Fantasy Football Player Notes
2024 Draft Rankings
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1.
CeeDee Lamb
DAL (vs . WAS)
Lamb finally did it. He DID IT! He finished as the WR1 in fantasy points per game while going on an absolute heater to close the season. Lamb surpassed 100 receiving yards in seven of his final 12 games, including a monstrous 227 receiving yard performance in Week 17. Last year, among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked fourth in target share (29.2%), fifth in yards per route run (2.90), and eighth in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). There's nothing to stop him from challenging for the WR1 crown again in 2024, with Dallas running it back with almost the same cast of skilled characters. Lamb should eat.
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2.
Tyreek Hill
MIA (at NYJ)
Tyreek Hill had a stellar fantasy season, finishing second overall among WRs with nearly 300 fantasy points and averaging just shy of 20 points per game. He showcased his deep-threat ability with over 1,700 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging a league-leading 3.72 yards per route run. Despite turning 30, Hill's performance suggests he's still at the top of his game.
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3.
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN (at PIT)
Chase's 2023 season was ruined by injury both with his quarterback (Joe Burrow) and his late-season shoulder sprain. In Weeks 1-4, while Burrow was looking like a shadow of his former self, Chase was still the WR23, drawing a 27.0% target share, a 34.6% air-yard share, and a 36.2% first-read share while producing 1.81 yards per route run (YPRR) and 0.102 first downs per route run (FD/RR). In Weeks 5-10, when Burrow was back to dealing, Chase was the WR4 in fantasy, commanding a 28.4% target share, a 43.1% air-yard share, and a 34.5% first read share while churning out a whopping 2.69 YPRR and 0.145 FD/RR. Chase should be viewed as a consensus top-four wide receiver and a top-three pick in fantasy.
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4.
Justin Jefferson
MIN (at DET)
Despite dealing with injuries and bad quarterback play for part of the season, Jefferson finished as the WR5 in fantasy points per game. If you exclude Week 14, in which he played only 18% of the snaps, he was the WR4 in fantasy points per game. Even after Week 14, when he was suffering through the quarterback roulette wheel, Jefferson still churned out 22.1 fantasy points per game while drawing a 30.1% target share, manufacturing 3.03 YPRR, and blazing 0.134 FD/RR (ninth-best, per Fantasy Points Data). Jefferson is quarterback-proof, so it doesn't matter to me whether Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy is under center this season. Jefferson has proven he can still be a top-five fantasy wideout with putrid passers. If Darnold and McCarthy outperform expectations, Jefferson could still have WR1 overall upside.
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5.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET (vs . MIN)
Amon-Ra St. Brown had a standout season, finishing third among WRs with 247.5 fantasy points and averaging 16.5 points per game. He showcased his reliability with 112 receptions for 1,371 yards and 9 touchdowns, earning a 12.2 yards per reception average. St. Brown commanded a 30% target share and 34% air yards share. His impressive performance earned him a lucrative 4-year, $120 million contract extension, making him the highest paid WR in the NFL at the time.
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6.
A.J. Brown
PHI (vs . NYG)
A.J. Brown had a solid season, ranking fifth among WRs with an average of 14.8 points per game. He showcased his big-play ability with 105 receptions for over 1,400 yards and 7 touchdowns. However, he struggled towards the end of the season (out-scored by DeVonta Smith after Week 11) coinciding with the Eagles' late-season collapse. With changes in the coaching staff, including the hiring of Kellen Moore, there's uncertainty about Brown's production in 2024 if the team continues to struggle.
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7.
Puka Nacua
LAR (vs . SEA)
Everyone HURRY! Get it. Grab it. Got it? Good. Pop the tops on those Puka Juice 40s; it's time to CHUG! Nacua had a rookie season for the ages, finishing as the WR6 in fantasy points per game. He set rookie records for receptions and receiving yards. Even after Cooper Kupp returned, he led the duo in target share (25.4%), air-yard share (32.7%), YPRR (2.61, and fantasy points per game (WR12). Nacua could access another level in his sophomore campaign if Matthew Stafford stays healthy and Kupp's powers diminish just a tiny bit more. Nacua could finish as a top-three option at the position this season if everything breaks his way.
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8.
Garrett Wilson
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Assuming Wilson stays healthy in 2024 (which I do), his ascension into the WR1 ranks is a foregone conclusion. Last year, he had no problem drawing the volume that will help him be a top 12 option, ranking ninth in target share (27.1%), first in air-yard share (45.8%), and fifth in first-read share (36.8%). The problem was obvious last year when there was no Aaron Rodgers. The quarterback play was abysmal. Last season, the Jets ranked 30th in adjusted completion rate and 27th in catchable target rate. With Rodgers back in the huddle, Wilson is an easy WR1 with top-five upside
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9.
Brandon Aiyuk
SF (at ARI)
Aiyuk was fantastic last season as the WR16 in fantasy, with career highs in yards per reception and receiving yards. He also crushed in deeper efficiency metrics, ranking third in YPRR and second in FD/RR. Aiyuk is a player where you're betting on talent and the complexion of the 49ers' offense changing to an extent depending on where you're drafting him. I don't want him to be my WR1 on teams, but as my WR2, I'm comfortable taking the swing. The worries with his profile are easy to see, starting with volume. As good as Aiyuk was last year, he still only ranked 30th in raw target volume with an astounding 105 targets. He also ranked only 44th in red zone targets and was the WR31 in expected fantasy points per game. There's risk here, but as Aiyuk displayed last year, there can be reward as well.
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10.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
SF (at ARI)
Deebo Samuel ranked as the WR12 overall despite playing 15 games. Notably, he scored the second-most total touchdowns (12) with his dual role as a rusher and receiver. Samuel also led all wide receivers in total red-zone touches. However, his injury history raises concerns due to his physical playing style. Additionally, there's potential for TD regression given his performance exceeded expectations in the previous season, ranking as WR26 in expected points per game (10.9). Moreover, relying on rushing production can be unpredictable year-to-year, and the emergence of Brandon Aiyuk further complicates Samuel's outlook as he enters a contract year.
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11.
Mike Evans
TB (vs . NO)
Mike Evans ranked as the WR4 in 2023, totaling 239.3 points (14.4 per game, WR8). He caught 76 passes for 1,233 yards and 13 touchdowns. He re-signed a two-year deal with the Buccaneers, keeping his talents in Tampa Bay. He will be 31 in August.
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12.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
ARI (vs . SF)
Harrison Jr.'s prospect profile speaks for itself. Over the last two years of college, he ranked fifth and seventh in YPRR and third and sixth in PFF receiving grade. He has the size and overall skillset to command alpha-level volume from the jump, and he'll have that opportunity in Arizona. Yes, he will have to contend with Trey McBride for the weekly team lead in targets, but after McBride, things get sparse quickly. Arizona still has Greg Dortch and Michael Wilson and added Zay Jones this offseason, but none of those players have proven they can consistently push for a 20% target share in the NFL. Harrison's draft stock is spicy, but he deserves it. Last year, Arizona tossed the rock 555 times; if Harrison can command a 25% target share (which is possible), he would be tied for 13th in raw target volume among wide receivers last year. Harrison could rank top 12 in targets among wideouts in his rookie season.
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13.
Chris Olave
NO (at TB)
Did Olave match last year's hype with his production? No. Did he woefully fail, and we should be worried about him in 2024? NOPE. Olave displayed growth with new career highs in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and fantasy points per game (14.5, WR19). Last year, among 81 qualifying receivers, Olave ranked 24th in YPRR and 16th in FD/RR. Olave had to deal with the ups and downs of Derek Carr last year, which smoothed out toward the end of the season with the Saints changing up the complexion of the passing offense, which should continue in 2024. Carr last year was tied to two outcomes. It was either wind-up and chuck it deep or check it down, as Carr ranked eighth in deep attempts while also having the sixth-highest check-down rate. In Weeks 1-12, New Orleans had the fifth-highest aDOT while ranking 14th in catchable target rate with the 16th-highest off-target rate. In Weeks 13-18, the Saints changed it up as their aDOT was the 11th-lowest, and the offense ranked first in catchable target rate with the lowest off-target rate. With Klint Kubiak now the offensive coordinator, we should expect this lower aDOT model to continue with more motion and YAC opportunities opening up for Olave. The needle is pointing up for 2024.
