Let’s take a look at the redraft and dynasty fantasy football impact of the Seattle Seahawks’ selection of Kenneth Walker III.

Team Drafted: Seattle Seahawks
Pick Selected: Round 2, No. 41 overall

2022 Redraft Fantasy Football Outlook

Pete Carroll sidesteps the quarterback position for his establish the run fetish and selects the best pure runner in this draft class. For 2022 this is a nightmare scenario for Kenneth Walker to get the full workload with last season’s stretch run darling and efficiency king Rashaad Penny still in town. This move does show Seattle’s hand that Chris Carson is likely not healthy, so he’s not factoring into how I’m evaluating this backfield. Walker will have to deal with the headache of Penny this year, but it could be wheels up in 2023. Walker is nothing more than an RB3/4 this season unless there’s an injury to Penny.
– Derek Brown

Initial redraft ranking: RB35

2022 NFL Draft Profile

Let’s clear up any confusion about Walker’s talent right out of the gate. He is arguably the best pure rusher in this year’s draft class. While he was only the engine for a collegiate offense for one season, that can’t erase the fact that Walker was stellar from the first time he laced up his cleats at Wake Forest. On a per-carry basis, he’s been outstanding since 2019, ranking 21st or higher (minimum 100 carries) in Yards after contact per attempt in each season. My declaration that Walker is the best runner in this class isn’t a slight to draft darling Breece Hall, a talented player in his own right, but the case is easy to make when looking at their collegiate numbers. Walker bests Hall in career Yards after contact per attempt (although there is a disparity in workload size — Hall with 715 rushing attempts, Walker with 479 rushing attempts) and the percentage of runs for 10 or more yards. They are equal in breakaway run rate.

 
*Statistics via PFF

Walker’s metrics and vision took a massive leap from 2020 to 2021. After his numbers dipped with Wake Forest in 2020, his transition to Michigan State’s zone scheme was the elixir to rekindle the spark he showed in 2019. At Wake Forest, he had a near-even split of gap and zone (51.6%) runs. That changed in 2021 when Walker saw 67.5% of his carries on zone plays (per PFF). His variable hesitancy at the line in 2020 was gone in 2021, as he was decisive, quick, and violent when hitting the hole. I’m attributing it to scheme change based on his numbers, but it’s also possible this was his continued growth as a player with more consistent reps in practice and games.

 
*Only 98 carries in this season.

Walker’s not just a straight-line-speed player. He displays the ability to create yards on his own behind the line of scrimmage and finishing power to grind out extra yards at the end of a play or near the goal line. On film, there are multiple instances of linebackers penetrating the line as soon as Walker gets the ball, only for them to be left in the dust by a well-timed and explosive jump cut. Unlike some backs, Walker loses little speed during these changes of direction. The blend of speed and power he possesses is exceptional.

Since I’ve doted plenty on his abilities on handoffs, we must also discuss the first (and most significant) question that everyone has after staring at Walker’s stat lines: Can he function as a pass-catcher at the NFL level? Walker’s passing-game usage in college was minuscule (25 targets), and the results weren’t jaw-dropping (0.45 yards per route run, per PFF), as he only drew a 5.4% target share (32nd percentile) over three years. On film, he does display a soft set of hands when targeted, and he secured 83.3% of his targets during his final two years. That is a glass-half-full view of his metrics. The reality is that Walker will likely never be a player who commands a robust target share in the NFL, but are the traits present to make him serviceable? Yes. Looking back at his high school career, he averaged 35.3 receiving yards per game and had 1,058 total receiving yards. Plays like the one below at Michigan State (a one-handed catch on a poorly placed ball) offer hope.

This won’t show up on any highlight reel or live large in the stat sheets

BUT…

If you think Kenneth Walker can’t catch just because he wasn’t asked to do it much… pic.twitter.com/WkHNrTMpnS

— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) March 24, 2022

The other issue when discussing Walker’s passing-game chops is pass protection. His PFF pass-blocking grades decreased every year (78.2, 64.1, 41.3), while his technique was inconsistent at best. He was dropping his head or throwing a poorly timed cut block on many of these reps. There are also plays intermittently scattered throughout where he stands up to oncoming rushers. As with his receiving skills, there’s hope for improvement with better coaching and progress in his technique or approach.

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio

If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant – that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.