Fantasy Football Player Notes

Sutton is the WR34 in fantasy points per game, ranking sixth in deep targets and fourth in red zone targets among wide receivers. Since Week 5, Sutton has had a 22.1% target share, a 37.4% air-yard share, 2.21 YPRR, and a 30.6% first-read share. Since Week 7, the Raiders have moved toward more two high coverage with the fourth-highest rate (60%). Since Week 5, against two high, Sutton has had a 21.1% target share and 27.3% first-read share, but his YPRR has dropped off a table to 0.85. He'll get plenty of volume this week, but it's questionable how efficient he'll be with it. Since Week 6, the Raiders have allowed the second-fewest receiving yards per game and the third-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Last week, Williams remained the leader of the Denver backfield with 52% of the snaps, 13 touches, and 87 total yards. The blowout nature of last week's game is diluting Williams' role last week. In the first three-quarters of the game handled 64% of the snaps overall, 61% of the rushing play snaps, 66% of the passing down snaps, and 85% of the red zone snaps. The last time Williams matched up with the Raiders' defense, he finished with 18 touches and 111 total yards. Since Week 7, his tackle-breaking metrics haven't been great, with only a 6% missed tackle rate and 2.19 yards after contact per attempt, but the Raiders have a basement-level defense that Williams can succeed against. Since Week 6, the Raiders have allowed the seventh-highest missed tackle rate, the tenth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the tenth-most rushing scores.

Since Week 5, Vele has had an 11.8% target share, 1.98 YPRR, and a 14.8% first-read share. He could lead the way for Denver's passing attack this week. Since Week 7, the Raiders have moved toward more two high coverage with the fourth-highest rate (60%). Since Week 5, against two high, his target share has risen to 12.9% with a whopping 3.44 YPRR and a 17.6% first-read share. Since Week 6, the Raiders have allowed the most fantasy points per game and the sixth-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers. Vele is a very strong flex play this week.

Just when we all thought it was safe to play Estime, Payton pulled the rug out from under us. Last week, the talented rookie only played 23% of the snaps while handling nine touches and producing 25 total yards. Most of that work came late in the game. Estime is a hold if you have the bench space as Javonte Williams' backup, but he's an easy-cut candidate if you don't have the room.