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14.
Davante Adams
LV (vs . LAC)
Davante Adams continued to shine in Las Vegas despite quarterback changes, boasting a 45% air yards share and a league-leading 33% target share. With 103 receptions on 175 targets, he amassed over 1,100 yards and secured 8 touchdowns, showcasing his red-zone prowess with the second-most targets in the NFL. Despite turning 31, Adams remains a reliable fantasy WR2, displaying his QB-proof consistency.
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15.
DJ Moore
CHI (at GB)
D.J. Moore was excellent in his debut season in Chicago, finishing as the WR6 averaging 14.0 points/game. He showcased his dominance with a 43% air yards share and a top-10 target share at 29%. Moore's rapport with quarterback Justin Fields yielded high-end WR1 production, averaging 16.8 points per game over 12 games. However, with Fields replaced by rookie Caleb Williams and the addition of WR Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze, Moore's fantasy upside in 2024 may face challenges.
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16.
Nico Collins
HOU (at TEN)
Yes, Houston's target tree has another branch that didn't exist last year (Stefon Diggs). Is that worrisome for Collins? Sure, but this is a bet on talent. Drawing volume is a reflection of the talent that Collins has in spades. I'm not willing to back off drafting him and Tank Dell with the arrival of a veteran wide receiver that widely sunk fantasy teams down the stretch last year. In 2023, Collins ranked 12th in targets per route run, second in YPRR, seventh in receiving yards per game, and fifth in FD/RR. Everything in his profile suggests he is an alpha-level talent in the prime of his career, tied to one of the best young quarterbacks in the game.
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17.
DK Metcalf
SEA (at LAR)
D.K. Metcalf finished 2023 with 66 receptions on 119 targets (23% target share), accumulating 1,114 yards and over 1,500 air yards (40% air yards share, 14th), as the WR16 overall. He demonstrated his big-play capability with 37 receptions of 20+ yards (10th) and finished 20th in points per game (12.0). Metcalf scored 8 touchdowns with the 5th-most end-zone targets (15). He missed the first game of his NFL career in 2023. He's an Iron Man and a staple of consistency as high-end fantasy WR2.
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18.
Drake London
ATL (vs . CAR)
Arthur Smith is gone. It's time for London to fly. His upside this season is massive in what should be a revamped offensive approach with Kirk Cousins under center and Zac Robinson calling plays. Last year, London's numbers were passable but not amazing, as quarterback play held him in check. The Falcons' quarterbacks posted the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate and the third-lowest catchable target rate. London still posted 1.98 YPRR (32nd) while ranking 27th in FD/RR and top 25 in first read share (20th) and target share (25th). After reexamining his 2023 film, I do not doubt that the same player who posted monster numbers as a rookie is still here. London realizes his massive potential this year. Enjoy the breakout.
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19.
Jaylen Waddle
MIA (at NYJ)
Jaylen Waddle faces a different fantasy draft landscape in 2024, likely drafted later due to a less impressive previous season as the WR34 overall and WR24 in points per game. Despite recording over 1,000 receiving yards in 14 games, his scoring was limited to four touchdowns. However, his 24% target share and improved efficiency metrics indicate potential for a bounce-back season. Considered a buy-low candidate, Waddle's draft position might not reflect his true value.
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20.
Amari Cooper
CLE (at BAL)
Amari Cooper's season-long stats were notable despite shifting quarterbacks, ranking 10th in yards (1,250) and second in 20-yard gains (42). His 41% air yards share also ranked 10th in the league. While he finished 17th in points/game (12.7) as the WR18 overall through 17 games, his performance with Deshaun Watson as QB offers promise. During these five games, he maintained a 23% target share, 42% air yards share, averaging nearly 100 receiving yards/game. His fantasy output was also strong, averaging 14.8 points per game (6th) and 15.7 expected points per game (15th). Even with Jerry Jeudy's addition, Cooper remains the WR1 for the Browns.
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21.
Tee Higgins
CIN (at PIT)
Tee Higgins' 2023 season was marred by injuries, limiting him to just 12 games. Despite this, he showcased his big-play ability with an impressive 15.6 yards per reception, 14 receptions of 20+ yards and 4 games with 20-plus points scored. His 37% air yards share highlighted his importance in the Bengals' downfield passing game. While his fantasy production suffered due to injuries, his command of air yards suggests he remains a dominant receiver, as evidenced by several standout performances. Buy the discount in a contract year.
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22.
DeVonta Smith
PHI (vs . NYG)
DeVonta Smith has showcased his ability to thrive in the absence of key teammates like A.J. Brown or Dallas Goedert over the past two seasons. During Weeks 11-18 this season, he ranked as WR16, averaging 13.6 points per game, demonstrating backend fantasy WR1 potential. However, prior to Week 11, he was WR25 overall with 10.9 points per game. Smith's talent is evident, but for him to reach fantasy WR1 status, others in the Eagles passing game may need to scale back their production. Overall, he finished the year 20th in points per game (12.2) with a 24% target share.
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23.
Michael Pittman Jr.
IND (vs . JAC)
Pittman has proven to be one of the safest picks in fantasy drafts over the last three years, with WR14, WR21, and WR22 finishes. Despite catching passes from Gardner Minshew for most of the year, Pittman finished with his usual efficiency ranking 23rd in YPRR and 24th in FD/RR while gobbling up the volume (ninth in targets, fourth in target share). The Colts will remain a middling neutral pass rate team this year while pushing the pace envelope. Pittman should finish with another solid WR2 season, but he could offer more upside if he can ever break out with even reasonable touchdown numbers. Pittman hasn't had more than six receiving touchdowns over the last three years. He only spiked it four times last season despite ranking ninth in red zone targets. Pittman has a WR1 season in him, and I won't bet against him unleashing it in 2024.
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24.
Cooper Kupp
LAR (vs . SEA)
Many will point to the injuries Cooper Kupp has dealt with throughout the season, as a reason to be concerned about him moving forward. He hasn't looked like himself all season and he will be 31 in 2024. He's missed an average of six games over the last two seasons.
A lot of his production was salvaged by his 5 receiving TDs. Posted a career-low yards per route run (1.77). Kupp was WR27 in points per game in 2023 despite a 26% target share. |
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25.
Tank Dell
HOU (at TEN)
Tank Dell showcased his potential as a deep threat for the Texans, posting a 31% air yards share and over 1,000 air yards in just 10 games. Despite a slightly lower target share than Nico Collins, Dell demonstrated his impact with a 20.5% target share and 14.2 points per game (9th). Interestingly, when both Collins and Dell played together, their production was nearly identical, highlighting Dell's consistency and effectiveness in Houston's offense.
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26.
Stefon Diggs
HOU (at TEN)
Stefon Diggs faced a challenging 2023 season, finishing as WR10 overall but averaging just 13 points per game, landing him as WR15 in half-point scoring. His performance waned significantly from Week 10 onwards, averaging a mere 7.3 points and 42 receiving yards per game. Despite maintaining a near 30% target share and accumulating over 1,800 air yards for the season, Diggs struggled to deliver consistent fantasy production. With uncertainty surrounding his role in the Texans' offense and competition from Tank Dell and Nico Collins, fantasy managers may approach Diggs with caution entering his age 31 season.
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27.
George Pickens
PIT (vs . CIN)
George Pickens emerges as the primary beneficiary of the Steelers' offense following Diontae Johnson's departure. Despite competition from rookie third-rounder Roman Wilson, Pickens' consistent growth hints at a potential breakout in his third year. During the first five weeks of the 2023 season with Johnson sidelined, Pickens averaged 12.8 points per game (19th) and nearly 80 yards per game. With Russell Wilson or Justin Fields' vertical threat, Pickens could flourish, as seen in his WR13 performance during Johnson's absence last season. But be wary that the run-heavy nature of an Arthur Smith offense could doom Pickens' breakout.
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28.
