Chris Olave Week 2 Outlook - Saints at Cowboys

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 12th 2024, 1:05pm EDT

Olave's Week 1 was among the biggest unexpected flops of the fantasy landscape. His 8.3% target share, 5.6% air-yard share, and 11.1% first-read share were surprising. The data backs up his rough Week 1 outing. Among 104 qualifying wide receivers, he ranked 55th in route win rate. That's not a coffin nail, but it's not what we expected entering this season. Considering Olave is in the prime of his career, and he ranked 24th in YPRR and 16th in FD/RR last year, I'm willing to write off his Week 1 performance, but it deserves monitoring. This week could be more of the same for Olave against Dallas's new look two high defense. In Week 1, they ranked tenth in two high rate (50.9%). Last year, among 104 qualifying receivers, Olave ranked 49th in separation and 51st in win rate against two-high. Last year against two high, Olave had a 19.4% target share, a 35.6% air-yard share, 1.45 YPRR (yikes!), and a 27.6% first-read share. Olave will run about 76% of his routes against Trevon Diggs (66.7% catch rate and 30.6 passer rating) and Caelen Carson (55.6% catch rate and 105.8 passer rating).