Almost every year, dynasty fantasy players overvalue rookie picks. However, everyone agrees that the 2025 draft class is significantly weaker than the ones in 2024 and 2023. Yet, the hype will pick up around these prospects as we get closer to the NFL Draft. While talent is the most important factor when evaluating a player, their landing spot plays a critical role, too.
Until the draft happens, we won’t know where these players will land. That’s the biggest reason fantasy leagues shouldn’t do a rookie draft until after the NFL Draft. As elite of a talent a player may be, they can’t score fantasy points if they aren’t on the field. Furthermore, they can’t score fantasy points if the quarterback struggles to complete a pass or the offensive line fails to block.
Much will change between today and the NFL Draft in late April. However, let’s look at the early pre-draft dynasty rookie draft ADP for superflex leagues and examine some takeaways.
- 2025 NFL Draft Guide
- 2025 NFL Draft Scouting Reports
- 2025 NFL Mock Drafts
- Dynasty Mock Draft Simulator
Analyzing Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie ADP
ADP via Faceoff Sports Network
Third Round
- 3.01 – Quinn Ewers (QB – Texas)
- 3.02 – Tez Johnson (WR – Oregon)
- 3.03 – Xavier Restrepo (WR – Miami)
- 3.04 – Jayden Higgins (WR – Iowa State)
- 3.05 – Bhayshul Tuten (RB – Virginia Tech)
- 3.06 – Jack Bech (WR – TCU)
- 3.07 – Jalen Royals (WR – Utah State)
- 3.08 – RJ Harvey (RB – UCF)
- 3.09 – Elijah Arroyo (TE – Miami)
- 3.10 – Savion Williams (WR – TCU)
- 3.11 – Mason Taylor (TE – LSU)
- 3.12 – Dillon Gabriel (QB – Oregon)
Many have low opinions of Ewers, as he is arguably the most polarizing quarterback in the draft class. Despite playing most of the season with a torn oblique, the former Texas star completed 65.8% of his pass attempts for 3,472 yards and 31 touchdowns in 2024. Quinn needs time to learn from the bench, ideally with an excellent offensive coaching staff. However, he will be my most drafted quarterback, especially if he lands with the Los Angeles Rams or Las Vegas Raiders.
Higgins is one of my favorite draft prospects. Last year, he had 87 receptions for 1,183 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. More importantly, Higgins can make plays at all three levels, including downfield, where his 4.47 40-yard dash speed and 6’4” frame make him a mismatch weapon. The former Iowa State star gives off similar vibes to Nico Collins coming out of Michigan in 2021. If he lands with a talented quarterback, Higgins will be a steal as a mid-third-round rookie draft pick.
While Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland are elite prospects, fantasy players should be intrigued by Arroyo. He had only one season of production at Miami, totaling 35 receptions for 590 receiving yards and seven touchdowns last year. Unfortunately, injuries limited him to 23 games over his first three seasons. However, Arroyo was one of the top players at the Senior Bowl and has significant athletic upside. He probably needs a year to develop, but could become a fantasy star in the NFL.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.
