Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Twitter: @BRotoFantasy
Website: https://brotofantasy.com/
Player Note on Nyheim Hines (RB - IND)
81 targets last season. Dirt cheap PPR option. Upside capped with Luck's retirement.
Player Note on Jacoby Brissett (QB - IND)
A fringe QB2, Brissett doesn't have the highest potential with his arm and lacks a rushing game to make up for that.
Player Note on Andrew Luck (QB - FA)
I would not take Andrew Luck at his current ADP, but that's because I don't believe in taking QBs early. The injury is concerning but, if healthy, he will perform at a high level.
Player Note on O.J. Howard (TE - TB)
Winston is most effective when throwing to his TEs. The biggest knock against Howard might be that Arians doesn't use his TEs, but Howard lined up in the slot or out-wide on 46% of his snaps last season (According to Graham Barfield).
Player Note on Chris Godwin (WR - TB)
Arians also loves his Slot WRs. Hines Ward was amazing for Pittsburgh in the slot and Fitzgerald was magnificent for Arizona in the slot. Even Donnie Avery in the slot in 2012 on the colts put up a 60/781/3 line with Reggie Wayne AND TY Hilton on the team! The upside here is huge.
Player Note on Calvin Ridley (WR - ATL)
Ridley is the 22nd WR off the board in .5 PPR leagues. Last season, he played in 62% of the falcons plays and had 92 targets. He ended with 10 TDs but was still, at times, playing second fiddle to Mohammed Sanu (The GOAT QB). If Ryan regresses and Ridley's efficiency decreases, Ridley will be a WR4. I'm not comfortable with him as my WR2.
Player Note on Kyler Murray (QB - ARI)
Last season, nine QBs ran for over 300 rushing yards and five QBs ran for over 420 rushing yards. Murray has rushing upside, but so do many QBs in today's NFL. The Cardinals offense can be dynamic, but it can also struggle, as Kingsbury couldn't even find a head coaching job in college before Arizona came calling. Murray can be a fun QB to watch this season, but expectations need to be tempered.
Player Note on George Kittle (TE - SF)
It's tough to know if he can repeat a 88/1377/5 line, but it's important to note he only scored FIVE TDs. Even if his yardage and catches drop, he has the TD upside to make up for it.
Player Note on Dante Pettis (WR - SF)
Shanahan traded up for Pettis and once he became the WR1, he put up double digit points from weeks 12 - 15. Pettis also put up those numbers with the 38th ranked true target value, showing that he exceeded expectations given his QB and targets. With Jimmy G, his TTV would have been 26th, so he's looking like a legit WR2.
Player Note on Chris Carson (RB - SEA)
Only six RBs had more rushes than Carson last season - behind Zeke, Barkley, DJ, Gurley, AP, and Jordan Howard (Very unlikely a lot of those guys make that list this year). In Seattle, Carson only received 55% of the team's carries. In comparison, Penny and Davis saw 19% and 26% last year. With Davis gone and not a real third option, why are we assuming Penny is going to take all of Davis' work? Or that He'll take Carson's job? If this becomes a 60-65/35-40 split, Carson will see MORE work than he saw last year. He's a steal at his ADP.
Player Note on Nyheim Hines (RB - IND)
81 targets last season. Dirt cheap PPR option. Upside capped with Luck's retirement.
Player Note on Jacoby Brissett (QB - IND)
A fringe QB2, Brissett doesn't have the highest potential with his arm and lacks a rushing game to make up for that.
Player Note on Andrew Luck (QB - FA)
I would not take Andrew Luck at his current ADP, but that's because I don't believe in taking QBs early. The injury is concerning but, if healthy, he will perform at a high level.
Player Note on O.J. Howard (TE - TB)
Winston is most effective when throwing to his TEs. The biggest knock against Howard might be that Arians doesn't use his TEs, but Howard lined up in the slot or out-wide on 46% of his snaps last season (According to Graham Barfield).
Player Note on Chris Godwin (WR - TB)
Arians also loves his Slot WRs. Hines Ward was amazing for Pittsburgh in the slot and Fitzgerald was magnificent for Arizona in the slot. Even Donnie Avery in the slot in 2012 on the colts put up a 60/781/3 line with Reggie Wayne AND TY Hilton on the team! The upside here is huge.
Player Note on Calvin Ridley (WR - ATL)
Ridley is the 22nd WR off the board in .5 PPR leagues. Last season, he played in 62% of the falcons plays and had 92 targets. He ended with 10 TDs but was still, at times, playing second fiddle to Mohammed Sanu (The GOAT QB). If Ryan regresses and Ridley's efficiency decreases, Ridley will be a WR4. I'm not comfortable with him as my WR2.
Player Note on Kyler Murray (QB - ARI)
Last season, nine QBs ran for over 300 rushing yards and five QBs ran for over 420 rushing yards. Murray has rushing upside, but so do many QBs in today's NFL. The Cardinals offense can be dynamic, but it can also struggle, as Kingsbury couldn't even find a head coaching job in college before Arizona came calling. Murray can be a fun QB to watch this season, but expectations need to be tempered.
Player Note on George Kittle (TE - SF)
It's tough to know if he can repeat a 88/1377/5 line, but it's important to note he only scored FIVE TDs. Even if his yardage and catches drop, he has the TD upside to make up for it.
Player Note on Dante Pettis (WR - SF)
Shanahan traded up for Pettis and once he became the WR1, he put up double digit points from weeks 12 - 15. Pettis also put up those numbers with the 38th ranked true target value, showing that he exceeded expectations given his QB and targets. With Jimmy G, his TTV would have been 26th, so he's looking like a legit WR2.
Player Note on Chris Carson (RB - SEA)
Only six RBs had more rushes than Carson last season - behind Zeke, Barkley, DJ, Gurley, AP, and Jordan Howard (Very unlikely a lot of those guys make that list this year). In Seattle, Carson only received 55% of the team's carries. In comparison, Penny and Davis saw 19% and 26% last year. With Davis gone and not a real third option, why are we assuming Penny is going to take all of Davis' work? Or that He'll take Carson's job? If this becomes a 60-65/35-40 split, Carson will see MORE work than he saw last year. He's a steal at his ADP.
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