Tyreek Hill Week 11 Outlook - Raiders at Dolphins

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Nov 14th 2024, 1:05pm EST

Ok, prepare yourself for this. Hill is the WR38 in fantasy points per game this season. He hasn't finished as a WR1 in weekly fantasy scoring since Week 1. I know there's a lot of context there that can be added. Since Week 8, even with Tagovailoa back, Hill has been the WR34 in fantasy points per game. In his four full games played with Tagovailoa this season, Hill has had a 22.1% target share, 2.66 YPRR, 74.5 receiving yards per game, and a 28% first-read share. Last week, with Hill playing at less than 100%, he had only a 14.3% target share, 0.59 YPRR, and a 17.6% first-read share. Hill still has the same ceiling weekly with his speed that he has always had, but the weekly floor has dropped for him, and the chances that he hits that ceiling weekly have been diminished. Hill has four red zone targets in his four full games, with Tagovailoa tossing him the ball. The Raiders have been solid against perimeter wide receivers, holding them to the third-fewest receiving yards per game and the second-fewest fantasy points per game.