Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 16 Rankings
|
1.
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB - DET (at CHI)
Jahmyr Gibbs is the overall RB3 for the 2024 season, but it has not always felt that way. Gibbs and teammate David Montgomery have formed the most dynamic running-back duo in the NFL this year. But that has often limited the individual outputs of both backs. Each Lions running back entered last week with two top-five weekly finishes under their belts. However, Montgomery was injured last week and will miss the season. That leaves Gibbs in the catbird seat moving forward. He gets an excellent matchup this week versus the run-funnel defense of the Chicago Bears. Chicago has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs while giving up the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Chicago is also coming off a short week, which should play into Gibbs' favor. This matchup is a potential smash spot for Jahmyr Gibbs.
|
|
2.
Josh Jacobs
RB - GB (vs . NO)
Following Green Bay's Week 10 bye, running back Josh Jacobs has been the most consistent fantasy running back in the league. Jacobs has finished as a top-eight back in all five games while scoring the second-most fantasy points. Jacobs is in a prime spot to keep it up this week versus the New Orleans Saints on Monday night. New Orleans ranks 30th in DVOA and 28th in EPA against the run. The Packers are the biggest favorite on the Week 16 board, so they should have a positive game script. That would lend itself to even more touches and production out of Jacobs, making him a legitimate threat to lead all running backs in fantasy points this week.
|
|
3.
Bijan Robinson
RB - ATL (vs . NYG)
Bijan Robinson went over the century mark in scrimmage yards for the eighth time in nine games in Atlanta's victory on Monday night in Las Vegas. Robinson should be in for another busy day at the office when the Falcons face the New York Giants in Week 16. Atlanta has switched at quarterback from Kirk Cousins to rookie Michael Penix Jr. The Falcons may take more shots downfield with Penix Jr, but they will still rely on the run game against an overmatched New York defense. Keep Robinson locked into lineups as a solid RB1 in this matchup.
|
|
4.
Saquon Barkley
RB - PHI (at WAS)
Saquon Barkley fell victim to Philadelphia's increased productivity from their passing game in their win against Pittsburgh last week. Barkley ran for just 65 yards, his second-lowest total of the season. The result was Barkley finishing outside the top 20 running backs for just the fourth time this year. The good news for fantasy managers is that Barkley has responded on the other three occasions by finishing the next game as either the overall RB1 or RB2. Those heights are certainly within Barkley's reach in Week 16. Washington is 25th in the NFL in DVOA defensively, including 26th against the run. Barkley should bounce back nicely this week.
|
|
5.
James Conner
RB - ARI (at CAR)
Cardinals running back James Conner had his first multi-touchdown game of the 2024 season last week, adding 138 scrimmage yards for good measure. Conner led all running backs in fantasy points a week ago and is a candidate to repeat this week when Arizona plays the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has allowed far and away the most rushing yards in the league to enemy backs. They have also given up 15 rushing scores to opposing running backs, which is tied for tops in the NFL. Conner should have plenty of chances to rack up the fantasy points in this matchup.
|
|
6.
Derrick Henry
RB - BAL (vs . PIT)
If we knew that Baltimore would score 35 points and win by 21 last week against a weak New York Giants run defense, we would have expected Derrick Henry to be heavily involved. Instead, he finished the week as the overall RB36, his worst finish of the year. OK then... to make matters worse, Henry gets a difficult draw against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 16. Henry emerged from his last meeting with the Steelers as an RB2, which is probably a realistic expectation for him this week.
|
|
7.
Chase Brown
RB - CIN (vs . CLE)
Chase Brown has quietly been one of the NFL's most productive and consistent fantasy running backs this season. And since Zack Moss suffered a season-ending injury in Week 8, Brown has finished as an RB1 in 12-team leagues in all six Cincinnati contests. Brown is one of three backs who have averaged at least 20 fantasy points per game since Week 9. The second-year back has a great chance to keep that average intact versus the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. Cleveland is a below-average defense, and Cincinnati should enjoy a favorable game script. Brown's workload is among the most stable in the league, so consider him an RB1 again this week.
|
|
8.
Kyren Williams
RB - LAR (at NYJ)
While fantasy managers constantly chase blowup games, most want consistency. If you seek consistency, you should be a fan of Rams running back Kyren Williams. Williams has finished as RB27 or better (based on Half-PPR scoring) in all 14 games he has played this season. That means he has been worth a starting spot as either a running back or Flex every week. He is the only player in the NFL who can make that claim. Williams should have another good game against the New York Jets. New York has allowed an average of 128.5 scrimmage yards to opposing running backs this year. They have effectively kept backs out of the end zone, but the volume should be enough for Williams to exploit this matchup.
|
|
9.
De'Von Achane
RB - MIA (vs . SF)
De'Von Achane's touchdown streak ended last week, along with his four straight top-15 fantasy performances. The good news is that Achane has a safe floor based on his production as a receiver out of the backfield. He finished as an RB2 in 12-team Half-PPR leagues on the strength of seven receptions. His role in the passing game, alongside Tua Tagovailoa, should always keep Achane in the RB1 conversation. Miami hosts the San Francisco 49ers this week. San Francisco is a run-funnel defense, so there are multiple paths to production for Achane this week.
|
|
10.
Ja'Marr Chase
WR - CIN (vs . CLE)
Ja'Marr Chase failed to score for the first time in six weeks in Cincinnati's 10-point win in Tennessee. Still, fantasy managers should be satisfied with nine catches and 94 total yards on 11 targets. It was enough to keep Chase as a WR2 in 12-team leagues. If that is Chase's baseline, we'll take it. Chase will likely improve on last week's results in a favorable matchup versus the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland is 25th in the league in DVOA versus the pass. They also play man coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL. Chase's game-winning touchdown two weeks ago came against one-on-one coverage, and he is a threat to score every time he touches the football.
|
|
11.
Chuba Hubbard
RB - CAR (vs . ARI)
Hubbard is the RB17 in fantasy points per game, ranking sixth in opportunity share, seventh in weighted opportunities, and sixth in red zone touches. He has averaged 18.9 touches and 85.8 total yards per game. Among 61 qualifying backs, Hubbard ranks 16th in explosive run rate and 15th in yards after contact per attempt. Hubbard has managed more than 60 rushing yards in a game only once in his last four games. This could be the bounce-back matchup for Hubbard. Since Week 10, Arizona has allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the fourth-highest missed tackle rate, and the ninth-most yards before contact per attempt.
|
|
12.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
13.
Joe Mixon
RB - HOU (at KC)
From a fantasy standpoint, the Texans' running back Joe Mixon has hit his first rough stretch of 2024. After scoring at least 16 fantasy points in seven of his first eight games, Mixon has been held to single digits in two of his last three outings. Mixon's Week 16 prospects could be dicier than usual for several reasons. First, his matchup is a tough one against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs allow the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs. Mixon is also dealing with an ankle injury heading into a short week. He should be able to suit up on Sunday, but make sure you monitor his status between now and game time.
|
|
14.
James Cook
RB - BUF (vs . NE)
James Cook bounced back in a huge way last week after disappearing the week prior. Cook gashed the Detroit Lions for 133 total yards and two touchdowns on just 15 touches. Cook has finished as a top-10 fantasy back in five of his last seven games and should do so again when the Bills host the New England Patriots on Sunday. New England ranks 29th in the NFL in DVOA versus the run. This is a game Buffalo should win with relative ease. Cook does not always get the volume that most RB1s see, but he can easily mirror last week's effort against the Patriots.
|
|
15.
Puka Nacua
WR - LAR (at NYJ)
While teammate Cooper Kupp dropped a goose egg last week, Puka Nacua remained wildly consistent. Nacua has been a top-24 fantasy wide receiver in six straight games, and in all seven games this year in which he has played all four quarters. Nacua has a matchup in Week 16 against the New York Jets. New York ranks 27th in the NFL in DVOA versus the pass and just served up an overall WR4 performance to Jaguars' wideout Brian Thomas Jr. While Kupp could get some squeaky wheel treatment after last week's zero, Puka Nacua should continue to be an elite fantasy wide receiver.
|
|
16.
Rico Dowdle
RB - DAL (vs . TB)
Since Week 12, Dowdle has been the RB13 in fantasy points per game, averaging 22.8 touches and 127.8 total yards. Since Week 12, among 41 qualifying backs, he has ranked 13th in explosive run rate and sixth in yards after contact per attempt. Dowdle runs into a buzzsaw this week, which might break his hot streak of three consecutive 100-yard rushing games. Since Week 10, Tampa Bay has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game, the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, the fifth-fewest yards after contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest stuff rate.
|
|
17.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (at DAL)
A few weeks ago, Mike Evans' streak of 1,000-yard seasons felt destined to end. But now, it is a distinct possibility. Evans has averaged 103.5 receiving yards in four games since returning to the lineup in Week 12. The veteran has a great chance to get closer to that milestone on Sunday night when the Buccaneers face the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards to opposing wideouts this year. This game is a homecoming for the native Texan, and Tampa Bay is fighting to stay ahead of Atlanta in the NFC South. All the stars seemingly align for Mike Evans to have a massive game on Sunday.
|
|
18.
Bucky Irving
RB - TB (at DAL)
Well, I was wrong about Irving's workload last week. I thought he would be more limited than he was. Irving played 44% of the snaps and rattled off 17 touches and 113 total yards. It was his second 100-yard rushing day of the season. Since Week 8, Irving has averaged 15.7 touches and 96.2 total yards as the RB11 in fantasy points per game. During those seven games, among 36 qualifying backs, Irving has ranked 12th in explosive run rate, fourth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and first in yards after contact per attempt. Irving is in the RB1/2 mix again in Week 16. Since Week 10, Dallas has allowed the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the sixth-highest explosive run rate, and the seventh-highest success rate to gap runs (since Week 10, Irving 58.8% gap).
|
|
19.
Aaron Jones Sr.
