Kelly Kirby

Yordan Alvarez is shaping up as one of the more polarizing draft-day decisions in 2026 fantasy leagues. After an injury-marred 2025 season burned managers who invested a first- or early second-round pick, Alvarez now projects as a rebound bat with elite per-game production when healthy. Projection systems still view him as a middle-of-the-order force capable of strong four-category output, supported by his consistently elite plate skills and long track record of hard contact. The main complication is positional flexibility: Alvarez is expected to qualify only at DH in most formats, effectively locking him into a UTIL role and increasing roster rigidity. That added risk will likely suppress his ADP, but entering his age-29 season, the underlying talent suggests a strong bounce-back is well within reach. If the discount reflects health concerns rather than skill erosion, Alvarez becomes a calculated upside play worth considering at the right price.

Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 2025 was uneven as he worked his way back from knee surgery, flashing his MVP-level ceiling early before fading in the second half. Looking ahead to 2026, fantasy projections still view him as a first-round caliber talent, forecasting roughly 135-145 games with elite across-the-board production in the neighborhood of 30 homers, 90 runs, 90 RBI, and 20-plus steals. Durability remains the clear risk. He has topped 150 games only twice outside of the shortened 2020 season, but the per-game impact is still unmatched when he's on the field. If Acuna slips even slightly in drafts due to health concerns, he's a strong pick under the "anyone can get hurt" philosophy. However, managers who prefer safer volume can justify pivoting to another elite bat.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rebounded nicely in 2025, hitting .292 with 23 HR, and his 2026 projections expect his power to climb back over 30 HR. His contact quality improved year over year, driven by more line-drive contact and a stabilizing strikeout rate. The projected power bounce is supported by underlying metrics, suggesting 2025 may have been closer to his floor than his median outcome. Vladdy profiles as a strong early-round value with legitimate top-five 1B upside if the HR surge materializes.

Juan Soto's first season with the Mets produced 43 HR, 37 SB, and a .396 OBP, marking his highest fantasy ceiling since 2021. His 2026 projections dial back the steals (a common trait across projection systems) but still expect mid-30s HR, with a slight batting-average uptick. The plate discipline remains near flawless, and his run-production environment should stay strong. Soto enters 2026 as a high-floor, high-ceiling first-round hitter whose across-the-board contributions make him one of the safest early picks.

Aaron Judge followed up his MVP-caliber 2025 with another elite power profile, delivering 53 HR, 1.144 OPS, and a career-best 12 SB. His 2026 projections still anticipate slight regression & around 43 HR and a .285 AVG, but the underlying rates (elite barrel%, top-tier OBP stability) remain intact. Even with natural aging curves factored in, Judge projects as one of the safest four-category anchors in fantasy. He remains a first-round bat with minimal risk thanks to bankable power and sustainable plate discipline.

There's no real debate at the top of 2026 fantasy drafts: In formats where he is considered one player, Shohei Ohtani remains the clear-cut 1.01 thanks to his unmatched two-way impact. Offensively, his 2026 projections again place him among the game's elite, with 45-plus home runs, triple-digit runs and RBI, and an on-base percentage north of .390 while continuing to anchor the Dodgers' lineup from the leadoff spot. The stolen base ceiling isn't what it was earlier in his career, but projected totals in the high teens still provide a valuable bonus atop his league-leading power and run production. What truly separates Ohtani, however, is his return as a full-time starting pitcher. His 2026 projections peg him as a top-tier arm, capable of delivering ace-level strikeout totals, strong ratios, and double-digit wins in one of baseball's best team contexts. Even with some workload management baked in, Ohtani's ability to provide elite value on both sides of the ball gives fantasy managers a structural advantage no other player can match. As long as he's healthy, Ohtani isn't just the safest pick in fantasy baseball; he's still redefining what roster construction can look like.

Bobby Witt Jr. solidified his status as a top-tier fantasy building block, finishing 2025 with 31 HR, 49 SB, and a .298 average while cutting his chase rate for the second straight season. Projections for 2026 keep him squarely in the elite tier with 30+ HR, 40+ SB, and strong run production. The continued gains in swing decisions and contact quality suggest his breakout is fully sustainable. Witt is a top-three overall fantasy pick with league-winning category balance.

Gerrit Cole is this year's winner of the "Are we witnessing the decline?" award, given annually to the former superstar ace who had an injury-plagued year and returned looking like a much lesser version of himself. Cole is now 33 and pitched only 95 innings in 2024 due to an elbow injury that ate up the first half of the season. His K% dropped for the fourth straight season down to 25.4, and his walk rate jumped to 7.4%, the worst of his career since his first year in Houston. Is he a good bounce-back candidate for 2025? It's possible, as we can't be sure how much his injury lingered through the season. But he could just as easily struggle in the same way or with the same injury. Either way, the dominant, set-and-forget version of Gerrit Cole may be gone. With additional injury information almost daily, Cole is quickly becoming a fade in 2025.