Fantasy Football Player Notes

Michael Pittman Jr. showcased his alpha status in the Colts' offense, tallying 109 receptions for over 1,100 yards on 156 targets in 16 games, averaging 12.2 fantasy points per game. Despite limited touchdown production, Pittman Jr. commanded a 33% air yards share and a 30% target share, boasting a high floor. With potential for improved touchdown variance in 2024, especially if Anthony Richardson elevates the offense, Pittman Jr. stands to benefit. The addition of Adonai Mitchell in the draft could enhance the overall offensive output without significantly impacting Pittman's target share especially given the injury to Josh Downs.

Josh Downs had a promising rookie season with the Colts, showcasing his skills with 68 receptions and 771 receiving yards. Despite his strong performance, Downs struggled to find the end zone, recording only two touchdowns. However, his production dipped after sustaining a knee injury, impacting his performance in the latter part of the season. Nonetheless, Downs displayed potential from Weeks 1-8, leading the Colts in yards per route run and maintaining a solid 19% target share. Alas, Downs suffered an ankle injury in August which is expected to sideline him for up to 4 weeks, placing his Week 1 status in doubt.

Adonai Mitchell had a standout season with the Texas Longhorns, achieving a 32% dominator rating with 11 touchdowns from 55 receptions. Standing at 6'2" and weighing 205 pounds, his physique is well-suited for an outside receiver role. While he boasts the physical tools and deep threat potential akin to D.J. Chark Jr. or Alec Pierce, Mitchell enters a situation where he may play third fiddle behind Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs. This could limit his weekly fantasy production, although his knack for big plays makes him a worthy consideration in best-ball formats, offering occasional high-scoring outings. Downs' absence creates an opportunity for Mitchell to carve out a larger role in the slot.