Malik Nabers
NYG (at PHI)
Malik Nabers, emerging from a robust 3-year stint at LSU, led all college wide receivers with 86 receptions, 1,546 yards, and 14 touchdowns during his junior year, boasting a 34% dominator rating. Over his collegiate career, he totaled 186 receptions for 2,983 yards and 21 touchdowns, marked by a standout 28% career college dominator rating-third among 2024 draft class WRs. Notably, Nabers broke out as a freshman at 18, indicating significant potential for early professional success. Now with the New York Giants, he is poised to become the team's top receiver from the outset. His ability to generate yards after the catch (YAC) reassures concerns about the team's quarterback situation, enhancing his fantasy value.
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29.
Zay Flowers
BAL (vs . CLE)
Rookie Zay Flowers quickly established himself as Lamar Jackson's go-to receiver in Baltimore, securing a 24% target share. He led the Ravens in air yards/target share, accumulating over 1,000 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns in 18 games. However, his final rankings as WR29 overall and WR31 in points/game hint that he may have underperformed relative to his opportunities. When Mark Andrews was active in the lineup (Weeks 2-10) Flowers averaged 8.2 points/game with a 22% target share. When the TE missed, Flowers posted a 24% target share and 13.2 points/game (WR14).
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30.
Christian Kirk
JAC (at IND)
Christian Kirk ended 2023 with 57 receptions on 85 targets (21% target share) for 787 yards. But Kirk only found the end zone 3 times during the season. In 12 games, Kirk accumulated 121.8 fantasy points, averaging 11 points per game, positioning him as a reliable flex option in fantasy leagues. WR28 in points per game. When he and Calvin Ridley were both healthy, Kirk posted the higher target share at 21% as the WR23 overall. With Ridley replaced by the "can't earn targets" Gabe Davis and 1st-round rookie Brian Thomas Jr. (another non-elite target earner) Kirk projects as the WR1 in the Jaguars offense in target volume.
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31.
Keenan Allen
CHI (at GB)
Keenan Allen had a stellar 2023 season, ranking third in points per game and finishing as the WR8 overall, thanks in large part to his impressive 31% target share. Despite turning 32 in 2024, he displayed no signs of slowing down with Justin Herbert. However, his trade to the Bears presents new challenges, particularly with a downgrade in rookie QB play and stiff competition for targets from players like Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore. This shift in situation, coupled with Allen's age, raises concerns about his fantasy outlook for the upcoming season.
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32.
Jayden Reed
GB (vs . CHI)
Jayden Reed made an impact in his rookie season, as a primary slot receiver for the Packers. Despite not always playing a full-time role, he was heavily targeted, with a 25% target rate per route run and just under 2 yards per route run. Reed led all Packers wide receivers in points/game with 10.6 and ten touchdowns. He finished as a top-12 WR in 33% of his games (12th) and ranked fourth in fantasy points per snap.
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33.
Calvin Ridley
TEN (vs . HOU)
Calvin Ridley caught 76 passes on 136 targets for 1,016 yards in his lone season as a Jaguar. With nearly 1,800 air yards, he boasted a 22.5% target share and 36% air yards share, finding the end zone 8 times. He ranked as WR17 overall (11.3 points/ game, WR26) positioning him as a low-end WR2 in fantasy. Ridley led the league in end zone targets (24) but fell short of fully capitalizing on his elite opportunities for a fantasy WR1 season. Now with the Titans alongside veterans DeAndre Hopkins and Tyler Boyd, he enters a potentially more pass-centric offense under new head coach Brian Callahan and second-year QB Will Levis, offering opportunities for increased production.
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34.
Terry McLaurin
WAS (at DAL)
Terry McLaurin demonstrated his reliability as a deep threat for the Commanders in 2023, tallying 79 receptions for 1,002 yards and 4 touchdowns. His 23 catches of 20+ yards underscored his big-play ability. While ranking 32nd among wide receivers in total fantasy points and 41st in points per game, McLaurin's 35% air yards share showcased his role as a deep threat. With over 1,500 total air yards, he ranked 13th league-wide. With Jayden Daniels now at QB, known for his great deep ball, McLaurin could see increased production, potentially breaking out of the fantasy WR2 category without commanding a WR2 draft price.
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35.
Rashee Rice
KC (at DEN)
Rashee Rice showcased promise in his rookie season with the Chiefs, tallying 105 receptions for 1,200 yards and 8 touchdowns in 20 games, earning him a 19% target share. Despite an average of 10.9 fantasy points per game, he surged post-Week 6, averaging 12.1 points and ranking within the top 20. However, concerns arise due to increased competition from additions like Marquise Brown and Xavier Worthy. Additionally, Rice's legal issues stemming from a high-speed hit-and-run crash may result in a multi-game suspension, casting doubt on his availability for the upcoming NFL season.
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36.
Jordan Addison
MIN (at DET)
Jordan Addison had a solid rookie campaign, recording 70 receptions for 911 yards and 10 touchdowns on a 17% target share. His consistent contributions earned him an average of 11 fantasy points per game, ranking him as WR28 overall. Despite his promising performance, his fantasy outlook for 2024 is clouded by uncertainty at the quarterback position following Kirk Cousins' departure. At least, the absence of T.J. Hockenson due to injury could boost Addison's role in the offense to open the season.
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37.
Hollywood Brown
KC (at DEN)
Marquise "Hollywood" Brown had a forgettable 2023 season, struggling with inconsistent quarterback play and injuries. Despite posting impressive air yards and target share numbers, he failed to produce consistently, averaging just 7.8 points per game. However, his move to the Chiefs presents a promising opportunity to revive his career alongside Patrick Mahomes. With his speed and playmaking ability, Brown could become a fantasy WR2 in Kansas City's offense, given the potential absence of Rashee Rice.
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38.
DeAndre Hopkins
TEN (vs . HOU)
DeAndre Hopkins maintained his elite status in the 2023 season, securing 75 catches on 137 targets with a 28% target share, accumulating 1,057 receiving yards and showcasing his deep threat ability with 27 receptions of 20+ yards. His 1,934 total air yards led the league among wide receivers. Despite posting WR2 numbers, the addition of Calvin Ridley to the Titans' receiving corps presents a challenge to Hopkins' fantasy value, especially considering Ridley's potential target competition.
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39.
Diontae Johnson
CAR (at ATL)
Before the switch to Mason Rudolph from Week 7-13 (when Diontae Johnson returned healthy), DJ led the team with a 26% target share and 9.2 points/game. After Johnson returned from his injury in Week 7, he was very effective with a 23% target share while scoring 5 TDs averaging 14 expected fantasy points per game. Despite the Steelers' offensive transitions and his own injuries to overcome, Johnson maintained his productivity, finishing the season with 127.2 fantasy points, averaging 10 points per game - 36th in points per game. Now in Carolina, Johnson will project for a boatload of targets in an offense that fueled Adam Thielen to WR25 finish. Johnson will be at worst a fantasy WR3 with potential ceiling unlocked if Bryce Young can take a step forward in 2024.
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40.
Christian Watson
GB (vs . CHI)
Christian Watson's sophomore season was completely derailed by hamstring injuries. He missed the first three weeks of the season entirely and struggled to put together any consistent production until his last three games in the regular season when he hurt his hamstring again. He scored four TDs, while averaging 17.1 points per game. Watson has a high ceiling when healthy as both a big-play and red-zone threat, but it cannot be realized until he solves his hamstring woes. Offseason reports have been positive regarding Watson's hamstring, providing some hope that he can put it together in Year 3 and recapture his rookie form that saw him post fringe fantasy WR1 numbers.
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41.
Chris Godwin
TB (vs . NO)
Chris Godwin's 2023 season was marked by high volume but low touchdown production, catching only 3 touchdowns despite leading the Buccaneers in receptions and receiving yards. His target share was comparable to Mike Evans', but he struggled to convert opportunities into fantasy points, finishing outside the top-36 wide receivers in fantasy scoring. However, with potential changes in offensive scheme and Evans potentially regressing, Godwin could see a bounce-back year, especially if he returns to a full-time slot role as suggested by new OC Liam Coen.
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42.
Rome Odunze
CHI (at GB)
Rome Odunze's tenure at Washington was characterized by steady progression, peaking in his junior year with 75 catches, 1,145 yards, and 7 TDs, and further elevating in 2023 with 81 receptions for 1,428 yards and 13 TDs, despite battling injuries. His senior performance earned him a spot on the AP first team and a career-high 33% dominator rating, placing him fourth in his draft class. Notably, Odunze had a breakout season at 19 during his sophomore year, underlining his early development. Drafted 9th overall by the Chicago Bears, he starts the season as the WR3 but has the potential to secure a more significant role as the year progresses. His blend of size, resilience, and early breakout age positions him as a promising fantasy asset.
