These prospect rankings are based on FANTASY value, not on real life value. Considering such, hitters generally weigh a bit heavier for me due to the injury risk and higher volatility of prospect pitchers. Proximity to the majors is also prominent in the equation, though these rankings are taking a longer-term / dynasty look on these guys (think of it more as a 5 year plan).
Rather than getting into writing little bios on all of these hitters, I’ve decided to keep my rankings simple by providing the 2024 stats of each player across all levels, plus a player comp, a small blub on the player’s prime skills for fantasy and an explanation of my ranking. I’ve also included updated fScores for any players I expect to debut in 2025, which highlights what my fScore projections believe the player is capable of at the pro level for immediate impact.
- Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings (2024)
- Fantasy Baseball Research & Advice
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2025 Top 150 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings: 1-25
I know most people don’t care to read 250 – 500 words on each player, so using both box score scouting and film review, I have provided my personal comps for each prospect (for fun – note: comps may be based on mechanics, body type, pitching arsenal or similar skills & box score style) and how I think each prospect will perform once in the majors over the next five or so seasons. All-in-all I think the rankings paired with statistical info and a player comp will hit the sweet spot for the broadest category of people who are reading this prospect rankings (or listening/watching on the Fantasy Aceball podcast).
NOTE: Rookie status is determined by 130 ABs, or 50 IPs at the Major League level.
NOTE: I did NOT include international professionals such as Roki Sasaki in this ranking, Sasaki would be the #1 prospect in the event he was included.
***Note, Prematurely removed due to them being so close to graduation, or due to age and injuries bumping them from prospect status by the next time we see them: SP Christian Scott (Mets), SP Drew Thorpe (White Sox), SP Max Meyer (Marlins), 2B Ronny Mauricio (Mets), SP Robert Gasser (Brewers)
More Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (126-150)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (101-125)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (76-100)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (51-75)
- Rankings, Comps & Predictions (26-50)
1. OF Jasson Dominguez (Yankees)
- 2024 AA/AAA: .314/.376/.504 | 8.8 BB%, 20 K% | 20 XBH, 11 HR, 16 SB (58 games)
- 2024 MLB: .179/.313/.304 | 3 XBH, 2 HR, 5 SB (56 ABs)
- Age: 22
ETA: Opening Day (debuted 2023) - fScores: 97 fContact, 107 fDiscipline, 123 fPower, 191 fSpeed
- Comp: Switch hitting Mookie Betts-light
- Prime Skills: Dominguez has top-notch plate skills, while also demonstrating he can be a game-changer on the base paths. He smashes pitches high in the zone from both sides of the plate but needs to work on lifting pitches low in the zone instead of bashing them into the ground (56.7 GB% in his career in MLB).
- Ranking Explanation: Dominguez posts above average EVs (107.5 90th percentile EV in AAA) and had a great 87.9% Z-contact% at AAA in 2024, so he smashes anything in the zone consistently. He had much better launch angles in the minors, averaging in the 11-12 degrees range, which optimizes his power and provides a nice backdrop against the smaller sample size and bad major league ground ball rates. Dominguez should get a full-time run this season for the Yankees and will have ample opportunity to live up to his nickname, the Martian.
- Previous Rank: 3
2. OF Roman Anthony (Red Sox)
- 2024 AA/AAA: .291/.396/.498 | 14.6 BB%, 23.5 K% | 54 XBH, 18 HR, 21 SB
- Age: 21
- ETA: Mid 2025
- fScores: 98 fContact, 129 fDiscipline, 97 fPower, 117 fSpeed
- Comp: Jarred Kelenic with a better eye
- Prime Skills: Very good eye with a strong power tool for a young kid who still needs to fill out. He could be a five tool guy, but needs to be more consistent on the base paths for steals to be a big part of his game long term. The Max and 90th percentile EVs actually rate out a little better than Dominguez (112.5 and 108.4 respectively), but he is not nearly aggressive in the zone and might have a little bit of a Lars Nootbaar streak to him.
