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Dynasty Rookie Draft Advice: Quarterbacks (Fantasy Football)

NFL Draft season is upon us. Every year around this time, Jim Nagy (executive director of the Reese’s Senior Bowl) rounds up a talented group of college players to head down to Mobile to improve their NFL draft stock at the Reese’s Senior Bowl. Over the years, we’ve had plenty of diamonds in the rough emerge as fantasy stars from this wonderful event.

Marrying stats and film, I dusted off the prospect notebook and dove into the skill sets for this year’s group of NFL hopefuls. Dynasty rookie drafts will be here before you know. Now is the time to get a jump on your league mates and study up on these prospects.

It will be a glorious week of football content to reignite your NFL Draft fires. The 2025 NFL Draft starts in Mobile. Let’s check out a few players to monitor as you prepare for your 2025 dynasty rookie drafts.

2025 NFL Draft Guide: Mock Drafts, Scouting Reports & More

Dynasty Rookie Draft Advice: Quarterbacks

Quarterbacks

Jaxson Dart (Ole Miss)

Stats:

  • 2024 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 2nd
    • Adjusted completion rate: 11th
    • Yards per attempt: 1st
    • Big-time throw rate: 8th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 26th
    • Deep throw rate: 9th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 66th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 10th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 1st
  • 2023 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 9th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 36th
    • Yards per attempt: 8th
    • Big-time throw rate: 39th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 50th
    • Deep throw rate: 70th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 61st
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 35th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 9th
  • 2022 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 44th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 83rd
    • Yards per attempt: 34th
    • Big-time throw rate: 15th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 93rd
    • Deep throw rate: 40th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 99th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 57th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 26th

Scouting report:

  • Dart has the arm strength to make every NFL throw. He has a “strong enough arm” but doesn’t have a cannon. He relies upon ball placement with his throws, but he can zip it in the short/intermediate areas of the field. Dart made a living in 2024 by hitting his receivers with bucket shots on the perimeter on go balls and deep outs.
  • Dart moves through progressions fairly well. He accesses the middle of the field plenty and can get to this tertiary options plenty. Dart also has no issues expecting his first read to win 50/50 balls and exhibiting that type of trust that he’ll need in the NFL when his receivers are “NFL open” on plenty of plays.
  • Dart flashes impressive ball placement on a ton of throws. He isn’t perfect, though, as the ball can sail on him when he reaches back for that extra oomph for his fastball. It’s not a consistent issue, though. Dart will also make anticipatory throws instead of waiting for his receivers to uncover.
  • Dart is calm and collected in the pocket. He will boot when he feels pressure, and navigating a muddy pocket isn’t viable. He will also hang in the pocket when needed to deliver an accurate pass. There are plenty of plays where he stands tall in the pocket and gets smacked at the end of the play. Dart will also utilize pump fakes and subtle movements to affect corners in coverage.
  • Dart likely has 4.7 40 speed. I don’t see him as a quarterback who derives a lot of his value from his rushing ability in the NFL. Can he scramble successfully and create with his legs? Yes. Will he be a quarterback for whom an offensive coordinator draws up a handful of quarterback runs weekly? I doubt it, but he can still add value by scrambling and creating with his legs.

Player Comp: Geno Smith

Jalen Milroe (Alabama)

Stats:

  • 2024 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 38th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 60th
    • Yards per attempt: 11th
    • Big-time throw rate: 36th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 40th
    • Deep throw rate: 35th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 47th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 66th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 75th
  • 2023 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 34th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 53rd
    • Yards per attempt: 3rd
    • Big-time throw rate: 2nd
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 15th
    • Deep throw rate: 13th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 29th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 78th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 10th

Scouting report:

  • Milroe has plenty of arm strength to make every necessary throw. The problem isn’t velocity for Milroe; it’s ball placement. His accuracy is erratic at every level. He has some nice throws on film while on the move, but there are also plenty of head-scratchers.
  • Milroe also throws a flat ball to the second level. It’s rare to see him lace a layered throw to the second level of a defense. Most throws are delivered on a line. He’ll have to develop this part of his game to consistently have success against zone defenses in the NFL.
  • Milroe is a “see it, throw it” quarterback. He isn’t an anticipatory thrower of the football. I anticipate him having issues with receivers being “NFL open” at the next level unless he operates in a scheme with plenty of designed looks and easy reads.
  • His internal clock is a second slow. He doesn’t get through his progressions quickly and often gets hung up on his first read. Milroe’s field vision is subpar. He misses too many receivers breaking open, especially across the middle of the field. This is also true in a scramble drill, though, as Milroe hyper-focuses on one receiving option or drops his eyes immediately.
  • Milroe will exhibit quiet feet in the pocket at times and deliver some accurate passes in the face of pressure, but those reps are dwarfed by the times that he bails clean pockets. Milroe needs to keep his eyes downfield more. Many times, at the first sniff of pressure, he immediately flips the switch to runner and forgoes his receiving options. He attempts to answer too many problems that defenses present for him with his legs.
  • Milroe has 4.5 speed as a straight line/linear runner. He can make subtle changes of direction, but he can get himself into trouble when attempting to string together multiple moves. He’s at his best when getting downhill and turning on the jets, as he isn’t a quick twitch rusher. He’s also not the most physical ball carrier. Last year, among 80 qualifying quarterbacks, Milroe ranked 33rd in yards after contact per attempt and 23rd in elusive rating (per PFF).

Player Comp: Tarvaris Jackson

Tyler Shough (Louisville)

Stats:

  • 2024 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 6th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 30th
    • Yards per attempt: 24th
    • Big-time throw rate: 35th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 72nd
    • Deep throw rate: 69th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 63rd
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 17th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 15th

Scouting report:

  • Had his 2021 (broken collarbone) and 2023 (shoulder injury) seasons cut short because of injuries.
  • Shough is a tall pocket passer. He has enough mobility to create out of structure, but I wouldn’t consider him a “mobile” quarterback. He isn’t a statue, either.
  • Shough has the arm strength to make every NFL throw. He can throw from multiple arm angles, and his film includes some mouthwatering off-platform throws. Now, I do need to add some context after saying that. His accuracy can wane when on the move or pressured. If he can improve his consistency with off-platform throws, especially when booting, it will go a long way for his overall play.
  • Shough has a nice deep ball, but he will short-arm some, which will leave his wide receivers waiting. There are plenty of nice deep balls on tape that he drops in the bucket with his receiver in stride. He does need to add some arch to some throws that he’ll toss on a line.
  • When he is under pressure, Shough’s footwork can lapse. He will chuck some throws from his back foot and with his base off kilter. At times, his internal clock can also feel a second behind. Overall, he does a decent job navigating pressure by hanging tight in the pocket, stepping up in the pocket as it collapses, or rolling out to allude pass rushers.
  • Shough can lace some nice second-level layered throws from multiple arm angles. This includes some throws into tight windows. He has a gunslinger mentality at times. I’d rather a quarterback be willing to embrace risk versus be risk averse, but he sometimes writes checks that his arm has a tough time cashing. There are some throws in his film that would have been picked off in the NFL or college if the cornerback play he faced was slightly better.