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43.
Xavier Worthy
KC (at DEN)
Texas' Xavier Worthy has quickly made a name for himself with his standout speed and playmaking prowess. At 6 feet 1 inch and 172 pounds, Worthy distinguished himself early, notching 62 receptions for 981 yards and 12 touchdowns in his freshman year. He capped off his college career with over 1,000 yards and 5 touchdowns in his junior year, securing a 30% career dominator rating-the second highest in his class-and the youngest breakout age at 18. His abilities have drawn comparisons to DeSean Jackson, both from Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid and draft analyst Thor, underscoring his potential impact. Set to join the Chiefs as a 1st-rounder, Worthy is expected to compete for a significant role, particularly with the possibility of an expanded opportunity if teammate Rashee Rice faces a suspension.
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44.
Courtland Sutton
DEN (vs . KC)
Courtland Sutton's outlook for the upcoming season appears less promising, especially with a rookie QB in 12th overall pick Bo Nix. While Sutton saw a resurgence in touchdown production last year, accounting for a significant portion of his fantasy points, it's unlikely to repeat, projecting him in the 4-6 TD range. His target usage parallels Jerry Jeudy's, who has since been traded, solidifying Sutton's role as the team's top WR. Despite competition from Marvin Mims and rookie Troy Franklin, Sutton's consistent WR3 performance suggests a stable floor in fantasy.
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45.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA (at LAR)
In his rookie season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba managed 63 receptions from 93 targets, totaling 628 yards and 4 touchdowns. Despite a slow start due to a wrist injury, he began to find his rhythm from Week 6 onwards, averaging 8.2 points per game. With more opportunities ahead in 2024, the 22-year-old wideout is poised as a breakout candidate for the Seahawks in what should be a pass-happier offense under new OC Ryan Grubb.
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46.
Jameson Williams
DET (vs . MIN)
Jameson Williams has faced challenges in his first two years in the NFL, including a torn ACL in his rookie season and a slow start due to a suspension in his second year. While he has displayed flashes of big-play potential, injuries and inconsistencies have hampered his progress. Heading into his third year, Williams is expected to take on a larger role in the Lions' offense with the WR2 position likely up for grabs. However, his limited target share and inconsistent performance in 2023 raise questions about his potential breakout. Williams may be overrated based on his draft capital, and he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps in Detroit. Still, it's noteworthy that his HC has already labeled Jamo as the team's most improved player this offseason. Year 3 seems like it will be a career-best for the former Alabama product.
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47.
Mike Williams
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Mike Williams was signed to a one-year deal worth $15 million by Gang Green, but he's going to be 30 years old in October, coming off a Week 3 torn ACL.
FWIW, Big Mike was extremely productive before he got hurt. The former Chargers WR ranked as WR15 overall and WR17 in points per game. Williams can at least slide in as the immediate No. 2 WR behind Garrett Wilson in an offense that will likely get improved QB play from Aaron Rodgers. |
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48.
Tyler Lockett
SEA (at LAR)
Tyler Lockett faced inconsistency throughout the season, finishing 43rd in points per game and WR33 overall, despite a solid 22% target share and over 1,300 air yards. It was his first time outside the top 30 WRs since 2017, failing to match or exceed D.K. Metcalf's fantasy production. With concerns about his age and declining performance, coupled with competition from emerging talents like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Lockett's fantasy value is on a downward trend entering his age-32 season.
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49.
Jakobi Meyers
LV (vs . LAC)
Jakobi Meyers showcased his talent with an impressive debut season for the Raiders, notably scoring 8 receiving TD on a 21% target share. However, his TD rate in 2023 may be unsustainable moving forward, suggesting potential regression. Despite his scoring prowess, Meyers managed a solid fantasy output, averaging 11.4 points per game and ranking 25th among WRs. His consistency, especially with a rookie in Aidan O'Connell at quarterback, underscores his reliability as a fantasy WR3 option.
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50.
Keon Coleman
BUF (at NE)
Keon Coleman, a second-round pick for the Buffalo Bills, boasts impressive physical attributes at 6'4" and 215 lbs, fitting the mold of an outside X-receiver. His collegiate career showcased consistent improvement, highlighted by a notable junior year at Florida State with 50 receptions, 658 yards, and 11 touchdowns. Despite his youth, Coleman demonstrated dominance, outperforming future NFL prospect Jayden Reed in key metrics. With the Bills, he enters a favorable situation with a talented quarterback and opportunities to rise in the depth chart, setting the stage for a promising start to his NFL journey.
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51.
Ladd McConkey
LAC (at LV)
Ladd McConkey emerged in his third season at Georgia as a redshirt sophomore, achieving 762 receiving yards and seven touchdowns with a 20% dominator rating, despite a late breakout at 21 years old. Competing for targets with Brock Bowers, one of college football's top tight ends, and ahead of 2024 second-round pick AD Mitchell on the depth chart, McConkey demonstrated his capability, especially in the two games without Bowers in 2023, posting his highest yardage totals. Although injuries impacted his final year's stats, he remained efficient, ranking 8th nationally in yards per route run (3.26). Known for his quickness and polished route-running rather than size, McConkey's agility and speed, highlighted by a sub-4.4 40-yard dash at the combine, make him a promising professional prospect. Drafted by the Chargers who traded up in Round 2, he enters a team with a weak WR corps, positioning him to potentially lead in targets.
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52.
Romeo Doubs
GB (vs . CHI)
Romeo Doubs showcased improvement in his 2nd season, becoming a consistent target in their passing game. With 69 receptions on 105 targets for 908 yards and 9 touchdowns, he proved to be a valuable asset, particularly in the red zone. However, Doubs fell short of maximizing his potential within the offense, scoring fewer points than his expected output, creating doubt about his 2024 ceiling. Despite this, his performance solidified him as a reliable WR4 option in fantasy leagues.
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53.
Gabe Davis
JAC (at IND)
Gabe Davis's move to the Jaguars offers him a fresh start after a mixed performance with the Bills in 2023. While he showcased his big-play ability with 7 touchdowns and 1,200 air yards, his inconsistency, including four catchless games in his last eight appearances, raises concerns. In Jacksonville, Davis could see an uptick in targets following the departures of Zay Jones and Calvin Ridley, but his boom-or-bust nature may persist. With Trevor Lawrence leading the offense and competition from established pass-catchers and rookie Brian Thomas Jr., Davis's fantasy outlook remains uncertain, making him a better fit for best ball formats where his spiked weeks could still offer value.
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54.
Brian Thomas Jr.
JAC (at IND)
Brian Thomas Jr. emerged as a force in his junior year at LSU, boasting a 33% dominator rating and leading the FBS with 17 touchdowns. Standing at 6'4" and 205 lbs, he possesses the size and speed of a boundary X-receiver, evidenced by his impressive college production. Despite not being the primary target, Thomas still earned a 24% dominator rating, competing for catches with fellow standout Malik Nabers. Drafted by the Jaguars in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, Thomas has the opportunity to absorb a significant portion of targets left by departing players, potentially exceeding 100 targets. While he offers high-end splash week potential, his weekly consistency may vary due to Jacksonville's diverse offensive weapons.
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55.
Rashid Shaheed
NO (at TB)
Rashid Shaheed enjoyed a solid 2nd season, as a boom-or-bust option. He totaled over 1,000 air yards on just 75 targets (14% target share). Shaheed excelled in making big plays, as seen in his 31 catches of over 20 yards (14th). He scored 132.6 fantasy points, averaging 8.3 points per game. Shaheed was ranked 49th among wide receivers in points per game.
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56.
Brandin Cooks
DAL (vs . WAS)
Brandin Cooks ended the season as the WR45 in points per game (9.1) and WR36 overall. After his sluggish start, Cooks was unlocked from Week 6 onward as we saw the Dallas offense start to click. WR22 overall and WR28 in points per game (11.2). He will be 31 in September.
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57.
