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NFL Wild Card Weekend PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions (2023)

NFL Wild Card Weekend PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions (2023)

Continuing in Week 19 and throughout the NFL playoffs, I will be providing my top player props from PrizePicks.com. Sign up now!

From unders-or-overs to more-or-less, there’s really no better time to dive into player props with the fantasy football season concluded. Let the game sweats keep coming!

Note that lines may change from the time this is published, in which case I will update the numbers in accordance with what the lines are on the platform, along with any newer props that I think are worthy of targeting.

Let’s get it.

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NFL Wild Card Weekend PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions (2023)

Tyler Lockett (WR – SEA): OVER 60.5 receiving yards

  • Since Week 7, the 49ers are allowing the 2nd-most fantasy points per game to WRs.
  • They are allowing the 3rd-most receiving yards per game (186) and nearly 24 fantasy points per game to slot WRs.
  • Safety Jimmie Ward took over starting slot duties in Week 7, and he has allowed the most targets (67), catches (55), and receiving yards (428) while in slot coverage.
  • Tyler Lockett: 28% target share, 51% air yards share, 8 catches and 87.5 receiving yards in two games versus the 49ers this season. He has hit over 60.5 receiving yards in both contests.
  • Consider stacking Lockett’s OVER receiving yards prop with a Geno Smith OVER 225.5 passing yards and tight end Colby Parkinson OVER 18.5 receiving yards prop.
  • Since Week 7, the 49ers are allowing the 3rd-most passing yards to QBs per game (272).
  • Parkinson has run more routes than Noah Fant over the last 2 weeks (49 vs. 46) and earned more targets (10 vs. 7). He’s also hit the over on his prop in three straight games since taking over Will Dissly‘s role on offense.

Keenan Allen (WR – LAC): OVER 75.5 receiving yards

  • The Jaguars rank 4th in fantasy points per game allowed to slot WRs since Week 6.
  • Since Keenan Allen returned to the starting lineup in Week 11, he has averaged a 27% target share and 84 receiving yards per game.
  • He has failed to surpass 75.5 receiving yards just twice since his return in 8 games played.
  • Mike Williams has been listed as day-to-day and is not a guarantee to even be active — or operate at full capacity — in the wildcard round

Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL): UNDER 47.5 rushing yards

  • Ezekiel Elliott has gone under his rushing prop in his last two games.
  • With Tony Pollard back and healthy in Week 18, Elliott totaled his lowest carry amount (8) and rushing yardage output (10) of the season.
  • With a healthy beefy defensive lineman Vita Vea in the lineup in Weeks 13 and 17, the Buccaneers allowed a grand total of 27 yards and 35 yards rushing to their opponents’ No. 1 running back.
  • Before last week’s embarrassing loss to the Commanders, Dak Prescott had tossed for at least 250 passing yards in 8 of his 9 prior games. This Buccaneers defense is the prototypical pass-funnel defense that is stout versus the running game but gives up yardage through the air.
  • Keep in mind they allowed Sam Darnold to throw for 341 passing yards against them in a must-win Week 17 contest.
  • Fade Zeke and the Dallas ground game. Pair them with Prescott passing yards overs (O/U 247.5 passing yards).

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