- Ranking Explanation: Anthony has a little bit of Emmanuel Rodriguez syndrome, as the SwStr% is only at 8.7% despite a near 24% K-rate in the minors in 2024, because he lays off too many pitches in the zone. He ran into this same problem in A+ last year, but course corrected – so there is no reason to doubt he can’t fix this issue a second time, which is being too patient or maybe having a better eye than the umps. Anthony put his raw power on full display during the All-Star game skills competition and he needs to start working to translate the raw power to game power. Anthony has moved through the minors quickly and deserves an age-to-level bump when considering his 162 wRC+ at AAA, which might relate closer to a more than 200 wRC+.
- Previous Rank: 6
3. 2B/OF Kristian Campbell (Red Sox)
- 2024 A+/AA/AAA: .330/.439/.558 | 14.3 BB% / 19.9 K% | 55 XBH, 20 HR, 24 SB
- Age: 23
- ETA: Opening Day
- fScores: 103 fContact, 126 fDiscipline, 103 fPower, 138 fSpeed
- Comp: Bigger Gleyber Torres with more speed and better plate skills
- Prime Skills: Big righty picked in the fourth round out of Georgia Tech in 2024 with a killer hit tool (90.8% Z-Contact% at AAA) to pair with a 20/20-like profile. He has a big frame with a pretty sweet swing and has shown more power than the scouting grades have given him, especially from the pull side and has not really shown off his 60-grade speed on the base paths yet, but there are more bags under him if the situation allows.
- Ranking Explanation: Campbell is a guy I thought I was going to be stealthy on, but he just kept hitting and made himself impossible to ignore to the rest of the fantasy baseball prospect scouting crowd. I had been targeting him more as a top 10-15 type guy until I ran his fScores – he has a good shot at breaking camp Opening Day in a lineup short of righty bats and could be an immediate success based on the superior plate skills and hit tool he has demonstrated, he’s a high floor 20/20 type guy who can hit .270 or better out of the gate.
- Previous Rank: 43
4. SP Andrew Painter (Phillies)
- 2022 A/A+/AA: 103 2/3 IP | 32.4 K-BB%, 16.2 SwStr%, 32.3 CSW% | 1.56 ERA, 0.89 WHIP
- Age: 21
- ETA: June 2025
- fScores: 107 fStuff, 111 fControl, 144 fERA
- Comp: A bigger Jacob deGrom, or a Tyler Glasnow with more control
- Prime Skills: Painter regularly touches 99 MPH on his fastball and throws it up in the zone with some ridiculous ride, then loves to use his curve up in the zone to finish guys off when they are dead red fastball. He has pin-point control for a pitcher his age, which plays his stuff up even more. He has an excellent pitch mix and knows how to throw his changeup and breaking stuff off his money fastball.
- Ranking Explanation: Painter pitched in the Arizona Fall League and is back in action. Don’t expect many innings in the minors as the Phillies have already announced they will be reserving his innings for a mid-season call up and for the playoff push. We have a future #2 or ace in Painter on the way.
- Previous Rank: 19
5. OF Emmanuel Rodriguez (Twins)
- 2024 CPX/A/AA/AAA: .280/.459/.567 | 24.4 BB%, 29.7 K% | 25 XBH, 9 HR, 9 SB (47 games)
- Age: 22
ETA: Early 2025 (May/June?) - fScores: 93 fContact, 181 fDiscipline, 120 fPower, 95 fSpeed
- Comp: Rafael Devers meets Edouard Julien
- Prime Skills: Great eye and insane power (114.6 max EV) with a tad of speed mixed in despite being a bigger boy, quick hands though. Like many of these guys, Rodriguez has to work on his hit tool a bit and cut down on the strikeouts. The power and speed potential is ridiculous and Rodriguez for points leagues should be ranked even higher.
- Ranking Explanation: He’s dealt with injuries the last couple of years, but has been ridiculous on a per-plate appearance basis. The only issue with his game is he strikes out way too much by being too patient because a 9.4% SwStr% portends to a way better K rate than 29.7%. E Rod only has a 33.3% swing rate, the dude needs to get more aggressive.
