'm sorry I don't have that faith. Buffalo has held wide receivers to the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game and perimeter wide receivers to the sixth-fewest receiving yards per game. Sit Hopkins.
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89.
Khalil Shakir
WR - BUF (vs . TEN)
Shakir opened this week as a full participant in practice (ankle). Last week, he only had a 43% route share with an 8% target share and a 6.7% first-read share. While I think he probably sees an uptick in playing time this week, it's not for certain, as he is clearly not 100% healthy. Sit Shakir this week against a tough slot matchup. Tennessee has allowed the 11th-fewest receiving yards and the seventh-lowest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
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90.
Calvin Ridley
WR - TEN (at BUF)
Last week, Ridley had eight targets and goose-egged the box score. Ridley has been frustrated, and it's easy to see why. Only 50% of his target volume has been deemed catchable. Ridley has had a 14.1% target share, a 44.4% air-yard share, 1.12 YPRR, and a 24.5% first-read share. If Levis couldn't feed Ridley decent targets in a smash matchup last week, I don't have any faith that he can do so this week against a secondary that has allowed the ninth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Sit Ridley.
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91.
Tyler Goodson
RB - IND (vs . MIA)
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92.
Sam LaPorta
TE - DET (at MIN)
I think we need to question how healthy LaPorta is right now. Even in the first half of last week's game, before Detroit had blown Dallas's doors off, LaPorta only had a 56% route share. That's puzzling. Overall this season, he has a 66% route share, a 9.2% target share, 1.79 YPRR, and a 9.3% first-read share. These aren't the type of numbers that we thought we would be getting this season. LaPorta has been quite good when targeted, but Jameson Williams' ascension and breakout season are what has crushed him. Also, Detroit's love for leaning on the run game this season. LaPorta could have a bounceback game this week against a defense that has allowed the 12th-most receptions and the ninth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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93.
Michael Wilson
WR - ARI (vs . LAC)
Wilson is the WR58 in fantasy points per game with two WR3 weeks on his 2024 ledger (WR28, WR32). Wilson has had a 17.6% target share, a 26.1% air-yard share, 1.43 YPRR, and a 20.5% first-read share. The Chargers have the third-highest two high rate (59.2%) in the NFL. Wilson has seen his first-read share increase to 21.3% against two high while his other metrics have stayed relatively stable. Los Angeles has allowed the 11th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season.
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94.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . MIA)
Pittman Jr. has looked like a shell of himself as he has been playing through a back issue. Pittman Jr. is the WR44 in fantasy, seeing a 22% target share with 1.64 YPRR, four end zone targets, and a 24.2% first-read share. Miami is tied for 12th in two-high rate (47.2%). Against two-high, Pittman's YPRR has fallen to 1.45 while his target share has slightly bumped to 23.1%, and his first-read share has jumped to 28.2%. Temper your expectations for Pittman Jr. this week with the coverage matchup and against a secondary that has yielded the fifth-lowest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Pittman Jr. will run about 75% of his routes against Jalen Ramsey (66.7% catch rate and 84.0 passer rating) and Kendall Fuller (42.9% catch rate and 74.1 passer rating). Pittman didn't practice on Wednesday or Friday, but he practiced in full on Thursday. He has been listed as questionable.
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95.
Tutu Atwell
WR - LAR (vs . LV)
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96.
Jordan Whittington
WR - LAR (vs . LV)
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97.
Tre Tucker
WR - LV (at LAR)
Tucker could operate as the team's WR2, with Brock Bowers taking the lead if Jakobi Meyers is unable to suit up. Tucker hasn't shown much without Davante Adams, so I don't have high hopes for him this week, regardless of who is starting opposite him. Since Week 4, Tucker has had a 12.9% target share, 0.62 YPRR, and an 18.8% first-read share. He has averaged only 19.7 receiving yards per game and 6.7 fantasy points per game. Tucker is best left on the waiver wire.
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98.
Rachaad White
RB - TB (vs . BAL)
White is dealing with a foot injury. He has been limited all week in practice. The coaching staff has stated this could be a true three-way committee. They have discussed this being a "hot hand approach." That is frightening. I don't want to play any Bucs back this week in a terrible matchup for their ground game. If the Bucs have a chance to win this game, it will be because of Baker Mayfield and their passing game not their rushing attack. Sit White. Baltimore's run defense has allowed the fourth-lowest explosive run rate, the fewest rushing yards per game, and the lowest yards after contact per attempt.
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99.
