Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

• PHI -5.5, O/U 42.5
• Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 11, Pittsburgh has ranked 14th in neutral pace and 16th in neutral rushing rate. In their last four games, Philly has ranked tenth in neutral pace and led the NFL in neutral rushing rate.

Steelers Players & Weekly Rankings

Eagles Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Jalen Hurts
• Saquon Barkley
• A.J. Brown

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Najee Harris (RB)

Harris is the RB25 in fantasy points per game, ranking tenth in weighted opportunities, fifth in carries, and tenth in red zone touches. Harris has averaged 19.4 touches and 86.7 total yards per game. Among 61 qualifying backs, Harris ranks 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 31st in yards after contact per attempt. Harris should be fed this week against what is a weaker Philly run defense. Since Week 9, Philly has allowed the 13th-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest missed tackle rate, and the ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt.

Jaylen Warren (RB)

Since Week 8, Warren has had two top 24 running back weekly finishes (RB22, RB11). He has averaged 12 touches and 70.3 total yards. Since Week 8, Warren has looked more like himself, with a 27% missed tackle rate and 2.67 yards after contact per attempt. Warren is a strong flex again this week. Since Week 9, Philly has allowed the 13th-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest missed tackle rate, and the ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt.

DeVonta Smith (WR)

Since Week 6, Smith has been a more volatile weekly option with four weekly finishes as a top 36 wide receiver while also landing outside the top 50 wide receivers in weekly scoring three times. Across his last seven games played, Smith has had a 20.6% target share (4.6 targets per game), 1.79 YPRR (44.9 receiving yards per game), and a 29.9% first-read share. While those market share numbers and efficiency metrics all pass the sniff test, when you look at the raw volume numbers Smith has produced, it really puts his value into better focus. Smith had a decent game last week and could do so against the Steelers. Since Week 9, Pittsburgh has allowed the third-most receiving yards per game and the fourth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Pat Freiermuth (TE)

Last week, without George Pickens, Freiermuth had an 11.5% target share, a 20.1% air-yard share, 2.67 YPRR (48 receiving yards), and a 7.1% first-read share. His first-read share is concerning as it was fourth on the team, but we could see that change this week as I don’t see Russell Wilson or Arthur Smith choosing to attack Philly’s corners aggressively. Freiermuth could lead the team in target share this week. Across the last five weeks, Philly has allowed the 13th-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.

No Pittsburgh wide receiver is trustworthy for Week 15. Last week, only Pat Freiermuth had a route share above 60%.

Fantasy Football Week 15 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

Russell Wilson (QB)

Wilson is the QB15 in fantasy points per game. He has finished as a QB1 in three of his seven starts. Among 43 qualifying quarterbacks, Wilson ranks fifth in yards per attempt, sixth in passer rating, 11th in CPOE, and third in hero throw rate. Wilson could struggle this week against a stout Philly pass defense. Pittsburgh should lean on their run game this week. Since Week 9, Philly has allowed the second-fewest passing yards per game, the lowest yards per attempt, the third-lowest passer rating, and the second-lowest CPOE.

George Pickens (WR)

Pickens looks doubtful to play this week (hamstring). If that changes, I’ll update his status as the week goes on.

Grant Calcaterra (TE)

In the five games that Calcaterra has operated as Philly’s full-time tight end, he has finished as a TE1 twice (TE12, TE9). He has only one score and one red zone target. In that sample of games, he has had an 80.6% route share, a 15.2% target share, 1.66 YPRR, and a 12.3% first-read share. This isn’t the week to stream Calcaterra. Over the last five weeks, Pittsburgh has allowed the eighth-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.

LAR vs. SF | MIA vs. HOU | KC vs. CLE | DAL vs. CAR | BAL vs. NYG | NYJ vs. JAC | WAS vs. NO | CIN vs. TEN | NE vs. ARI | BUF vs. DET | IND vs. DEN | TB vs. LAC | PIT vs. PHI | GB vs. SEA | CHI vs. MIN | ATL vs. LV

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks

• Watch Live on Fubo
• GB -2.5, O/U 45.5
• Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 11, Green Bay has had the second-slowest neutral pace and the second-best neutral rushing rate. In their last four games, Seattle has slowed with the eighth-slowest neutral pace while ranking 14th in neutral passing rate.