- Previous Rank: 8
6. OF Dylan Crews (Nationals)
- 2024 AA/AAA: .270/.339/.451 | 8 BB%, 25.8 K% | 40 XBH, 13 HR, 25 SB
- 2024 MLB: .218/.288/.353 | 8.3 BB%, 19.7 K% | 9 XBH, 3 HR, 12 SB
- Age: 23
- ETA: Opening Day (debuted 2024)
- fScores: 92 fContact, 88 fDiscipline, 87 fPower, 171 fSpeed
- Comp: Nick Castellanos with Speed
- Prime Skills: He has great all-field power, he’s a good defender and he has a great eye at the plate. The speed is slightly above average (he has improved this aspect of his game since last season) and he’s more of an all-around XBH / damage guy than a home run threat.
- Ranking Explanation: The higher-end EVs aren’t as strong as I was expecting from him coming out of college (though he does have nice average EVs (89 MLB, 90.2 AAA) and at AAA he’s running only average plate skills. He’s really only grading out to be a slightly above-average major leaguer with a little bit of speed, but based on the pedigree I think there’s quite a bit more in the tank for progression and I don’t want to downgrade him too far when a year ago we all thought he would be a superstar, but Rodriguez looks like the better future fantasy contributor at the moment.
- Previous Rank: 10
7. C / 1B Samuel Basallo (Orioles)
- 2024 AA/AAA: .278/.341/.449 | 8.6 BB%, 21.1 K% | 44 XBH, 19 HR, 10 SB
- Age: 20
- ETA: Mid 2026
- fScores: 93 fContact, 80 fDiscipline, 100 fPower, 84 fSpeed
- Comp: Kyle Schwarber with a better hit tool
- Prime Skills: Solid plate discipline and great power and young for his level, Bassallo has seen some regression in 2024 on the batted ball data, as he has not been lifting the ball in the air enough to reach his power potential and he’s been dinged in the plate skills category this year seeing a decent increase in swinging strike and K rate, while also seeing an even larger decrease in walk rate. The dude is built for his age with fast hands, but a tight/weird batting stance. He will likely move off the catcher position full-time because of Rutschman.
- Ranking Explanation: The fact that Basallo is doing these things in AA/AAA at the age of 19 is insane. He had a 122 wRC+ at AA and AAA where the average player is 22-23 years old, which means when factoring age to level Basallo is really closer to a 200 wRC+ player. It’s hard to pit him against Jenkins since he’s a level more advanced, but Basallo has shown much more power upside to date and these two might flip-flop in rankings depending on if Basallo maintains catcher eligibility and how Jenkins’ power tool develops.
- Previous Rank: 5
8. OF Walker Jenkins (Twins)
- 2024 A/A+: .282/.394/.439 | 15.2 BB%, 12.8 K% | 32 XBH, 6 HR, 17 SB (82 games)
- Age: 20
- ETA: Early 2026
- fScores: N/A
- Comp: Larry Walker
- Prime Skills: Big, strong lefty for his age and one of the top five guys from the 2023 draft class. He has a ton of pull power but can hit for extra-base hits through all fields. Jenkins’ carrying tool thus far has been the combo of his excellent hit tool (91.7% Z-Contact rate) alongside his killer plate skills (more walks than strikeouts). He hasn’t grown into the game power yet and has been primarily a doubles hitter, but he was also in the Florida League for a good portion of the season where all his games are at sea level in the muggy Fort Myers stadium (basically no breeze, literally the hottest stadium I’ve been to in my life and when there is breeze it’s blowing in, not out).
- Ranking Explanation: Jenkins has been rocking a 12-degree launch angle with a near 110 max EV and upper 80s average EVs in a bad ballpark in single A, so I’m excited to see how the power gains look getting out of Florida now that he’s in AA for the 2025 season. Jenkins should have more power than he’s shown to date and that’s what will separate him from being the top prospect in baseball vs. being a top prospect in baseball.