Evan Engram
TE - JAC (vs . NE)
All Evan Engram did after missing over a month was secure all 10 of Trevor Lawrence's targets for 102 yards. Sure, he lost a fumble, but he finished as the overall TE5 for the week. More importantly, the volume was a great sign for Engram's outlook going forward. Remember that Engram caught 114 passes a year ago. That was the second-most by a tight end in NFL history. Engram and the Jaguars host the New England Patriots in Week 7. The Patriots have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to opposing tight ends this year. Even against a weak New England offense, Jacksonville's porous defense should force them to continue to throw. Because of that, Engram is a threat to pace the position in receptions when healthy.
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100.
Rashod Bateman
WR - BAL (at TB)
Bateman is the WR54 in fantasy points per game with two WR3 or higher games on his 2024 ledger (WR19, WR35). Overall, he has had a 14.7% target share, a 26% air-yard share, 1.74 YPRR, and a 15.3% first-read share. He is tied for third on the team in red zone targets. The Bucs have utilized Cover 3 or Cover 4 with 61.1% of their defensive snaps. Against these coverage types, Bateman's target share has fallen to 10%, with his YPRR sitting at 1.21 and his first-read share at a minuscule 10.6%. Sit Bateman this week.
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101.
Gabe Davis
WR - JAC (vs . NE)
I'm not chasing Davis' performance last week. That was his first double-digit PPR point outing of the season. New England has the ninth-highest two high rate (49.6%). Against two high, Davis ranks sixth in TPRR (19%) and has only seen a 17.2% first-read share while producing 1.17 YPRR. Sit Davis.
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102.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (vs . CIN)
In his first full game of the season, Njoku had a 63.3% route share, a 30.4% target share, 1.63 YPRR, and a 31.6% first-read share. He was the TE17 in fantasy scoring last week. While many think Jeudy will take over as the team's WR1 with Amari Cooper, it could be Njoku who leads the way weekly. Njoku could walk away from Week 7 with a wonderful stat line. Cincy has been giving to tight ends, allowing the tenth-most receiving yards and the fifth-most fantasy points per game.
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103.
Bub Means
WR - NO (vs . DEN)
Means could operate as the team's WR1 this week. Last week, in Rattler's first NFL start, Means had a 70.8% route share, a 20% target share, a 27.5% air-yard share, 1.32 YPRR, one end zone target, and a team-leading 26.9% first-read share. Means is only a deep-league flex option. He'll run about 65% of his routes against Levi Wallace (71.4% catch rate and 82.4 passer rating) and Riley Moss (60.5% catch rate and 77.7 passer rating). Denver has allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to wide receivers.
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104.
Tucker Kraft
TE - GB (vs . HOU)
Kraft is the TE6 in fantasy points per game with a 13.3% target share, 1.79 YPRR, and a 10.9% first-read share. He leads the team with five red zone targets. Bump down your Kraft expectations this week against a pass defense that has allowed the fifth-lowest yards per reception and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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105.
Noah Brown
WR - WAS (vs . CAR)
Since Week 3, Brown has had a 57.4% route share, a 17% target share, a 23.2% air-yard share, 1.82 YPRR, and a 20.6% first-read share (second on the team). Brown is fifth on the team with two red zone targets. Carolina has the third-highest single-high rate (67.9%). Across his last three games against single-high, Brown has ranked second on the team with a 24% TPRR, third in YPRR (1.58), and first in first-read share (26.7%). Brown is a better flex play this week than it might at first appear on the surface. Carolina has allowed the most PPR points per target and the ninth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Brown will run about 83% of his routes against Jaycee Horn (48.1% catch rate and 87.0 passer rating) and Mike Jackson (64.9% catch rate and 94.5 passer rating).
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106.
Antonio Gibson
RB - NE (at JAC)
If Rhamondre Stevenson isn't good to go this week (it seems like he will start), Gibson will draw the start this week. Last week, as the starter, he played 48% of the snaps with 16 touches and 43 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 29th in missed tackles forced per attempt and second in yards after contact per attempt. It looks like another rough week for Gibson incoming. Jacksonville has allowed the 12th-fewest rushing yards per game, the sixth-lowest missed tackle rate, and the second-lowest yards after contact per attempt. Gibson is a volume-fueled flex option.
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107.
Dalton Kincaid
TE - BUF (vs . TEN)
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108.
Allen Lazard
WR - NYJ (at PIT)
Lazard has been extremely productive this season as Wilson's running mate, but that looks to come crashing down in Week 7 with the arrival of Adams. This isn't a great coverage matchup for Lazard, so even if Adams weren't on the Jets, I would advise sitting him this week. With Adams on the team, it makes it an even easier call. Lazard faces a Pittsburgh pass defense that has the second-highest rate of single-high (68.2%). Against single-high, Lazard has seen only a 14.4% target share and 14.3% first-read share producing 1.28 YPRR. If you need room for a flex play in a better matchup, Lazard is droppable.
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109.
