Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers exploded last week with his first 100-yard receiving game since Week 1. Flowers is the WR27 in fantasy points per game with a 26.7% target share, 68.5 receiving yards per game, 2.32 yards per route run, and a 33.3% first-read share. Flowers leads the team with 15 deep targets, but he has only seven red zone targets, which is tied for second on the team. The last time Flowers faced the Bengals, DJ Turner followed him on 62.9% of his routes, holding him to two targets and zero receiving yards in his coverage. Turner has shadowed six times this season, following Flowers, DK Metcalf (twice), Justin Jefferson, Romeo Doubs, and Gabe Davis on 62.9-90.3% of their routes, holding each receiver to 45 or fewer scoreless receiving yards. I'm worried about Flowers this week. Even if Turner isn't in his back pocket for most of the game, we also need to talk about the fact that the last time Cincy played Baltimore, they utilized two high with 52.6% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Flowers has had a 23.1% target share, 1.68 yards per route run, and a 30.5% first-read share. The market share against two high remains high, but the efficiency dip isn't great. Flowers could still finish with a solid stat line, but I doubt it will be a boom week.