RB - MIN (at SEA)
Jones is the RB18 in fantasy points per game, ranking 15th in opportunity share, 13th in weighted opportunities, and seventh in red zone touches. Since Week 12, he has averaged 17 touches and 86.8 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, Jones ranks 35th in explosive run rate and 13th in yards after contact per attempt. This is a sneaky good matchup for Jones. Since Week 10, Seattle has ranked 15th in missed tackle rate, allowing the 14th-highest yards before contact per attempt, the seventh-highest yards per carry to gap runs, and the tenth-highest success rate to gap runs. Jones has a 42.8% gap run rate this season, but I won't be shocked if Minnesota increases his gap run rate this week. Jones has five games this season where at least 50% of his rushing attempts have come via gap runs.
|
|
20.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (at SEA)
Justin Jefferson had a typical Justin Jefferson performance in Minnesota's Monday night win versus Chicago. Jefferson had seven catches for 73 yards and a score. It was the 12th time in 14 games that Jefferson registered at least 11 fantasy points in Half-PPR formats. There isn't much reason to expect that to change in Week 16. The matchup against the Seattle Seahawks is a neutral one. Jefferson may not have the target share every week that some other top-five wideouts possess, but he will continue to be the lead wide receiver in a potent Vikings' pass offense. That will keep his floor high enough for him to garner WR1 status.
|
|
21.
Nico Collins
WR - HOU (at KC)
Nico Collins continued his extreme home and road splits in the touchdown department. While he scored twice, Collins finished with just 17 yards on four catches. Though Collins would be hard-pressed to score multiple touchdowns in Week 16, he should see an increase in targets, yards, and receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs have allowed the fewest scrimmage yards to opposing running backs in the NFL. That may cause Houston to pivot to the pass. If and when they do, Collins should be the primary target. The Chiefs bring a lot of pressure and tend to play man coverage on the back end. Collins has a 30.4 target share and averages 3.15 yards per route run versus man coverage. He should reward fantasy managers with a couple of big plays on Saturday.
|
|
22.
Breece Hall
RB - NYJ (vs . LAR)
Last week, Hall split the backfield work with Isaiah Davis while retaining his lead-back role. He played 48% of the snaps with 11 touches and 51 total yards. The biggest worry for Hall this week is that Davis out-snapped him in the red zone (16.7% vs. 66.7% of the snaps). If Hall is healthier this week, I expect him to reclaim the red zone role in Week 16. Last week, Hall looked like a player operating at less than full strength with zero missed tackles forced and only 0.89 yards after contact per attempt. Overall this season, among 61 qualifying backs, Hall ranks 24th in explosive run rate and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 10, the Rams have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game, the tenth-highest explosive run rate, and the third-highest missed tackle rate.
|
|
23.
Brian Robinson Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . PHI)
Robinson Jr. is the RB23 in fantasy points per game, ranking 24th in carries and 22nd in red zone touches. Last week, he played 74% of the snaps (second-highest snap total of the season) while logging 24 touches and 87 total yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, Robinson Jr. ranks 12th in explosive run rate and 27th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 10, Philly has been a middle-of-the-road matchup for backs, ranking 16th in explosive run rate while allowing the 13th-highest yards after contact per attempt and the seventh-highest missed tackle rate.
|
|
24.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (vs . TB)
Precious few wide receivers in the NFL get the type of volume that Cowboys wideout CeeDee Lamb gets. Lamb earned 13 targets last week. It was the seventh time in his previous nine games in which he has earned double-digit targets. That volume has resulted in high-end production. Lamb has been a top-24 weekly fantasy wide receiver in six of those seven games. Expect that to continue in Week 16 when Dallas hosts the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts. As long as Cooper Rush continues to target Lamb at such a high rate, he is a weekly WR1.
|
|
25.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR - DET (at CHI)
Fantasy football outcomes can often be reliant on game flow and game script. We saw a prime example of this last week in Detroit. The Buffalo Bills jumped out to an early lead against the Lions. Detroit was forced into pass-happy mode, and Amon-Ra St. Brown was the primary beneficiary. Although the Lions fell short in the end, St. Brown finished with 14 catches for 193 yards and a touchdown. His 30.3 Half-PPR points were more than St. Brown had amassed across his last three games. Detroit will not need to throw the ball 59 times to defeat the Chicago Bears on Sunday. Anticipate a solid floor for St. Brown, but his ceiling is lower than most WR1s this week.
|
|
26.
Tony Pollard
RB - TEN (at IND)
Pollard didn't practice any this week (ankle). He has been listed as questionable and is expected to play this week. We could see Pollard limited some this week and not in his customary workload as the team's workhorse. It's also possible that he does see his usual stranglehold on touches. The Titans have had no issues managing his practice load during the week and loading him up with touches during the weekend. The fact that he aggravated this injury in last week's game leads me to believe it's more likely a split backfield and looks close to how the work was divided up in Week 10. In that game, Pollard had 13 touches and 63 total yards while playing 53% of the snaps. He handled 56% of the rushing play snaps and 52% of the passing down snaps, and he and Tyjae Spears split the red zone snaps 50/50. Pollard should be projected for 12-15 touches this week, with some upside for more. Since Week 10, Indy has allowed the tenth-most rushing yards per game, the highest explosive run rate, and the tenth-highest missed tackle rate.
|
|
27.
A.J. Brown
WR - PHI (at WAS)
The squeaky wheel narrative was in full effect last week, as A.J. Brown was targeted early and often against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Brown finished with eight catches for 110 yards and a touchdown. It was a welcomed sight for fantasy managers after Brown finished outside the top-30 in five of his previous seven games. The question now is whether Philadelphia will continue to feature Brown in Week 16 when they play the Washington Commanders. The answer is likley somewhere in the middle. Washington struggles mightily in man coverage, which is Brown's strength. A.J. Brown will continue to be efficient enough to keep him as a WR1 candidate. However, the volume may decrease after a season-high 11 targets last week.
|
|
28.
D'Andre Swift
RB - CHI (vs . DET)
Since Week 11, Swift has been the RB31 in fantasy points per game, averaging 16 touches and 70.4 total yards. Among 44 qualifying backs since Week 11, Swift has ranked 24th in explosive run rate, 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. Swift could enjoy a nice day this week against an injured Detroit defense. Since Week 13, Detroit has allowed the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the ninth-highest missed tackle rate, and the ninth-most yards before contact per attempt.
|
|
29.
Tyreek Hill
WR - MIA (vs . SF)
Well, Houston decided to defend Miami last week with a nearly 50/50 split of single high and two high. The Miami passing attack struggled. This week, we could get what I was hoping for last week, which is Hill matched up against a single high defense. Since Week 8, Hill has been the WR23 in fantasy points per game while seeing ten red zone targets. Since Week 10, the 49ers have utilized single high at the third-highest rate (66.9%). Since Week 8, against single high, Hill has had a 27.1% target share, 2.84 YPRR, and a 29.5% first-read share. Hill will have to overcome a tough matchup, though, so it's not all smooth sailing toward a nice Week 16 box score. Since Week 10, the 49ers have held perimeter wide receivers to the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game.
|
|
30.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (vs . CLE)
Tee Higgins bounced back last week after a rough outing the week before. Higgins had 88 yards and a touchdown in Cincinnati's victory over Tennessee. It was Higgins' sixth receiving touchdown in eight games this season. Ja'Marr Chase has overshadowed Higgins, but the latter has often been a legitimate fantasy WR1. Higgins has averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game in Half-PPR leagues this year. That is tied with CeeDee Lamb for the seventh-most among wide receivers. He gets a favorable matchup against a Cleveland defense that plays man coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL. Higgins has a higher target rate and YPRR versus man coverage than Chase does this year. It is not ridiculous to think that Higgins could be Cincinnati's most productive wideout in this matchup.
|
|
31.
Davante Adams
WR - NYJ (vs . LAR)
Since Week 7, Adams has been the WR7 in fantasy points per game. He has 11 red zone targets across his last eight games as a Jet. Since Week 10, the Rams have utilized two high with 52.3% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 7, against two high, Adams has had a 30.7% target share, 2.33 YPRR, and a 38.5% first-read share. He should lead the way again this week for New York through the air. Since Week 10, the Rams have allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
32.
Jerome Ford
RB - CLE (at CIN)
Last week, Ford turned his nine touches in 104 total yards as the RB9 for the week. Among 61 qualifying backs this season, Ford ranks 19th in explosive run rate and 11th in yards after contact per attempt. Ford should operate as a strong RB2/3 this week. Since Week 10, Cincy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the 11th-most rushing yards per game, and the 12th-most rushing touchdowns.
|
|
33.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR - JAC (at LV)
Thomas Jr. is the WR16 in fantasy points per game, ranking ninth in deep targets and 16th in red zone targets among wide receivers. Since Week 10, Thomas Jr. has had a 26.5% target share, 2.15 YPRR, and a 32.8% first-read share. Thomas Jr. has six red-zone targets in his last three games. He should destroy a Raiders' secondary that, since Week 10, has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game and the fifth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
34.
Rachaad White
RB - TB (at DAL)
Last week, White played 51% of the snaps, handling 17 touches and producing 81 total yards (one score) as the RB19 for the week. Since Week 8, White has averaged 13.5 touches and 69.5 total yards as the RB13 in fantasy points per game. During this stretch, among 36 qualifying backs, White has ranked 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. White should return RB2 value this week. Since Week 10, Dallas has allowed the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the sixth-highest explosive run rate, and the seventh-highest success rate to gap runs (since Week 10, White 51.5% gap).
|
|
35.
Kenneth Walker III
RB - SEA (vs . MIN)
Walker (calf) didn't practice on Wednesday but he was a full practice participant on Thursday and Friday and doesn't have an injury designation this week. He should be a full go this week. Walker is the RB11 in fantasy points per game, averaging 18.3 touches and 81.3 total yards. Walker ranks first in missed tackles forced per attempt and first in yards after contact per attempt. He has an incredibly tough matchup this week. He'll need all the volume he can get his hands on this week to pay off for fantasy. Since Week 10, Minnesota has held backs in check, allowing the ninth-fewest rushing yards per game, the fifth-lowest missed tackle rate, and the 12th-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
36.
Kendre Miller
RB - NO (at GB)
With Alvin Kamara out, Miller should be the team's workhorse this week. Last week, in the fourth quarter, with Kamara out, Miller played 88% of the snaps while seeing all the team's red zone snaps. Jamaal Williams should work in some, but overall, this should be Miller's backfield this week. Miller only has 28 carries this season, but he has been impressive with his touches, logging a 7.1% explosive run rate, a 36% missed tackle rate, and 2.96 yards after contact per attempt. Mille faces what has been an improved Packer's run defense. He should see enough volume this week to put him in the RB2 conversation, but with the bad matchup and concerning quarterback play and offensive environment, Miller could be an RB3 this week. Since Week 10, Green Bay has allowed the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game, the seventh-lowest missed tackle rate, and the 13th-fewest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
37.