Zach Charbonnet
RB - SEA (at ATL)
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110.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
WR - ATL (vs . SEA)
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111.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (at TB)
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112.
Jaylen Warren
RB - PIT (vs . NYJ)
Last week, Warren returned to the huddle. He played 37% of the snaps with nine touches and 18 total yards. He still isn't running like the player we have come to love in fantasy. Warren hasn't broken an explosive run or forced a missed tackle. He has only 2.10 yards after contact per attempt. Hold Warren on your benches, but he isn't in starting or flex consideration this week.
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113.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (vs . PHI)
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114.
Dalton Schultz
TE - HOU (at GB)
Schultz has been an afterthought in fantasy this season as the TE27. Last week without Collins, Schultz did see a bump in usage with a 21.9% target share and a 14.3% first-read share. Overall, he has had a 13.1% target share, 0.81 YPRR, an 11.9% first-read share, and one red zone target. This week, he could see closer to his Week 6 workload in a great matchup. Green Bay has allowed the fifth-most receiving yard and fantasy points per game to tight ends. Schultz is a matchup-based streaming option.
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115.
Ray Davis
RB - BUF (vs . TEN)
Davis popped up with a calf issue on Thursday. He was limited in practice on Thursday and Friday and has been listed as questionable. With James Cook back this week and off the injury report, Davis will fall back into this previous backup role. Prior to last week, he averaged only six touches and 18.6 total yards per game. Sit Davis.
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116.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (at TB)
Last week, Andrews FINALLY led the tight end group for Baltimore in route share (53%). He turned the playing time into a 15.4% target share, 66 receiving yards (4.13 YPRR), and an 18.2% first-read share. Andrews' playing time this season has been puzzling, but it seems that Baltimore is finally waking up and realizing that playing Andrews more means good things for this offense. Overall, Andrews has 1.68 YPRR and a 12.7% first read share. He is fifth on the team with only two red zone looks, but they have both come in the last two games. This is a great matchup to consider Andrews for lineups this week. Tampa Bay is 16th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends, but they have allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to the position.
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117.
Zach Ertz
TE - WAS (vs . CAR)
Ertz is the TE16 in fantasy points per game. He has had a 16.6% target share, 1.49 YPRR, and a 16.8% first-read share. Ertz leads the team in red zone targets, but he still hasn't gotten into the end zone. That could change this week. Carolina has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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118.
Braelon Allen
RB - NYJ (at PIT)
In the first game for the Jets with a new coaching regime, Allen's role was marginalized. He is not strictly a handcuff with very little stand-alone value. He played only 19% of the snaps, with three touches and eight total yards.
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119.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - LAR (vs . LV)
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120.
Hunter Henry
TE - NE (at JAC)
Since Week 3, Henry has only had a 9.6% target share with 0.92 YPRR and a 9.1% first-read share. During that stretch, he has only averaged 23.5 receiving yards per game and seen one end-zone target. Jacksonville has the tenth-highest rate of two-high (49.2%). Since Week 3 against two-high, Henry has only had a 7.5% target share with 1.05 YPRR and a 3.2% first-read share. Henry might not see much volume this week, but he is on the low end of the matchup-based streaming spectrum. Jacksonville has been wretched against tight ends (hello, Cole Kmet), allowing the third-highest yards per reception and the most receiving touchdowns to the position.
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121.
Joshua Palmer
WR - LAC (at ARI)
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122.
Cade Otton
TE - TB (vs . BAL)
Otton is the TE20 in fantasy points per game. That doesn't really tell the entire story of his season so far. Since Week 3, his usage has increased. Across the last four weeks, he is the TE12 in fantasy with a 17.9% target share, 1.41 YPRR, and a 15.5% first-read share. Otton is third on the team with five red zone targets. He has a glorious matchup this week and should flirt with TE1 value again in Week 7. Baltimore has allowed the most receiving yards and the tenth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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123.
Keon Coleman
WR - BUF (vs . TEN)
Coleman has only managed a 12.6% target share, a 20.8% air-yard share, 1.63 YPRR, and a 20.2% first-read share this season. He has only one red zone target this season and one weekly finish higher than WR46. Sit Coleman this week against a Tennessee pass defense that has allowed the fifth-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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124.
Emanuel Wilson
RB - GB (vs . HOU)
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125.
Colby Parkinson
TE - LAR (vs . LV)
Parkinson is the TE18 in fantasy points per game. He leads the Rams in red zone targets while drawing a 17.6% target share and 16.1% first-read share and producing 1.08 YPRR and 33 receiving yards per game. Parkinson is an easy sit this week. The Raiders have allowed the 11th-fewest receiving yards and fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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126.
