Fantasy Football Player Notes

Last week, Swift lost his stranglehold on the Bears' backfield, playing 54% of the snaps overall, 59% of the rushing plays, and only 29% of the snaps in the red zone. Roschon Johnson had a 71% snap rate inside the red zone. That will be problematic for Swift moving forward if it sticks. Swift is the RB19 in fantasy, averaging 18.3 touches and 87.8 total yards. Last week, Swift had 16 touches and 84 total yards. Among 53 qualifying backs, Swift ranks 22nd in explosive run rate and 34th in yards after contact per attempt. Swift will run into brick walls all day in Week 12. Since Week 6, Minnesota has allowed the second-lowest rushing yards per game and yards after contact per attempt and the 11th-lowest explosive run rate.

Since Week 8, Moore has had a 19.8% target share, 0.94 YPRR, and a 27.3% first-read share. Last week, Moore had a 22.6% target share, 1.68 YPRR, and he was third on the team with a 25.9% first-read share. 57.1% of his targets were designed (no other wide receiver had above a 12.5% designed target rate. Moore's aDOT was only 0.9 yards. Thomas Brown was feeding him underneath designed looks which will help his PPR value, but it could hurt his ceiling weekly. Since Week 6, Minnesota has allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game and the sixth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Moore's underneath role won't be great this week, though. Since Week 6, Minnesota has also given up the sixth-lowest yards after contact per reception and the tenth-lowest missed tackle rate per reception (ninth-lowest yards after the catch). Moore will have issues creating after the catch this week.

Last week, Odunze led the team with a 32.3% target share, a 53.6% air-yard share, 2.17 YPRR, and a 32.3% first-read share. Odunze's takeover has been slowly coming since after the bye. I've discussed his first-read share leading the way in various games since Chicago's bye. Since Week 8, Odunze has been tied for second on the team with a 27.3% first-read share and tied for the team lead with two end-zone targets. Since Week 6, Minnesota has allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game and the sixth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. If Williams can have a productive game in Week 12, Odunze could smash.

Last week, Allen had a 25.8% target share (second on the team) with a 30.3% air-yard share, 1.32 YPRR, and a 29.6% first-read share (tied for first). Allen has only one red zone target over his last four games. Allen remains a decent but not awesome flex play weekly. Since Week 6, Minnesota has ranked 15th in PPR points per target and 17th in passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.

Since Week 8, Kmet has been squeezed out of the target pie with only a 6.3% target share, 0.62 YPRR, 17.3 receiving yards per game, and a 7.8% first-read share. Minnesota has allowed the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game and the 13th-lowest yards per reception to tight ends. Sit Kmet this week. He is getting close to being droppable in all redraft formats.