Malik Nabers
WR - NYG (at ATL)
I was not high on Nabers' outlook last week because of the putrid quarterback play he was about to receive. It seemingly didn't matter as Nabers soaked up 14 targets with ten receptions, 82 receiving yards, and a score. It was Nabers' first touchdown since Week 3. Nabers has a 32.2% target share, 2.04 YPRR, and a 42.3% first-read share. If New York can feed him catchable targets again this week, I won't be surprised if he posts a similar stat line. Since Week 10, Atlanta has allowed the most fantasy points per game and the most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
38.
Isiah Pacheco
RB - KC (vs . HOU)
Last week, Pacheco's snap rate dipped back to 37% as he had 14 touches and 47 total yards. Pacheco's usage and stat lines look eerily similar to Nick Chubb's in the last few weeks. Pacheco's per-touch efficiency is still in the toilet, with a 9% missed tackle rate and 1.74 yards after contact per attempt. Pacheco looks ready for another snooze-worthy stat line in Week 16. Since Week 10, Houston has allowed the second-lowest missed tackle rate, the 13th-lowest explosive run rate, and the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game.
|
|
39.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB - NYG (at ATL)
Since Week 5, Tracy Jr. has been the RB21 in fantasy points per game, averaging 16.5 touches and 84.5 total yards per game. Among 61 qualifying backs, Tracy Jr. ranks 22nd in explosive run rate, 20th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 16th in yards after contact per attempt. Unfortunately, he has another nasty matchup this week on the ground. Since Week 10, Atlanta has kept backs running into brick walls, allowing the seventh-lowest explosive run rate, the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game, and the sixth-lowest missed tackle rate. Tracy Jr. has an ankle injury. He was limited all week in practice and has been listed as questionable. If you have him, picking up Devin Singletary off the wire is a wise move.
|
|
40.
Drake London
WR - ATL (vs . NYG)
London is the WR19 in fantasy points per game, ranking third among wideouts in red zone targets. He has been limited in recent weeks by the quarterback play of Kirk Cousins. He's only surpassed 75 receiving yards once since Week 11, and Atlanta's run-heavy approach to hide Cousins has drained his volume. Last week's game was a perfect example, as Atlanta took all the air out of the offense and sat on their slim lead, praying to squeak out a victory. Since Week 7, New York has had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (68.5%). Against single-high, London has had a 24.9% target share, 2.20 YPRR, and a 33.1% first-read share. New York has allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers this season. Here's to hoping the move to Penix Jr. can unlock London's upside.
|
|
41.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (at LAC)
Sutton is the WR26 in fantasy points per game, ranking sixth in deep targets and fourth in red zone targets among wideouts. He is also 14th in receiving yards and 16th in total touchdowns. The Bolts have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59%). Since Week 8, against two high, Sutton has had a 21.5% target share, 1.31 YPRR, and a 24.6% first-read share. The volume should still be there for Sutton this week, but it might not be the most efficient outing. The Chargers secondary has been giving recently, so that could help boost Sutton's numbers this week. Since Week 10, Los Angeles has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game and the eighth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
42.
DJ Moore
WR - CHI (vs . DET)
Since Week 11, Moore has been the WR13 in fantasy points per game while seeing six red zone targets. Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single-high at the ninth-highest rate (58.8%). Since Week 11, against single-high, Moore has had a 33.3% target share, 2.32 YPRR, and a 37.9% first-read share. Moore should crush this week. Since Week 12, Detroit has allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target and fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
43.
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB - NE (at BUF)
Stevenson is the RB25 in fantasy points per game, ranking 14th in snap share, 19th in opportunity share, and ninth in red zone touches. Since Week 10, Stevenson has averaged 17.6 touches and 71.6 total yards. Across his last five games, among 51 qualifying backs, Stevenson has been incredibly inefficient, ranking 46th in missed tackle forced per attempt and 50th in yards after contact per attempt. Buffalo could help with those numbers this week. Since Week 10, this run defense has been pitiful, allowing the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the second-highest missed tackle rate, and the sixth-highest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
44.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
45.
Brock Bowers
TE - LV (vs . JAC)
Raiders rookie tight end Brock Bowers has fallen short of expectations in the last two weeks. However, there is reason for optimism in Week 16 when Las Vegas hosts the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville has the second-worst DVOA versus tight ends in the NFL and has allowed seven receiving touchdowns to the position. It would be wise for the Raiders to feature Bowers in this matchup. Bowers already has seven games under his belt with double-digit fantasy points. He should be able to make it eight on Sunday.
|
|
46.
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB - JAC (at LV)
It's a one-game sample, but last week, Etienne took over again as the team's workhorse, handling a 73% snap share with 18 touches and 85 total yards. Etienne also had a 75% snap share once the team was in the red zone. Over the last two weeks, Etienne has still looked like a hampered version of himself, with zero explosive runs and only a 6% missed tackle rate. Since Week 10, the Raiders have ranked 15th in explosive run rate and 18th in rushing yards per game while giving up the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt. Etienne is a volume-fueled RB2/3 this week.
|
|
47.
Trey McBride
TE - ARI (at CAR)
Whether or not the touchdown-less saga of Trey McBride continues this week is up for discussion. McBride's status as an elite TE1 is not up for debate in all formats. McBride has 40 receptions over his last four games and has finished seven consecutive games as a top-10 fantasy tight end in Half-PPR leagues. This week, Arizona faces the Carolina Panthers. This year, Carolina has given up the second-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. That includes a league-high 10 touchdowns, so this may be the week McBride finds paydirt in the passing game.
|
|
48.
Jauan Jennings
WR - SF (at MIA)
Well, Jennings got the volume last week (nine targets), but he didn't put up the production we were hoping for. Since Week 10, he has been the WR23 in fantasy points per game while seeing seven red zone targets. Since Week 10, Miami has utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate (57.3%). Since Week 10, against two high, Jennings has had a 27% target share, 2.52 YPRR, and a 37% first-read share as the clear leader of the 49ers passing attack. Since Week 10, Miami has allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
49.
Ladd McConkey
WR - LAC (vs . DEN)
Since Week 8, McConkey has been the WR13 in fantasy points per game, while he has only seen two red zone targets during this stretch. Since Week 11, Denver has moved toward more two high usage (51.5%). Since Week 8, against two high, McConkey has had a 22.0% target share, 1,83 YPRR, and a 22.4% first-read share. He faces a Denver pass defense that, since Week 10, has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers while still holding the position to the third-fewest PPR points per target. With Denver being so nasty against the run, teams have had no choice but to take to the air against them, and they have faced the third-most slot targets since Week 10. I expect Los Angeles will have to do the same this week, which helps McConkey's ceiling and floor in a tough matchup.
|
|
50.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (vs . PHI)
McLaurin is the WR14 in fantasy points per game, ranking seventh in receiving yards and second in total touchdowns. I really wanted to put him as a must-start this week, but I know people would ask (queue up the voice of public opinion), "But what about Week 11 when he had only one catch and ten receiving yards?" I don't think Daniels was anywhere close to healthy in that game, which affected everything Washington did in that game. McLaurin has five 100-yard receiving days and three games with multiple touchdowns. I think he has earned the benefit of the doubt by now. McLaurin has a 21.7% target share, 2.42 YPRR (69.2 receiving yards per game), and a 27.1% first-read share. He ranks 11th in deep targets among wideouts and has five red zone targets in his last six games. The matchup is rough. There's no doubt about that, but it's tough to sit a player like McLaurin. Since Week 10, Philly has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
51.
George Kittle
TE - SF (at MIA)
Though San Francisco was kept out of the end zone in an ugly 12-6 loss to the Rams last week, George Kittle continued his stellar season. Kittle has now finished as a weekly TE1 in 12-team leagues in all but one game this year. That was three weeks ago when San Francisco suffered a blowout loss in the snow against the Buffalo Bills. Kittle should keep up his production in Week 16 when the 49ers travel to Miami to face the Dolphins. Miami ranks 24th in the NFL in DVOA versus opposing tight ends this year. Opponents have exploited this by targeting tight ends 115 times versus Miami. Kittle averages 11.6 yards per target, so he figures to be quite productive in this matchup.
|
|
52.
Garrett Wilson
WR - NYJ (vs . LAR)
Wilson could get the squeaky wheel treatment this week, but it easily could be another massive Davante Adams game incoming. Since Week 7, Wilson has been the WR24 in fantasy points per game, seeing seven red zone targets. Since Week 10, the Rams have utilized two high with 52.3% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 7, against two high, Wilson has taken a backseat to Adams with a 19.7% target share, 1.74 YPRR, and a 24.2% first-read share. The matchup is still conducive to both players posting nice stat lines in Week 16. Since Week 10, the Rams have allowed the 12th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
53.
DK Metcalf
WR - SEA (vs . MIN)
Metcalf has hit a cold streak, as he hasn't finished higher than WR28 in weekly scoring since Week 11. During this five-game stretch, he has only two red zone targets and zero touchdowns. Minnesota has the highest two high rate in the NFL (65.3%). Since Week 11, against two high, Metcalf has had a 12.4% target share, 1.06 YPRR, and a 22.4% first-read share. This is a brutal coverage shell matchup for Metcalf, but the Minnesota secondary has been giving recently to perimeter wide receivers, which could help Metcalf. Since Week 11, Minnesota has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game and the tenth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
54.