Curtis Samuel
BUF (at NE)
Curtis Samuel's 2023 season with the Washington Commanders was underwhelming, finishing as the WR44 overall and averaging 7.9 fantasy points per game. His performance was consistent with his career trend of sporadic production due to injuries. While his receiving stats mirrored his 2020 campaign, he saw limited usage as a rusher. Entering his age 28 season, Samuel has yet to break into WR2 territory in fantasy, typically settling as a WR4 option. However, with a reunion with his former OC Joe Brady in Buffalo, who utilized him effectively from the slot in Carolina, Samuel holds sleeper potential in the Bills offense, especially with changes to their receiving corps.
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58.
Jerry Jeudy
CLE (at BAL)
Jerry Jeudy secured 54 receptions for 758 receiving yards in the 2023 season with the Broncos. Despite his yardage production, Jeudy struggled to find the end zone, recording only two touchdowns throughout the year. His fantasy performance landed him as the WR50 overall, emphasizing the need for improved quarterback play in his first season with the Browns to elevate his fantasy value beyond the WR3 tier. Based on the contract Jeudy signed - 3-years and $52.5 million - it's his job to lose as the WR2 versus Elijah Moore.
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59.
Josh Downs
IND (vs . JAC)
Josh Downs had a promising rookie season with the Colts, showcasing his skills with 68 receptions and 771 receiving yards. Despite his strong performance, Downs struggled to find the end zone, recording only two touchdowns. However, his production dipped after sustaining a knee injury, impacting his performance in the latter part of the season. Nonetheless, Downs displayed potential from Weeks 1-8, leading the Colts in yards per route run and maintaining a solid 19% target share.
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60.
Jahan Dotson
WAS (at DAL)
Jahan Dotson's 2023 season was disappointing after a promising rookie campaign, characterized by inefficiency in a pass-heavy Commanders offense. However, Curtis Samuel's departure to the Bills opens up opportunities for Dotson to rebound in Year 3. Despite his struggles, Dotson showed flashes of potential in games where Samuel was absent or limited, posting strong numbers. With the Commanders' passing game relying heavily on volume over efficiency, Dotson, along with teammate Terry McLaurin, will depend on improved quarterback play from Jayden Daniels to elevate their fantasy value. Dotson's red-zone involvement in 2023 signals his potential for increased scoring opportunities with better quarterback performance.
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61.
Joshua Palmer
LAC (at LV)
Joshua Palmer emerged as a significant contributor for the Chargers last season, especially when Mike Williams and Keenan Allen were sidelined. His performance, particularly in games without Williams, showcased his potential, averaging 10.6 fantasy points per game. Even in the absence of both WRs and QB1 Justin Herbert, Palmer maintained a strong target share and production, averaging 11.5 points per game. While the Chargers are likely to draft a wide receiver, Palmer remains a solid in-house option.
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62.
Khalil Shakir
BUF (at NE)
Khalil Shakir concluded his second season on a high note, shining in the absence of Gabe Davis with impressive performances. Over the last three games, he caught 16 of 17 targets for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns, showcasing his reliability and big-play ability. Shakir topped the NFL in catch rate (88%) and generated the highest passer rating (141.5), while leading the Bills in receiving EPA and ranking 16th overall in the league. Despite earning a larger role in the offense for 2024, he faces competition for targets from second-round rookie Keon Coleman and veteran slot WR Curtis Samuel.
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63.
Adonai Mitchell
IND (vs . JAC)
Adonai Mitchell had a standout season with the Texas Longhorns, achieving a 32% dominator rating with 11 touchdowns from 55 receptions. Standing at 6'2" and weighing 205 pounds, his physique is well-suited for an outside receiver role. While he boasts the physical tools and deep threat potential akin to D.J. Chark Jr. or Alec Pierce, Mitchell enters a situation where he may play third fiddle behind Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs. This could limit his weekly fantasy production, although his knack for big plays makes him a worthy consideration in best-ball formats, offering occasional high-scoring outings.
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64.
Adam Thielen
CAR (at ATL)
Adam Thielen's 2023 season provided the full-body experience of an older veteran WR with zero competition for targets. He started out of the gates red hot, as the WR11 overall through 11 weeks, scoring fantasy points per game at a top-15 rate at 13.7. But alas the 33-year-old could not continue his production with shoddy QB play from his rookie QB. WR51 from Weeks 12-18. Woof. With 103 receptions (10th) on 137 targets (25% target share, 14th), Thielen racked up 1,014 receiving yards, averaging 9.8 yards per reception, and notched 4 touchdown receptions running the 5th-most routes in the NFL. He ended the season with a 10.6 points per game average, securing him as the 25th overall wide receiver in half-PPR scoring. WR31 per game. He's under contract until 2026 and will be entering the offseason as the Panthers' No. 1 WR until they add more WRs in the draft/free agency - the latter of which will likely happen based on the Panthers' interest before this past year's trade deadline.
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65.
Quentin Johnston
LAC (at LV)
Quentin Johnston's rookie season left much to be desired, with disappointing production. Despite the Chargers' offseason moves opening up opportunities, including the departure of key receivers, Johnston failed to capitalize on his chances. With Ladd McConkey drafted early, Johnston's future role in the offense becomes uncertain. While it may be premature to label him a bust after just one season, his lack of impact in Year 1 (61st among 63 qualifying WRs in yards per route run) raises red flags for his fantasy value moving forward.
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66.
Michael Wilson
ARI (vs . SF)
The highlight of Week 18? Rookie Michael Wilson.
6 targets (21% target share) and 6 receptions for 95 yards. 68 air yards and 40% air yards share. The rookie posted a very under-the-radar campaign as a highly involved Cardinals WR. He ran a route on 80% of the dropbacks (35th among all WRs) which locks him into a full-time role in this offense next season, as long as he can fend off Zay Jones. Wilson also finished his season on a high note, averaging 15.5 points per game after his last two contests with Marquise Brown out. |
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67.
Marvin Mims Jr.
DEN (vs . KC)
Marvin Mims Jr., the second-year wideout for the Broncos, stands to benefit from the departure of Jerry Jeudy, which opens up more playing time and opportunities for him in the offense. Despite limited playing time in his rookie year, Mims showed flashes of potential, including a couple of impressive performances early in the season. However, his development was hindered by redundancy in roles with Jeudy and depth at the WR position. While there's optimism for Mims to step up in his 2nd season, the recent drafting of Troy Franklin with an overlapping skillset could potentially complicate his path to a significant role in the offense.
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68.
Dontayvion Wicks
GB (vs . CHI)
Dontayvion Wicks made significant contributions to the Packers' offense during Christian Watson's absence, showcasing his big-play ability and reliability as a target. With 39 receptions for 581 yards and 5 touchdowns, Wicks demonstrated his potential to be a valuable asset in the passing game. Despite being a fifth-round rookie, he ranked among the top rookies in yards per route run, hinting at his promising future in an offense led by Jordan Love. As a deep sleeper, Wicks has the opportunity to emerge as a key playmaker in the Packers' ascending offense.
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69.
Rashod Bateman
BAL (vs . CLE)
The Baltimore Ravens signed wide receiver Rashod Bateman to a 2-year contract through the 2026 season. Ravens OC Todd Monken says he's seen "tremendous growth" from WR Bateman and expects him to receive the ball a lot this season per Ryan Mink, Editorial Director for the Ravens.
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70.
DeMario Douglas
NE (vs . BUF)
Demario Douglas emerged as a surprise contributor for the Patriots in 2023, showcasing his playmaking ability despite failing to find the end zone. Leading the team with 561 receiving yards without a touchdown, he demonstrated consistent involvement in the passing game with an 18% target share. From Week 7 onwards, Douglas maintained a significant role, posting a 21% target share and earning praise for his performance. However, the Patriots' decision to draft two wide receivers this year introduces competition, potentially impacting Douglas's role in the offense moving forward.
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71.
Xavier Legette
CAR (at ATL)
Xavier Legette, a standout receiver from South Carolina, showcased his skills with exceptional performances, notably in his super senior year. At 6'3" and 227 lbs, his size and athleticism make him ideal for an outside receiver role. With strong hands and the ability to secure catches in traffic, he's reliable even without relying on his body. Despite concerns about consistency as a one-year wonder entering the NFL at 23, his physical traits resemble players like D.K. Metcalf, hinting at his potential. Drafted in the first round by the Carolina Panthers, his success may hinge on how well he's utilized in their scheme under new HC Dave Canales.