- Previous Rank: 7
9. SS Sebastian Walcott (Rangers)
- 2024 A+/AA: .265/.344/.452 | 10.3 BB%, 25.6 K% | 54 XBH, 11 HR, 27 SB
- Age: 19
- ETA: Late 2026
- fScores: N/A
- Comp: Fernando Tatis Jr. – light, similar build and swing
- Prime Skills: Super raw, a huge 18-year-old kid with power for days. He needs to further develop the hit tool and plate skills, but the tools are there and he debuted at high A as a 17-year-old. We are just now really seeing him come into his own as the second half of the season for him was phenomenal with a .293/.350/.496 slash with 32 XBH and 19 SB coming in his last 58 games.
- Ranking Explanation: The kid is still super raw and we are seeing the talent develop starting mid-season from a set of tools into a baseball player. Walcott has posted some stronger power potential numbers than Jenkins thus far and might have a more roto-friendly profile than Jenkins for fantasy upside, but Jenkins projects as a lock as a consistent Freddy Freeman type with the insanely high-end hit tool, thus gets the slight edge to Walcott in my rankings.
- Previous Rank: 14
10. OF Max Clark (Tigers)
- 2024 A/A+: .279/.372/.421 | 12.4 BB%, 19.2 K% | 36 XBH, 9 HR, 29 SB
- Age: 20
- ETA: Mid 2026
- fScores: N/A
- Comp: Corbin Carroll
- Prime Skills: Multi-sport athlete; has a really nice hit tool, a lot of speed and should develop more power as he ages. He’s likely to develop more into a speed-first, 15-20 homer type based on the small sample size of what we have seen in the minors and pre-draft. The plate skills are also much better than when you look at first glance as he has a near-elite 8.5 SwStr% and only a 22% chase rate on the year at low A.
- Ranking Explanation: Clark has shown similar skills to Dylan Crews in the minors but has a better hit tool and plate skills to date (granted at lower levels) and he’s a better athlete who should end up posting much higher steals totals than Crews, but Crews has a higher power ceiling and is much further along developmentally. In regards to Walcott, I give Walcott the power edge and it helps that he has SS eligibility.
- Previous Rank: 9
11. SP Jackson Jobe (Tigers)
- 2024 AA: 91 2/3 IP | 13.6 K-BB% 12.3 SwStr%, 30.5 CSW% | 2.36 ERA, 1.12 WHIP
- 2024 MLB: 4 IP | 6.3 K-BB%, 4.2 SwStr%, 25 CSW% | 0.00 ERA, 0.50 WHIP
- Age: 22
- ETA: Opening Day (debuted in 2024)
- fScores: 100 fStuff, 99 fControl, 110 fERA
- Comp: George Kirby
- Prime Skills: Excellent command of his pitches for a guy his age and has a ton of spin on his pitches. The fastball is riding as an above-average pitch, but it allows him to use his elite slider to get Ks. The walk rate is higher this year, but I think it’s an aberration and wouldn’t be too concerned – there seems to be a bit of a pitch mix issue in why his killer stuff has not played as well as it should.
- Ranking Explanation: A large part of Jobe’s appeal when he was moving up my rankings was his excellent command and the plus-four pitch mix, but he was not generating strikeouts at the level he should have and had some walk issues at the higher levels of the minors. Painter is healthy and has better stuff, thus should be bumped back ahead of Jobe.