Isaiah Likely
TE - BAL (at TB)
Likely has a 53% route share this season with a 14.1% target share, 1.90 YPRR, and a 15.3% first-read share. Likely leads the team in red zone targets (six). Half of those looks inside the 20-yard line have come in the last two games. Likely is a matchup-based streaming option at tight end this week who could finish as a TE1 this week. Tampa Bay is 16th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends, but they have allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to the position.
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127.
Pat Freiermuth
TE - PIT (vs . NYJ)
Freiermuth is the TE10 in fantasy points per game with the sixth-most red zone targets among tight ends. Freiermuth has a 15.5% target share, 1.36 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. He's a borderline TE1 this week with a horrible matchup. New York has allowed the sixth-fewest receiving yards and the seventh-lowest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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128.
Kimani Vidal
RB - LAC (at ARI)
Vidal isn't startable right now, but he has entered the high-end handcuff territory. Last week, he made his 2024 debut, playing 24% of the snaps with six touches and 51 total yards (one touchdown). Stash him now where you have room. If anything were to happen to J.K. Dobbins, he would immediately fall into the RB1/2 bucket.
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129.
Greg Dortch
WR - ARI (vs . LAC)
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130.
Alec Pierce
WR - IND (vs . MIA)
Pierce could have another standout day this week on limited volume as the Colts' deep threat. He leads the team with 13 deep targets, which account for 59% of his target volume. Overall, Pierce has an 11.8% target share, a 31.9% air-yard share (26.6 aDOT), 2.36 YPRR, and a 12.9% first-read share. He is a high upside/low floor option at the flex this week, and that could yield fantastic results if he and Richardson hook up for a long score or two. Miami has allowed the fourth-highest passer rating, the 11th-most passing yards, and the tenth-highest adjusted completion rate to deep passing.
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131.
Sean Tucker
RB - TB (vs . BAL)
Last week, Tucker worked as the RB2 for the Bucs, but you'd never know that from the boxscore. Tucker had a 38% snap rate, but he had 17 touches, 192 total yards, and two scores as the RB1 for the week. Don't chase the massive stat line, though. Tucker only had a 30% snap share on passing downs and only 15% of the red zone snaps. The matchup for the Bucs' ground game this week is horrible. Baltimore has allowed the fourth-lowest explosive run rate, the fewest rushing yards per game, and the lowest yards after contact per attempt. The coaching staff has stated this is a running back committee, and the back with the "hot hand" will get the ball. That is nightmare fuel. We need to see how this plays out before having any confidence in starting any of these Bucs' backs. Sit Tucker.
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132.
Isaac Guerendo
RB - SF (vs . KC)
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133.
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB - DEN (at NO)
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134.
Andrei Iosivas
WR - CIN (at CLE)
Iosivas is droppable at this point. Since the return of Tee Higgins, this passing offense has run through Ja'Marr Chase and Higgins. Since Week 3, Iosivas has only managed a 9.6% target share, 39 receiving yards per game, and a 7.3% first-read share. The Browns have held slot receivers in check with the 11th-lowest PPR points per target allowed.
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135.
Juwan Johnson
TE - NO (vs . DEN)
With all of the injuries to the Saints' pass-catching depth chart, Johnson could see an elevated role in Week 7. Since Week 4, he has been more involved in the offense with a 9.9% target share, 1.11 YPRR, and a 10.4% first-read share. Johnson has only one red-zone target this season. Denver has been an average matchup for tight ends. The Broncos are 15th in receiving yards and fantasy points per game allowed to the tight-end position.
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136.
D'Ernest Johnson
RB - JAC (vs . NE)
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137.
Devaughn Vele
WR - DEN (at NO)
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138.
Noah Fant
TE - SEA (at ATL)
Fant is the TE17 in fantasy with zero deep targets and one red zone look this season. He has been held below 30 receiving yards in four of his six games this season. He has drawn only a 9.4% target share with 1.10 YPRR and an 11.8% first-read share. Fant isn't on the streaming radar this week against a Falcons defense that has held the position to the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game.
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139.
Troy Franklin
WR - DEN (at NO)
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140.
Blake Corum
RB - LAR (vs . LV)
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141.
Kayshon Boutte
WR - NE (at JAC)
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142.
Zamir White
RB - LV (at LAR)
White has limited practices on Wednesday and Thursday before a full session on Friday. He has been listed as questionable. Luke Getsy has discussed that Alexander Mattison could retain the lead-back role with White returning. White has averaged only 13.6 touches and 42 total yards this season. Sit him this week. If you need the roster spot, White is droppable.
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143.
Miles Sanders
RB - CAR (at WAS)
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144.
Elijah Moore
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
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145.
Tim Patrick
WR - DET (at MIN)
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146.
