Brian Thomas Jr. Week 7 Outlook - Patriots at Jaguars

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 17th 2024, 2:05pm EDT

Thomas Jr. is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 20% target share with a 28.3% air-yard share, 2.48 YPRR, and a 24.5% first-read share. He is tied for second on the team in end-zone targets and red-zone targets. Thomas Jr. could see shadow coverage from Christian Gonzalez this week. Last week, Gonzalez followed Stefon Diggs on only 51.9% of his routes despite Diggs playing 65% of his snaps on the boundary in Week 6. He allowed Diggs to secure four of his five targets with 39 receiving yards and a score. Previously, Gonzalez had followed Ja'Marr Chase, Garrett Wilson, D.K. Metcalf, Tyreek Hill, and Brandon Aiyuk on 53.8-90% of their routes. Only Metcalf finished with more than 60 receiving yards in his coverage in that span. Gonzalez is a worry, but if he is only following Thomas Jr. on half of his routes this week, it isn't a major concern. New England has the ninth-highest two high rate (49.6%). Against two high, Thomas Jr. has been marginalized, ranking fifth on the team in TPRR (17%) with only 1.37 YPRR and an 18.6% first-read share. Thomas Jr. could have a quiet Week 7.