Fantasy Football Player Notes

Sutton will be the clear WR1 for the Broncos passing offense this year. Last year, he was the WR38 in fantasy points per game, which was largely fueled by touchdowns. Sutton had the 12th-most red zone targets, which he turned into the 10th-most total touchdowns among receivers. Outside of touchdowns, though, Sutton was very pedestrian. He was 39th in target share, 37th in yards per route run, 44th in receiving yards per game, and 38th in first downs per route run. With Mike Macdonald calling the defensive shots this season, I expect Seattle to move towards more two-high this season. Seattle, over the last two seasons, has featured this coverage with 44.4-44.7% of their defensive snaps. Baltimore utilized two high on 53.4% of their snaps last year (eighth-highest). The year prior, that mark was 50.2% for Baltimore. Last year, Sutton's numbers weren't great against two high with a 19% TPRR, 1.57 YPRR, and only 0.072 FD/RR. Sit Sutton if you can in Week 1. He'll see Tre Brown (63.8% catch rate and 94.1 passer rating) and Riq Woolen (62.1% catch rate and 81.1 passer rating) for most of the day.

Mims was a rookie season flop. He finished as the WR91 in fantasy points per game, eclipsing a 50% snap rate only twice. His per-route numbers weren't great either, as he had a 14% TPRR, 1.50 YPRR, and 0.038 FD/RR. Baltimore utilized two high on 53.4% of their snaps last year (eighth-highest). With Mike MacDonald in Seattle now, I expect similar coverage usage this season. Against two high, Mims per route numbers were even worse with a 12% TPRR, 1,50 YPRR, and 0.034 FD/RR. Add on that Seattle allowed the third-fewest receiving touchdowns to slots last year while ranking 18th in PPR points per target, and Mims is a must-sit.