Packers Players & Weekly Rankings

Seahawks Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Josh Jacobs

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Geno Smith (QB)

Smith’s promising start to the season has fallen apart. Since Week 8, he has finished as a QB1 only once. During that span, among 32 qualifying quarterbacks, he has ranked 12th in passing yards per game and ninth in yards per attempt, but he has also ranked 23rd in passing touchdowns, 21st in passer rating, and 25th in fantasy points per dropback. Smith could have a better game in Week 15 against what has been a degraded Packers pass defense. Since Week 9, Green Bay has allowed the fifth-highest passer rating, the third-highest CPOE, and the second-highest success rate per dropback.

Zach Charbonnet (RB)

Charbonnet will likely get the start again this week. In these three starts this season, he has been amazing as the RB7, RB8, and RB1 in weekly fantasy scoring. He has averaged 23 touches and 123 total yards per game. On a per-touch basis, he has been very good, with a 23% missed tackle rate and 2.58 yards after contact per attempt. Charbonnet should flirt with RB1 status again this week and finish somewhere in the neighborhood of 20 touches. Since Week 9, Green Bay has fielded an average run defense ranking 16th in explosive run rate and 17th in missed tackle rate while giving up the 13th-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Charbonnet 50.5% gap).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR)

Smith-Njigba is in the midst of the sophomore breakout season I hoped he would have. He is the WR14 in fantasy points per game and has only finished lower than WR16 in weekly scoring once since Week 9. Smith-Njigba has two red zone targets across his last four games. Since Week 11, Green Bay has utilized two high at the sixth-highest rate (57.2%). Since Week 11, against two high, Smith-Njigba has had a team-leading 16.4% target share, 2.62 YPRR, and a 23.3% first-read share. Since Week 9, Green Bay has held slot receivers to the 14th-fewest PPR points per target and receiving yards per game. Smith-Njigba should lead the way for Seattle’s passing attack this week, but this isn’t a smash matchup.

Romeo Doubs (WR)

Doubs opened this week with a full practice (concussion). I’m projecting that he’ll be back this week. Doubs has been quiet since Week 7. He hasn’t finished higher than WR45 in weekly scoring since Week 7 and hasn’t drawn a red zone target since that game. That could change this week. Since Week 11, Seattle has utilized two high at the fourth-highest rate (58.6%). Since Week 6, against two high (minimum 50 routes), Doubs leads the team with a 27% TPRR, ranks second in YPRR (2.27), and is second in first-read share (25%). Love should look his way often, but Doubs will have to overcome tough sledding this week. Since Week 11, Seattle has limited perimeter wide receivers to the second-fewest receiving yards per game and the sixth-fewest PPR points per target.

Tucker Kraft (TE)

Kraft is the TE10 in fantasy points per game. He ranks eighth in red zone targets among tight ends and has five red zone looks in his last three games. Since Week 11, Seattle has utilized two high at the fourth-highest rate (58.6%). Since Week 6, against two high (minimum 50 routes), Kraft has ranked third in TPRR (21%), YPRR (2.21), and first-read share (19%). Kraft should be a focal point of the passing attack this week. Seattle has allowed the tenth-most receiving yards per game and the ninth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Noah Fant (TE)

Fant has only two TE1 weeks this season (TE8, TE6). Since his Week 13 return, he has had a 13.1% target share, 0.98 YPRR (22 receiving yards per game), and a 15.8% first-read share. He has a red zone target in each of his last two games. He is on the streaming radar this week. Green Bay has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game to tight ends, and over their last five games, they have given up the tenth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to the position.

Fantasy Football Week 15 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

Jordan Love (QB)

Since Week 11, Love has finished as a QB1 only once, as Green Bay has turned into a run-heavy/ball-control offense. Since that time, Love hasn’t had more than 28 passing attempts in a game. Since Week 11, among 33 qualifying quarterbacks, he has ranked first in yards per attempt, 26th in passing yards per game, tenth in passing touchdowns, and third in passing rating. Love has a rough matchup this week against a surging Seattle pass defense. Since Week 11, Seattle has transitioned to a two-high heavy approach, and it has transformed their defense. Since Week 11, Seattle has allowed the fourth-fewest yards per attempt, the 11th-fewest passing touchdowns, and the second-lowest CPOE.

DK Metcalf (WR)

Since his return in Week 11, Metcalf has finished higher than WR28 in weekly scoring and has had only two red zone targets. Since Week 11, Green Bay has utilized two high at the sixth-highest rate (57.2%). Since Week 11, against two high, Metcalf has had a 15.1% target share, 1.32 YPRR, and a 25.6% first-read share. Metcalf isn’t the inspired play he was earlier in the season. He could return decent numbers this week, but I’m not projecting an earth-shattering showing. Since Week 9, Green Bay has ranked 15th in receiving yards per game and 17th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers.