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72.
Ricky Pearsall
SF (at ARI)
Ricky Pearsall showcased his talent at Arizona State and Florida, culminating in a 25% dominator rating in his final college season with 963 receiving yards. At the NFL Combine, he impressed with a 4.41-second 40-yard dash and a 42-inch vertical, highlighting his athleticism. Drafted in the first round, Pearsall's polished route-running and reliable hands make him NFL-ready, though his ceiling may be capped by the depth of his team's receiving corps, particularly if teammates like Samuel and Aiyuk maintain significant roles in the offense.
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73.
Elijah Moore
CLE (at BAL)
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74.
Darnell Mooney
ATL (vs . CAR)
Darnell Mooney's potential as a FA steal in the upcoming season is evident despite a challenging and injury-marred previous campaign. His track record of commanding a significant target share of 27%, especially during his standout performances in 2021-2022, underscores his ability to thrive in an offense. With a clear path to the WR2 role in Atlanta's receiving corps, Mooney could emerge as a valuable asset, particularly in a case of an injury. Coupled with his impressive yards after the catch per reception, Mooney's presence adds depth and reliability to the upgraded Falcons' passing game.
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75.
Ja'Lynn Polk
NE (vs . BUF)
After overcoming an injury in his sophomore year, Ja'Lynn Polk delivered a stellar senior season with 69 receptions for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns. Known for his quickness, strong hands, and excellent body control, Polk consistently makes difficult catches in traffic, showcasing his well-rounded skills. Drawing comparisons to NFL players like Mohamed Sanu, Tyler Boyd, and Joshua Palmer, Polk is considered a safe, reliable receiver. Selected in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft by the Patriots, he is poised to become a dependable part of their passing game.
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76.
Troy Franklin
DEN (vs . KC)
Troy Franklin capped his junior year at Oregon with nearly 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns, showcasing his deep-threat capabilities with a 29% dominator rating. Despite concerns about his slender frame at 6-foot-3 and 183 lbs, his rumored 4.35-second 40-yard dash underscores his potential as a top-tier receiver and early breakout age. Drafted early in Round 4 by the Broncos after a disappointing combine, Franklin finds a favorable situation under Sean Payton, who has a history of trading up for wide receivers. Positioned to play the "Z" role previously held by Jerry Jeudy, Franklin's existing chemistry with Broncos QB Bo Nix, his former college teammate, could enhance his opportunity to make an immediate impact.
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77.
Wan'Dale Robinson
NYG (at PHI)
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78.
Jalin Hyatt
NYG (at PHI)
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79.
Roman Wilson
PIT (vs . CIN)
Roman Wilson showed promise with 48 receptions for 789 yards and 12 touchdowns in his standout senior year at Michigan (37% dominator, 6th-highest in the class). However, concerns arise due to his late breakout age at 22 and limited overall production. With the Steelers likely maintaining a run-heavy offense under OC Arthur Smith and Wilson's role as a deep threat in college, the 2024 third-round draft pick's fantasy impact could be limited despite Pittsburgh's history of success with mid-round WR selections.
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80.
Jermaine Burton
CIN (at PIT)
Jermaine Burton emerged as a standout receiver during his senior year at Alabama, boasting a 30% dominator rating and showcasing his dynamic playmaking abilities. His time at Georgia also demonstrated his talent, despite facing competition for targets. Notably, Burton's deep-threat capability was highlighted by his high average depth of target (aDOT) and impressive efficiency (zero recorded drops in 2023) making him a promising prospect for the Bengals after being drafted in the third round. While concerns exist regarding occasional off-field issues, Burton's potential impact in Cincinnati's passing game could be significant, especially given the uncertainty surrounding Tee Higgins' future with the team.
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81.
Darius Slayton
NYG (at PHI)
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82.
Malachi Corley
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Malachi Corley demonstrated consistent productivity at Western Kentucky, particularly excelling in creating yards after the catch. Despite his smaller stature, his thick frame allowed him to navigate through defenses effectively. However, concerns arise regarding his play style being more akin to a running back than a traditional receiver. Coupled with doubts about the Jets' offensive creativity, Corley's potential may be limited in their system. Despite being a third-round pick, I'd exercise caution in investing in him for fantasy purposes.
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83.
Javon Baker
NE (vs . BUF)
Javon Baker's path to the NFL took a significant turn when he transferred from Alabama to UCF, where he excelled with impressive dominator ratings in his final two seasons. Standing at 6-foot-1 and 202 pounds, Baker's skill set as a big-play threat was evident, highlighted by his high average yards per reception and yards after catch ability. Often compared to DeVonta Smith, Baker brings added size and route-running prowess to the table. Drafted by the Patriots in the fourth round, he joins a team with a relatively thin receiver depth chart, offering him ample opportunity to shine. Despite being chosen after Ja'Lynn Polk, Baker's consistent ability to make plays downfield suggests a high ceiling and the potential to emerge as a key figure in New England's passing game.
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84.
Treylon Burks
TEN (vs . HOU)
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85.
Demarcus Robinson
LAR (vs . SEA)
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86.
Kendrick Bourne
NE (vs . BUF)
The Patriots re-signed Kendrick Bourne to a 3-year, $19.5 million contract. He will be 29 years old in 2024, coming off a Week 8 torn ACL injury. Before his injury, Bourne was the fantasy WR28 averaging 10.2 points per game in half-PPR (38th). Led the Patriots with a 19.4% target share with a 28% air yards share. He will likely be in the starter's chair until a rookie or younger WR usurps him on the depth chart.
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87.
Devontez Walker
BAL (vs . CLE)
Devontez Walker's college career showcased his explosiveness and knack for making big plays, especially evident in his remarkable dominator rating at Kent State. Despite his impressive physical attributes and speed, Walker's limitations in generating yards after the catch are notable. Drawing comparisons to Marvin Jones, he presents significant upside but also carries a boom-or-bust label, highly dependent on his landing spot for optimal performance. Joining the Ravens in the fourth round offers him the opportunity to work with Lamar Jackson, but he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps led by Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Walker's success in the NFL may hinge on his ability to carve out a role in a balanced offensive scheme.
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88.
Jalen McMillan
TB (vs . NO)
Jalen McMillan's trajectory from his breakout season at Washington to his selection by the Buccaneers in the third round underscores his potential as a promising NFL receiver. Despite facing challenges like injuries and reduced opportunities in his final collegiate year, McMillan's strong route-running skills and experience in the slot position position him well for success at the professional level. He led the Washington Huskies in targets and catches in 2022 despite playing with future 1st and 2nd round picks.
With a clear path to the WR3 role in Tampa Bay's offense and the possibility of further advancement to WR2 in the coming seasons, McMillan's combination of talent and opportunity could make him a valuable asset. |
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89.
Jonathan Mingo
CAR (at ATL)
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90.
Tyler Boyd
TEN (vs . HOU)
Tyler Boyd had 67 receptions on 98 targets, totaling 667 receiving yards at an average of 10 yards per catch, with a long catch of 64 yards. Boyd found the end zone twice. Over 17 games, Boyd earned 112.3 fantasy points, averaging 6.6 points per game as the WR64 in points per game. He will likely be a nice depth piece for the Titans in 2024, and possibly provide some early in-season production as he turns 30 years old.
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91.
Zay Jones
ARI (vs . SF)
Zay Jones' 2023 season was marred by injuries, limiting his impact to just 34 receptions for 321 yards and 2 touchdowns in 9 games. Despite the challenges, his performance in the final four games hinted at his potential when healthy, averaging 8 fantasy points and just south of 10 targets/game. His signing with the Arizona Cardinals after being released presents a fresh opportunity, and if he can maintain his health, he could become a valuable asset in their offense as No. 3 option.
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92.
A.T. Perry
NO (at TB)
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93.
Rondale Moore
ATL (vs . CAR)
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94.
