Fantasy Football Player Notes

Chubb has played only 30-36% of the snaps in three of his four games this season while averaging 13.8 touches and 42.3 total yards. He looks like a player coming off a major injury, with an 11% missed tackle rate and only 2.25 yards after contact per attempt. Chubb has another nice matchup on the ground incoming this week, but I don't know if he can take advantage of it. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the second-highest rushing success rate to zone runs (Chubb 60.4% zone).

With Winston under center, Tillman has been the WR8 in fantasy points per game. He has commanded a 20.1% target share and 23.8% first-read share with four end-zone targets (team-leading) and 73.7 receiving yards per game. Since Week 6, the Steelers have had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.5%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Tillman has ranked second on the team with a 24.6% target share, 2.46 YPRR, and a 25.5% first-read share. The question for Tillman and Jerry Jeudy this week is, "Who will Joey Porter Jr. shadow?" Porter Jr. has followed six receivers this season on at least 65.2% of their routes. In his primary coverage, only one receiver surpassed 50 receiving yards, and he allowed only one receiving touchdown. The possible shadow coverage adds some volatility to Tillman's projection this week. Whoever avoids shadow coverage should eat this week. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Njoku has been the TE7 in fantasy points per game, with Winston slinging the rock. He has had a 17.2% target share with 1.47 YPRR and a 14.3% first-read share. He hasn't seen a red zone or end zone target with Winston as the starter. It's worth considering streaming options this week over Njoku. The Steelers have allowed the 14th-fewest fantasy points per game and the ninth-fewest yards per reception to tight ends.

In his three games with Winston under center, Jeudy has been the WR10 in fantasy points per game. He has drawn a 21.6% target share and 25.7% first-read share (team-leading) with 2.18 YPRR and 98 receiving yards per game. Jeudy has earned two end-zone targets and one red-zone target during this stretch. Since Week 6, the Steelers have had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.5%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Jeudy has had a 29.8% target share, 3.93 YPRR, and a 34% first-read share. The question for Tillman and Jerry Jeudy this week is, "Who will Joey Porter Jr. shadow?" Porter Jr. has followed six receivers this season on at least 65.2% of their routes. In his primary coverage, only one receiver surpassed 50 receiving yards, and he allowed only one receiving touchdown. The possible shadow coverage adds some volatility to Jeudy's projection this week. Whoever avoids shadow coverage should eat this week. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers.

With Winston under center, Moore has been the WR28 in fantasy points per game. He has seen a 20.9% target share with 1.57 YPRR and a 22.9% first-read share. Moore has had two end-zone targets. Since Week 6, the Steelers have had the highest single-high rate in the NFL (73.5%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Moore has seen a 17.5% target share and 19.1% first-read share with 1.70 YPRR. Moore could see a target bump with one of the Browns' receivers receiving the Joey Porter Jr. treatment this week, but the Steelers have turned into a tough matchup for slot receivers over the last few weeks. Since Week 6, Pittsburgh has allowed the third-fewest fantasy points per game and the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game to slot receivers.