Jayden Reed (WR)

Reed is fresh off a one-target goose egg performance. While that game stung fantasy GMs, he had scored in two of his last three games and posted 113 receiving yards in his previous meeting against Detroit, so it hasn’t been all doom and gloom for Reed over the last few weeks. Reed has five red zone targets in his last four games. Since Week 11, Seattle has utilized two high at the fourth-highest rate (58.6%). Since Week 6, against two high (minimum 50 routes), Reed has ranked second on the team in TPRR (22%), fourth in YPRR (1.18), and first in first-read share (25.4%). Since Week 11, Seattle has ranked 15th in receiving yards per game allowed to slot receivers while also holding the position to the sixth-fewest PPR points per target.

Christian Watson (WR)

Watson has been heating up with two 100-yard receiving performances in his last four games. In that stretch, he had only two red zone targets, both of which came last week. Since Week 11, Seattle has utilized two high at the fourth-highest rate (58.6%). Since Week 6, against two high (minimum 50 routes), Watson has ranked fourth in TPRR (12%), first in YPRR (2.49), and fourth in first-read share (7.9%). He hasn’t been utilized much against two high but he has been ultra-efficient when he has been targeted and has had a 20.1 aDOT against two high. If Love looks his way this week, it should lead to some big plays. Since Week 11, Seattle has limited perimeter wide receivers to the second-fewest receiving yards per game and the sixth-fewest PPR points per target.

LAR vs. SF | MIA vs. HOU | KC vs. CLE | DAL vs. CAR | BAL vs. NYG | NYJ vs. JAC | WAS vs. NO | CIN vs. TEN | NE vs. ARI | BUF vs. DET | IND vs. DEN | TB vs. LAC | PIT vs. PHI | GB vs. SEA | CHI vs. MIN | ATL vs. LV

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings

• Watch Live on Fubo
• MIN -7, O/U 43.5
• Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• With Thomas Brown calling plays, Chicago has the ninth-slowest pace and the 12th-best neutral passing rate. In their last four games, Minnesota has had the 14th-slowest neutral pace and the ninth-best neutral passing rate.

Bears Players & Weekly Rankings

Vikings Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Justin Jefferson

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Sam Darnold (QB)

Darnold is the QB7 in fantasy points per game. He is 13th in passing attempts, sixth in passing yards, and third in passing touchdowns. Among 43 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks fourth in yards per attempt, third in passer rating, and first in CPOE. The last time he faced this pass defense (Week 12), he completed 64.7% of his passes with 330 passing yards and two scores as the QB6 for the week. Darnold should rip this secondary apart again in Week 15. Since Week 9, Chicago has allowed the highest yards per attempt, the third-highest passer rating, and the fifth-highest CPOE.

Caleb Williams (QB)

Last week, everything fell apart for Williams as he finished as the QB18 for the week, finishing with only 134 passing yards and 5.8 yards per attempt. He had the 11th-highest off-target and turnover-worthy throw rates for the week. We’ll see if Williams can bounce back this week. In his last meeting with Minnesota, he had 340 passing yards (two scores), completed 68.1% of his passes, and finished as the QB4 for the week. The Vikings continue to be a tough matchup for quarterbacks. Since Week 9, Minnesota has given up the fewest passing touchdowns, the second-lowest passer rating, and the 11th-lowest CPOE. Minnesota continues to lead the NFL in blitz rate. Since Week 11, Williams has operated proficiently against the blitz, ranking 11th in yards per attempt, sixth in big-time throw rate, and 14th in adjusted completion rate.

Aaron Jones (RB)

Jones is the RB18 in fantasy points per game, ranking 15th in opportunity share, 14th in weighted opportunities, and sixth in red zone touches. Jones has averaged 18 touches and 91.9 total yards per game. Among 61 qualifying backs, he ranks 30th in explosive run rate and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. Jones should have another wonderful showing against Chicago this week. Since Week 9, Chicago has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the fifth-highest explosive run rate, the third-highest yards per carry to zone runs, and the seventh-highest rushing success rate to zone runs (Jones 55.8% zone).

