Gabe Davis Week 2 Outlook - Browns at Jaguars

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 12th 2024, 1:05pm EDT

Davis will also have to deal with Denzel Ward (2023: 51.5% catch rate and 77.3 passer rating) and Martin Emerson Jr. (2023: 49.3% catch rate and 53.3 passer rating) on about 73% of his routes, but I'll say between Davis and Thomas Jr. I'm a little higher on Davis this week. In Week 1, Davis had a 14.3% target share, a 27.3% air-yard share, 2.95 YPRR, and a 12.5% first-read share. In Week 1, the Browns utilized single-high at the highest rate in the NFL (85.7%). Last year against single-high (among 84 qualifying receivers), Davis was 26th in separation and 16th in route win rate. These numbers stand out. With Davis' 16.0 aDOT, his looks likely come downfield which hurts his outlook. Last year, Cleveland allowed the lowest passer rating and the third-lowest adjusted completion rate to deep passing. It's a mixed bag for Davis in Week 2, but I won't be surprised if he does haul in a deep target for a score.