Fantasy Football Insights

As our consensus #16 QB, Kirk Cousins is a reasonable choice for a late-round quarterback strategy. Cousins is projected to earn 22.3 of his 273 fantasy points by rushing. He doesn't have the rushing floor that some other quarterbacks have. With a projection of 9.1 interceptions compared to 27.4 passing touchdowns, Cousins isn't not likely to melt down often.

Trevor Lawrence is the consensus #17 QB, and as such isn't worth drafting in 1QB leagues. That rank makes him a fantasy starter in 2QB leagues, even if he's not an exciting one.Lawrence is projected to earn 54.0 of his 283 fantasy points by rushing. While rushing is in his toolbox, it's not enough to significantly help his floor. Projected for a 1.9 touchdown-to-interception ratio, Lawrence doesn't carry much interception risk.

Tank Dell is the WR3 for the Texans, trailing Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs. As the consensus #26 WR, you'll be able to depend on him each week. He is projected for 990 yards and 8.9 TDs on 71.0 receptions, for 22.0% of the workload for WRs on the Texans. Houston has the 7th-worst schedule for WRs. Dell is a good value at his ADP of 64 as the consensus #48 overall player.

As our #31 TE, Darren Waller is not worth drafting. Waller is projected to catch a solid 60.5 receptions for 668 yards and 2.8 touchdowns. Darren Waller isn't a great value at his ADP of 194, with an ECR of 249. The Giants have the 5th-worst tight end schedule.

Dortch is not a focus of the the Cardinals' offense as their WR4. At #118 in our WR rankings, he's not a real fantasy asset. Dortch is projected for 325 yards and 2.4 TDs on 30.2 receptions, which is 14.2% of the workload for Cardinals WRs. Arizona has the 7th-best wide receiver schedule.

As our consensus #15 QB, Caleb Williams is a reasonable starter, but not one worth spending an early draft pick on. Williams is expected to earn 19% of his projected 291 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it's not a major source of his fantasy value. With a projected toughdown-to-interception ratio of 1.9, he isn't not likely to melt down often.

At QB23, Geno Smith isn't worth owning in 1QB leagues. In 2QB leagues, he's a low-end starter. Smith is projected to earn 30.9 of his 255 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it isn't really key to his fantasy value. With a projection of 12.0 interceptions compared to 24.0 passing touchdowns, Smith isn't not likely to melt down often.

Jahmyr Gibbs is a fair value at his ADP of 13 as the consensus #13 overall player. With a projection of 11.4 carries and 3.6 catches per game, Gibbs will often be a fantasy starter, even if he's not an exciting one. He leads David Montgomery and Craig Reynolds on the Lions' depth chart. Detroit has the 19th-best running back schedule.

Drafting Amari Cooper is an easy choice at his ADP of 51, compared to an ECR of 37. Cooper is the top dog among wide receivers on the Browns, ahead of Jerry Jeudy and Elijah Moore. At #20 in our WR rankings, he's an every week starter. He's projected to catch 71.7 receptions for 1,119 yards and 6.2 TDs, which is 36.5% of the total for Browns WRs. The Browns have the 4th-best schedule for wide receivers.

Picking Elijah Moore at his ADP of 250 should be an easy decision, compared to an ECR of 188. Moore is the WR3 for the Browns, trailing Amari Cooper and Jerry Jeudy. At #71 in our WR rankings, he won't usually be a fantasy starter. He's projected for 547 yards and 2.8 TDs on 44.7 receptions, for 22.8% of the workload for WRs on the Browns. The Browns have the 4th-best wide receiver schedule.

As a top-9 TE, Evan Engram is a solid choice for your starting tight end. Engram is projected for a solid 761 yards and 4.0 TDs on 84.9 receptions. The market has Evan Engram correctly valued at an ADP of 77, compared to an overall ECR of 97. The Jaguars have the 6th-worst tight end schedule.

Drafting Derrick Henry is an easy choice at his ADP of 32 as the consensus #20 overall player. Projected to carry the ball 16.7 times and catch 1.7 passes per game, Henry has a strong workload that's hard for running backs to come by. He's the top dog among running backs on the Ravens, with Keaton Mitchell and Justice Hill behind him. The Ravens have the 8th-best schedule for running backs.

Samaje Perine is a fair value at his ADP of 219 as the consensus #274 overall player. At a projected workload of 4.2 carries and 2.1 receptions per game, Perine has limited potential. He has some competition on the Broncos' depth chart, where he trails both Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin. The Broncos have the 2nd-best running back schedule.

Projected to carry the ball 1.0 times and catch 0.2 passes per game, Isaiah Davis is safe to leave on the waiver wire. He has some competition on New York's depth chart in Breece Hall and Braelon Allen.

Atwell is the WR4 on the Rams. At #113 in our WR rankings, he's probably best left for the waiver wire. He's projected to catch 20.0 receptions for 269 yards and 1.4 TDs, which is 7.8% of the workload for Rams WRs. Los Angeles has the 16th-best wide receiver schedule.

Tolbert is the third best WR on the Cowboys, trailing CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks. At #123 in our WR rankings, he's only relevant in deep leagues. Tolbert is projected for 573 yards and 3.5 TDs on 43.2 receptions, which is 17.0% of the total for WRs on the Cowboys. Dallas has the 3rd-best wide receiver schedule.

Bo Melton is the WR5 on the Packers. As the consensus #124 WR, he's probably best left for the waiver wire. He's projected to catch 9.8 receptions for 114 yards and 0.8 TDs, which is 4.6% of the workload for Packers WRs. Green Bay has the best wide receiver schedule. Melton is correctly valued at his ADP of 298 as the consensus #365 overall player.

Ranked as QB1, Josh Allen can be a rare difference-maker at the position. Allen is expected to earn 32% of his projected 349 fantasy points by rushing. That level of involvement in the Bills' running game adds significant fantasy value. Projected for a 2.0 touchdown-to-interception ratio, he isn't not likely to melt down often.

Ranked as QB2, Jalen Hurts can be a rare difference-maker at the position. Hurts is expected to earn 35% of his projected 356 fantasy points by rushing. That level of involvement in the Eagles' running game adds significant fantasy value. With a projection of 14.1 interceptions compared to 25.8 passing touchdowns, Hurts is not the safest QB to run out each week.

At QB3, Patrick Mahomes II is a strong starger, but won't come particularly cheap with an ADP in the 3rd round. Mahomes is projected to earn 43.8 of his 328 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it's not a huge part of his gameplan. Projected for a 2.8 touchdown-to-interception ratio, he doesn't carry much interception risk.