Grant Calcaterra
TE - PHI (at NYG)
With Dallas Goedert injured during last week's game, Calcaterra took over this full-time tight-end role with an 84.6% route share, a 16% target share, 3.05 YPRR, and a 15.8% first-read share. Cacaterra isn't on the matchup-based streaming radar this week. The Giants have allowed the 12th-lowest yards per reception and the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends. The passing attack will be heavily concentrated through A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith this week.
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147.
D'Onta Foreman
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
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148.
Tyler Conklin
TE - NYJ (at PIT)
Conklin has been a matchup-based streaming option again this season. He is the TE19 in fantasy points per game with three deep targets and three red zone looks. He has been a TE1 twice this season (TE4, TE12). Conklin has a 12.4% target share, 1.04 YPRR, and a 7.8% first-read share. Conklin is a low-end streaming option again this week. Pittsburgh has allowed the tenth-most receiving yards and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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149.
Dameon Pierce
RB - HOU (at GB)
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150.
Jonnu Smith
TE - MIA (at IND)
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151.
Jaylen Wright
RB - MIA (at IND)
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152.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
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153.
Ja'Lynn Polk
WR - NE (at JAC)
Since Week 3, Polk has tied DeMario Douglas for the team lead in route share (69.9%) while seeing a 14.4% target share and an 18.2% first-read share. Polk, sadly, has only produced 0.56 YPRR and 15 receiving yards per game. It hasn't been pretty. This could be the week he breaks out. Jacksonville has the tenth-highest rate of two-high (49.2%). Since Week 3 against two-high, Polk has seen a team-leading 24.4% target share, 38.6% air-yard share, and 29% first-read share. New England should pepper him with volume. The big question is whether he will do anything with the targets, but Jacksonville has been a wide receiver's dream matchup. The Jaguars have allowed the fourth-highest PPR points per target and the most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Polk will run about 85% of his routes this week against Montaric Brown (69.2% catch rate and 104.6 passer rating) and Ronald Darby (78.8% catch rate and 141.8 passer rating).
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154.
Jalen Coker
WR - CAR (at WAS)
Over the last two weeks, Coker has had a 67.9% route share, a 9.6% target share, 1.78 YPRR, and an 11.6% first-read share. Washington has the sixth-highest two-high rate (53.7%). Against two high in this small sample, Coker has had a 12% TPRR, 1.82 YPRR, and a 12% first-read share (third on the team). Coker is flex viable in deep leagues this week against a Washington secondary that has allowed the third-most PPR points per target and the sixth-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers. Coker will run about 77% of his routest against Noah Igbinoghene (64% catch rate and 102.8 passer rating).
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155.
Mike Gesicki
TE - CIN (at CLE)
Gesicki's usage has been falling. Last week, he didn't draw a target and only had a 38.2% route share. Erick All was the only Cincy tight end to draw a target in last week's game. Gesicki is droppable.
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156.
Theo Johnson
TE - NYG (vs . PHI)
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157.
Will Dissly
TE - LAC (at ARI)
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158.
Justin Watson
WR - KC (at SF)
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159.
Trey Benson
RB - ARI (vs . LAC)
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160.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - NE (at JAC)
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161.
Sterling Shepard
WR - TB (vs . BAL)
Across the last three games, Shepard has been a regular starter with a 61.7% route share, a 10.3% target share, a 24.5% air-yard share, 1.05 YPRR, and a 10% first-read share. He is a deep-league flex option. Baltimore has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game and the 13th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
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162.
Curtis Samuel
WR - BUF (vs . TEN)
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163.
DJ Turner
WR - LV (at LAR)
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164.
Luke McCaffrey
WR - WAS (vs . CAR)
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165.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
WR - NO (vs . DEN)
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166.
Jalen Nailor
WR - MIN (vs . DET)
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167.
Calvin Austin III
WR - PIT (vs . NYJ)
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168.
Ja'Tavion Sanders
TE - CAR (at WAS)
Over the last two weeks, Sanders has had a 70% route share, a 16.4% target share, 1.09 YPRR, and a 16.3% first-read share. He has seen a red zone target in each of his last three games. Washington has the sixth-highest two-high rate (53.7%). Against two high, Sanders is second on the team with a 24% TPRR and third in first-read share (12.3%). Washington has faced the fourth-fewest tight end targets per game this season, but they have allowed the 11th-highest yards per reception and the sixth-most receiving touchdowns (tied) to the position. Sanders is a matchup-based streaming option this week.
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169.
Nelson Agholor
WR - BAL (at TB)
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170.
Mason Tipton
WR - NO (vs . DEN)
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171.
Dontayvion Wicks
WR - GB (vs . HOU)
Wicks is dealing with a shoulder issue. He has been limited in practice all week and listed as questionable. If he is active, he could play a handful of snaps and fall back into fantasy irrelevancy this week. With Christian Watson back, Wicks becomes just a bench stash again.