- Previous Rank: 12
12. 2B Travis Bazzana (Guardians)
- 2024 College: .407/.568/.911 | 48 XBH, 28 HR, 16 SB
- 2024 A+: .238/.369/.396 | 13.9 BB%, 25.4 K% | 10 XBH, 3 HR, 5 SB (27 games)
- Age: 22
- ETA: Mid 2025 (June / July)
- fScores: 93 fContact, 122 fDiscipline, 93 fPower, 155 fSpeed
- Comp: Daniel Murphy with more athleticism and quickness
- Prime Skills: Bazzana has the killer Oregon State hit tool and has professional experience already with wood bats, playing in Australia as a pro while he was a teenager. He has power and speed, but to what degree will both show up as a pro is the big question to me, as the game power just appeared in 2024 and is relatively a newer tool. He has a lot of movement pre-pitch at the plate
- Ranking Explanation: I’ll give Clark an edge to Bazzana because I think he ultimately has more power and speed potential, while Bazzana might be the better points league play because his plate skills are top-notch. The fScores favor Bazzana to Shaw due to the superior plate skills, but they should actually perform similarly from a roto standpoint.
- Previous Rank: 11
13. SS JJ Wetherholt (Cardinals)
- 2024 College: .331/.472/.589 | 16 XBH, 8 HR, 6 SB (36 games)
- 2024 A: .295/.405/.400 | 12.7 BB%, 11.9 K% | 7 XBH, 2 HR, 2 SB (29 games)
- Age: 22
- ETA: Early 2026
- fScores: 99 fContact, 126 fDiscipline, 79 fPower, 128 fSpeed
- Comp: Corbin Carroll / Marcus Semien mash-up
- Prime Skills: Wetherholt hits the crap out of the ball for a smaller guy, is athletic and has a great eye at the plate. He has quick, easy swing and great bat control that will likely lead to an early career-high doubles profile that later translates into more power as he gets closer to his peak. Wetherholt had an average EV of 91.8 to go along with an aggressively effective approach in the zone with a 73.4 Z-Swing % and only 14.1% chase rate.
- Ranking Explanation: I originally had Wetherholt as my third-ranked player from the 2024 draft, but after seeing him live just smashing every ball he made contact on, with excellent swing decisions, I decided to bump him way up my rankings. I expect him to move quickly with an eye on an early 2026 debut. He might come up for a cup of coffee in 2025. I rank him just a hair behind Bazzana, while the plate approach and consistent hard contact make him a better add for the future against guys like Shaw and Mayo.
- Previous Rank: 13
14. 2B/3B Matt Shaw (Cubs)
- 2024 AA/AAA: .284/.379/.488 | 11.9 BB%, 18.2 K% | 44 XBH, 21 HR, 31 SB
- Age: 23
- ETA: Opening Day
- fScores: 95 fContact, 86 fDiscipline, 96 fPower, 168 fSpeed
- Comp: Jonathan India with more speed
- Prime Skills: Shaw has a solid plate approach that should develop as he gets time in the bigs with above-average power and speed. For 2025 fantasy, think of Colt Keith’s production plus 25 steals or so. He could be one of the better second basemen in the majors sooner rather than later (if he gets to play there rather than at 3B) and has the power and speed combo to put up some 20/20-type seasons. Shaw works to some good launch angles (14.4 average LA) that should help the bat play up.
- Ranking Explanation: Shaw and Mayo are pretty close in my rankings and I expect Shaw to break camp and get a ton of ABs, while Mayo is likely slated to start at AAA again. However, Mayo had slightly better plate skills, a similar hit tool, but much greater power potential. Shaw gets the slight edge for me because he has a starting spot and also has some good speed to lean on that will help him generate a higher batting average than Mayo plus steals.
- Previous Rank: 17
15. 1B Bryce Eldridge (Giants)
- 2024 A/A+/AA/AAA: .289/.372/.513 | 11.4 BB%, 25.4 K% | 52 XBH, 23 HR, 6 SB
- Age: 20
- ETA: Late 2025 (August / September)
- fScores: 103 fContact, 99 fDiscipline, 101 fPower, 89 fSpeed
- Comp: Taller Matt Olson with more gaps in the hit tool to work on
- Prime Skills: Big time power potential at a huge 6′ 7″ 223 lb., but he needs to close the gaps in his swing in order to avoid being over exposed to strikeouts. He’s done a much better job at showing a good eye for walks, but the K rate and swinging strike issues are still existent and even though we don’t have a lot of statcast data (20 BBE), he only had a 76.8 Z-Contact%.
