Tyreek Hill Week 12 Outlook - Patriots at Dolphins

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Sat, Nov 23rd 2024, 3:05am EST

Everyone has choices to make in life. Some good and well, some not so good. We'll file the New England Patriots coaching staff's decision not to shadow Puka Nacua with Christian Gonzalez last week under not-so-good. In Week 5, Christian Gonzalez followed Tyreek Hill on 78% of his routes, limiting him to four receptions and 59 scoreless receiving yards. We'll see if they let Gonzalez shadow him or allow Hill to destroy them this week. That's also assuming that Gonzalez is active this week. He popped up on the injury report on Friday with a hip issue and has been listed as questionable. If Gonzalez is out, Hill could be off to the races. Since Tagovailoa's return, Hill has had a 20% target share, a 38.4% air-yard share, 2.03 YPRR, and a 25.6% first-read share. He has four end-zone targets across his last four games. If you have Hill, you're starting him weekly in nearly every instance. Since Week 6, New England has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game and the seventh-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.