Zay Flowers Week 9 Outlook - Broncos at Ravens

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 31st 2024, 1:05pm EDT

Flowers is the WR26 in fantasy points per game, ranking 20th in deep targets among wide receivers. He has not seen a red zone target since Week 2, so his chances of scoring a touchdown weekly are slim. We'll see how much he is impacted by the addition of Diontae Johnson moving forward, but I'm more worried about him receiving shadow coverage from Patrick Surtain this week. Surtain hasn't shadowed since Week 4, but that doesn't mean he won't this week, especially considering how consolidated the Ravens target tree is. Surtain followed D.K. Metcalf, Mike Evans, George Pickens, and Garrett Wilson on 60.4%-95.8% of their routes. None of them surpassed 30 receiving yards in his primary coverage. Flowers has had a 25.3% target share, a 30.1% air-yard share, 2.21 YPRR, and a 30.4% first-read share. These market shares will be dented moving forward once Johnson is up to speed, but again, the bigger worry for his Week 9 outlook is Surtain. Denver has allowed the tenth-lowest fantasy points per game and the sixth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.