DJ Moore (WR)

Since Week 11, Moore has been the WR8 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 26.8% target share with 1.90 YPRR (78.5 receiving yards per game) and a 31.4% first-read share. Moore has six red zone targets and two scores across the last four games. The Vikings have the highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.8%). Since Week 11, against two high, Moore has seen his target share drop to 20.5%, his YPRR dip to 1.41, and his first-read share decrease to 26.4%. The market shares are still solid, and the efficiency dip is notable. Last time against Minnesota, it didn’t matter as Moore finished with 106 receiving yards and a score as the WR4 for the week. We’ll see if he can do it again. Since Week 9, the Vikings have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers while also ranking 14th in PPR points per target allowed to the position.

Keenan Allen (WR)

The last time Allen faced this secondary, he had nine grabs with 86 receiving yards and a score to finish as the WR5 for the week. Since Week 11, Allen has been the WR23 in fantasy points per game while seeing three red zone targets and getting into the end zone three times. The Vikings have the highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.8%). Since Week 11, against two high, Allen has led the team with a 26% target share and 30.2% first-read share while posting 1.40 YPRR. Since Week 9, Minnesota has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and the second-most receptions to slot receivers.

Rome Odunze (WR)

Since Week 11, Odunze has been the WR38 in fantasy points per game. He has six red zone targets and two scores during that stretch. He has two top 36 finishes in weekly fantasy scoring since Week 11 (WR34, WR13). The Vikings have the highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.8%). Since Week 11, against two high, Odunze has had a strong 24.7% target share and 30.2% first-read share (tied for the team lead) while leading the team with 1.52 YPRR. Odunze could stack another nice performance this week after finishing with 42 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns last week. Since Week 9, the Vikings have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers while also ranking 14th in PPR points per target allowed to the position.

Jordan Addison (WR)

Addison has been on fire. I love seeing him prove me wrong in his second season. In Weeks 1-8, he was the WR46 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 9, he has been scorching secondaires as the WR6 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 9, among 56 qualifying wide receivers, he has ranked 15th in YPRR and 18th in FD/RR. Addison roasted the Bears in their last meeting with eight receptions, 162 receiving yards, and a score as the WR1 for the week. Since Week 4, Chicago has utilized single high at the second-highest rate (64%). Since Week 9, against single-high, Addison has had a 22.2% target share, 3.76 YPRR, and a 30.6% first-read share. Since Week 9, Chicago has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Addison should cook again in Week 15.

T.J. Hockenson (TE)

The last time Hockenson played Chicago, he had nine targets, seven receptions, and 114 receiving yards. He was the TE5 for the week. Since Week 12, Hockenson has had a 73% route share, an 18.1% target share, 2.31 YPRR, and a 19.6% first-read share. He has four red zone targets in his last two games. Hockenson is still looking for his first touchdown of the season, and he could get it this week. The Bears have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game and the highest yards per reception to tight ends.

Fantasy Football Week 15 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

D’Andre Swift (RB)

Over the last two games, Swift has finished higher than RB29 in weekly fantasy scoring. Since Week 11, he has averaged only 15 touches and 65.8 total yards per game. During the same span, among 38 qualifying backs, Swift has ranked 31st in explosive run rate and 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Swift will run into brick walls all day in Week 15. Since Week 9, Minnesota has allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game, the 11th-lowest explosive run rate, and the second-lowest missed tackle rate.

Cole Kmet (TE)

Since Week 11, Kmet has had only an 11.3% target share, 1.06 YPRR, and a 9.8% first-read share. He has had more than 50 receiving yards in only one game and only drawn two red zone targets. Sit Kmet this week. Minnesota has allowed the tenth-fewest yards per reception and the sixth-fewest receiving touchdowns per game to tight ends.

LAR vs. SF | MIA vs. HOU | KC vs. CLE | DAL vs. CAR | BAL vs. NYG | NYJ vs. JAC | WAS vs. NO | CIN vs. TEN | NE vs. ARI | BUF vs. DET | IND vs. DEN | TB vs. LAC | PIT vs. PHI | GB vs. SEA | CHI vs. MIN | ATL vs. LV

Atlanta Falcons vs. Las Vegas Raiders

• Watch Live on Fubo
• ATL -4, O/U 44
• Atlanta Falcons vs. Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Bets via BettingPros

Pace and playcalling notes

• Since Week 11, Atlanta has ranked 17th in neutral pace and eighth in neutral rushing rate. Over the last two weeks, Las Vegas has ranked 18th in neutral pace and passing rate.

Falcons Players & Weekly Rankings

Raiders Players & Weekly Rankings

Must-Start

These are no-brainer MUST starts.

