Alec Pierce Week 13 Outlook - Colts at Patriots

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Fri, Nov 29th 2024, 7:05pm EST

Pierce is dealing with a foot issue. He didn't practice until Friday of this week, when he logged a full session. He has been listed as questionable for Week 13. Since Week 8, New England has leaned more toward two-high heavy, utilizing the coverage with at least 47.2% or higher of their defensive snaps. In Week 10, they deployed single high with 82.9% of their snaps, but that looks like an anomaly. If we exclude Week 10 from the sample, since Week 8, New England has utilized two-high with 52.2% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Pierce has had only a 17% TPRR, but he also has 2.26 YPRR against two high. Like Mitchell, his field-stretching role in the offense hasn't been conducive to drawing targets against two high coverage. Among 94 qualifying receivers, he ranks 22nd in separation and 27th in route win rate against two high. Pierce should also be able to flaunt his field-stretching talents this week against New England. He leads all wide receivers in deep targets this season. He faces a secondary that, since Week 6, has allowed the tenth-most deep passing yards per game, the 12th-highest passer rating to deep passing, and the seventh-highest deep adjusted completion rate. Pierce is a strong flex play this week with big-time upside.