Michael Penix Jr. Week 16 Outlook - Giants at Falcons

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 19th 2024, 1:05pm EST

The most substantial sample we have for Penix Jr. in the NFL has been his 16 preseason dropbacks, where he had a 6.3% big-time throw rate, an 8.6 aDOT, and a 56.3% adjusted completion rate. Even that is too small to really pull anything substantial from. During his final collegiate season, among 144 qualifying FBS passers, Penix Jr. was impressive, ranking 18th in yards per attempt, tenth in big-time throw rate, 27th in aDOT, and 39th in adjusted completion rate. The strong-armed rookie isn't afraid of chucking it deep, as he led all FBS quarterbacks last year in deep passing attempts. This is a great matchup to ease Penix Jr. into the starting role. Since Week 10, New York has allowed the seventh-most yards per attempt, the second-highest passer rating, and the 12th-highest CPOE. Across their last five games, this secondary has continually been gutted by deep passing, allowing the third-highest passer rating and CPOE to deep passing.