Nick Chubb Fantasy Football Outlook (2022)

By Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 1st 2022, 10:27am EDT

Nick Chubb remains one of the safest picks across fantasy football at the Round 2/3 turn as he should see a heavy workload as the team relies on him without Deshaun Watson for 11 games.

But his touchdown upside falters without Watson through the majority of the fantasy regular season.

The best offense he played in was in 2020 - 13th in points per game - which by no coincidence was Chubb's best season from a point-per-game measure. The former Georgia back averaged 17.3 PPR points per game, which would have ranked sixth in 2021.

The 12 rushing touchdowns definitely boosted Chubb's numbers, but scoring double-digit TDs seems like a stretch with Watson taking charge under center for just the final five games of the season.

Chubb's path to his upside is TDs, and that's represented by his five top-6 weekly finishes last season - 4th among running backs.

Mr. 5.0 yards per carry's absurd efficiency essentially locks him into backend fantasy RB1 production, but a consistent lack of work on every down or receiving makes him tough to peg as RB with massive upside without scoring a boatload of touchdowns.

Although he definitely deserves to be drafted higher in the best ball scoring format, which favors Weeks 14-17 in the payout structure. Watson will be playing in those games, giving Chubb a higher ceiling in the games that matter the most.

Those weeks the Browns face at CIN, home vs BAL, home vs NO and at Washington.