Alexander Mattison
RB - LV (vs . JAC)
With Sincere McCormick headed to the IR, it looks like the Raiders will divide up the backfield work this week between Mattison and Ameer Abdullah. Last week, in the second half of the game, Mattison handled 80% of the rushing play snaps, 41.9% of the passing down snaps, and none of the red zone snaps. The team only had one snap in the red zone in the second half, so I wouldn't go nuts with that fact. I expect Mattison to handle the early down work this week and get some red zone snaps, but the game script will likely dictate how much red zone usage he sees. Among 61 qualifying backs, Mattison ranks 41st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 46th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 10, Jacksonville has allowed the 14th-highest explosive run rate, the fourth-most rushing yards per game, and the tenth-most yards before contact per attempt. Mattison is a solid flex play this week.
|
|
55.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR - SEA (vs . MIN)
Smith-Njigba is the WR15 in fantasy points per game, ranking 18th in red zone targets among wide receivers. Since Week 11, he has been the WR11 in fantasy points per game with four red zone targets (two scores). Minnesota has the highest two high rate in the NFL (65.3%). Since Week 11, against two high, Smith-Njigba has had a 19.1% target share, 2.36 YPRR, and a 24.5% first-read share. Minnesota has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game and the fifth-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers this season.
|
|
56.
Jordan Addison
WR - MIN (at SEA)
Addison is the WR20 in fantasy points per game, ranking 15th in deep targets and 13th in red zone targets among wide receivers. Since Week 9, Addison has been the WR9 in fantasy points per game while seeing 13 red zone targets. Since Week 11, Seattle has had the fifth-highest two high rate in the NFL (58.9%). Since Week 9, against two high, Addison has had a 21.4% target share, 1.81 YPRR, and a 24.5% first-read share. Since Week 10, Seattle has allowed the eighth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
57.
Najee Harris
RB - PIT (at BAL)
Harris is the RB27 in fantasy points per game, ranking 25th in opportunity share, 14th in weighted opportunities, and eighth in red zone touches. Since Week 7, he has averaged 19 touches and 79.6 total yards. Since Week 7, among 41 qualifying backs, Harris has ranked 26th in explosive run rate and 32nd in yards after contact per attempt. It looks like Harris is headed for another quiet week. Since Week 10, Baltimore has allowed the second-lowest explosive run rate, the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game, and the 11th-lowest missed tackle rate.
|
|
58.
Zay Flowers
WR - BAL (vs . PIT)
The last time Flowers faced this secondary, the Steelers didn't shadow him with Joey Porter Jr., and I don't see it happening this week. Flowers finished with two receptions and 39 receiving yards (one score) as the WR35 for the week. Flowers is the WR29 in fantasy points per game, ranking ninth in deep targets among wide receivers. He has four red zone targets in his last six games. Pittsburgh leads the NFL in single-high usage this season (67.4%). Against single high, Flowers has had a 27.5% target share, 2.85 YPRR, and a 31.5% first-read share. Flowers could be headed toward a ceiling game this week. Since Week 10, Pittsburgh has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game and the second-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
59.
Calvin Ridley
WR - TEN (at IND)
In Rudolph's three stars this season, Ridley has seen two red zone targets while finishing as the WR47, WR5, and WR30 in weekly scoring. In that sample, he had a 28.8% target share, 86 receiving yards per game (2.41 YPRR), and a 37.2% first-read share. Ridley volume-based fantasy option weekly. By now, we know the quarterback play in Tennessee isn't great, no matter who is under center. Lower your expectations for Ridley some this week. Since Week 10, Indy has allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
60.
DeVonta Smith
WR - PHI (at WAS)
Smith is the WR23 in fantasy points per game, with three red zone targets in his last three games. Philly unleashed their passing attack last week, and Smith thrived, hauling in 12 targets, 11 receptions, and 109 receiving yards. Smith has had a 24.6% target share, a 32.6% air-yard share, 2.12 YPRR, and a 33.7% first-read share. Since Week 10, Washington has held perimeter wide receivers to the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game and the second-fewest PPR points per target.
|
|
61.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - LV (vs . JAC)
Since Week 4, Meyers has been the WR25 in fantasy points per game, seeing a 25.4% target share with 1.91 YPRR and a 33% first-read share. He has averaged 72.2 receiving yards per game while only seeing three red zone targets in his last six games. Meyers is a volume-fueled flex play again this week. Since Week 10, Jacksonville has allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game and the eighth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
62.
Patrick Taylor Jr.
RB - SF (at MIA)
Taylor Jr. should lead the San Francisco backfield in touches this week. In Week 14, with Guerendo banged up, in the fourth quarter, Taylor Jr. played 58% of the snaps while logging an 80% snap rate in the red zone. I'm not worried about Ke'Shawn Vaughn and company eating into Taylor Jr.'s workload this week. Taylor Jr.'s yards after contact per attempt (2.14) this season doesn't inspire a ton of hope for upside, but his career mark in that category (2.70) with 82 career carries does help to ease some fears of two yards and a cloud of dust all day when he gets handed the ball. Taylor Jr. should have 15-17 opportunities this week with a lock on the red zone opportunities. He has a nice rushing matchup to chew on this week. Since Week 10, Miami has allowed the sixth-highest missed tackle rate, the fourth-highest explosive run rate, and the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt. With that type of volume, and if he adds a touchdown to the boxscore this week, he'll likely hover around RB2 status for Week 16.
|
|
63.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR - SF (at MIA)
Samuel has become a must-sit player weekly. He hasn't finished with double-digit fantasy points or more than 22 receiving yards since Week 10 and has only one red zone target since Week 12. Since Week 10, Miami has utilized two high at the seventh-highest rate (57.3%). Since Week 10, against two high, Samuel has had a 17.6% target share with only 0.82 YPRR and an 18.5% first-read share. The Dolphins' secondary has been vulnerable, but I don't think that Samuel can take advantage of it at this juncture. Since Week 10, Miami has allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
64.
Jameson Williams
WR - DET (at CHI)
Williams is the WR35 in fantasy points per game, with top-36 weekly finishes in four of his last five games. Williams has also seen his red zone usage trending upward, with three red zone targets in his last three games. Since Week 4, Chicago has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (60.8%). Against single-high, Williams has seen his target share drop to 15.9% while his YPRR (2.08) and first-read share (19.6%) have remained solid. Williams could pop off this week against a Chicago secondary that has been flawed in recent weeks. Since Week 10, Chicago has allowed the ninth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
65.
Khalil Shakir
WR - BUF (vs . NE)
Since Week 7, Shakir has been the WR25 in fantasy points per game, drawing eight red zone targets (two scores). During the same time frame, Shakir has had a 23.9% target share, 2.40 YPRR, and a 29.7% first-read share. Since Week 9, New England has had the fifth-highest single-high rate (61.8%). Since Week 7, against single-high, Shakir has had a 22.5% target share, 2.31 YPRR, and a 27.9% first-read share. His metrics have remained stable when compared against his overall numbers. Shakir should have another strong week. Since Week 10, New England has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the sixth-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers.
|
|
66.
Tank Bigsby
RB - JAC (at LV)
Last week, Bigsby saw his role decline, with only a 26% snap share overall and a 25% snap share in the red zone. He finished with 11 carries and 42 rushing yards. Among 61 qualifying backs, Bigsby is still crushing it in per-touch efficiency, ranking 14th in explosive run rate, 18th in missed tackle rate, and first in yards after contact per attempt. Bigsby is a worrisome flex play this week after seeing his role cut last week, but if the Jags stomp the Raiders this week, he could get some more work late salting the clock away. Since Week 10, the Raiders have ranked 15th in explosive run rate and 18th in rushing yards per game while giving up the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
67.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR - ARI (at CAR)
Harrison Jr. has been on a cold streak with all of the recent two high matchups. Since Week 8, he has had three weeks as a WR21 or higher in weekly scoring (WR4, WR14, WR21). The bad thing is in his four other games, he hasn't finished higher than WR41 in any week. Harrison Jr. has seen solid red zone usage recently with four targets inside the 20-yard line in his last five games. Since Week 12, Carolina has featured single-high at the seventh-highest rate (59.7%). Against single high, Harrison Jr. has had a 22.9% target share, 2.05 YPRR, and a 28.2% first-read share. Since Week 10, Carolina has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the ninth-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
68.
Keenan Allen
WR - CHI (vs . DET)
Since Week 11, Allen has been the WR21 in fantasy points per game with six red zone targets and three top-15 weekly fantasy finishes (WR5, WR4, WR14). Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single-high at the ninth-highest rate (58.8%). Since Week 11, against single-high, Allen has had a 24.7% target share, 1.45 YPRR, and a 31% first-read share. Detroit has had issues defending the slot all season, and I don't see that changing this week. Allen had 73 receiving yards and two scores the last time he tangled with this secondary. Detroit has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game and the second-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers this season.
|
|
69.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - CLE (at CIN)
Since Week 8, Jeudy has been the WR3 in fantasy points per game, crushing souls along the way. The downgrade from Jameis Winston to Dorian Thompson-Robinson this week is gut-wrenching in the fantasy playoffs. Temper your expectations, obviously, as Jeudy becomes a bet on volume. Since Week 10, Cincy has utilized two high at the second-highest rate (59.8%). Since Week 8, against two high, Jeudy has had a 23.2% target share, 2.24 YPRR, and a 26.9% first-read share. Since Week 10, Cincy has allowed the fourth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
70.
Jonnu Smith
TE - MIA (vs . SF)
Since Week 8, Smith has been the TE4 in fantasy points per game. He hasn't finished lower than TE7 in weekly scoring since Week 11. Since Week 10, the 49ers have utilized single high at the third-highest rate (66.9%). Since Week 8, against single high, Smith has had a 17.8% target share, 2.29 YPRR, and a 19.3% first-read share. Smith will get fed volume again this week, but this is a rough matchup for him. San Francisco has held tight ends to the fewest receiving yards per game and the second-fewest fantasy points per game.
|
|
71.
Jayden Reed
WR - GB (vs . NO)
After a hot start to the season, Reed has cooled off as the WR34 in fantasy points per game. He does have five red zone targets in his last five games, along with three scores, so it's not like Reed has been a ghost. The touchdowns have had to sustain him, though, because he hasn't had more than 34 receiving yards in a game since Week 9. Since Week 3, New Orleans has had the fourth-highest two high rate in the NFL (55%). Since Week 7, against two-high, Reed has ranked second in TPRR (24%), fifth in YPRR (1.32), and first in first-read share (25.4%). Reed could get shut down this week. Since Week 10, New Orleans has managed to keep slot receivers quiet, allowing the 14th-fewest fantasy points per game to the position and the fewest PPR points per target. Reed is just a low-end flex this week.
|
|
72.