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172.
Erick All Jr.
TE - CIN (at CLE)
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173.
Audric Estime
RB - DEN (at NO)
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174.
Chig Okonkwo
TE - TEN (at BUF)
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175.
Emari Demercado
RB - ARI (vs . LAC)
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176.
Xavier Hutchinson
WR - HOU (at GB)
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177.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - LV (at LAR)
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178.
Jeremy McNichols
RB - WAS (vs . CAR)
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179.
Ty Johnson
RB - BUF (vs . TEN)
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180.
Kenneth Gainwell
RB - PHI (at NYG)
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181.
Cedric Tillman
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
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182.
Samaje Perine
RB - KC (at SF)
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183.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WR - WAS (vs . CAR)
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184.
Tyler Boyd
WR - TEN (at BUF)
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185.
Johnny Mundt
TE - MIN (vs . DET)
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186.
Adonai Mitchell
WR - IND (vs . MIA)
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187.
Jamaal Williams
RB - NO (vs . DEN)
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188.
Simi Fehoko
WR - LAC (at ARI)
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189.
Quentin Johnston
WR - LAC (at ARI)
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190.
Noah Gray
TE - KC (at SF)
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191.
Harrison Bryant
TE - LV (at LAR)
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192.
Kendre Miller
RB - NO (vs . DEN)
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193.
Carson Steele
RB - KC (at SF)
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194.
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB - JAC (vs . NE)
Etienne has been limited all week in practice (hamstring). He has been listed as questionable and ruled as a game-time decision. Etienne left last week's game with the injury. He played only 18% of the snaps with three touches. In the previous game, he played 38% of the snaps with 12 touches and 60 total yards. He played only 35% of the rushing play snaps while handling 47% of the passing down snaps. If Etienne is active this week, I expect him to be the passing down back with some scattered rushing usage. Tank Bigsby would handle the bulk of the early down work. Etienne hasn't been great on a per-touch basis this season, ranking 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 25th in yards after contact per attempt. Even his receiving numbers have been snooze-worthy. Among 44 qualifying backs, he ranks 33rd in YPRR and 30th in receiving yards per game. New England has been a middle-of-the-road defense against pass-catching backs, ranking 17th in yards per reception and 15th in receiving yards per game allowed. Etienne is an uninspiring flex play if active.
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195.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . TEN)
|
|
196.
Van Jefferson
WR - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
197.
Foster Moreau
TE - NO (vs . DEN)
|
|
198.
Julius Chestnut
RB - TEN (at BUF)
|
|
199.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
200.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB - KC (at SF)
|
|
201.
Bo Melton
WR - GB (vs . HOU)
|
|
202.
Mack Hollins
WR - BUF (vs . TEN)
|
|
203.
Jonathan Mingo
WR - CAR (at WAS)
|
|
204.
Jahan Dotson
WR - PHI (at NYG)
|
|
205.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - NE (at JAC)
|
|
206.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR - DEN (at NO)
|
|
207.
Lucas Krull
TE - DEN (at NO)
|
|
208.
Mike Williams
WR - NYJ (at PIT)
Williams wasn't at practice on Wednesday (personal). It looks like he is taking a page out of Davante Adams' playbook and sitting out awaiting a trade to another team. Williams will likely be out this week. Even if he is active, he is likely the WR4 on the team and in a part-time role.
|
|
209.
Ricky Pearsall
WR - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
210.
Jalen McMillan
WR - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
211.
Patrick Taylor Jr.
RB - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
212.
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR - MIA (at IND)
|
|
213.
Kalif Raymond
WR - DET (at MIN)
|
|
214.
Jake Bobo
WR - SEA (at ATL)
|
|
215.
Dyami Brown
WR - WAS (vs . CAR)
|
|
216.
John Metchie III
WR - HOU (at GB)
|
|
217.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . MIA)
|
|
218.
KhaDarel Hodge
WR - ATL (vs . SEA)
|
|
219.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
WR - KC (at SF)
|
|
220.
Xavier Weaver
WR - ARI (vs . LAC)
|
|
221.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - HOU (at GB)
|
|
222.
Eric Gray
RB - NYG (vs . PHI)
|
|
223.
Cam Akers
RB - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
224.
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR - DEN (at NO)
|
|
225.
Austin Hooper
TE - NE (at JAC)
|
|
226.
Josh Whyle
TE - TEN (at BUF)
|
|
227.
Kristian Wilkerson
WR - LV (at LAR)
|
|
228.
Zay Jones
WR - ARI (vs . LAC)
|
|
229.
Brock Wright
TE - DET (at MIN)
|
|
230.
