Kev Wheeler

inj

inj

turf toe?

*

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Nothing to play for

Nothing to play for

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
In the last seven games the Falcons defense has allowed only 16.9 ppg after allowing 21.1 ppg in the first 10. They shocked me last week holding down the high powered Rams offense, looking like the far more experienced team. I don't see Foles being able to pull this out if the Eagles are down going into the 4th quarter.
Upon further review, I'm changing my stance a bit. I still see the Falcons pulling out the W, but it will be a very close game with Matt Bryant pulling it out with a last second field goal. The spread on this game should actually be a pick'em, but with the high volume of betting in the playoffs, Atlanta coming off the upset, and the Eagles without Wentz, the gambling public has skewed the line toward the Falcons giving 3.

Game: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-13.5)
Pick: Tennessee Titans (+13.5)
Brady will be angry again after a fluff piece that tried to point out drama at the top of the Patriots organization. The Titans have been holding down running backs over the past 8 games, but Brady should torch them in th short passing game. Hogan is back, Burkhead out, Gillislee out, and don't be surprised if we see White re-emerge as a weapon.

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (+7)
Jacksonville defense is way too strong to be a seven point dog, especially because many are overlooking them assuming a Steelers/Patriots match-up next week. Look for Pittsburgh to feed Lev Bell and attack the Jags in the only place they might be vulnerable. The Steelers average 28.3 ppg at home and 22.5 on the road, the only time thy scored fewer than 20 points at home was week 5, against these Jags.

Game: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)
Pick: Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)
In their eight games at home the Vikings have only let up 8 total TD's, the Vikings defense is on par with the Jags defense this year and playing at home gives them a distinct advantage. Xavier Rhodes will most likely shadow cover Michael Thomas, the only TD's Rhodes gave up this year were to Marvin Jones on Thanksgiving. I like McKinnon stealing the show this week, the best way to attack the Saints is through the pass-catching back, last week they gave up 6 receptions for 101 yards and a TD to Christian McCaffrey.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)