Jacob Cowing
SF (at ARI)
Jacob Cowing, though lacking in size at under 5-foot-9 and 168 pounds, compensates with exceptional speed, agility, and precise route-running, making him a constant threat on the field. With a career dominator rating of 32%, Cowing's dominance at Arizona and UTEP is undeniable, highlighted by elite single-season marks of 42% and 41% in 2020 and 2021 respectively. Despite concerns about his size, his senior year showcased his ability to stretch the field and create after the catch, amassing 89 receptions for 868 yards and 13 touchdowns. While a Senior Bowl injury may have dampened his stock, Cowing's K.J. Hamler-esque profile and sub-4.4 speed make him an intriguing prospect, particularly in a Kyle Shanahan-style offense like the one in San Francisco, where undersized receivers have thrived before.
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95.
Brenden Rice
LAC (at LV)
Brenden Rice brings a compelling combination of size, athleticism, and football pedigree to the wide receiver position, standing out with his 6'3" frame and impressive physical presence. While his collegiate journey included a breakout season at Colorado and a productive senior year at USC, his final season dominator rating fell slightly below expectations. Nevertheless, Rice's ability to make an impact in the red zone and his proficiency in catching touchdowns highlight his potential as a scoring threat at the next level. His comparison to Josh Palmer underscores the importance of his quarterback and offensive situation in maximizing his impact on the field. Joining the Chargers in the seventh round presents Rice with an opportunity to continue his development and carve out a role in their offense.
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96.
Odell Beckham Jr.
MIA (at NYJ)
Odell Beckham Jr.'s tenure with the Ravens in 2023 didn't meet expectations, but he showed flashes of his former self, particularly in the second half of the season. Despite turning 31, he maintained his ability as a deep threat, ranking highly in average depth of target and PFF receiving grade. His signing with the Dolphins on a one-year deal provides him with a fresh start and the opportunity to contribute in a potentially more favorable offensive environment. While he may not be the fantasy star he once was, he still holds value as a matchup-dependent option or in case of injuries to Miami's receiving corps.
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97.
Alec Pierce
IND (vs . JAC)
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98.
K.J. Osborn
NE (vs . BUF)
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99.
Trey Palmer
TB (vs . NO)
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100.
Josh Reynolds
DEN (vs . KC)
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101.
Cedric Tillman
CLE (at BAL)
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102.
DJ Chark Jr.
LAC (at LV)
The 27-year-old is hitting free agency (again) after playing a complimentary role with the Panthers in 2023. Chark caught a long pass that was initially ruled a TD in Week 18, but it was overturned to a fumble through the end zone. Woof. He is a free agent in 2024 and will likely land on a new team as a complimentary deep threat who misses games with injuries.
Chark was the WR58 overall in 2023, averaging 6.5 points per game (65th). He led the Panthers in TDs (5) and posted over 1,000 air yards on a team-high 31% air yards share (33rd). No player had more air yards with fewer targets (66) than Chark despite two missed games. D.J. Chark signed with the Chargers after the NFL Draft to a one-year deal worth $5 million. |
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103.
Andrei Iosivas
CIN (at PIT)
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104.
Michael Gallup
LV (vs . LAC)
Signed with the Raiders in free agency after being released by the Dallas Cowboys.
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105.
Kadarius Toney
KC (at DEN)
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106.
Michael Thomas
FA (BYE)
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107.
Noah Brown
HOU (at TEN)
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108.
Robert Woods
HOU (at TEN)
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109.
Tyler Scott
CHI (at GB)
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110.
DeVante Parker
FA (BYE)
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111.
Luke McCaffrey
WAS (at DAL)
Luke McCaffrey's transition from QB to WR has been met with optimism, particularly given his impressive draft position in the third round by the Washington Commanders. Despite his relatively short time playing WR, McCaffrey's elite athletic pedigree and notable collegiate performance at Rice, where he commanded a 30% target share, suggest he could emerge as a valuable asset in Kliff Kingsbury's offense from the slot. While caution is often warranted with receivers drafted ahead of consensus rankings, McCaffrey's Day 2 draft capital should warrant attention from fantasy managers, especially given the potential opportunity in Washington's offense.
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112.
Hunter Renfrow
FA (BYE)
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113.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
BUF (at NE)
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114.
Tutu Atwell
LAR (vs . SEA)
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115.
Allen Lazard
NYJ (vs . MIA)
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116.
Greg Dortch
ARI (vs . SF)
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117.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
NE (vs . BUF)
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118.
Malik Washington
MIA (at NYJ)
Malik Washington's collegiate success at Virginia, highlighted by a dominant 47% dominator rating and nearly 1,400 receiving yards, translated well to the NFL Combine, where he showcased exceptional athleticism, with his remarkable 42.5-inch vertical jump. Despite his smaller stature, Washington's abilities as a YAC specialist make him a valuable addition to the Dolphins' offense, especially alongside playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. With Coach Mike McDaniel's evident enthusiasm for Washington's potential, coupled with the opportunity afforded by Miami's offensive scheme and quarterback talent, Washington could outperform expectations as a Day 3 pick.
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119.
Skyy Moore
KC (at DEN)
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120.
John Metchie III
HOU (at TEN)
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121.
Jalen Tolbert
DAL (vs . WAS)
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122.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
DET (vs . MIN)
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123.
Nelson Agholor
BAL (vs . CLE)
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124.
Tre Tucker
LV (vs . LAC)
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125.
Bo Melton
GB (vs . CHI)
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126.
Jauan Jennings
SF (at ARI)
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127.
Johnny Wilson
PHI (vs . NYG)
Johnny Wilson brings a unique blend of size and athleticism to the wide receiver position, standing out with his imposing 6'6" frame. While he faced challenges with a late breakout age and a dip in production in his final collegiate season, his standout performances at Florida State underscore his potential as a red zone threat and contested catch specialist. Wilson's ability to exceed expectations in terms of target rate highlights his impact on the field, despite any statistical fluctuations. The interest from NFL teams in potentially transitioning him to tight end adds another dimension to his potential role at the next level, offering fantasy managers additional flexibility in their roster considerations. Joining the Eagles in the sixth round presents an opportunity for Wilson to further develop and carve out a niche in Philadelphia's offense.
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128.
Justin Watson
KC (at DEN)
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129.
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU (at TEN)
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130.
Calvin Austin III
PIT (vs . CIN)
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131.
Kalif Raymond
DET (vs . MIN)
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132.
Tim Patrick
DEN (vs . KC)
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133.
Ainias Smith
PHI (vs . NYG)
Ainias Smith emerged as a versatile playmaker for the Aggies, showcasing his skills both as a receiver and running back. Despite a setback in 2022 due to injury and off-field issues, he rebounded in his final season with impressive receiving yardage and punt return ability. While not the fastest, his dynamic open-field prowess and versatility make him an intriguing prospect, especially for teams like the Philadelphia Eagles, who have shown interest in him during the pre-draft process. If Smith can put his red flags behind him, he has the potential to contribute early on, possibly even cracking the starting lineup in Philadelphia's receiver corps.
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134.
Parker Washington
JAC (at IND)
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135.
Van Jefferson
PIT (vs . CIN)
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136.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
TEN (vs . HOU)
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137.
Mack Hollins
BUF (at NE)
Mack Hollins is entering his age 31 season (wait what) and signed with the Buffalo Bills this offseason, presumably to operate as a field-stretcher and downfield blocker. Our new cardio king.
Hollins has only had one productive season in the NFL (2022 with the Raiders as the fantasy WR41) when finished 10th in routes run per dropbacks (93%) and commanded 1,153 air yards as the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver. The journeyman new landing spot will likely be completely overlooked by fantasy managers, but a WR running a route on 90% or more of Josh Allen's dropbacks (the Gabe Davis role) is pretty tantalizing, especially at a free price tag. Just don't get carried away with Hollins as anything more than a depth fantasy WR4/5 a best. Worth an addition in deeper WR formats. |
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138.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
NO (at TB)
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139.
Jamari Thrash
CLE (at BAL)
Jamari Thrash's college career boasted impressive production, highlighted by his standout seasons at both Georgia State and Louisville. His ability to consistently produce at a high level, even after transferring to a higher level of competition, speaks to his maturity and readiness for the NFL. Thrash's agility and skill in gaining yards after the catch stand out as key strengths, evidenced by his rankings in YAC/reception and broken tackle rate. However, his vertical game and route consistency are areas that may need refinement at the next level. Joining the Browns in the fifth round offers him an opportunity to further develop under NFL coaching while competing for a role in their receiving corps.
