Khalil Shakir Week 9 Outlook - Dolphins at Bills

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 31st 2024, 1:05pm EDT

Since Amari Cooper walked in the door, Shakir has finished as the WR18 and the WR10 in weekly fantasy scoring. In that two-game snippet, he has had a 23.9% target share, 3.07 YPRR, and a 30.4% first-read share. The big issue for Shakir hasn't been volume, as it has been high-leverage usage. He has seen only one deep target and three red zone targets, but I expect that to trend up if he remains this much of a focal point of the passing attack. Miami has flip-flopped between single high and two high all year (53.8% single high). Buffalo has faced the second-highest rate of single high this season (60.9%), so I'm projecting Miami to use single high this week to defend Buffalo. In their last meeting, Miami utilized single high on 60% of their defensive snaps. Against single high, leads the team in TPRR (26%) and first-read share (21.3%) while ranking second in YPRR (2.80). Miami has been more giving to slot receivers, allowing the ninth-highest passer rating when targeted and ranking 16th in fantasy points per game.