Adam Thielen
WR - CAR (vs . ARI)
Thielen's hot streak came to an end last week despite still leading the team with a 25% target share and 38.9% first-read share. Last week, Thielen played a little more out wide (28.1%) while he still was mostly in the slot (71.9%). Since Week 13, he has had a 25.9% target share, 2.38 YPRR, and a 33.3% first-read share. Thielen has three red zone targets in this last three games played. Thielen is a solid flex play again in Week 16. Since Week 10, Arizona has allowed the 13th-most PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
73.
Gus Edwards
RB - LAC (vs . DEN)
Edwards remains a touchdown-dependent flex play. Since Week 10, he has averaged only 8.4 touches and 30.9 total yards per game. Since Week 10, among 36 qualifying backs, Edwards has ranked 34th in explosive run rate, sixth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 15th in yards after contact per attempt. Edwards is a truly desperate flex play this week. Since Week 10, Denver has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game, the third-lowest missed tackle rate, and logged the highest stuff rate.
|
|
74.
Darnell Mooney
WR - ATL (vs . NYG)
Mooney has been the WR36 in fantasy points per game while ranking sixth among wide receivers in deep targets. If Penix Jr. is looking to challenge this secondary deep this week, Mooney should be involved. Since Week 7, New York has had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (68.5%). Against single-high, Mooney has had a 19.3% target share, 1.64 YPRR, and a 27.2% first-read share. Mooney's stock has suffered in recent weeks with this offense becoming more conservative, but Penix Jr. could change that. New York has allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers this season.
|
|
75.
Sam LaPorta
TE - DET (at CHI)
Sam LaPorta was another Lion pass-catcher who benefited from some negative game script last week. LaPorta experienced season-highs in receptions (7), targets (10), and receiving yards (111) in Detroit's loss versus Buffalo. While that volume level may not be sustainable in the future, LaPorta's usage has increased since earlier in the season. LaPorta has at least six targets in six of his last seven games. His Week 16 matchup against the Chicago Bears should be a favorable one. Chicago has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards to opposing tight ends this season. And they have often fallen victim to big plays. The Bears allow 13 yards per reception to tight ends this year. That is the highest mark in the NFL. LaPorta should have success down the field in this game, making him a TE1 with a high upside.
|
|
76.
Javonte Williams
RB - DEN (at LAC)
Since Week 11, Williams has played 45-56% of the snaps weekly while averaging 9.1 touches and 29.6 total yards. He has played terribly, with zero explosive runs, zero missed tackles, and only 1.78 yards after contact per attempt. The matchup is glorious this week, but Williams doesn't have the juice or the volume to capitalize on it. Since Week 10, Los Angeles has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest explosive run rate, and the third-most yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
77.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (vs . HOU)
Fantasy managers are in a sticky situation when it comes to Travis Kelce. He is still heavily involved in Kansas City's offense, earning 35 total targets in his last four games. And we have seen his upside when he scored at least 15 fantasy points in three straight weeks from Week 8 through Week 10. But Kelce has failed to score or eclipse 70 yards in five consecutive games. Kelce gets a tough matchup this week versus a Houston defense that ranks third in the NFL in DVOA versus opposing tight ends. Kelce's floor is relatively safe, but the upside may be slightly lower than we are accustomed to this week.
|
|
78.
Christian Watson
WR - GB (vs . NO)
Watson has three top-36 weekly finishes this season and has been relegated to mostly downfield work. Since Week 7, 37.8% of his target volume has come via deep targets. Fortunately for Watson, the Saints have been struggling against deep passing, which could lead to a big day for the talented Packer. Since Week 10, the Saints have allowed the seventh-most deep passing yards per game and the 12th-highest passer rating to deep passing. During the same timeframe, New Orleans has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game and PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Watson's range of outcomes is wide, but he could be a home run swing from the flex this week.
|
|
79.
Xavier Worthy
WR - KC (vs . HOU)
Since Week 9, Worthy has had a 14.3% target share with only 1.12 YPRR and a 16.9% first-read share. Since Week 9, Worthy has had two top-24 fantasy scoring weeks (WR20, WR16). He has six red zone targets across his last six games. Worthy is a low-end flex play this week. Since Week 10, Houston has managed to hold perimeter wide receivers to the fourth-fewest PPR points per target.
|
|
80.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - KC (vs . HOU)
Since Week 9, Hopkins has been the WR32 in fantasy points per game while seeing eight red zone targets. During that stretch, Hopkins has had two top-24 fantasy weeks (WR4, WR18). Since Week 9, Hopkins has had a 17.5% target share, 2.03 YPRR, and a 22.9% first-read share. He has a tough matchup this week against a secondary that, since Week 10, has managed to hold perimeter wide receivers to the fourth-fewest PPR points per target. Hopkins is a WR3/flex this week.
|
|
81.
Romeo Doubs
WR - GB (vs . NO)
Doubs is the WR44 in fantasy points per game with four outings this season as a top-36 wide receiver in weekly scoring. Doubs is coming off a two-touchdown performance against the Seahawks. It was his second two-score game of the year, which, unfortunately, accounts for all of his receiving scores this season. Doubs could lead the way again this week for Green Bay. Since Week 3, New Orleans has had the fourth-highest two high rate in the NFL (55%). Since Week 7, against two-high, Doubs has led the team with a 26% TPRR and ranked second with a 25% first-read share while posting 1.96 YPRR. The Packers receivers have all been extremely efficient against two high, so it continues to be a roulette wheel. However, I expect Doubs to be heavily involved this week. Since Week 10, New Orleans has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game and PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
82.
Rome Odunze
WR - CHI (vs . DET)
It's tough to trust Odunze at this point in the fantasy playoffs. Since Week 11, Odunze has finished as a top 30 wide receiver in weekly scoring only once while seeing a bevy of red zone work (ten red zone targets). Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single-high at the ninth-highest rate (58.8%). Since Week 11, against single-high, Odunze has had an 18.5% target share, 1.13 YPRR, and a 17.2% first-read share. The Lions' secondary is exploitable at this point, but Moore and Allen also have nice matchups, so it really comes down to the question of "Can Caleb Williams support three pass catchers this week for fantasy?" I'm not sure that he can. Since Week 12, Detroit has allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target and fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
83.
Josh Downs
WR - IND (vs . TEN)
In Downs' five games with Richardson under center this season, he has seen a 20.1% target share and 26.4% first-read share while producing 2.02 YPRR (50 receiving yards per game. Downs has only three red zone targets in this sample and two touchdowns. He faces a secondary that, since Week 10, has allowed the eighth-fewest PPR points per target and the third-fewest receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
|
|
84.
Tank Dell
WR - HOU (at KC)
Since Week 11, Dell has only one game with double-digit fantasy points. He has zero red zone targets and has had more than 72 receiving yards in any game. He has finished higher than WR40 in weekly scoring only once in this stretch (WR33). There's no way anyone should be plugging him into a fantasy lineup this week.
|
|
85.
Jaylen Warren
RB - PIT (at BAL)
Since Week 7, Warren has been the RB34 in fantasy points per game, averaging 11.4 touches and 62.1 total yards per game. During the same timeframe, among 41 qualifying backs, Warren looked like his explosive self, ranking ninth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 13th in yards after contact per attempt. Warren should be leading the backfield in touches weekly, but Pittsburgh has shown they won't move away from Harris. Warren is a low-end flex again this week. Since Week 10, Baltimore has allowed the second-lowest explosive run rate, the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game, and the 11th-lowest missed tackle rate.
|
|
86.
Jalen McMillan
WR - TB (at DAL)
McMillan has flashed the upside over the last two weeks, which many hoped we would have seen after Chris Godwin was sidelined. Since Week 14, McMillan has had a 21.4% target share, 2.68 YPRR (67 receiving yards per game), three touchdowns (one red-zone target), and a 24.3% first-read share. Since Week 10, Dallas has been a neutral matchup for perimeter wide receivers (16th in fantasy points per game allowed) that McMillan can take advantage of.
|
|
87.
Amari Cooper
WR - BUF (vs . NE)
Cooper tossed a shutout last week. If you had to depend on him last week in fantasy, I'm sorry. He played only 46% of the snaps and didn't even draw a target. If I told you that the Bills would post 48 points against the Lions, I don't know if anyone would have guessed that Cooper would do absolutely nothing, especially coming off his Week 14 performance. Since Week 9, New England has had the fifth-highest single-high rate (61.8%). Since Week 7, against single-high, Cooper has had a 29% TPRR, 1.55 YPRR, and a 21.5% first-read share (second on the team). Since Week 10, New England has limited boundary receivers to the 14th-fewest PPR points per target and the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game. Cooper may get shadowed this week as well by Christian Gonzalez. Last week, Gonzalez followed Marvin Harrison Jr. on 73.3% of his routes, holding him to one catch and 23 receiving yards in his primary coverage.
|
|
88.
Tyjae Spears
RB - TEN (at IND)
With Pollard projected to play through an ankle injury this week, Spears should be projected to help share the workload this week. Pollard aggravated this injury in last week's game. I think the backfield will be split similarly to how it was in Week 10 when Spears played 47% of the snaps overall, 44% of the rushing play snaps, 49% of the passing down snaps, and split the red zone snaps 50/50 with Pollard. He finished with ten touches and 51 total yards. This season, Spears hasn't been anywhere close to as efficient as he was last year, with an 11% missed tackle rate and 2.31 yards after contact per attempt. He can still be a good flex play this week with some upside if Pollard is more limited than I'm projecting. Since Week 10, Indy has allowed the tenth-most rushing yards per game, the highest explosive run rate, and the tenth-highest missed tackle rate.
|
|
89.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (vs . PIT)
Andrews is the TE8 in fantasy points per game, ranking first in touchdowns, eighth in deep targets, and 12th in red zone targets among tight ends. Pittsburgh leads the NFL in single-high usage this season (67.4%). Since Week 5, against single-high, Andrews has had an 11.8% target share, 1.92 YPRR, and a 14.7% first-read share. Pittsburgh ranks 16th in receiving yards per game and 17th in fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends. Andrews remains a TE1 this week.
|
|
90.
