Rashid Shaheed Week 4 Outlook - Saints at Falcons

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Fri, Sep 27th 2024, 7:05pm EDT

Shaheed's fast start to the 2024 season came to a screeching halt last week as he failed to secure any of his five targets. It was a tough day overall for the Saints offense, with the exception of Chris Olave. Despite the tough week for Shaheed, he remains the WR27 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 21.5% target share, a 47.2% air-yard share, and a 28.3% first-read share with 3.02 YPRR. The Falcons have the sixth-highest rate of single-high (60.7%). Against single-high, Shaheed has a 21.1% target share, a 44.8% air-yard share, 2.41 YPRR, and a 25.9% first-read share. These are strong numbers. There are reasons to worry about Shaheed, though. The Falcons have had teams attempt the fourth-fewest deep passes against them with the 10th-lowest passer rating allowed to passes 20 yards or further downfield. Shaheed leads the team with six deep targets, which account for 43% of his target volume. Could he connect on a deep target and pay off? Yep. It's just tough to project with the sample size we have. If Olave misses this week, though, Shaheed's role should change as he will be thrust into Olave's WR1 chair. Olave's 12.1 aDOT is a far cry from Shaheed's (19.3 aDOT). 78.6% of Olave's targets have come within 19 yards of the line of scrimmage. Shaheed's outlook would change drastically as he would become a volume-driven WR2. Shaheed will run about 69% of his routes against A.J. Terrell (84.6% catch rate and 102.2 passer rating) and Mike Hughes (62.5% catch rate and 83.9 passer rating). Atlanta has allowed the ninth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.