- Ranking Explanation: Eldridge has big time power potential and the athleticism to rack up doubles in the event San Francisco bay winds hold back the power ala Brandon Belt. He will have to work through the long swing to close the gaps in his contact%, but San Francisco has been aggressive with him. He’s much more aggressive than Mayo at the plate (50.4% Swing rate vs. 44.9% for Mayo) and has a spot on the roster when he’s ready, thus gets the edge in my ranking, but is nudged by Shaw because I like the power / speed combo and proximity play with Shaw. I kept Eldridge ahead of Kurtz despite the fScores being big on Kurtz because I believe the power ceiling might be higher, even though Kurtz also has a ballpark edge at the moment.
- Previous Rank: 45
16. 1B Nick Kurtz (Athletics)
- 2024 College: .306/.531/.763 | 34 XBH, 22 HR, 4 SB
- 2024 A/AA: .368/.520/.763 | 24 BB%, 20 K% | 7 XBH, 4 HR, 1 SB
- Age: 22
- ETA: Early 2025
- fScores: 106 fContact, 129 fDiscipline, 115 fPower, 86 fSpeed
- Comp: Joey Votto-esk profile
- Prime Skills: Big time plate skills with above-average power and a very solid hit tool. Think Kyle Manzardo with more power and a higher ceiling on the hit tool. He was a beast in his limited debut and returned in the Arizona Fall League from a hamstring injury.
- Ranking Explanation: Kurtz is getting an Athletics bump for me surprisingly, because if you haven’t noticed they have been right on the dot with developing the players they drafted over the last few years. I trust the hit tool and plate skills, obviously, the fScores love him and I think he will be a beast in points leagues for a long time forward. I jumped him ahead of Mayo as I think he has a much better plate approach and hit tool that will lead to more consistent production, even if Mayo has more power.
- Previous Rank: 33
18. 3B Coby Mayo (Orioles)
- 2024 AAA: .293/.372/.592 | 10.3 BB%, 25.1 K% | 54 XBH, 25 HR, 4 SB
- Age: 22
- ETA: Early 2025 (debuted in 2024, return in May/June?)
- fScores: 92 fContact, 90 fDiscipline, 111 fPower, 69 fSpeed
- Comp: Nolan Arenado as a hitter (w/ better power, worse hit tool)
- Prime Skills: Mayo has a quick and powerful swing that portends to future 25-30-ish homer power with 5-ish steal speed. He has an average enough hit tool (82.3 Z-Contact%), but the potential strikeout rate is a bit concerning if he can’t hold it down closer to 25% at the major league level. The contract rates are still slightly below average, but the near 115 max EV and a 90.7 average EV means Mayo has some of the best power in this prospect group, but he needs the Orioles to find him a full-time position.
- Ranking Explanation: Mayo has the best proximity power in the class outside of maybe Deyvison De Los Santos (if he can keep the Ks in check) and Jac Caglione. The 3B rookie battle between Mayo and Shaw will be fun to watch though, additionally considering either player may not end up at 3B long-term.
- Previous Rank: 4
18. SS Leodalis De Vries (Padres)
- 2024 A: .237/.361/.441 | 13.9 BB%, 23.3 K% | 36 XBH, 11 HR, 13 SB (75 games)
- Age: 18
- ETA: 2027
- fScores: N/A
- Comp: Switch hitting Alfonso Soriano at SS
- Prime Skills: De Vries has a super high upside across the board and is a five-tool talent, but at 17 years old is way above his age-to-level. De Vries is absolutely electric and has a long swing despite quick hands, giving me that Soriano feeling. He had a 116 wRC+ as a 17-year-old, which translating age-to-level might place him closer around 160-170 or so.