Quentin Johnston
WR - LAC (vs . DEN)
Since Week 8, Johnston has been the WR43 in fantasy points per game with four outings with at least 12.8 PPR points. He has four red zone targets across his last seven games and five scores. Since Week 11, Denver has moved toward more two high usage (51.5%). Since Week 8, against two high, Johnston has had an 11.7% target share, 2.04 YPRR, and a 17.5% first-read share. Johnston is a low-end flex play again for Week 16. Since Week 10, Denver has allowed the fifth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
91.
Jalen Coker
WR - CAR (vs . ARI)
Last week, Coker returned to the lineup and popped off with a 21.4% target share, 3.67 YPRR (110 receiving yards), and a 22.2% first-read share. He played 50/50 on the perimeter and in the slot. Coker has three red zone targets in his last four games played. Coker is a viable flex play this week, but he'll have to overcome a rough matchup to post a nice stat line this week, which is possible. Since Week 10, Arizona has allowed the fewest fantasy points per game and PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
92.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . TEN)
In the five games Pittman has played with Josh Downs in the lineup and Anthony Richardson under center, he has handled a 22.2% target share and 26.4% first-read share while producing 1.60 YPRR and 43.8 receiving yards per game. In those five games, he has surpassed 60 receiving yards twice and had two red zone targets (zero touchdowns). Pittman could turn in a nice showing this week if his health complies as the Tennessee secondary has been giving to outside receivers in recent weeks. Since Week 10, Tennessee has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game and the sixth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wideouts.
|
|
93.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - MIN (at SEA)
Since Week 9, Hockenson has been the TE15 in fantasy points per game while logging three TE1 weeks (TE5, TE5, TE10). He has five red zone targets in his last three games and zero scores. Hockenson is due to get into the end zone. Since Week 11, Seattle has had the fifth-highest two high rate in the NFL (58.9%). Since Week 9, against two high, Hockenson has had a 14.3% target share, 1.27 YPRR, and an 18.1% first-read share. Hockenson remains a TE1. Seattle has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-most yards per reception to tight ends.
|
|
94.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - NO (at GB)
Over the last two games, Valdes-Scantling has been the only Saints wide receiver to have more than a 58% route share while drawing a 19% target share with 2.02 YPRR and a 25.6% first-read share. During this span, he has retained an 18.0 aDOT, so it's not like the Saints have turned him into an intermediate higher-volume weapon. He has still been seeing plenty of volume deeper downfield. Since Week 10, he has still only seen one red zone target, so his chances to score this week are slim unless he breaks off a big play. Valdes-Scantling is a viable flex, though this week, he's just not a priority. Since Week 10, Green Bay has ranked 17th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
95.
Rashod Bateman
WR - BAL (vs . PIT)
Bateman popped up on the injury report on Wednesday with a foot issue. He was limited in practice on Wednesday and didn't practice the rest of the week. He has been listed as questionable. I lean that he will be out this week, but we'll see if that happens. It's tough to trust Bateman this week as a flex play, though. We know that he'll be operating at less than 100%, so it's possible his route share dips this week in a game that Baltimore can win without his services as a full-time player. If I have Bateman on my squad, I'm sitting him and looking for other possible flex plays this week.
|
|
96.
Zach Charbonnet
RB - SEA (vs . MIN)
Charbonnet returns to backup status this week with Kenneth Walker back. Charbonnet isn't high on the flex radar this week with a horrible matchup incoming. He's better left on benches this week. Since Week 10, Minnesota has held backs in check, allowing the ninth-fewest rushing yards per game, the fifth-lowest missed tackle rate, and the 12th-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
97.
Brenton Strange
TE - JAC (at LV)
Last week, Strange had a 26.1% target share, 1.83 YPRR, and a 35.3% first-read share as he finished as the TE2 for the week. Strange finished with one red-zone target, 12 targets, 11 receptions, and 73 scoreless receiving yards. Strange is a TE1 again this week. The Raiders have allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game, the eighth-highest yards per reception, and the fourth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
98.
Pat Freiermuth
TE - PIT (at BAL)
Over the last two games, Freiermuth has finished as the TE5 and TE8 in weekly scoring while spiking two touchdowns and seeing four red zone targets. Since Week 14, he has had a 16.7% target share, 1.79 YPRR (35 receiving yards per game), and a 20% first-read share. Freiermuth should lead the way for Pittsburgh's passing attack this week. Baltimore has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
99.
Hunter Henry
TE - NE (at BUF)
Since Week 9, Henry has been the TE15 in fantasy points per game with three TE1 finishes. Across his last six games, he has eight red zone targets. Since Week 9, Henry has had a 19.9% target share, 1.57 YPRR, and a 22.5% first-read share. Last week, Henry's route share dipped to 60.7%, while Austin Hooper had a 57.1% route share. This is concerning, as well as the matchup this week. If you have other streaming options available and can sit Henry, I'd do it. Buffalo has allowed the ninth-fewest receiving yards per game and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
100.
Tyler Allgeier
RB - ATL (vs . NYG)
|
|
101.
Kimani Vidal
RB - LAC (vs . DEN)
Over the last two weeks, Vidal has taken over as the lead back for Los Angeles, but it hasn't led to a ton of volume. He has averaged a 60% snap share with 6.5 touches and 29 total yards. Vidal hasn't posted an explosive run in either game and only had 2.18 yards after contact per attempt, but in this small sample, he has delivered an impressive 27% missed tackle rate. The Bolts need to recommit to running the ball. This isn't exactly the best matchup to do so, but this offense has been floundering as of late as they don't have the aerial weapons to truly lean into being a pass-first team. Vidal is a low-end flex play again this week. Since Week 10, Denver has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game, the third-lowest missed tackle rate, and logged the highest stuff rate.
|
|
102.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR - TEN (at IND)
With Rudolph starting, Westbrook-Ikhine has had a 12.6% target share, 1.06 YPRR (33 receiving yards per game), and an 11.5% first-read share. In those three games, he saw four red zone targets and scored three touchdowns. Westbrook-Ikhine is best left on the bench this week. Since Week 10, Indy has allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
103.
Tucker Kraft
TE - GB (vs . NO)
Kraft is the TE11 in fantasy points per game, ranking eighth in red zone targets among tight ends. He has a 12.9% target share, 1.80 YPRR, and a 12% first-read share. Kraft should be a TE1 again this week. The Saints have allowed the eighth-most missed tackles and the most yards after the catch this season. Kraft is a broken tackle and YAC cheat code. Among 43 qualifying tight ends, he ranks first in YAC per reception and missed tackles forced per reception. Kraft should "Juggernaut" this defense. New Orleans has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards per game and the fourth-most yards per reception to tight ends.
|
|
104.
DeMario Douglas
WR - NE (at BUF)
Since Week 9, Douglas has only one top 36 weekly finish among wide receivers (WR31). He has seen more red zone usage with three targets inside the 20-yard line over the last two games. Since Week 9, he has had a 16.3% target share, 1.50 YPRR, and an 18.3% first-read share. Douglas is a low-end flex play this week. Since Week 10, Buffalo has allowed the eighth-most PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
105.
Calvin Austin III
WR - PIT (at BAL)
Over the last two games, Austin has had a 70.9% route share, a 16.7% target share, 1.77 YPRR, and a 23.3% first-read share. He has one red zone target during that span while finishing as the WR33 last week. Austin is a deep league flex only this week. Since Week 10, Baltimore has held slot receivers to the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game and the ninth-fewest receiving yards per game.
|
|
106.
Dalton Kincaid
TE - BUF (vs . NE)
Last week, Kincaid returned to the lineup and had a 54.1% route share with a 20.6% target share (seven targets), 2.65 YPRR (53 receiving yards), and a 25% first-read share. Kincaid hasn't finished as a TE1 since Week 6. He has five red zone targets across his last five games played. Kincaid is a fringe TE1 this week, facing a pass defense that has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game and fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
107.
Kareem Hunt
RB - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
108.
Tim Patrick
WR - DET (at CHI)
|
|
109.
Joshua Palmer
WR - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
110.
Keon Coleman
WR - BUF (vs . NE)
Last week, Coleman had only a 45.9% route share while drawing a 5.9% target share (two targets) and zero first reads. It's difficult to trust Coleman this week after looking at that usage, but if you are in a bind this week, there's an avenue for him to be a solid play. It comes down to how much risk you are willing to absorb this week because Coleman carries a lot. Since Week 9, New England has had the fifth-highest single-high rate (61.8%). This season against single high, Coleman has had an 18% TPRR and a team-leading 2.94 YPRR while also ranking second in FD/RR (0.110). I don't see Coleman seeing Christian Gonzalez much this week. If Cooper is out there, I expect Gonzalez to follow him. Every corner on New England's roster without the last name of Gonzalez has been league-average or worse this season. That's why, despite how good Gonzalez has been, New England has still allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. This is a good opportunity for Buffalo to feature Coleman. The talented rookie will be needed if Buffalo wants to make a deep postseason run. This game could be a confidence builder for him.
|
|
111.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
WR - ATL (vs . NYG)
|
|
112.
Brandin Cooks
WR - DAL (vs . TB)
Since Cooks' return, he hasn't surpassed 40 receiving yards in any game. He has had touchdowns in two of his last three games, which have saved his fantasy days. Since Week 13, Cooks has had a 15.6% target share, 0.83 YPRR, a 13.6% first-read share, and three end-zone targets. Cooks has a glorious matchup that puts him on the radar as a deep flex play this week. Since Week 10, Tampa Bay has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game and the 12th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
113.
Sterling Shepard
WR - TB (at DAL)
Since Week 12, Shepard has only managed double-digit fantasy points against the wondrous slot matchup that is the Raiders. That is also the only game where he has surpassed 50 receiving yards in the season. Since Week 12, Shepard has had a 17.5% target share, 1.57 YPRR (34.3 receiving yards per game), and a 20% first-read share. Shepard is a viable flex play again this week. Since Week 10, Dallas has allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target and the seventh-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
|
|
114.
Jake Ferguson
TE - DAL (vs . TB)
Ferguson has fallen into streamer status only. Last week, his route share dipped to 56.7% while he drew a 13.8% target share and 14.3% first-read share. Over the last two weeks, Ferguson has averaged only 2.5 receptions and 27.5 receiving yards per game while drawing zero red-zone targets. Ferguson will need a touchdown to pay off for fantasy with stat lines like that. Tampa Bay has allowed the second-most receiving yards per game and the sixth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
115.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
116.