Player Comp: More mobile Davis Mills

Dillon Gabriel (Oregon)

Stats:

  • 2024 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 8th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 3rd
    • Yards per attempt: 14th
    • Big-time throw rate: 103rd
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 3rd
    • Deep throw rate: 132nd
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 20th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 5th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 11th
  • 2023 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 5th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 9th
    • Yards per attempt: 5th
    • Big-time throw rate: 39th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 13th
    • Deep throw rate: 77th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 8th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 14th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 6th
  • 2022 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 23rd
    • Adjusted completion rate: 62nd
    • Yards per attempt: 21st
    • Big-time throw rate: 36th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 54th
    • Deep throw rate: 50th
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 125th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 55th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 22nd

Scouting report:

  • Gabriel enjoyed plenty of schemed-up production at Oregon. In his final collegiate season, he was sixth in screen attempts and fourth in screen passing yards (per PFF). 66% of his passes were within nine yards of the line of scrimmage. The offense revolves around quick first-read passing plays and screens.
  • When Gabriel has to move past his first read, things can be interesting (not in a good way). Many times, the play design is blown as he tends to hang on to his first read for too long. When he is forced off his first read, his internal clock seems a tick slow.
  • Gabriel dirts a ton of plays when his first read is covered up. There’s something to be said for giving up on a play when it is obviously doomed. Protecting the ball and having a “live to fight another day” is fine, but there are also moments when he has an open receiver that he doesn’t see or is unwilling to get out of structure.
  • His overall accuracy in the short and intermediate areas of the field is decent, but he sails some throws and dirts others. This happens when pressured and from a clean pocket.
  • The area of Gabriel’s game that really jumps out is his deep ball accuracy. He was top-13 in deep ball adjusted completion rate in each of the last two years. He has plenty of pretty go balls dropped in the bucket, littering his tape. This is an area of his game that wasn’t highlighted nearly enough in his final two collegiate seasons.

Player Comp: Seneca Wallace

Riley Leonard (Notre Dame)

Stats:

  • 2024 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 47th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 10th
    • Yards per attempt: 93rd
    • Big-time throw rate: 60th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 21st
    • Deep throw rate: 132nd
  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 36th
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 12th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 40th

Scouting report:

  • Leonard’s athleticism and rushing ability jump out immediately. He has the size and physical strength to be a goal-line option in the NFL. He isn’t a quick twitch runner, but he has enough speed to outrun linebackers and enough bend and wiggle to make defenders miss in the open field. He had 906 rushing yards (4.9 ypc) and 17 rushing scores in his final season.
  • Leonard has plenty of arm strength. He has some nice second-level throws where he’ll uncork the fastball for a nice strike. Unfortunately, those throws are the norm. His accuracy can be erratic. He’ll have throws at all three levels that sail on him or turn into ankle biters for no reason as Leonard sits in a clean pocket.
  • When Leonard is in rhythm, his accuracy is more middling than pinpoint. There are plenty of balls where his receivers save his bacon as they deal with a target behind them or above their heads.
  • He will get stuck on his first read. If his first read is covered well, he’ll force plenty of balls to the first read anyway or take off running using his legs to solve the equation. Leonard doesn’t trust his eyes at times, especially if his first read is gone. There are some plays where you want to see him grip it and rip it, and he pats the ball like he’s burping a baby.

Player Comp: If Josh Allen had the arm of Blake Bortles and the decision-making of Daniel Jones

Seth Henigan (Memphis)

Stats:

  • 2024 (minimum 150 dropbacks)
    • PFF passing grade: 25th
    • Adjusted completion rate: 41st
    • Yards per attempt: 68th
    • Big-time throw rate: 18th
  • Deep passing (minimum 20 deep passing attempts)
    • Adjusted completion rate: 41st
    • Deep throw rate: 34th

 

  • Pressured passing (minimum 50 pressured dropbacks)
    • Pressured adjusted completion rate: 53rd
    • Clean pocket adjusted completion rate: 56th
    • Clean pocket passer rating: 35th

Scouting report: N/A (no all-22 available)

Player Comp: N/A

Taylor Elgersma (Laurier)

Stats: (U Sports – OUA conference)*

  • 2024*
    • Passing yards: 4,252
    • Passing tds: 35 (11 int)
    • Completion %: 73.5
    • Yards per attempt: 10.7
    • Rushing yards: 245 (49 attempts)

Scouting report: N/A (no all-22 available)

Player Comp: N/A

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