• Bijan Robinson
• Drake London
• Brock Bowers

Strong Starts

Here are players that should be in starting consideration for most fantasy teams.

Kirk Cousins (QB)

Cousins hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass since Week 9. It has been a brutal stretch of games for the veteran quarterback. Over the last four games, he hasn’t finished higher than QB19 in fantasy. I’m not ruling out him getting benched in the middle of any game at this point. Atlanta’s season is quickly slipping away, and they have to do something to keep this sinking ship afloat. Since Week 10, among 38 qualifying quarterbacks, Cousins ranks 17th in yards per attempt, 35th in passer rating, 16th in highly accurate throw rate, and 37th in fantasy points per dropback. If Cousins can hold onto the job for this week, he could have a bounce-back game. Since Week 9, Las Vegas has allowed the most passing touchdowns, the second-most passing yards per game, and the fourth-highest passer rating.

Sincere McCormick (RB)

Over the last two weeks, McCormick has finished as the RB36 and RB26 in weekly fantasy scoring. Last week, he took over the backfield with a 59% snap rate, a 64% snap rate in the red zone, 17 touches, and 89 total yards. He has posted impressive per-touch numbers with a 9.4% explosive run rate, a 19% missed tackle rate, and 2.84 yards after contact per attempt. McCormick should flirt with RB2 numbers this week. Since Week 9, Atlanta has allowed the 12th-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (McCormick 53.1% gap).

Darnell Mooney (WR)

Mooney had another monster game last week against two high coverage, and he’s poised to do it again this week. Mooney is the WR31 in fantasy points per game, ranking tenth in deep targets among wide receivers. The biggest hole in his profile is his lack of red-zone usage. Since Week 8, he has only one red zone target. Since Week 7, Las Vegas has utilized two high with 52.9% of their defensive snaps (the seventh-highest rate). Against two high, Mooney has a 21.2% target share, 2.32 YPRR, and a 27.3% first-read share. Since Week 9, Las Vegas has allowed the 16th-most fantasy points per game and PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Jakobi Meyers (WR)

Since Week 4, Meyers has been the WR18 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 25.3% target share with 73.9 receiving yards per game, 1.98 YPRR, and a 32.5% first-read share. Across his last six games, he has had five red zone targets. Assuming that he can see some catchable targets this week, Meyers should continue producing against a hapless Atlanta secondary. Since Week 9, Atlanta has allowed the most receiving yards per game and the most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Ray-Ray McCloud (WR)

McCloud is a strong flex play this week. My love for targeting the Raiders with slot receivers weekly has been well-documented. Well, we are back on that horse for Week 15. McCloud has also been on fire over the last two games, averaging 14.7 PPR points per game, six receptions, and 96.5 receiving yards. Since Week 7, Las Vegas has utilized two high with 52.9% of their defensive snaps (the seventh-highest rate). Against two high, McCloud has had a 16.7% target share, 1.43 YPRR, and an 18.7% first-read share. Since Week 9, Las Vegas has allowed the fifth-most PPR points per target to slot receivers.

Fantasy Football Week 15 Flex Plays & Fades

Tread lightly with these players who are questionable starts or players I’m fading this week.

Aidan O’Connell (QB)

O’Connell has a bone bruise (knee). He might play this week, but we have to watch his practice reports. I’ll update his status on Saturday.

Kyle Pitts (TE)

Fading Kyle Pitts against two high coverages has become a depressing theme for this season, and we’re back at it this week. Since Week 7, Las Vegas has utilized two high with 52.9% of their defensive snaps (the seventh-highest rate). Against two high, Pitts has had a 14% target share, 0.92 YPRR, and a depressing 12.7% first-read share. Across the last five weeks, Las Vegas has given up the sixth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends, so that’s a feather in Pitts’ cap, but I don’t know if it’s enough to help him this week. It’s also an outstanding matchup for Ray-Ray McCloud, who could easily be featured as the third passing catching option in this offense again in Week 15.

LAR vs. SF | MIA vs. HOU | KC vs. CLE | DAL vs. CAR | BAL vs. NYG | NYJ vs. JAC | WAS vs. NO | CIN vs. TEN | NE vs. ARI | BUF vs. DET | IND vs. DEN | TB vs. LAC | PIT vs. PHI | GB vs. SEA | CHI vs. MIN | ATL vs. LV

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*All data utilized in this article is courtesy of Fantasy Points Data, PFF, FTN, rbsdm.com, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.*