Tre Tucker
WR - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
117.
Elijah Moore
WR - CLE (at CIN)
With Thompson-Robinson starting this week, Moore has dropped into low-end flex territory. It's tough to get excited to play anyone in this passing attack. Since Week 8, Moore has had three top-24 weekly scoring outings (WR22, WR15, WR14). During that stretch, he has only two red zone targets (none since Week 13). Since Week 10, Cincy has utilized two high at the second-highest rate (59.8%). Since Week 8, against two high, Moore has had a 16.8% target share, 1.06 YPRR, and a 21.2% first-read share. Cincy has been giving up production to slot receivers, but I don't know if Moore has the necessary quarterback play to do anything about it this week. Since Week 10, Cincy has allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
118.
Michael Wilson
WR - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
119.
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
120.
Malik Washington
WR - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
121.
Raheem Mostert
RB - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
122.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (at CIN)
Njoku didn't practice until Friday of this week (hamstring). He only managed a limited practice session. He has been listed as questionable, but I would consider him closer to doubtful. Njoku is the TE4 in fantasy points per game this season, seeing a 20.3% target share and 21.2% first-read share while producing 1.29 YPRR and 43.9 receiving yards per game. If Njoku plays this week, he'll have a great matchup to exploit, but there are plenty of reasons to consider streaming a tight end this week instead of playing him. Njoku is obviously not fully healthy, but he could see his route share dip this week. He needs all of the volume he can get his hands on this week with the downgrade at quarterback with Dorian Thompson-Robinson starting. Cincy has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game and the third-most receiving yards per game to tight ends.
|
|
123.
Devaughn Vele
WR - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
124.
Dalton Schultz
TE - HOU (at KC)
Schultz makes the streaming tight-end list this week. Since Week 11, Schultz has had a 15.7% target share, 1.23 YPRR (31.8 receiving yards per game), three red zone targets, and an 18.3% first-read share (second on the team). He has had two TE1 weeks in the last five games (TE11 and TE7), which happen to be his only top-12 finishes of the season. Kansas City has allowed the most receiving yards per game and the fifth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
125.
Ray Davis
RB - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
126.
Kyle Pitts
TE - ATL (vs . NYG)
Pitts has become an afterthought in this offense. He has played less than 42% of the snaps in two of his last three games. Since Week 9, he has seen five red zone targets and hasn't scored while sadly only surpassing 30 receiving yards in a game once. The Giants haven't been tested by tight ends much this season, facing the fewest targets per game to the position while ranking 15th in yards per reception to the position. The coverage shell matchup is in Pitts' favor this week. Since Week 7, New York has had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (68.5%). Against single-high, Pitts has had only a 12.4% target share and 9.9% first-read share, but he has posted 2.30 YPRR. I'm not telling people to all of a sudden have faith in Pitts, but if he flashed a pulse this week and posted fringe TE1 numbers, I wouldn't be shocked.
|
|
127.
Parker Washington
WR - JAC (at LV)
|
|
128.
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
129.
David Moore
WR - CAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
130.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - LV (vs . JAC)
Abdullah will be the passing down back this week. Last week, in the second half, he handled 20% of the rushing play snaps, 58.1% of the passing down snaps, and the only red zone snap. Abdullah has had a 17% TPRR and 0.88 YPRR this season. In PPR leagues, if you're in a pinch, Abdullah makes some sense as a flex play this week. Jacksonville has allowed the seventh-highest yards per reception and the second-most receiving yards per game to running backs this year. The Jaguars need to jump out to an early lead and stay ahead for Abdullah to see a lot of work this week.
|
|
131.
Stone Smartt
TE - LAC (vs . DEN)
Last week, Smartt assumed the starting role with Will Dissly out, and he's likely to do so again in Week 16. Against the Bucs, he had a 56.8% route share, a 17.6% target share (six targets), 2.38 YPRR (50 receiving yards), and a 16.7% first-read share. Smartt hasn't recorded a red zone target this season. Smartt is on the streaming radar again this week, but he's only on the fringe this week. Denver has been stout against tight ends, giving up the fewest yards per reception and the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game.
|
|
132.
Devin Singletary
RB - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
133.
Audric Estime
RB - DEN (at LAC)
With Jaleel McLaughlin out and Javonte Wiliams looking like a shell of his former self, Sean Payton should lean on Estime this week. I don't know if it actually happens because we haven't seen it to this point. Since Week 11, Estime has played 7-23% of the snaps weekly while averaging only 5.3 touches and 17.5 total yards. With his 46 carries, Estime has put up decent per-touch numbers with a 15% missed tackle rate and 3.00 yards after contact per attempt. This is an easy avenue to feature the rookie and jump-start the running game. Let's hope Payton actually does it, which is a coin flip. Since Week 10, Los Angeles has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest explosive run rate, and the third-most yards after contact per attempt. I'm not advocating for anyone to plug Estime into a lineup unless you are out of all reasonable options or in a deep league. This is a break glass in case of emergency flex that could pay off in Week 16.
|
|
134.
Andrei Iosivas
WR - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
135.
Juwan Johnson
TE - NO (at GB)
Since Week 14, Johnson has had a 12.7% target share, 1.17 YPRR (31 receiving yards per game), and a 17.9% first-read share (second on the team). Across his last four games, he's had four red zone targets (two scores) and two TE1 performances (TE8, TE3). Johnson is a strong streaming option at tight end this week. Green Bay has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game and the tenth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
136.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - LAR (at NYJ)
Robinson's hot streak has been extinguished. He hasn't logged any receiving yards over the last two weeks, and he has seen only two targets. Robinson hasn't seen a red zone target since Week 13 and hasn't had more than 49 receiving yards in a game since Week 9. This isn't the type of player you can trust in your flex in the fantasy football playoffs. Sit Robinson.
|
|
137.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
138.
Isaiah Davis
RB - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
139.
Noah Gray
TE - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
140.
Kayshon Boutte
WR - NE (at BUF)
|
|
141.
Isaiah Likely
TE - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
142.
Chig Okonkwo
TE - TEN (at IND)
With Rudolph starting, Okonkwo hasn't finished higher than TE17 in weekly fantasy scoring. In Weeks 7-9, Okonkwo had an 11.7% target share, 1.28 YPRR (34 receiving yards per game), and a 14.1% first-read share with one red-zone target. Last week, with Rudolph coming in relief of Levis, Okonkwo had a 28.6% target share, 3.08 YPRR, and a 50% first-read share in the second half. If that type of usage and rapport bleeds over to this week, Okonkwo could have a nice game. Indy has allowed the eighth-most receiving yards per game and the third-most fantasy points per game to tight ends this season.
|
|
143.
Craig Reynolds
RB - DET (at CHI)
|
|
144.
Cam Akers
RB - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
145.
Kenneth Gainwell
RB - PHI (at WAS)
|
|
146.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - NE (at BUF)
|
|
147.
Mike Gesicki
TE - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
148.
Antonio Gibson
RB - NE (at BUF)
|
|
149.
Adonai Mitchell
WR - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
150.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (vs . DET)
Kmet has been a ghost since Week 11, surpassing 45 receiving yards in a game only once. He hasn't seen a red zone target since Week 12. Since Week 7, Detroit has utilized single-high at the ninth-highest rate (58.8%). Since Week 11, against single-high, Kmet has had a 9.9% target share, 1.14 YPRR, and an 8.6% first-read share. Detroit has allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
151.
Dyami Brown
WR - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
152.
Blake Corum
RB - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
153.
Ty Johnson
RB - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
154.
Dontayvion Wicks
WR - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
155.
Grant Calcaterra
TE - PHI (at WAS)
In Calcaterra's five starts, he has had an 11.6% target share, 1.10 YPRR (26.2 receiving yards per game), and an 8.8% first-read share. During those five games, he has only one end-zone target and two red-zone targets. Calcaterra is best left on the bench this week. Washington has allowed the fifth-most receiving touchdowns per game to tight ends, but they have also given up the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game. Calcaterra is a touchdown-or-bust option this week that doesn't have a huge red zone role in the offense.
|
|
156.
Van Jefferson
WR - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
157.
Braelon Allen
RB - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
158.
Noah Fant
TE - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
159.
Allen Lazard
WR - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
160.
Austin Hooper
TE - NE (at BUF)
|
|
161.
Ricky Pearsall
WR - SF (at MIA)
|
|
162.
Mike Williams
WR - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
163.
Roschon Johnson
RB - CHI (vs . DET)
|
|
164.
Jamaal Williams
RB - NO (at GB)
|
|
165.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
166.
Jeremy McNichols
RB - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
167.
Zach Ertz
TE - WAS (vs . PHI)
Ertz has been limited in practice all week. He remains in the concussion protocol. We'll see if he can get cleared for Week 16. Ertz is the TE13 in fantasy points per game, ranking fifth in red zone targets among tight ends. He has finished as a TE1 in weekly scoring in 50% of his games this season. Ertz has a 17.7% target share with 1.49 YPRR and an 18.3% first-read share. He faces his former team, which has been tough against the position this season, allowing the third-fewest receiving yards per game and the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game. Ertz is a TE2 this week.
|
|
168.
Emanuel Wilson
RB - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
169.
Foster Moreau
TE - NO (at GB)
|
|
170.
Chris Brooks
RB - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
171.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WR - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
172.
Jalen Tolbert
WR - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
173.
Michael Mayer
TE - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
174.
Ja'Tavion Sanders
TE - CAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
175.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB - CLE (at CIN)
|
|
176.
D'Onta Foreman
RB - CLE (at CIN)
|
|
177.
Tyler Boyd
WR - TEN (at IND)
|
|
178.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
179.
Troy Franklin
WR - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
180.
Daniel Bellinger
TE - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
181.
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
RB - SF (at MIA)
|
|
182.
Mack Hollins
WR - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
183.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
184.
Kevin Austin Jr.
WR - NO (at GB)
|
|
185.
Sean Tucker
RB - TB (at DAL)
|
|
186.
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
187.
Khalil Herbert
RB - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
188.
Tutu Atwell
WR - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
189.
KaVontae Turpin
WR - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
190.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
191.
Marquise Brown
WR - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
192.
Jalen Nailor
WR - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
193.
Samaje Perine
RB - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
194.
Jordan Akins
TE - CLE (at CIN)
|
|
195.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
196.
