Keon Coleman Week 16 Outlook - Patriots at Bills

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 19th 2024, 1:05pm EST

Last week, Coleman had only a 45.9% route share while drawing a 5.9% target share (two targets) and zero first reads. It's difficult to trust Coleman this week after looking at that usage, but if you are in a bind this week, there's an avenue for him to be a solid play. It comes down to how much risk you are willing to absorb this week because Coleman carries a lot. Since Week 9, New England has had the fifth-highest single-high rate (61.8%). This season against single high, Coleman has had an 18% TPRR and a team-leading 2.94 YPRR while also ranking second in FD/RR (0.110). I don't see Coleman seeing Christian Gonzalez much this week. If Cooper is out there, I expect Gonzalez to follow him. Every corner on New England's roster without the last name of Gonzalez has been league-average or worse this season. That's why, despite how good Gonzalez has been, New England has still allowed the 11th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. This is a good opportunity for Buffalo to feature Coleman. The talented rookie will be needed if Buffalo wants to make a deep postseason run. This game could be a confidence builder for him.