How good will Diggs be in Houston? Another year older. Now, he is competing with two amazing young wide receivers for volume. Can he keep up? We're about to get these questions answered. His falloff in the second half of the last two seasons can't be ignored at this point. In Weeks 10-18 last year, Diggs finished as the WR45 or higher in weekly scoring only twice. During that stretch, he only had one game with more than 80 receiving yards while finishing as the WR52 in fantasy points per game. Ok, let's get to this Week 1 matchup with the Colts. Indy had the ninth-highest single-high rate last season (59.1%). Last year, against single-high, Diggs had a 30% TPRR, 2.16 YPRR, and 0.103 FD/RR. In those three categories versus Collins and Dell, Diggs ranks second, third, and third. While he might post a solid stat line in Week 1 because all of those marks are still quite strong, it could be Collins and Dell leading the way. Diggs will see JuJu Brents (66.7% catch rate and 109.1 passer rating) and Jaylon Jones (54.4% catch rate and 106.6 passer rating) in coverage most of the game.

Douglas is the only Patriots' wide receiver I feel good about possibly plugging into a lineup in Week 1. We still don't know the rotation of the receivers on the outside, but Douglas should have no concerns as the team's starting slot. Last year, in the eight games Douglas played at least 50% of the snaps, he commanded a team-leading 20.8% target share and 24.4% first read share. He was a WR3 or better in weekly fantasy scoring in five of those eight games. Last year Cincy had the sixth-highest single-high rate (59.8%). In that eight-game sample, against single-high, Douglas managed a 22.5% target share with 1.98 YPRR and a 23.2% first-read share. Encouraging numbers, no doubt. The good vibes continue when we look at the matchup for Douglas. Last year, the Bengals gave up the third-highest receiving touchdowns and the fifth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers. Douglas will run about 67% of his routes against Mike Hilton (72.7% catch rate and 78.5 passer rating).

Polk is currently listed as a backup on various depth charts, so it's tough to consider starting him in Week 1. We have no clue what his route and snap shares will look like. New England looks to be pushing the crusty veterans on their depth chart to the front of the line and making the rookies earn it. It's not an approach I would take, but hey, what do I know? I would sit Polk in all formats for Week 1. Last year, Cincy allowed the eighth-fewest receiving touchdowns to perimeter wide receivers while ranking 17th in PPR points per target.