Michael Woods II
WR - CLE (at CIN)
|
|
197.
Tyler Conklin
TE - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
198.
Jaylen Wright
RB - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
199.
Devin Duvernay
WR - JAC (at LV)
|
|
200.
Greg Dortch
WR - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
201.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
202.
Curtis Samuel
WR - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
203.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - HOU (at KC)
|
|
204.
Dante Pettis
WR - NO (at GB)
|
|
205.
Payne Durham
TE - TB (at DAL)
|
|
206.
Israel Abanikanda
RB - SF (at MIA)
|
|
207.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (at MIA)
|
|
208.
Trey Sermon
RB - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
209.
Justin Watson
WR - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
210.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
211.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
WR - NO (at GB)
|
|
212.
Jahan Dotson
WR - PHI (at WAS)
|
|
213.
Dameon Pierce
RB - HOU (at KC)
|
|
214.
Tylan Wallace
WR - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
215.
Ben Sinnott
TE - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
216.
Sione Vaki
RB - DET (at CHI)
|
|
217.
Tommy Tremble
TE - CAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
218.
Tyler Higbee
TE - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
219.
Mike Boone
RB - CAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
220.
Josh Whyle
TE - TEN (at IND)
|
|
221.
Hunter Luepke
RB - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
222.
DJ Chark Jr.
WR - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
223.
Luke McCaffrey
WR - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
224.
Kylen Granson
TE - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
225.
Jamison Crowder
WR - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
226.
Robert Woods
WR - HOU (at KC)
|
|
227.
Luke Schoonmaker
TE - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
228.
Will Shipley
RB - PHI (at WAS)
|
|
229.
Ja'Lynn Polk
WR - NE (at BUF)
|
|
230.
Jalin Hyatt
WR - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
231.
Tyler Goodson
RB - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
232.
River Cracraft
WR - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
233.
Josh Reynolds
WR - JAC (at LV)
|
|
234.
Lucas Krull
TE - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
235.
Colby Parkinson
TE - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
236.
Kenny McIntosh
RB - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
237.
Josh Oliver
TE - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
238.
Ty Chandler
RB - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
239.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
240.
Hassan Haskins
RB - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
241.
Darnell Washington
TE - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
242.
Zay Jones
WR - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
243.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
WR - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
244.
Scotty Miller
WR - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
245.
Michael Burton
RB - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
246.
Rasheen Ali
RB - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
247.
Alec Ingold
RB - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
248.
Derius Davis
WR - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
249.
AJ Barner
TE - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
250.
Jordan Mims
RB - NO (at GB)
|
|
251.
Deven Thompkins
WR - CAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
252.
Adam Trautman
TE - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
253.
Johnny Wilson
WR - PHI (at WAS)
|
|
254.
Elijah Higgins
TE - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
255.
Xavier Hutchinson
WR - HOU (at KC)
|
|
256.
Jeremy Ruckert
TE - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
257.
Jake Bobo
WR - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
258.
Hayden Hurst
TE - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
259.
Carson Steele
RB - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
260.
Eric Gray
RB - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
261.
Ben Skowronek
WR - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
262.
Julius Chestnut
RB - TEN (at IND)
|
|
263.
C.J. Ham
RB - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
264.
Raheem Blackshear
RB - CAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
265.
Devontez Walker
WR - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
266.
Dylan Laube
RB - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
267.
Michael Carter
RB - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
268.
Erik Ezukanma
WR - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
269.
Ko Kieft
TE - TB (at DAL)
|
|
270.
Trey Palmer
WR - TB (at DAL)
|
|
271.
Jonathan Mingo
WR - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
272.
Jamari Thrash
WR - CLE (at CIN)
|
|
273.
Darrynton Evans
RB - CHI (vs . DET)
|
|
274.
Keilan Robinson
RB - JAC (at LV)
|
|
275.
Jermaine Burton
WR - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
276.
John Bates
TE - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
277.
Patrick Ricard
RB - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
278.
Julian Hill
TE - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
279.
Bo Melton
WR - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
280.
Luke Farrell
TE - JAC (at LV)
|
|
281.
Bryce Oliver
WR - TEN (at IND)
|
|
282.
Brock Wright
TE - DET (at CHI)
|
|
283.
Adam Prentice
RB - NO (at GB)
|
|
284.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
285.
Rakim Jarrett
WR - TB (at DAL)
|
|
286.
Tip Reiman
TE - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
287.
Durham Smythe
TE - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
288.
Drew Ogletree
TE - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
289.
Tucker Fisk
TE - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
290.
Dan Chisena
WR - CAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
291.
MyCole Pruitt
TE - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
292.
Nick Vannett
TE - TEN (at IND)
|
|
293.
Collin Johnson
WR - CHI (vs . DET)
|
|
294.
Ashton Dulin
WR - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
295.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
WR - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
296.
Charlie Woerner
TE - ATL (vs . NYG)
|
|
297.
George Holani
RB - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
298.
Will Mallory
TE - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
299.
Brandon Powell
WR - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
300.
Nate Adkins
TE - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
301.
Davis Allen
TE - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
302.
Cam Grandy
TE - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
303.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - HOU (at KC)
|
|
304.
Anthony Gould
WR - IND (vs . TEN)
|
|
305.
Ryan Miller
WR - TB (at DAL)
|
|
306.
Pharaoh Brown
TE - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
307.
KhaDarel Hodge
WR - ATL (vs . NYG)
|
|
308.
Xavier Gipson
WR - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
309.
Greg Dulcich
TE - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
310.
Jacob Cowing
WR - SF (at MIA)
|
|
311.
Johnny Mundt
TE - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
312.
Chris Conley
WR - SF (at MIA)
|
|
313.
Blake Whiteheart
TE - CLE (at CIN)
|
|
314.
Javon Baker
WR - NE (at BUF)
|
|
315.
Allen Robinson II
WR - DET (at CHI)
|
|
316.
Ben Sims
TE - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
317.
Jordan Whittington
WR - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
318.
Harrison Bryant
TE - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
319.
Eric Saubert
TE - SF (at MIA)
|
|
320.
Hunter Long
TE - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
321.
James Proche II
WR - CLE (at CIN)
|
|
322.
Ryan Flournoy
WR - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
323.
Ross Dwelley
TE - ATL (vs . NYG)
|
|
324.
Tim Jones
WR - JAC (at LV)
|
|
325.
Isaiah Williams
WR - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
326.
Mason Kinsey
WR - TEN (at IND)
|
|
327.
Jaylen Waddle
WR - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
328.
Blake Watson
RB - DEN (at LAC)
|
|
329.
Luke Musgrave
TE - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
330.
Terrell Jennings
RB - NE (at BUF)
|
|
331.
Josiah Deguara
TE - JAC (at LV)
|
|
332.
Quintin Morris
TE - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
333.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB - NO (at GB)
|
|
334.
Malik Heath
WR - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
335.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
336.
John FitzPatrick
TE - GB (vs . NO)
|
|
337.
Devin Culp
TE - TB (at DAL)
|
|
338.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE - DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
339.
Ramel Keyton
WR - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
340.
Isaac Guerendo
RB - SF (at MIA)
Guerendo is unlikely to play this week and should be considered doubtful. Hopefully, he will return next week (foot/hamstring), but Patrick Taylor Jr. might start at running back for the 49ers for the next two weeks.
|
|
341.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
WR - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
342.
Dallin Holker
TE - NO (at GB)
|
|
343.
Xavier Smith
WR - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
344.
Connor Heyward
TE - PIT (at BAL)
|
|
345.
Tanner McLachlan
TE - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
346.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - NE (at BUF)
|
|
347.
Chris Manhertz
TE - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
348.
Tyler Scott
WR - CHI (vs . DET)
|
|
349.
Zach Pascal
WR - ARI (at CAR)
|
|
350.
Kenny Yeboah
TE - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
351.
Zaire Mitchell-Paden
TE - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
352.
Eric Tomlinson
TE - LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
353.
Bryce Ford-Wheaton
WR - NYG (at ATL)
|
|
354.
Shane Zylstra
TE - DET (at CHI)
|
|
355.
Anthony Firkser
TE - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
356.
Ronnie Rivers
RB - LAR (at NYJ)
|
|
357.
Jared Wayne
WR - HOU (at KC)
|
|
358.
Jaheim Bell
TE - NE (at BUF)
|
|
359.
Dareke Young
WR - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
360.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB - MIA (vs . SF)
|
|
361.
Gerald Everett
TE - CHI (vs . DET)
|
|
362.
C.J. Uzomah
TE - PHI (at WAS)
|
|
363.
Chris Collier
RB - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
364.
Jermar Jefferson
RB - DET (at CHI)
|
|
365.
Jaelon Darden
WR - SEA (vs . MIN)
|
|
366.
Nikko Remigio
WR - KC (vs . HOU)
|
|
367.
Steven Sims Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
368.
Cole Turner
TE - WAS (vs . PHI)
|
|
369.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (vs . CLE)
|
|
370.
Chris Blair
WR - ATL (vs . NYG)
|
|
371.
David Martin-Robinson
TE - TEN (at IND)
|
|
372.
Avery Williams
RB - ATL (vs . NYG)
|
|
373.
Jake Tonges
TE - SF (at MIA)
|
|
374.
Marcedes Lewis
TE - CHI (vs . DET)
|
|
375.
Anthony Miller
WR - BAL (vs . PIT)
|
|
376.
Jordan Franks
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
377.
Reggie Gilliam
RB - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
378.
Malachi Corley
WR - NYJ (vs . LAR)
|
|
379.
E.J. Jenkins
TE - PHI (at WAS)
|
|
380.
Jalen Virgil
WR - BUF (vs . NE)
|
|
381.
Brayden Willis
TE - SF (at MIA)
|
|
382.
Andrew Beck
RB - HOU (at KC)
|
|
383.
Tom Kennedy
WR - DET (at CHI)
|
|
384.
John Samuel Shenker
TE - LV (vs . JAC)
|
|
385.
Khari Blasingame
RB - PHI (at WAS)
|
|
386.
Alex Erickson
WR - NE (at BUF)
|
|
387.
Nick Muse
TE - MIN (at SEA)
|
|
388.
Jack Stoll
TE - MIA (vs . SF)
|