Hassan Haskins
RB - LAC (at ARI)
|
|
231.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR - TEN (at BUF)
|
|
232.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
233.
Darnell Washington
TE - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
234.
Brenton Strange
TE - JAC (vs . NE)
|
|
235.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - LV (at LAR)
Meyers didn't practice on Wednesday (ankle). He missed last week's game. I'll update his outlook on Friday.
|
|
236.
Tyler Johnson
WR - LAR (vs . LV)
|
|
237.
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR - NO (vs . DEN)
|
|
238.
AJ Barner
TE - SEA (at ATL)
|
|
239.
Alex Bachman
WR - LV (at LAR)
|
|
240.
Jeremy Ruckert
TE - NYJ (at PIT)
|
|
241.
Elijah Higgins
TE - ARI (vs . LAC)
|
|
242.
Cade Stover
TE - HOU (at GB)
|
|
243.
Derius Davis
WR - LAC (at ARI)
|
|
244.
Connor Heyward
TE - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
245.
Ronnie Rivers
RB - LAR (vs . LV)
|
|
246.
Ben Sims
TE - GB (vs . HOU)
|
|
247.
Myles Gaskin
RB - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
248.
Josh Oliver
TE - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
249.
Drew Ogletree
TE - IND (vs . MIA)
|
|
250.
Charlie Kolar
TE - BAL (at TB)
|
|
251.
Kylen Granson
TE - IND (vs . MIA)
|
|
252.
Michael Burton
RB - DEN (at NO)
|
|
253.
Tommy Tremble
TE - CAR (at WAS)
|
|
254.
C.J. Ham
RB - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
255.
Jordan Akins
TE - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
256.
Jack Stoll
TE - PHI (at NYG)
|
|
257.
Jalin Hyatt
WR - NYG (vs . PHI)
|
|
258.
Chris Conley
WR - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
259.
Malik Heath
WR - GB (vs . HOU)
|
|
260.
Will Mallory
TE - IND (vs . MIA)
|
|
261.
Jaelon Darden
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
262.
Alec Ingold
RB - MIA (at IND)
|
|
263.
Trey Palmer
WR - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
264.
Malik Washington
WR - MIA (at IND)
|
|
265.
Hunter Long
TE - LAR (vs . LV)
|
|
266.
Aaron Shampklin
RB - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
267.
Parker Washington
WR - JAC (vs . NE)
|
|
268.
Pharaoh Brown
TE - SEA (at ATL)
|
|
269.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
270.
Brandon Powell
WR - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
271.
Patrick Ricard
RB - BAL (at TB)
|
|
272.
Will Shipley
RB - PHI (at NYG)
|
|
273.
Johnny Wilson
WR - PHI (at NYG)
|
|
274.
Durham Smythe
TE - MIA (at IND)
|
|
275.
Ashton Dulin
WR - IND (vs . MIA)
|
|
276.
Dylan Laube
RB - LV (at LAR)
|
|
277.
Ronnie Bell
WR - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
278.
Nick Vannett
TE - TEN (at BUF)
|
|
279.
Adam Trautman
TE - DEN (at NO)
|
|
280.
Ian Thomas
TE - CAR (at WAS)
|
|
281.
Skyy Moore
WR - KC (at SF)
|
|
282.
Eric Tomlinson
TE - LAC (at ARI)
|
|
283.
Braxton Berrios
WR - MIA (at IND)
|
|
284.
Nate Adkins
TE - DEN (at NO)
|
|
285.
Stone Smartt
TE - LAC (at ARI)
|
|
286.
David Moore
WR - CAR (at WAS)
|
|
287.
Sione Vaki
RB - DET (at MIN)
|
|
288.
Parris Campbell
WR - PHI (at NYG)
|
|
289.
John Bates
TE - WAS (vs . CAR)
|
|
290.
Julian Hill
TE - MIA (at IND)
|
|
291.
Daniel Bellinger
TE - NYG (vs . PHI)
|
|
292.
Davis Allen
TE - LAR (vs . LV)
|
|
293.
Xavier Gipson
WR - NYJ (at PIT)
|
|
294.
Roman Wilson
WR - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
295.
Jared Wiley
TE - KC (at SF)
|
|
296.
Scotty Miller
WR - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
297.
Chris Brooks
RB - GB (vs . HOU)
|
|
298.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB - MIA (at IND)
|
|
299.
Terrell Jennings
RB - NE (at JAC)
|
|
300.
Tylan Wallace
WR - BAL (at TB)
|
|
301.
Jamari Thrash
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
302.
Ben Sinnott
TE - WAS (vs . CAR)
|
|
303.
Adam Prentice
RB - NO (vs . DEN)
|
|
304.
Blake Watson
RB - DEN (at NO)
|
|
305.