- Ranking Explanation: De Vries suffered a shoulder injury only a couple of games after my last set of rankings was released in August. Like Walcott, he had an insane last couple of months of play and from May 23rd, he had a .252/.380/.480 slash with 32 XBH, 11 homers and 12 steals over a 62-game span. Mayo gets the edge in my rankings as he is much closer from a proximity standpoint and a near guarantee to be a fantasy contributor in the power department.
- Previous Rank: 18
19. SP Chase Burns (Reds)
- 2024 College: 100 IP | 191 Ks, 30 BBs | 2.70 ERA, 0.92 WHIP
- Age: 21
- ETA: Late 2025
- fScores: 113 fStuff, 98 fControl, 101 fERA
- Comp: Hunter Greene / Dylan Cease mash up
- Prime Skills: Insane fastball / slider combo that could be one of the best in baseball. He’s bigger than some of the other guys with this type of fastball / slider combo like Jones and Strider and could also just be a better version of Jared Jones.
- Ranking Explanation: Burns has top of the line stuff and is only stifled by ballpark concerns, his rough road might be something like Hunter Greene, but his ceiling looks a bit smoother to the top.
- Previous Rank: 25
20. SS Jordan Lawlar (Diamondbacks)
- 2024 AA/AAA: .318/.417/.485 | 9 XBH, 2 HR, 6 SB (23 games)
- Age: 22
- ETA: Opening Day (debuted in 2024)
- fScores: 100 fContact, 104 fDiscipline, 93 fPower, 168 fSpeed
- Comp: Trea Turner light w/ some Jeter in there
- Prime Skills: Lawlar has a nice power swing, but it may affect his contact ability in the majors – he has all fields power and ridiculous speed, he’s a very aggressive base runner and puts himself in good positions to make things happen on top of having way above average plate discipline for his age..
- Ranking Explanation: The power, speed and enough of a hit tool are here to build up a very intriguing player for fantasy purposes and a potential top-end player, however, he was hurt for the majority of 2024 which puts a slight damper on expectations for a guy I previously had ranked as a top 10 prospect.
- Previous Rank: 20
21. 2B Luke Keaschall (Twins)
- 2024 A+/AA: .303/.420/.483 | 13.4 BB% / 17.2 K% | 37 XBH, 15 HR, 23 SB
- ETA: Late 2025 (Late July / August)
- fScores: 96 fContact, 110 fDiscipline, 86 fPower, 137 fSpeed
- Age: 22
- Comp: Jordan Westburg / Matt McLain mash up
- Prime Skills: Great bat speed with killer EVs.. the HR power should be greater and will increase as he ages. He was having a strong season with consistent week-in and week-out production. While the swing reminds me of Westburg, I think there’s also a bit of a Matt McLain profile, but with a more consistent hit tool thanks to the plate skills.
- Ranking Explanation: Last year I made a joke on the Prospect One podcast that if Luke Keschall was a stock, Nancy Pelosi would be buying. He had a fantastic season at two levels and I’m very impressed with how the power tool has progressed, as that was my biggest concern in my earlier 2024 rankings. Keaschall missed the last 6 weeks or so of the minor league season after tearing his UCL and while he hopes to be healthy going into spring, we saw how this same injury pushed back the debut of Jasson Domingeuz last year. I would figure maybe a May return for him next year as he builds back up to where he left off.
- Previous Rank: 23
22. OF Spencer Jones (Yankees)
- 2024 AA: .259/.336/.452 | 9.9 BB%, 36.8 K% | 53 XBH, 17 HR, 25 SB
- Age: 24
- ETA: Late 2025
- fScores: 106 fContact, 68 fDiscipline, 96 fPower, 138 fSpeed
- Comp: Shohei Ohtani Super Light (just the hitter) meets Adolis Garcia
- Prime Skills: He’s huge at 6′ 6″ and has ridiculous power potential with decent speed to boot. Everyone wants to compare him to Judge since they are both Yankees, but I think Ohtani makes more sense, even though the stance is more like Ohtani. He has a ton of sneaky speed to go along with the huge power potential, but the swing has some holes in it.
