The Bills tight end was a major disappointment in his second season, finishing as the TE29 in 13 games played. He showed virtually no weekly ceiling with just a 15% top-12 finisher rate as the TE26 in points per game (5.6) - although he left production on the table as the TE16 in expected points per game (9.0).
The usage was middling as Kincaid ran a route on just 57.5% of the dropbacks - outside the top 24 at the position. His saving grace was he was hyper-targeted at a 26% clip - the fifth-highest mark at the position among TEs with at least 150 routes run.
Kincaid was also hurt throughout the season (reportedly playing through a torn PCL), which is likely the best justification for his sophomore slump as noted by head coach Sean McDermott in some of his recent pressers. Kincaid is also hardly the first young tight end to not it within his first two seasons.
With better health and Josh Allen at the helm, the Year 3 tight end could be a major fantasy steal in 2025.