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140.
Charlie Jones
CIN (at PIT)
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141.
Tyquan Thornton
NE (vs . BUF)
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142.
Xavier Gipson
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
143.
David Bell
CLE (at BAL)
|
|
144.
Isaiah Hodgins
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
145.
Brandon Powell
MIN (at DET)
|
|
146.
Quez Watkins
PIT (vs . CIN)
|
|
147.
Chris Moore
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
148.
Kyle Philips
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
149.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
CAR (at ATL)
|
|
150.
Braxton Berrios
MIA (at NYJ)
|
|
151.
Jamison Crowder
WAS (at DAL)
|
|
152.
Chase Claypool
BUF (at NE)
|
|
153.
Trenton Irwin
CIN (at PIT)
|
|
154.
Isaiah McKenzie
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
155.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
156.
Emeka Egbuka
FA (BYE)
|
|
157.
Parris Campbell
PHI (vs . NYG)
|
|
|
158.
Justyn Ross
KC (at DEN)
|
|
|
159.
Jha'Quan Jackson
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
160.
Dyami Brown
WAS (at DAL)
|
|
|
161.
Bub Means
NO (at TB)
|
|
162.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
MIN (at DET)
|
|
163.
Allen Robinson II
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
164.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WAS (at DAL)
|
|
|
165.
Ryan Flournoy
DAL (vs . WAS)
|
|
166.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN (vs . KC)
|
|
|
167.
Josh Crockett
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
168.
KaVontae Turpin
DAL (vs . WAS)
|
|
169.
Derius Davis
LAC (at LV)
|
|
|
170.
Tahj Washington
MIA (at NYJ)
Tahj Washington caught 13 of his 15 deep targets in 2023 (87%). Perfect passer rating generated on deep targets from Caleb Williams.
Broke out at an early age in 2020 at Memphis while competing for targets with Calvin Austin III, before transferring to USC the last three seasons. 5-foot-10 and 174 pounds, he is definitely on the smaller side of this WR class. Posted his most productive season this past year, with over 1,000 yards and 8 TDs (23% dominator rating). Counting stats were not elite, but he was absurdly efficient. Exceptional route runner, slot player and useful after the catch. Second in the class in both YAC/reception and broken missed tackle per reception. He was drafted by the Dolphins in Round 7. |
|
|
171.
Jordan Whittington
LAR (vs . SEA)
|
|
172.
Jake Bobo
SEA (at LAR)
|
|
|
173.
Anthony Gould
IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
|
174.
Cornelius Johnson
LAC (at LV)
|
|
175.
Jalen Guyton
LV (vs . LAC)
|
|
176.
Deonte Harty
BAL (vs . CLE)
|
|
177.
Jason Brownlee
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
178.
Devin Duvernay
JAC (at IND)
|
|
179.
Brandon Johnson
DEN (vs . KC)
|
|
|
180.
Xavier Weaver
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
181.
Malik Heath
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
182.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
SEA (at LAR)
|
|
183.
Jamal Agnew
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
184.
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint
WAS (at DAL)
|
|
|
185.
Isaiah Williams
DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
186.
Richie James Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
187.
Kayshon Boutte
NE (vs . BUF)
|
|
188.
Ronnie Bell
SF (at ARI)
|
|
189.
David Moore
CAR (at ATL)
|
|
|
190.
Isaiah Williams
FA (BYE)
|
|
191.
Sterling Shepard
FA (BYE)
|
|
192.
Deven Thompkins
TB (vs . NO)
|
|
193.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
CAR (at ATL)
|
|
194.
River Cracraft
MIA (at NYJ)
|
|
195.
Erik Ezukanma
MIA (at NYJ)
|
|
196.
Russell Gage
FA (BYE)
|
|
197.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
198.
KhaDarel Hodge
ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
199.
Julio Jones
FA (BYE)
|
|
200.
Jalen Nailor
MIN (at DET)
|
|
|
201.
J. Michael Sturdivant
FA (BYE)
|
|
202.
Scotty Miller
PIT (vs . CIN)
|
|
|
203.
Rakim Jarrett
TB (vs . NO)
|
|
|
204.
Jaxon Janke
HOU (at TEN)
|
|
205.
Samori Toure
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
206.
Lawrence Cager
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
207.
Marvin Jones Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
208.
Tyler Davis
FA (BYE)
|
|
209.
Tre'Quan Smith
DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
210.
Mike Strachan
CAR (at ATL)
|
|
211.
Alex Erickson
FA (BYE)
|
|
212.
Denzel Mims
PIT (vs . CIN)
|
|
|
213.
Casey Washington
ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
|
214.
Tejhaun Palmer
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
215.
Reggie Begelton
FA (BYE)
|
|
216.
Jalen Reagor
NE (vs . BUF)
|
|
217.
Equanimeous St. Brown
NO (at TB)
|
|
|
218.
De'Corian Clark
FA (BYE)
|
|
219.
Ben Skowronek
HOU (at TEN)
|
|
220.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
NO (at TB)
|
|
221.
Justin Shorter
BUF (at NE)
|
|
|
222.
Ty James
MIN (at DET)
|
|
|
223.
Devron Harper
MIN (at DET)
|
|
224.
Keith Kirkwood
FA (BYE)
|
|
225.
Robbie Chosen
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
226.
Mason Tipton
NO (at TB)
|
|
227.
N'Keal Harry
MIN (at DET)
|
|
228.
KJ Hamler
BUF (at NE)
|
|
229.
Simi Fehoko
LAC (at LV)
|
|
230.
Velus Jones Jr.
CHI (at GB)
|
|
231.
Marquise Goodwin
FA (BYE)
|
|
232.
DeAndre Carter
FA (BYE)
|
|
233.
Randall Cobb
FA (BYE)
|
|
234.
Byron Pringle
FA (BYE)
|
|
235.
Tim Jones
JAC (at IND)
|
|
236.
Trishton Jackson
MIN (at DET)
|
|
237.
Zach Pascal
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
238.
Marquez Callaway
PIT (vs . CIN)
|
|
239.
Bisi Johnson
FA (BYE)
|
|
240.
Martavis Bryant
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
241.
Jeff Foreman
LV (vs . LAC)
|
|
242.
Quintez Cephus
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
243.
Devaughn Vele
DEN (vs . KC)
|
|
244.
Jarvis Landry
FA (BYE)
|
|
245.
D.J. Montgomery
IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
|
246.
Tory Horton
FA (BYE)
|
|
247.
Tyre Brady
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
248.
Theo Wease
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
249.
Jalen Brooks
DAL (vs . WAS)
|
|
250.
Dee Eskridge
SEA (at LAR)
|
|
251.
Collin Johnson
CHI (at GB)
|
|
252.
Austin Trammell
LAR (vs . SEA)
|
|
|
253.
Ramel Keyton
LV (vs . LAC)
|
|
254.
Tylan Wallace
BAL (vs . CLE)
|
|
255.
Steven Sims Jr.
HOU (at TEN)
|
|
256.
Elijah Cooks
JAC (at IND)
|
|
257.
Miles Boykin
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
258.
Willie Snead IV
SF (at ARI)
|
|
259.
Lance McCutcheon
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
260.
Stanley Morgan Jr.
NO (at TB)
|
|
261.
Malik Taylor
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
262.
Cody Thompson
SEA (at LAR)
|
|
263.
Britain Covey
PHI (vs . NYG)
|
|
264.
Kwamie Lassiter II
CIN (at PIT)
|
|
265.
Mason Kinsey
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
266.
Gunner Olszewski
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
267.
Andy Isabella
BUF (at NE)
|
|
268.
Colton Dowell
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
269.
Phillip Dorsett II
DEN (vs . KC)
|
|
270.
Antoine Green
DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
271.
Kaden Davis
DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
272.
Juwann Winfree
IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
273.
Daniel Arias
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
274.
Trent Taylor
SF (at ARI)
|
|
275.
Jeff Cotton Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
276.
Penny Hart
FA (BYE)
|
|
277.
Anthony Miller
FA (BYE)
|
|
278.
Damiere Byrd
WAS (at DAL)
|
|
279.
Irvin Charles
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
280.
Danny Gray
SF (at ARI)
|