- Ranking Explanation: There is no age-to-level advantage here with Jones, however he is getting exposed due to way too long of a swing. We will need to remember Judge didn’t debut until he was 24 years old and didn’t stick until he was 25, so let’s give Jones a little room to figure it out though the plate skills actually declined rather than improved in 2024, so there might be a little bit of an Adolis Garcia / Javier Baez swing and miss problem here… but ultimately to what level? I pushed him up pretty heavily in my rankings because the fantasy upside (especially in roto or categories leagues) is too good to ignore despite the obvious risks.
- Previous Rank: 34
23. SP Quinn Mathews (Cardinals)
- 2024 A/A+/AA/AAA: 143 1/3 IP | 26.8 K-BB%, 16.1 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW% | 2.76 ERA, 0.98 WHIP
- Age: 24
- ETA: Early 2025
- fScores: 107 fStuff, 97 fControl, 133 fERA
- Comp: Cole Ragans light
- Prime Skills: Mathews is a big college lefty with a ridiculous fastball/slider combo with a big fastball sitting between 95-97 MPH with some elite rise to it and the slider is a swing-and-miss machine paired with that fastball. He has an elite command of these pitches and has shown himself in college to be a workhorse. He also has a curve and a 60/65 grade change-up he didn’t even need when I saw him in A ball.
- Ranking Explanation: Mathews had a bit of a decline in velocity in AAA from when I saw him live earlier in the season, but this is likely just some natural wear from the workload increase, not to mention trying to pitch around the weird AAA oddities like ABS. Mathews actually scored higher in my fScores than Jobe as he was getting better results, but some of that has to do with his maturity as a pitcher and mixing pitches well. He should spend a large part of 2025 in the big league rotation for the Cardinals and gets the edge to Noah Schultz (larger arsenal) and Bubba Chandler (better command and ability to limit damage) in my rankings.
- Previous Rank: 36
24. OF Lazaro Montes (Mariners)
- 2024 A/A+: .288/.397/.484 | 14.4 BB%, 23.6 K% | 44 XBH, 21 HR, 5 SB
- Age: 21
- ETA: Late 2026
- fScores: N/A
- Comp: Shades of a lefty Paul Goldschmidt in the OF
- Prime Skills: Big strong kid with a great hit tool, Montes has some insane lefty power and good plate skills. He’s also really improved his body from 2023 to 2024, which has likely helped him cut down the K rate, while also shrinking the gap between BABIP and his batting average. I can’t wait to get some additional statcast numbers on him.
- Ranking Explanation: Montes killed it in low A and then struggled when he was first bumped up to high A, but he did finish the season strong. From August on Montes hit .333/.459/.604 with 7 bombs and 3 steals.
- Previous Rank: 28
25. OF Charlie Condon (Rockies)
- 2024 College: .433/.566/1.009 | 58 XBH, 37 HR, 3 SB
- 2024 A+: .180/.248/.270 | 3.7 B%, 31.2 K% | 6 XBH, 1 HR, 4 SB (25 games)
- Age: 22
- fScores: 92 fContact, 76 fDiscipline, 109 fPower, 112 fSpeed
- Comp: Less athletic righty Cody Bellinger
- Prime Skills: Condon is all about the power, but how much of the power will translate from college and can he hit breaking pitches are the big questions. He’s a big-time fastball hunter and guys at the higher levels might expose him. He has a long body but keeps his hands in so he doesn’t get exposed inside. He smashes pitches up in the zone and it will be interesting to see if he can keep the strikeout rate down.
- Ranking Explanation: I originally had Condon ranked ahead of Bazzana and discussed on Prospect One a bit at length and I knew this going into the draft, but looking further into it Condon’s home/away splits are incredibly concerning amongst the rumors of SEC teams using a live feed in the dugout when at home (.482/.530/1.125 HOME vs. .279/.367/.698 ROAD). I’m going to have to keep a closer eye on Condon at the beginning of the season as a high A assignment out of the gate is challenging and he hopefully has not fallen into the Chase Davis trap.
- Previous Rank: 16
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