Tim Jones
WR - JAC (vs . NE)
|
|
306.
Jermaine Jackson
WR - NO (vs . DEN)
|
|
307.
Charlie Woerner
TE - ATL (vs . SEA)
|
|
308.
Joshua Kelley
RB - TEN (at BUF)
|
|
309.
Luke Farrell
TE - JAC (vs . NE)
|
|
310.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
WR - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
311.
Evan Hull
RB - IND (vs . MIA)
|
|
312.
Zach Pascal
WR - ARI (vs . LAC)
|
|
313.
Raheem Blackshear
RB - CAR (at WAS)
|
|
314.
K.J. Osborn
WR - NE (at JAC)
|
|
315.
Craig Reynolds
RB - DET (at MIN)
|
|
316.
Tip Reiman
TE - ARI (vs . LAC)
|
|
317.
Jody Fortson Jr.
TE - KC (at SF)
|
|
318.
Jermaine Burton
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
319.
Ko Kieft
TE - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
320.
Tanner Hudson
TE - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
321.
Payne Durham
TE - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
322.
Tyreik McAllister
RB,WR - LV (at LAR)
|
|
323.
Eric Saubert
TE - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
324.
Trenton Irwin
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
325.
MyCole Pruitt
TE - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
326.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
327.
Dallin Holker
TE - NO (vs . DEN)
|
|
328.
Nyheim Hines
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
329.
Ross Dwelley
TE - ATL (vs . SEA)
|
|
330.
Charlie Jones
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
331.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . CAR)
|
|
332.
Ryan Miller
WR - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
333.
DJ Chark Jr.
WR - LAC (at ARI)
|
|
334.
Kameron Johnson
WR - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
335.
Isaiah Davis
RB - NYJ (at PIT)
|
|
336.
Kevin Harris
RB - NE (at JAC)
|
|
337.
Jacob Cowing
WR - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
338.
Quintin Morris
TE - BUF (vs . TEN)
|
|
339.
Jake Funk
RB - JAC (vs . NE)
|
|
340.
Brenden Rice
WR - LAC (at ARI)
|
|
341.
Hayden Hurst
TE - LAC (at ARI)
|
|
342.
Kenny McIntosh
RB - SEA (at ATL)
|
|
343.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - ARI (vs . LAC)
|
|
344.
Jaheim Bell
TE - NE (at JAC)
|
|
345.
Xavier Smith
WR - LAR (vs . LV)
|
|
346.
E.J. Jenkins
TE - PHI (at NYG)
|
|
347.
Avery Williams
RB - ATL (vs . SEA)
|
|
348.
Allen Robinson II
WR - DET (at MIN)
|
|
349.
Casey Washington
WR - ATL (vs . SEA)
|
|
350.
Tyquan Thornton
WR - NE (at JAC)
|
|
351.
Isaiah Hodgins
WR - NYG (vs . PHI)
|
|
352.
Tanner Conner
TE - MIA (at IND)
|
|
353.
Jonathan Ward
RB - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
354.
Jha'Quan Jackson
WR - TEN (at BUF)
|
|
355.
Deonte Harty
WR - BAL (at TB)
|
|
356.
Anthony Firkser
TE - NYJ (at PIT)
|
|
357.
Reggie Gilliam
RB - BUF (vs . TEN)
|
|
358.
John Samuel Shenker
TE - LV (at LAR)
|
|
359.
D.J. Williams
RB - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
360.
Parker Hesse
TE - DET (at MIN)
|
|
361.
Steven Sims Jr.
WR - HOU (at GB)
|
|
362.
Brady Russell
TE - SEA (at ATL)
|
|
363.
Irvin Charles
WR - NYJ (at PIT)
|
|
364.
Frank Gore Jr.
RB - BUF (vs . TEN)
|
|
365.
Jake Tonges
TE - SF (vs . KC)
|
|
366.
Chris Manhertz
TE - NYG (vs . PHI)
|
|
367.
Devontez Walker
WR - BAL (at TB)
|
|
368.
Geoff Swaim
TE - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
369.
Trishton Jackson
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
370.
Brenden Bates
TE - NYJ (at PIT)
|
|
371.
Robert Tonyan
TE - MIN (vs . DET)
|
|
372.
Teagan Quitoriano
TE - HOU (at GB)
|
|
373.
Rasheen Ali
RB - BAL (at TB)
|
|
374.
Josiah Deguara
TE - JAC (vs . NE)
|
|
375.
Devin Culp
TE - TB (vs . BAL)
|
|
376.
Jordan Franks
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
377.
Rodney Williams
TE - PIT (vs . NYJ)
|
|
378.
Travis Vokolek
TE - ARI (vs . LAC)
|
