Bo Nix

The 24-year-old QB went through a full metamorphosis the last two years at Oregon after starting his long college career (NCAA record of 61 starts) at Auburn in 2019.
This past season Bo Nix set the record for the highest completion rate at 77.5%, breaking Mac Jones' record. However, a lot of this is based on the offense he played, given his average depth of target ranked 5th-lowest in the nation (6.8). A quick release - under 2.5 seconds to throw - helped Nix tie Michael Penix for one of the lowest pressure-to-sack rates in the 2024 QB class (7.6%).
The obvious concerns with Nix are his age, and how much more his game can improve when the competition level increases. Again, it's easy to be good when you have years of experience over all the defenses you are facing.
He offers only a little bit of rushing - 33 rushing yards per game in college. It's possible Nix can have moments in an offense like the Denver Broncos, but relying on him to deliver for an entire NFL season is a pipe dream. Sean Payton selected him 12th overall as the fifth QB off the boar in the 2024 NFL Draft.

The Broncos are hoping Nix can stabilize their QB situation after spending the No. 12 overall draft pick on the Oregon quarterback in April. As a five-year college starter, Nix enters the NFL with a wealth of playing experience, having made 61 starts over three seasons at Auburn and two at Oregon. Nix completed 74.9% of his throws at Oregon the last two years, with 74 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions. Nix is an accurate short passer but doesn't have a big arm. The hope for fantasy is that Nix can be a poor man's Drew Brees for Broncos head coach Sean Payton.

The Oregon offense was tailored to get the ball out of Nix's hands quickly. The backbone of the offense is based on screens and quick passing. Last year, Nix had the fourth-lowest aDOT, the ninth-lowest time to throw, and the ninth-highest screen rate while leading FBS in screen passing yards. This makes evaluating him for the NFL somewhat challenging. Some of these elements have bled into the NFL game, but Oregon had them ramped up to 11. Nix displays good mobility and accuracy while throwing on the run. He has good zip on short and intermediate passes, even when throwing off platform. He wasn't asked to go deep often, with only 10.9% of his attempts 20 or more yards downfield. Last year, 66.7% of his passing attempts were aimed within nine yards of the line of scrimmage, with also 27.0% of his attempts behind the line of scrimmage. He has the arm strength to make all of the throws, and while his ball placement on deep tosses is ok, it's not mind-melting. Nix stares down his first reads religiously. If his first read is covered, it becomes an adventure. In many instances, he will immediately go to his check-down option or scramble. Nix will drift and roll out from clean pockets at times. His processing and ability to navigate pressure in the NFL are big questions. Dynasty Outlook: I have been loudly lower than many on Bo Nix. The collegiate production is as close to fraudulent as you can get with screens and short passing flooding the stat sheet weekly last year for Nix. Now, with first-round draft capital beneath his wings, Nix has become this year's Kenny Pickett. This year's Mac Jones. The newest meh-level pocket passing quarterback that Dynasty GMs will talk themselves into as a "process pick." While I don't disagree with the "process" because we know that Nix will start in 2024 and thus accrue fantasy points, the question is what is his ceiling and if he is truly the uninspiring player that I believe him to be the follow-up question is how long will he hold the starting job in Denver? It's not hard to make the case that much like Kenny Pickett, a quarterback-needy NFL franchise just made the "best" or, should I say, the only choice they felt they could address their QB need. I have been adamant that Nix has not been a first-round worthy prospect, and despite Denver pulling the trigger at 12th overall, I remain steadfast in that belief. If he falls into the second round of Superflex rookie drafts and you are starving for quarterbacks on your roster, I understand why GMs will make the selection, but in most instances, I will take my shots on other skill players in rookie drafts over Nix.