Bijan Robinson Week 5 Outlook - Buccaneers at Falcons

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 3rd 2024, 8:05pm EDT

Robinson has been disappointing thus far this season as the RB22 in fantasy. It's tough to blame his offensive line for the shortcomings, as they are ranked sixth-best in yards before contact per attempt. Robinson simply hasn't been breaking tackles at the same rate during this rookie season. Among 55 qualifying backs, he ranks 32nd in explosive run rate, 23rd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 41st in yards after contact per attempt. In Weeks 1-3, he averaged 19.7 touches and 85 total yards. During that stretch, he owned the backfield with 72% of the rushing play snaps, 91% of the passing down snaps, and 78% of the red zone snaps. Last week, his market share of the backfield volume fell off. He played only 47% of the rushing downs and 67% of the passing downs, with 11 touches and 74 total yards. This is a fantastic spot for a bounceback for Robinson. Tampa Bay's run defense has been like Swiss cheese. They have allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-highest missed tackle rate, and the eighth-highest rushing success rate. The Bucs have the lowest stuff rate in the NFL.