The Chiefs finished 2nd in pass rate over expectation in 2024. Patrick Mahomes ranked fourth in expected fantasy points per game.
But alas, for the second straight season, he did not deliver. Mahomes was under 20 points per game (19.1) as the QB10. It was his second straight year he failed to finish top 7 overall, and his first finish outside the top 10 since he became a starter.
However, not all his fault. Rashee Rice got hurt, Travis Kelce showed his age and Xavier Worthy took time to get going. Once the rookie got ramped up, the production followed. Week 8 onward, the Chiefs QB averaged 21 points per game.
There are enough positives from last year to buy the dip on the Chiefs QB in your 2025 drafts.